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Trump leans into extremism at first 2024 rally as legal woes mount | CNN Politics

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Trump leans into extremism at first 2024 rally as legal woes mount | CNN Politics



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Donald Trump is igniting his White Home bid at a second of unprecedented peril within the felony investigations in opposition to him – a confluence that might ship America into a brand new political and authorized collision.

Trump’s wild rhetoric at his first official 2024 marketing campaign rally Saturday previewed the divisive nationwide second forward ought to he be indicted in any of a number of felony probes. As he whipped up a demagogic fervor in Waco, Texas, to attempt to safe a brand new presidency devoted to “retribution,” Trump’s extremism – laced with recommendations of violence – left little question he can be keen to take the nation to a darkish place to save lots of himself.

But Trump’s chilling warnings that the Biden administration’s “thugs and criminals” have created a “Stalinist Russia horror present” by “weaponizing” justice in opposition to him additionally spelled electoral hazard for a GOP harm by his authoritarianism in current elections. A rare extended character assault on Ron DeSantis, by which Trump depicted his largest potential rival of 2024 tearfully begging for his endorsement in 2018, demonstrated the political firestorm the Florida governor should cope with if he jumps into the White Home marketing campaign.

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Even with the ex-president’s popularity for hyperbole and inflammatory rhetoric, such demagoguery has by no means beforehand been heard within the first official rally of any fashionable American election marketing campaign.

In the meantime, Home committee chairs desirous to enchantment to the Trump base are rising their efforts to make use of the facility of their Republican majority to thwart Manhattan District Lawyer Alvin Bragg’s inquiry into Trump – even earlier than it releases any attainable indictment or proof. Home Oversight Chair James Comer informed CNN’s “State of the Union” on Sunday that the GOP strikes had been justified as a result of the investigation into Trump’s alleged function in a hush cash scheme to pay an grownup movie actress was primarily based purely on politics.

“That is the, for higher or worse, main contender for the Republican nomination of the presidential election subsequent yr, in addition to a former president of the US,” the Kentucky Republican informed Jake Tapper.

Many authorized consultants have questioned whether or not the potential Bragg investigation will produce the strongest of circumstances in opposition to Trump, who’s additionally going through a number of different probes over his actions across the 2020 election and his dealing with of categorised paperwork. (Trump, who maintains he’s finished nothing flawed, to this point has not been charged in any of the felony probes in opposition to him.)

And given the higher nationwide impression of these different investigations, a attainable try to make use of a enterprise accounting violation on this yearslong hush cash case to recommend a attainable violation of marketing campaign finance regulation might be particularly controversial. But Comer’s feedback additionally created the implication that an ex-president or White Home candidate might be protected against investigation even when they’d dedicated a felony offense. This will get to the core of the attainable circumstances in opposition to Trump: Would failing to research him and cost him, if the proof justifies such a step, imply an ex-president is above the regulation? Or would some makes an attempt to name him to account threat subjecting him to a stage of scrutiny that different residents won’t face?

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Comer and Home Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, who had been among the many three committee chairs writing to Bragg this weekend with intensifying calls for for his testimony, gained a heat shout-out from Trump at his rally in Texas, reflecting the best way the brand new Home GOP is performing as a political instrument for the ex-president and his radical marketing campaign. Bragg responded to the chairmen in a press release saying it was not applicable for Congress to intervene with native investigations and vowed to be guided by the rule of regulation. He was backed up this weekend by almost 200 former federal prosecutors who wrote a letter denouncing efforts to intimidate him.

The grand jury within the Trump case is predicted to reconvene on Monday, following per week of rampant public hypothesis over whether or not Bragg would name extra witnesses and whether or not the case was sufficiently critical to advantage the potential first indictment ever of an ex-president. Trump falsely predicted earlier this month that he can be arrested final Tuesday – a transfer that fired up an effort by his allies to intimidate Bragg. However the week got here and went with none indictment information.

CNN reported final week that the district legal professional’s workplace was attempting to find out whether or not to name again Trump’s former lawyer and fixer, Michael Cohen, to refute the testimony supplied by legal professional Robert Costello, who appeared on the request of Trump legal professionals – or to name an extra witness to buttress its case earlier than the grand jurors think about a vote on whether or not to indict the previous president.

The escalating confrontation over Bragg’s inquiry got here as different investigations round Trump appeared to be nearing their very own conclusions.

In a very separate case on Friday, Trump’s main protection legal professional, Evan Corcoran, appeared earlier than a grand jury in Washington, DC, that’s listening to proof over the ex-president’s dealing with of categorised paperwork at his residence in Florida, together with attainable obstruction of justice when the federal government tried to get these paperwork again. Prosecutors have made clear in court docket proceedings which might be nonetheless beneath seal that they imagine Trump tried to make use of Corcoran to advance against the law.

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Former FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe informed CNN’s Erin Burnett on Friday that Corcoran’s look represented a critical growth for Trump. “That’s an unprecedented factor that we’re seeing, and Evan Corcoran is able to present unbelievably damaging testimony in opposition to him,” he mentioned.

Moreover wanting into the paperwork challenge, particular counsel Jack Smith is investigating Trump’s conduct across the 2020 election – which even this weekend the previous president once more falsely claimed he had gained – and within the run-up to the assault on the US Capitol on January 6, 2021.

In one other probe associated to the 2020 election, a district legal professional in Georgia mentioned on the finish of January that choices had been “imminent” within the investigation into Trump’s makes an attempt to overturn President Joe Biden’s victory in the important thing swing state. CNN reported final week that prosecutors are contemplating bringing racketeering and conspiracy prices.

Fees in any considered one of these investigations would check the energy of the nation’s political and judicial establishments, provided that an ex-president and present presidential candidate is concerned. And the truth that Trump is exhibiting such willingness to inflame the nation’s politics in his personal protection makes this a deeply critical second for the nation.

Trump’s fiery rally in Waco pulsated with falsehoods in regards to the 2020 election and his one-term presidency and misrepresented the authorized circumstances in opposition to him. Coming a day after he warned in a social media submit about “demise and destruction” if he’s indicted, his speech boiled with conspiracy theories and private resentments – rhetoric that’s particularly harmful within the aftermath of January 6. It wasn’t misplaced on observers that his occasion coincided with the thirtieth anniversary of a regulation enforcement raid on a cult compound in Waco that’s seen on the far proper as an emblem of presidency overreach, though the marketing campaign maintained the situation had been chosen for comfort.

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The ex-president has usually used extremist speeches to attempt to get extra time within the limelight or extra consideration, whether or not from adoring onlookers or outraged critics. It’s too early to guage how nicely his tactic is working within the 2024 marketing campaign and as his authorized plight appears to worsen. Up to now, there have been no massive protests of the sort Trump has repeatedly referred to as for. The worth his supporters may pay for turning violent has additionally been demonstrated by the a whole bunch of convictions of those that invaded the Capitol greater than two years in the past after his massive Washington rally. So there’s at the least the likelihood that whereas Trump stays extensively fashionable together with his GOP base, his indignant rhetoric lacks the facility that it as soon as did.

However it’s also clear after this primary marketing campaign rally that Trump, who remains to be main the Republican pack for 2024, has crossed a brand new political line. He’s portray an image of a decrepit and powerless nation – suffering from corruption, rigged elections and the felony manipulation of the regulation in opposition to his supporters – that’s much more excessive than the “American carnage” he invoked in his inaugural deal with in 2017.

“The abuses of energy which might be at the moment with us in any respect ranges of presidency will go down as among the many most shameful, corrupt and wicked chapters in all of American historical past,” Trump mentioned, lashing the US as a “third world banana republic.”

“Both the deep state destroys America, or we destroy the deep state,” he mentioned at one level.

And whereas Trump’s intent is to shock, historical past means that authoritarians in search of energy observe precisely the identical playbook of populist nationalism – discrediting free elections, demonizing the authorized system and taking intention at weak sectors of society – that Trump is pioneering in his new marketing campaign.

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His rally was additionally notable for the truth that it was virtually completely dominated by his grievances and complaints, which can nicely trace at a way of foreboding over his authorized place. “Every bit of my private life, monetary life, enterprise life and public life has been turned the other way up and dissected like nobody within the historical past of our nation,” Trump mentioned.

This raises a query of whether or not he’s providing a message, rooted in his obsessions, {that a} majority of Republican voters would really need to enroll in, even those that thought of his presidency a hit. In 2016, Trump emerged as an unlikely however extremely expert automobile for the conservative grassroots, a lot of which felt patronized by politicians and left behind in a wave of globalization that despatched tens of millions of blue-collar jobs abroad.

DeSantis could also be attempting one thing related in 2024. Within the early strikes of his yet-to-be-declared marketing campaign, the Florida governor has positioned himself because the champion of conservative voters who imagine their lifestyle is beneath assault from liberals and multiculturalists pushing a “woke” ideology. One of many key questions of the GOP main marketing campaign shall be whether or not this strategy may enchantment to extra Republican voters than Trump’s incessant makes an attempt to painting investigations into him as a symptom of a wider assault by a corrupt authorities on his followers.

However forward of one more probably pivotal week, Trump is proving that he won’t flip away from the defining tactic of his political profession: subjecting the nation’s establishments to ever extra intense and unprecedented stress assessments.

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Video: Our Photographer’s Look Inside New York’s Migrant Shelters

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Video: Our Photographer’s Look Inside New York’s Migrant Shelters

Just over 225,000 migrants have entered New York City since 2022, and more than $6 billion has been spent on a hodgepodge of shelters that morphed into the largest system of emergency housing for migrants in the country. Todd Heisler, a photographer for The New York Times, gained exclusive access to shelters across the city, documenting the experience through the eyes of those living there.

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Russia aims to be global leader in nuclear power plant construction

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Russia aims to be global leader in nuclear power plant construction

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Russia is building more than 10 nuclear units abroad as it looks to tap into rising energy demand driven by artificial intelligence and developing markets, according to an envoy of President Vladimir Putin.

Moscow is doubling down on efforts to boost its global influence by expanding its nuclear fleet, with plants under construction in countries including Bangladesh, China, Egypt, India, Iran and Turkey. Russia has enhanced its role as a major nuclear energy provider even as the oil and gas sector has faced heavy sanctions after its invasion of Ukraine.

Boris Titov, the Kremlin’s special representative for international co-operation in sustainability, said the country wanted to cement its position as “one of the biggest builders of new nuclear plants in the world”. 

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He said Russia expected strong demand for nuclear power from developing countries eager for cleaner sources of energy, as well as from technology companies harnessing AI in data centres. The International Atomic Energy Agency forecast this year that world nuclear generating capacity would increase by 155 per cent to 950 gigawatts by 2050.

“We are building more than 10 different units around the world,” Titov told the Financial Times. “We need a lot of energy. We will not be able to provide this energy without using . . . nuclear. We know that it’s safe . . . it’s not emitting [greenhouse gas emissions], so it is very clean.”

Boris Titov, the Kremlin’s special representative for international co-operation in sustainability © Maksim Konstantinov/SOPA/LightRocket/Getty Images

Russia’s growing overseas nuclear portfolio, including reactor construction, fuel provision and other services, spans 54 countries, according to an article published last year in the journal Nature Energy by the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs. 

Titov pointed to Hungary’s Paks 2 plant as well as units in Bangladesh and Turkey. Russia is also expected to build a plant with small modular reactors in Uzbekistan, while it signed an agreement with Burkina Faso’s ruling junta in 2023. The FT reported this year that Russia was involved in more than a third of new reactors being built worldwide.

Western governments have attempted to push back against Russia’s nuclear prominence, with the US banning imports of Russian-enriched uranium this May. 

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With the exception of Hungary, most eastern European countries have signed contracts for fuel developed to fit Soviet-era reactors by US company Westinghouse since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. 

As part of a wider push to meet an indicative target of being free from Russian fuel imports by 2027, Dan Jørgensen, the new EU commissioner for energy, said that he wanted to examine the “full nuclear supply chain”. 

But Hungarian premier Viktor Orbán and Slovakian prime minister Robert Fico have said they would block any steps to restrict Russia’s civilian nuclear energy industry.

After meeting Putin on Sunday, Fico said in a post on Facebook that potential sanctions against Russia would be “financially damaging and endanger the production of electricity in nuclear power plants in Slovakia, which is unacceptable”.

But fears that Russia could create critical nuclear fuel shortages for the bloc, as it did for gas in 2022, are overstated, one senior EU official said.

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“Rosatom has a vested interest to be reliable,” they added.

A more immediate problem is US sanctions on Gazprombank, a major conduit for energy payments to Russia. The measures exempted civil nuclear energy except for Hungary’s Paks 2 plant. Hungary’s foreign minister Péter Szijjártó has called the singling out of the new plant an “entirely political decision”.

Many developing countries are looking at nuclear to meet clean energy requirements, offering more potential markets for Russia.

Nik Nazmi Nik Ahmad, Malaysia’s natural resources and environmental sustainability minister, told the Financial Times that the country was “studying the introduction of nuclear”. 

He said all the “major players” were “talking to the [Malaysian] government” on potential projects, without referring to specific countries.

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Speaking at the UN COP29 climate summit in Azerbaijan in November, Jake Levine, senior climate and energy director at the US National Security Council, said Washington was concerned about countries turning to China or Russia for nuclear power.

Global competitiveness in the industry was a “huge issue”, he added.

Additional reporting by Anastasia Stognei, Polina Ivanova and Raphael Minder

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Where climate change meets business, markets and politics. Explore the FT’s coverage here.

Are you curious about the FT’s environmental sustainability commitments? Find out more about our science-based targets here

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Why Trump's tariffs on Mexico would mean higher avocado prices at the grocery store

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Why Trump's tariffs on Mexico would mean higher avocado prices at the grocery store

Avocados grow on trees in an orchard in the municipality of Ario de Rosales, Michoacan state, Mexico, on Sept. 21, 2023. Tariffs on Mexican imports would have a big effect on avocados in the U.S.

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Alfredo Estrella/AFP via Getty Images

Of all the products that would be affected by President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on Mexico, avocados stand out: 90% of avocados consumed in the U.S. are imported. And almost all of those imports come from Mexico.

Trump has said he plans to impose a blanket tariff of 25% on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with an additional 10% tax on goods from China.

It’s unclear whether the tariffs will be implemented or if they will serve merely as a negotiating tactic.

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If enacted, they could have multiple effects on the avocado industry.

“Broad tariffs, like what’s being proposed, is not something that we’ve seen” before, says David Ortega, a food economist and professor at Michigan State University. “We had the trade war with China back in 2018 that affected steel and aluminum, but when it comes to food, these types of policy proposals are not something that are very common or that we’ve seen recently.”

With one of the biggest guacamole-eating events of the year — the Super Bowl — approaching in February, here’s what to know about avocados, tariffs, and why so many avocados are grown in Mexico.

Prices will rise

Avocados are displayed in a grocery store in Washington, D.C., on June 14, 2022. Experts predict avocado prices will rise in the event of tariffs on Mexican imports.

Avocados are displayed in a grocery store in Washington, D.C., on June 14, 2022. Experts predict avocado prices will rise in the event of tariffs on Mexican imports.

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First, a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico would lead to higher avocado prices at the grocery store.

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But estimating just how much higher is hard to say. It’s possible that producers and importers will absorb some of the costs to keep prices down and stay more competitive.

Ortega says there could be “pretty significant increases in the price of avocados. Maybe not the full 25%, but pretty close, given that there’s very little substitute ability with regards to where we would source avocados.”

But he cautions that because the tariffs apply only to the product’s value at the border, and not to other costs like transportation and distribution within the U.S., prices may not go up by the full 25%.

Regardless of these potential price increases, however, people in the U.S. love their avocados and they’re willing to pay more. Avocado consumption tripled in the U.S. between 2000 and 2021.

“Given that avocado is a staple of our consumption here, I would say that the elasticity is not very high, meaning that even with a big increase in price, consumption is not going to change that much,” says Luis Ribera, a professor and extension economist in the agricultural economics department at Texas A&M University.

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Why Mexico

A farmer works at an avocado plantation at the Los Cerritos avocado group ranch in Ciudad Guzman, state of Jalisco, Mexico, on Feb. 10, 2023. Mexico provides 90% of the avocados consumed in the U.S.

A farmer works at an avocado plantation at the Los Cerritos avocado group ranch in Ciudad Guzman, state of Jalisco, Mexico, on Feb. 10, 2023. Most of the avocados consumed in the U.S. are grown in Mexico.

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Mexico is the biggest producer of avocados in the world and exported $3.3 billion worth of avocados in 2023. A study funded by the industry estimated that avocado production supports 78,000 permanent jobs and 310,000 seasonal jobs in Mexico.

“It’s a very important business in Mexico, very lucrative,” Ribera says.

Mexico emerged as the largest foreign supplier of fruits and vegetables to the U.S. for a few reasons, he says. One: Its proximity to the U.S. market. With a perishable product, closer is better. Peru is the second-largest source of foreign avocados in the U.S., but its greater distance means avocados need to be shipped farther.

The other reasons for Mexico are favorable weather that allows for year-round production of avocados and access to cheap labor, according to Ribera.

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Avocados are grown in the U.S. too, mostly in California and to a lesser extent Florida and Hawaii, but U.S. growers can’t meet Americans’ big appetite. Avocado production in the U.S. has declined, even as Americans grew fonder of the green fruit, according to the USDA.

California avocado growers have faced droughts and wildfires in recent years, making it difficult to offer the year-round availability that American consumers crave, Ortega says. In addition, land is expensive and water is limited.

If the goal of implementing tariffs is to force avocado production to move somewhere besides Mexico, that isn’t easy.

It takes about eight years for avocado trees to produce fruit, according to the USDA. “This is not a product that you can just simply plant more of this season and you get more of in a few months,” Ortega says.

Other countries where the U.S. sources avocados — Peru, the Dominican Republic and Chile — “just simply don’t have the production capacity to replace Mexico’s supply,” he says.

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Tariffs could impact the organic avocado market

Tariffs could also alter the market dynamic when it comes to organic vs. conventional foods.

If prices rise across the board, consumers who typically buy organic avocados might switch to conventional ones to save money. Organic produce makes up about 15% of total fruit and vegetable sales in the U.S., according to the Organic Trade Association, which represents hundreds of organic businesses and thousands of farmers.

“My hypothesis is that the price of conventional products would increase more than the premium organic product,” Ortega says. He reasons that because people who are used to buying organic avocados would move to buy conventional ones, “that in turn increases the demand and would make prices rise more for that category.”

Matthew Dillon, co-CEO of the Organic Trade Association, says those in the organic food industry are looking at diversifying their supply chains away from Mexico, but there’s a three-year transition period required for farmers to switch from producing conventional to organic produce.

“Supply chains are not incredibly elastic in organic. It takes more time to pivot and change when there’s a supply chain disruption. And tariffs are in some ways a form of supply chain disruption for a company, because it creates unpredictable pricing,” he says.

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Together with grocery prices that have gone up more than 26% since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, Trump’s plans for tariffs on Mexico, along with mass deportations, could create “a perfect storm of high inflationary pressure on the organic sector,” Dillon says.

Furthermore, retaliatory tariffs from Mexico could have their own impacts.

Avocado producers face uncertainty as Trump’s return looms

Avocados in boxes are pictured at a packing plant in the municipality of Ario de Rosales, Michoacan state, Mexico, on Sept. 21, 2023.

Avocados in boxes are pictured at a packing plant in the municipality of Ario de Rosales, Michoacan state, Mexico, on Sept. 21, 2023.

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Aside from the threat of tariffs, the avocado industry has other challenges to deal with: climate change presents several problems, and avocados require a large amount of water to grow. Meanwhile, environmentalists say some avocado growers are cutting down forests to plant avocados.

Producers also face extortion from criminal gangs in Mexico.

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And now with Trump’s tariff threats, producers are left to wonder about their next steps.

“Producers, they react to market fundamentals,” Ribera says. For example, people can foresee how bad weather in Mexico would affect avocado prices. Producers and retailers will adjust to higher and lower demand.

“The issue with a tariff is it’s not a market fundamental — it’s a policy. It’s a political move,” he says. “It could happen or it could not happen, or it could be increased or it could be decreased, you know. So it’s hard for the whole supply chain to adjust.”

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