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Results: The Most Detailed Maps of the Iowa Republican Caucuses

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Results: The Most Detailed Maps of the Iowa Republican Caucuses

No vote estimates available.

Map is colored by the candidate who leads in each precinct. Lightly shaded areas are more sparsely populated.

Former president Donald J. Trump won the Iowa caucuses on Monday, with The Associated Press calling the race for Mr. Trump less than an hour after caucusing began. The state Republican party is reporting precinct-level results. This is the most detailed vote data available for the first 2024 presidential election contest.

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The map above shows the leading candidate in each precinct. It is shaded according to the number of votes per square mile for that candidate, meaning sparsely populated areas where fewer caucusgoers live are lighter, and denser areas are darker.

How the top three candidates are doing in each precinct

Here’s another way to look at the results. In the maps below, precincts are shaded according to each candidate’s vote share for the three top candidates — Mr. Trump, Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor, and Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida.

How Republicans are voting in different kinds of areas

This table shows the leading candidate in precincts that have reported votes, based on the demographics of those areas.

Precincts in… Leader margin Avg. vote share

Lower income areas

Higher income areas

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Areas with fewer college graduates

Areas with more college graduates

Rural areas

Suburban areas

Urban areas

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Trump’s support

Mr. Trump improved significantly on his performance in the Iowa caucuses in 2016, when he received 24.3 percent of the vote, losing to Ted Cruz, who received 27.6 percent. Mr. Trump gained ground in many kinds of areas, but most of all in areas with lower average incomes and fewer college graduates.

Trump’s Iowa performance in 2016 compared with 2024

Vote share for Trump in precincts …

Each dot in the charts below represents one neighborhood’s caucus precinct. The dots are positioned on the charts based on the percentage of the vote each candidate received in that precinct.

Mr. Trump’s strength on Monday has cut across many different kinds of areas. His lead is most pronounced in areas with fewer college-educated voters.

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Precincts in…

Lower income areas

Areas with fewer college graduates

Areas with more college graduates

DeSantis’s support

Mr. DeSantis is a distant second, trailing Mr. Trump by double digits. Mr. DeSantis, despite campaigning in all 99 Iowa counties, and earning the endorsement of key state officials and religious leaders, has not found consistent pockets of support among key demographic groups.

Precincts in …

Lower income areas

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Areas with fewer college graduates

Areas with more college graduates

Haley’s support

Ms. Haley has performed her best in areas that are wealthier and have a higher concentration of college-educated voters. These include precincts that surround cities like Des Moines and Iowa City.

Precincts in …

Lower income areas

Areas with fewer college graduates

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Areas with more college graduates

Methodology

Higher income areas are precincts where the median household income is $100,000 or more; lower income areas are where the median household income is less than $50,000. Areas with more college graduates are precincts where more than 40 percent of the population has a college education; areas with fewer college graduates are precincts where less than 15 percent of the population graduated college. The classification of areas as urban, rural or suburban is derived from research by Jed Kolko.

Chris Christie dropped out of the presidential race last week, but the Iowa Republican Party will still tabulate any votes he receives in the caucuses.

Election results are from The Associated Press. The Times publishes its own estimates for the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials.

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Trump’s crypto embrace overshadows new EU digital assets rules

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Trump’s crypto embrace overshadows new EU digital assets rules

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Donald Trump’s embrace of cryptocurrencies risks undermining Europe’s incoming rules on digital assets as companies overlook the continent in favour of a friendlier US market, industry executives have warned.

Companies such as Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, have indicated they will look to refocus their attention on the US after Trump promised to make the country “the crypto capital of the planet”.

Top executives and analysts say a crypto-friendly White House will exert a strong pull that compares favourably to the European Union’s new landmark rules, which come into force from December 30.

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The bloc’s rules, known as the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), will set guardrails for the public following the collapse of companies like exchange FTX and lenders including Genesis and Celsius. The standards have in the past been praised by the industry as a potential benchmark for global crypto asset regulation.

“In the previous US administration . . . MiCA certainly seemed like it was a good way of trying to think about the crypto industry without completely killing off innovation,” said Eswar Prasad, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. 

But in the wake of Trump’s win, “we’re going to see a migration of crypto-related activities away from Europe in any form because things are going to be much easier in the US,” he added. “[MiCA] is going to be seen as very stringent.”

Trump’s victory has helped propel bitcoin to a record high of $108,000 this year, more than double its price a year ago. Retail and institutional investors have warmed to Trump’s pledge that he will end the US’s tough regulatory crackdown of recent years.

He has also nominated Paul Atkins, a crypto advocate, to head the Securities and Exchange Commission, and appointed David Sacks, a venture capitalist, to advise the president on crypto and AI policy. “We’re going to do something great with crypto,” he said last week.

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The EU’s MiCA rules will regulate the issuance of crypto coins including stablecoins, as well as digital asset services like custody and trading by demanding that companies providing those services are authorised in the EU.

Yulia Makarova, special counsel at law firm Cooley, said complying with MiCA “increases the costs for start-up firms” in particular. “Ongoing compliance costs can be such that the business gets to the brink of viability,” she added, warning that crypto start-ups may choose to launch in the US rather than the EU.

Some companies, such as US cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase and Circle, operator of the stablecoin USDC, have secured their EU licences. However others, such as Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin, will not be compliant with the new rules and are being delisted by local regulated exchanges.

“The new administration might take a bit of shine and a bit of edge off MiCA,” said Denzel Walters, head of Luxembourg at market maker B2C2. “But I still think MiCA here presents a really great opportunity for the digital assets market,” he added.

Executives are betting that Trump, as well as a new cohort of pro-crypto politicians in Washington, will also make headway with new legislation for crypto assets, which will in turn pave the way for traditional financial institutions to plough money into crypto.

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Already, crypto companies that dropped US services for fear of being hit by regulators, or were banned, are planning to return. “We are closer than ever to restoring US dollar services and our plan is to achieve this important milestone in early 2025,” said Norman Reed, interim chief executive of crypto exchange Binance US. “It is not a matter of if, but when,” he added.

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Bird flu has killed 20 big cats including cougars at a U.S. wildlife sanctuary

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Bird flu has killed 20 big cats including cougars at a U.S. wildlife sanctuary

A cougar is seen in a forest in autumn. The Wild Felid Advocacy Center of Washington says bird flu has killed 20 of its big cats, including cougars, in the past month.

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An animal sanctuary in Shelton, Wash., is under quarantine after a bird flu outbreak killed 20 big cats at the facility over the past month.

The Wild Felid Advocacy Center of Washington called the deaths “heartbreaking,” confirming the virus has claimed more than half its animals, including four cougars and a half-Bengal tiger, since late November.

“Our sanctuary is under quarantine to protect our remaining animals and prevent further spread,” the center said in a statement, adding it will remain closed to the public until further notice.

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The sanctuary said the outbreak may have been caused by respiratory secretions passed from infected birds to the cats or by contaminated meat fed to the cats. It said bird flu poses a serious risk to felines, often progressing from mild symptoms to fatal pneumonia within 24 hours.

The first cat, a cougar, died on Nov. 23 after showing signs of the illness. The virus then quickly sickened many other animals across the sanctuary. While some of the cats shared a wall between their habitats, they did not have direct contact.

The sanctuary’s 17 surviving animals — cougars, bobcats, servals, and tigers — remain under close observation.

In response, the sanctuary removed 8,000 pounds of food from storage and began deep cleaning, but the nonprofit says the measures have strained its finances. “The mounting medical costs, even at discounted rates, are significant,” it said, appealing for donations to cover expenses.

The outbreak comes amid rising concerns over bird flu in the U.S.

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Earlier this month, California Gov. Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency due to its spread among dairy cattle, and outbreaks have been reported in wild and domestic bird populations across multiple states.

A brand of cat food also said it was recalling a line of its products after authorities linked the death of a cat to a batch of feed contaminated with bird flu.

The brand, Northwest Naturals, said it was advising people to throw out two-pound bags of its Feline Turkey Recipe that have a best-by date between May 21, 2026, and June 23, 2026, after the bags tested positive for virulent bird flu.

Experts warn that highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is becoming more prevalent, driven by migratory bird patterns.

While the virus primarily affects birds, it has shown the capacity to infect mammals, including domestic pets and wildlife, under certain conditions.

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Earlier this month, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention confirmed the first severe human case of bird flu in the U.S. — a Louisiana resident who was hospitalized after being exposed to backyard flocks.

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India’s former prime minister Manmohan Singh dies

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India’s former prime minister Manmohan Singh dies

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India’s former prime minister Manmohan Singh, who liberalised the economy and then led the country through a period of strong economic growth, has died.

Singh, 92, was being treated for age-related medical conditions, the All India Institute of Medical Sciences in New Delhi said, as it announced his death on Thursday.

The Oxford university-educated economist set India on a path to becoming a fast-growing economy as finance minister from 1991 to 1996, when he opened up the country to more foreign trade and private investment.

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Considered a political lightweight by some in India at that time, Singh was a surprise choice by the Congress party to be prime minister after it won parliamentary elections in 2004.

Alongside a growth rate of almost 7 per cent, Singh’s decade as premier was marred by allegations of widespread corruption against his party’s leaders, although his personal integrity was rarely questioned.

Singh was accused of inaction and opposition parties claimed he was subservient to Congress’s chief at that time, Sonia Gandhi.

Shortly before Congress lost elections to Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata party in 2014, Singh said in a speech to parliament that “history would be kinder to me than the contemporary media, or for that matter opposition parties”.

Prime Minister Modi on Thursday described Singh as one of India’s most distinguished leaders, saying he left a “strong imprint on our economic policy over the years” and had “made extensive efforts to improve people’s lives” as premier.

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Rahul Gandhi, a senior member of the Congress party, paid tribute to Singh, saying he had lost a “mentor and guide” whose “humility and deep understanding of economics inspired the nation”.

A member of parliament for more than three decades, Singh retired from active politics earlier this year.

The mild-mannered Singh, who belonged to India’s minority Sikh community, was born to a humble family in 1932 in a village in India’s Punjab prior to the country’s independence, which is now part of Pakistan.

Singh rose to become one of India’s most successful economists, serving the government in various capacities, including as head of the country’s central bank in the 1980s.

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