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‘If war breaks out, I’m cannon fodder:’ In Taiwan, ex-conscripts feel unprepared for potential China conflict | CNN

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‘If war breaks out, I’m cannon fodder:’ In Taiwan, ex-conscripts feel unprepared for potential China conflict | CNN


Taipei, Taiwan
CNN
 — 

Rising issues over more and more aggressive army maneuvers by China have prompted Taiwan to increase the obligatory army service interval most of its younger males should serve. However former conscripts interviewed by CNN say Taipei might want to do way over that whether it is to make the coaching efficient.

Outdated, boring and impractical. That was the decision of six younger males who spoke to CNN about their latest experiences of obligatory service in Taiwan’s army.

They describe a course of that was designed many years in the past with a heavy emphasis on bayonet coaching, however missing instruction in city warfare methods or trendy weapons like drones. Some say there have been too few rifles to go round, or that the weapons they skilled with had been too previous to be of use. Others recount “specializing” in cannon, grenade and mortar models, however by no means receiving any ammunition to coach with.

Their criticisms come at a vital time for Taiwan’s army. President Tsai Ing-wen introduced lately that the interval of obligatory service for males born in or after 2005 will likely be prolonged from 4 months to a 12 months, saying that the current system “not fits the wants” of the island’s protection. The army says the rethink follows comparisons to the militaries of different democratic jurisdictions which have longer conscription durations – corresponding to South Korea (18-21 months), Singapore (24 months) and Israel (24-30 months).

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Strengthening the island’s army has develop into a key concern for Tsai, who has spoken of the necessity to spotlight Taiwan’s willpower to defend itself amid more and more aggressive noises from Beijing. The ruling Chinese language Communist Get together claims the self-governing democracy of 23.5 million folks as a part of its territory, regardless of by no means having managed it, and has despatched report numbers of air and sea patrols to harass it since former US Home Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited in August. Chinese language chief Xi Jinping has repeatedly refused to rule out using power to “reunify” the island with mainland China.

“Nobody desires warfare,” Tsai stated in asserting the lengthening of obligatory service durations in December. “That is true of Taiwan’s authorities and folks, and the worldwide neighborhood, however peace doesn’t come from the sky, and Taiwan is on the entrance traces of the growth of authoritarianism.”

However former conscripts are skeptical, telling CNN the issues with obligatory army service transcend the quick timeframe and can solely be mounted by a extra thorough revamp.

Tsai herself has acknowledged that many voters really feel serving within the army is “only a waste of time.”

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“In our firm, we had greater than 100 assault rifles, however solely barely greater than a dozen might be used for capturing practices,” stated Frank Liu, a 26-year-old auditor from the central Changhua county who served in 2021. He stated about 140 conscripts acquired coaching in his firm.

“Lots of these assault rifles had been made many many years in the past, and plenty of had been too worn out for use in coaching. The weapons needed to be rotated amongst ourselves.”

Paul Lee, a manufacturing facility supervisor from Taipei who served in 2018, had an analogous expertise.

“We didn’t hearth many rounds throughout the army coaching,” Lee stated. “I used to be working towards with the T65 assault rifle, and I solely shot about 40 rounds throughout your complete coaching interval.

“I’m involved that many individuals who underwent the coaching with me gained’t even have the ability to function a rifle with confidence.”

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Reservists take part in military training at a base in Taoyuan, Taiwan, on March 12, 2022.

Below the present guidelines, the four-month service interval is often divided into two components: 5 weeks of primary coaching, and 11 weeks of floor coaching at a army base.

Through the floor coaching interval, conscripts are sometimes assigned specialties – however even then some say they obtain solely probably the most cursory of insights.

Dennis, a 25-year-old engineer from Taichung metropolis who served final 12 months, stated whereas he was assigned to focus on cannons, he by no means realized tips on how to hearth them as a result of trainers had been frightened the recruits would possibly get harm. He requested solely to be recognized by his first title as a result of he stays a reservist.

“We had been assigned easy duties, and we spent more often than not serving to with cleansing and washing the cannon carts,” he stated. “If warfare breaks out at the moment and I’m advised to work as an artilleryman, I believe I’ll simply develop into cannon fodder.”

Adam Yu, a 27-year-old designer from the northern Keelung metropolis who served in 2018 and specialised in mortars and grenade launchers, stated whereas he had been proven tips on how to put together the weapons, he had by no means been given any ammunition or practiced firing them.

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“I’m undecided if I may even function these weapons,” stated Yu, including, “I nonetheless don’t know the way these weapons are supposed for use within the battlefield.”

That sentiment was echoed by one other former conscript surnamed Liu. The 28-year-old salesman specialised in information processing with the air power and acquired coaching within the southern Pingtung county in 2015. He too requested for his first title to be withheld, saying he should be known as upon for extra reservist coaching.

“Our commanders barely taught something throughout our floor coaching, as a result of they felt we might solely be right here for a number of months and it wouldn’t make a lot of a distinction for them,” he stated.

New recruits practice with bayonets at a military training center in Hsinchu County, northern Taiwan on April 22, 2013.

Taiwan has knowledgeable volunteer army power that as of final 12 months was made up of 162,000 full-time troops, in accordance with a report by the Legislative Yuan. On high of this, an estimated 70,000 males full a interval of obligatory army service yearly.

Conscripts should bear a interval of bodily coaching and are taught to shoot rifles and use bayonets.

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A number of of those that spoke to CNN questioned the period of time spent on bayonet coaching, arguing it was outdated, though some militaries proceed to show it in recruitment coaching applications.

“I believe bayonet coaching was only a waste of time, as a result of I actually couldn’t assume how we might put that into follow,” Frank Liu stated.

“Simply have a look at the Russia-Ukraine warfare, there are such a lot of varieties of weapons used. When does a soldier ever should resort to a bayonet to assault their enemy? I believe that was actually outdated.”

Yu, from Keelung, stated his commanders had put large emphasis on bayonet coaching as a result of it made up a part of the end-of-term examination.

“We had been ordered to memorize a collection of slogans,” he stated. “After we had been working towards bayonet, we had been required to observe the directions of the squad chief with a particular chant for every motion, and we needed to repeat it within the examination.”

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A few of these criticisms had been acknowledged, tacitly or in any other case, when Tsai introduced the lengthening of the conscription interval and within the subsequent information briefing by the Protection Ministry in early January.

The ministry stated that when the brand new coverage begins in 2024, all conscripts will shoot a minimum of 800 rounds throughout their service, and they are going to be skilled with new weapons corresponding to anti-tank missiles and drones. Bayonet coaching will likely be modified to incorporate different types of shut fight coaching, it added, and conscripts might also take part in joint army drills with skilled troopers. In the meantime, primary coaching will rise from 5 to eight weeks.

Su Tzu-yun, a director of Taiwan’s Institute for Nationwide Protection and Safety Analysis, which is funded by the federal government, stated he’s assured the reform will increase the island’s fight capabilities.

He additionally thinks there may be worth in holding bayonet coaching within the curriculum.

“It helps increase a soldier’s braveness and aggressiveness,” he stated. “If troopers interact in a mission that isn’t appropriate for firing weapons, they could additionally use bayonet in its place possibility.”

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A CH-147F Chinook takes part in drills to show combat readiness ahead of the Lunar New Year holidays at a military base in Kaohsiung, Taiwan, on January 11.

Su added that whereas trendy weapons will likely be included within the new coaching curriculum, it will be impractical for each soldier to follow firing them as a result of this may merely be too expensive.

“Within the US, the coaching of Javelin [anti-tank missiles] is performed by way of simulation, as a result of every missile prices $70,000 and it’s not potential for everybody to fireside them,” he stated. “Normally, the entire unit finishes the simulation, then the commander will choose a number of troopers to follow firing it.”

Taiwan’s Protection Ministry stated in a press release to CNN that it has invited specialists to quite a few tutorial seminars on reforming the conscription system, and that it accepted lots of their options to spice up coaching depth.

Even so, not everybody’s satisfied.

“I don’t assume the lengthening of service alone will result in higher nationwide protection,” stated Lin Ying-yu, an assistant professor at Tamkang College’s Institute of Worldwide Affairs and Strategic Research.

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He stated the “extra vital questions” concerned clarifying intimately the kind of coaching new conscripts would obtain.

And on this level, the previous conscripts who spoke to CNN stay skeptical.

“After I noticed they wished so as to add drones to the coaching, my query was – are we going to have one drone per individual and a number of possibilities to follow flying it?” Yu stated.

“In the event that they persist with their previous approach of educating, they’ll simply inform us to observe their directions and memorize its weight and flight distance, and we won’t be able to function it.”

The concern for conscripts is that the brand new type of obligatory service would possibly find yourself trying just about just like the previous kind, solely longer.

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“Throughout my service, more often than not we had been simply requested to carry out tedious duties like transferring weapons round to indicate our commanders, and we spent plenty of time ready,” stated Dennis, the engineer.

It stays to be seen if conscripts’ time will likely be spent extra fruitfully when the brand new guidelines are available subsequent 12 months, however all sides agree the stakes are excessive.

“Energetic residents are the inspiration and the bedrock of our will to withstand,” stated Enoch Wu, founding father of the civil protection assume tank Ahead Alliance and a member of Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Get together.

“If the general public decides our dwelling will not be value combating for – or that we don’t stand an opportunity – then you may have probably the most skilled army and it’ll nonetheless be too little too late.”

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity payouts fell 50% short in 2024

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Private equity funds cashed out just half the value of investments they typically sell in 2024, the third consecutive year payouts to investors have fallen short because of a deal drought.

Buyout houses typically sell down 20 per cent of their investments in any given year, but industry executives forecast that cash payouts for the year would be about half that figure.

Cambridge Associates, a leading adviser to large institutions on their private equity investments, estimated that funds had fallen about $400bn short in payments to their investors over the past three years compared with historical averages.

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The data underline the increasing pressure on firms to find ways to return cash to investors, including by exiting more investments in the year ahead.

Firms have struggled to strike deals at attractive prices since early 2022, when rising interest rates caused financing costs to soar and corporate valuations to fall.

Dealmakers and their advisers expect that merger and acquisition activity will accelerate in 2025, potentially helping the industry work through what consultancy Bain & Co. has called a “towering backlog” of $3tn in ageing deals that must be sold in the years ahead.

Several large public offerings this year including food transport giant Lineage Logistics, aviation equipment specialist Standard Aero and dermatology group Galderma have provided private equity executives with confidence to take companies public, while Donald Trump’s election has added to Wall Street exuberance.

But Andrea Auerbach, global head of private investments at Cambridge Associates, cautioned that the industry’s issues could take years to work through.

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“There is an expectation that the wheels of the exit market will start to turn. But it doesn’t end in one year, it will take a couple of years,” Auerbach said.

Private equity firms have used novel tactics to return cash to investors while holdings have proved difficult to sell.

They have made increasing use of so-called continuation funds — where one fund sells a stake in one or more portfolio companies to another fund to another fund the firm manages — to engineer exits.

Jefferies forecasts that there will be $58bn of continuation fund deals in 2024, representing a record 14 per cent of all private equity exits. Such funds made up just 5 per cent of all exits in the boom year of 2021, Jefferies found.

But some private equity investors are sceptical that the industry will be able to sell assets at prices close to funds’ current valuations.

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“You have a huge amount of capital that has been invested on assumptions that are no longer valid,” a large industry investor told the Financial Times.

They warned that a record $1tn-plus in buyouts were struck in 2021, just before interest rates rose, and many deals are carried on firms’ books at overly optimistic valuations.

Goldman Sachs recently noted in a report that private equity asset sales, which had historically been done at a premium of at least 10 per cent to funds’ internal valuations, have in recent years been made at discounts of 10-15 per cent.

“[Private] equity in general is still over-marked, which is leading to this situation where assets are still stuck,” said Michael Brandmeyer of Goldman Sachs Asset Management in the report.

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'Chrismukkah': Christmas and first day of Hanukkah fall on same day for first time since 2005

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'Chrismukkah': Christmas and first day of Hanukkah fall on same day for first time since 2005

LOS ANGELES (KABC) — December 25 being Christmas is always a big day for those who celebrate, and this year, it is also the first night of Hanukkah, making for a unique coupling of the two major holidays.

For the first time since 2005, Christmas and the first day of Hanukkah fall on the same day — referred to as “Chrismukkah.” The two days have only overlapped like this five times since the year 1900.

“I’m actually surprised by that… I thought it would happen a lot more,” said Northridge resident Eric Dollins.

Rabbi Becky Hoffman at Temple Ahavat Shalom said it’s special for the two holidays to share the day because she sees a lot of interfaith families in her community.

“We have families that bring a hanukkiah and go to a Christmas tree and they have tamales with their families,” said Rabbi Hoffman.

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“It really is a blessing. I mean this is something good where everybody has to stop what they’re doing and really reflect on what’s happening in the world,” said Deacon Louis Roche of St. Charles Holy Family Service Ministry.

“It’s very special, I think what the world needs right now is a lot more unison,” said New York resident Nicole Galinson.

Most families celebrate at home with traditional eats, but Art’s Delicatessen & Restaurant in Studio City will be open on December 25, ready to embrace the holiday rush.

“A lot of people coming out to eat and be with their families to eat. And It’s a lot of people coming to pick up potato pancakes for Hanukkah,” said the restaurant’s owner Harold Ginsburg.

Regardless of what people are celebrating on December 25, it’s pretty much a given that they’ll be eating something delicious.

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Iran lifts ban on WhatsApp and Google Play

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Iran lifts ban on WhatsApp and Google Play

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The reformist government of Masoud Pezeshkian has lifted Iran’s ban on WhatsApp and Google Play, in a first step towards easing internet restrictions in the nation of 85mn people.

A high-level meeting chaired by the president on Tuesday overcame resistance from hardline factions within the Islamic regime, Iranian media reported, as the government seeks to reduce pressures on civil society.

“Today, we took the first step towards lifting internet restrictions by demonstrating unity,” Sattar Hashemi, Iran’s minister of telecommunications, wrote on X. “This path will continue.”

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This move comes after Pezeshkian refused to enforce a hijab law recently ratified by the hardline parliament that would have imposed tougher punishments on women choosing not to observe a strict dress code.

His government has also quietly reinstated dozens of university students and professors who had previously been barred from studying or teaching.

The Islamic regime is grappling with mounting economic, political and social pressures both at home and across the Middle East, particularly after the unexpected collapse of the Syrian government of Bashar al-Assad, which was a crucial regional ally. 

The regime has a long history of weathering crises and maintaining power. But the convergence of domestic and foreign challenges has prompted questions about whether the leadership would respond by tightening controls over the population — or embracing reforms.

Hardliners argue that the internet is a tool used by adversaries such as the US and Israel to wage a “soft war” against the Islamic republic. Reformists contend that repression only worsens public discontent.

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Pezeshkian, who won the presidential election in July, campaigned on promises to improve economic and social conditions, with a particular focus on easing restrictions on women’s dress and lifting internet censorship.

Hardliners had imposed restrictions on platforms such as X, Facebook, YouTube, WhatsApp, Telegram and Instagram, but Iranians continued to access them through VPNs widely available in domestic markets.

Reformist politicians have accused hardliners of hypocrisy, claiming some of them both enforce internet censorship and profit from the sale of VPNs through alleged links with companies offering them.

Ali Sharifi Zarchi, a pro-reform university professor recently reinstated to his position, described Tuesday’s decision as “a first step” that was “positive and hopeful”. However, he added: “It should not remain limited to these two platforms.”

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