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Caught between the West and Russia, could Georgia be the next Ukraine? | CNN

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Caught between the West and Russia, could Georgia be the next Ukraine? | CNN



CNN
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Protests have erupted in Georgia this week after the nation’s parliament handed the primary studying of a draft legislation that may require some organizations receiving overseas funding to register as “overseas brokers.”

It has been in comparison with a draconian set of legal guidelines adopted in Russia and condemned by rights teams as a bid to curtail fundamental freedoms and crack down on dissent within the nation.

The developments have sparked mass unrest, with hundreds of demonstrators gathering outdoors Tbilisi’s parliament constructing on Tuesday evening, waving not simply the Georgian flag but in addition that of the European Union.

The nation, which received its independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, has lengthy been enjoying a balancing act between its residents’ pro-European sentiment and the geopolitical goals of its highly effective neighbor, Russia.

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In March 2022, Georgia utilized for EU membership – an ambition that could be jeopardized by the proposed laws.

Right here’s a take a look at what the controversial legislation means for Georgia, and the way it reached this level.

In accordance with Giorgi Gogia, affiliate director of the Europe and Central Asia Division at Human Rights Watch, there are two payments presently being mentioned in Georgia’s parliament.

The primary invoice would require organizations together with non-governmental teams and print, on-line and broadcast media to register as “overseas brokers” in the event that they obtain 20 p.c or extra of their annual earnings from overseas.

Those that don’t comply would face fines of $9,600 US {dollars} (25,000 Georgian Lari).

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The second invoice expands the scope of “brokers of overseas affect” to incorporate people and will increase the penalties for failure to conform from fines to as much as 5 years in jail.

For Gogia, the payments characterize a transparent menace to human rights in Georgia. “They threaten to marginalize and discredit crucial voices within the nation. This menace is actual,” he stated.

“Underneath the disguise of transparency, the most recent statements by the Georgian authorities strongly counsel that if adopted, the legislation might be weaponized to additional stigmatize and penalize unbiased teams, media and significant voices within the nation.”

The primary draft legislation handed on Tuesday in a session that was broadcast reside on the legislature’s web site, with 76 votes for and 13 towards. The invoice should cross additional readings to grow to be legislation.

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The President of Georgia, Salome Zourabichvili, has already pledged to veto it, and as she threw her help behind protesters in a video message posted on Fb.

“Those that help this legislation in the present day, all those that voted for this legislation in the present day are violating the Structure. All of them are alienating us from Europe,” Zourabichvili stated within the clip on Tuesday.

“I stated on day one which I’d veto this legislation, and I’ll do this.”

Nonetheless, the nation’s ruling Georgian Dream celebration – of which Zourabichvili will not be a member – seems to have the parliamentary majority to beat a presidential veto, in accordance with Human Rights Watch.

Georgia’s invoice follows the mannequin of a controversial legislation in neighboring Russia that has already imposed draconian restrictions and necessities on organizations and people with overseas ties, critics say.

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The legislation was initially handed in 2012 amid a wave of public protests over allegations of election-rigging and Vladimir Putin’s intentions to return to the Russian presidency. It required organizations participating in political exercise and receiving funding from overseas to register as overseas brokers and cling to draconian guidelines and restrictions.

Russia’s legislation on International Brokers has been regularly up to date since then, forming the spine of a good tighter stranglehold on civil society in Russia over the previous decade.

Gogia stated the laws is much like the legislation in Russia in that it’s “attempting to create a particular standing and authorized regime for organizations and media that obtain overseas funding and – below the disguise of transparency – interferes with freedom of associations and media and with their professional capabilities.”

Russia-aligned Belarus has had a citizenship legislation in place since 2002 that has an analogous influence. In December 2022, the Belarusian parliament handed amendments to the legislation which might allow the federal government to focus on members of the political opposition, activists and different critics in exile, in accordance with Human Rights Watch.

The draft legislation would enable the president to strip Belarusians overseas of their citizenship, even when they don’t have any different.

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The payments have been nominally proposed by a faction within the parliament fashioned by members who left the ruling Georgian Dream celebration, however remained within the parliamentary majority, in accordance with Gogia.

“Nonetheless, the ruling Georgian Dream celebration totally and publicly supported the payments and campaigned for his or her adoption, and virtually unanimously voted for it within the first studying yesterday,” Gogia stated.

The European Council on International Relations (ECFR), a assume tank, believes the celebration is main Georgia in direction of Russia’s sphere of affect.

Participants protest against the draft law outside parliament building in Tbilisi on March 8.

“In the previous few years, and particularly over the previous 18 months, Georgia’s ruling coalition has made a sequence of strikes that appear designed to distance the nation from the West and shift it regularly into Russia’s sphere of affect,” a report launched by the ECFR in December stated.

It pointed to Bidzina Ivanishvili, a former prime minister and billionaire, as a driving drive behind this pivot in direction of Moscow.

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“A lot of the accountability for this drift away from the EU lies with oligarch and former prime minister Bidzina Ivanishvili, whose Georgian Dream Social gathering dominates the governing coalition,” the report stated.

Ivanishvili made a fortune whereas dwelling in Russia throughout its turbulent transition to a market financial system, and was a part of an influential group of Russian bankers who supported the re-election of former Russian President Boris Yeltsin in 1996, in accordance with the ECFR.

Analysts have famous similarities between the state of affairs in Georgia and Ukraine – each former Soviet republics which have discovered themselves caught between the East and the West.

The assume tank ECFR drew comparisons between the state of affairs in Georgia and Russia’s invasions of Ukraine in 2014 and 2022.

Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev stated in 2011 that had Russia not invaded Georgia in 2008, NATO would have expanded into Georgia.

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The 2008 battle centered on South Ossetia and Abkhazia, two breakaway provinces in Georgia. They’re formally a part of Georgia however have separate governments unrecognized by most international locations.

Each Abkhazia and South Ossetia are propped up by Russia.

The 2008 invasion of Georgia solely lasted days, but it surely appeared to have the identical revanchist ambitions that drove Putin’s invasions of Ukraine in 2014 and final 12 months, writes the ECFR.

“On this gentle, Russia’s wars in Georgia and Ukraine appear a part of a single imperial mission,” the report stated.

The Georgia invoice has been broadly criticized as posing a doubtlessly chilling impact for Georgian civil society, and notably NGOs and information organizations with hyperlinks to Europe.

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It will additionally hamper Georgia’s bid to affix the European Union. An EU assertion Tuesday warned that the legislation could be “incompatible with EU values and requirements” and will have “severe repercussions on our relationships.”

In February, US State Division spokesperson Ned Worth additionally stated that “anybody voting for this draft laws” might additionally imperil Georgia’s relationship with Europe and the West.

“Georgia’s worldwide and bilateral companions have been very clear that adopting a ‘overseas agent’ invoice could be inconsistent with Georgia’s said commitments to human rights and its Euro-Atlantic aspirations,” Gogia informed CNN.

“I hope the Georgian authorities would heed to the warning and as an alternative of passing the payments that may clearly impede the work of unbiased teams and media, they need to guarantee secure and enabling surroundings for civil society within the nation.”

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Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan suspend flights to Russia after plane crash

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Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan suspend flights to Russia after plane crash

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The national airlines of Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan have suspended some flights to Russia after evidence suggested an Azerbaijani plane had been downed by Russian air defence systems.

The Kazakh airline, Qazaq Air, said on Friday it suspended its Astana to Ekaterinburg route, according to the Kazinform news agency, while Azerbaijan Airlines suspended flights to seven cities in the south of Russia.

The measures were taken after an Azerbaijan Airlines flight from Baku to Russia’s regional capital, Grozny, was diverted across the Caspian Sea and crash-landed near Aktau in Kazakhstan on Wednesday, killing 38 of the 67 people on board.

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Video of the fuselage of the crashed aircraft has shown multiple puncture marks consistent with fire from an anti-aircraft system. There is also evidence that Russia was jamming the GPS navigation system near Grozny at the time, apparently to defend against an attack by Ukrainian drones.

Qazaq Air said it was suspending flights to Ekaterinburg until January 27 pending an “ongoing risk assessment” of flights to Russia. Azerbaijan Airlines said it halted flights to Grozny and other southern Russian cities until completion of an investigation into the crash.

Israel’s flag-carrier, El Al, on Thursday also announced it was suspending flights from Tel Aviv to Moscow pending a safety assessment.

Russia had insisted the aircraft was unable to land in Grozny because of heavy fog and that the aircraft had hit a flock of birds. Local authorities in Russia’s nearby North Ossetia region announced an attack by Ukrainian drones, one of which was shot down, killing a woman on the ground. But the Kommersant newspaper reported there was no “heavy fog” forecast for Grozny at the time.

The head of Russia’s Rosaviatsia aviation agency, Dmitry Yadrov, on Thursday said the conditions around Grozny had been “very difficult” amid attacks from Ukrainian combat drones.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin, left, with Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, near St Petersburg on Thursday © Gavril Grigorov/SPUTNIK/KREMLIN POOL/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Asked on Friday about reports of a missile strike, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said he had nothing to add.

The incident has invoked comparisons with Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 being shot down over Ukraine in 2014. An investigation concluded that crash, which killed all 298 people on board, was the result of the firing of an air defence missile by Russia-controlled fighters in eastern Ukraine.

It is not clear how long Kazakhstan’s investigation into the crash will take, or how free it will be to reach conclusions about the cause. The probe includes investigators from Russia and Azerbaijan, according to Kazakh officials.

Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said it was too early to comment on what had caused the crash.

The aircraft type involved — an Embraer-190 regional jet — was previously regarded as one of the world’s safest civil aircraft.

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A senior US official has said there are early indications a Russian anti-aircraft system might have struck the flight.

Senior Ukrainian officials told the Financial Times they also believed the aircraft was probably hit by an air defence missile. Andriy Kovalenko, a Ukrainian national security and defence council official, posted on Telegram on Thursday that Russia should have closed the airspace over Grozny, given the operations it was undertaking, but did not do so.

“The plane was damaged by the Russians and sent to Kazakhstan, instead of making an emergency landing in Grozny and saving people’s lives,” he wrote.

Rasim Musabekov, a member of Azerbaijan’s parliament, has called for Russia to apologise.

“The plane was shot down in Russian territory, in the skies over Grozny, and this cannot be denied,” Musabekov told the Turan news agency. “This is how civilised relations work. If air defence systems are active, the airport should be closed, and warnings should be issued to prevent flights to the area.”

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The DOGE crowd and MAGA loyalists are in a messy feud over immigration

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The DOGE crowd and MAGA loyalists are in a messy feud over immigration
  • Pro-Trump tech leaders and MAGA loyalists are feuding over how to overhaul US immigration.
  • A debate over high-skill immigration intensified between the two groups in recent days.
  • The debate came after Trump’s appointment of an Indian-born tech leader as a senior policy advisor.

President-elect Donald Trump’s backers in Silicon Valley are at odds with his MAGA loyalists over a key issue: immigration.

In recent days, Elon Musk and others in the tech sector have increasingly shared support for visas that allow companies to hire highly-skilled workers from overseas. The move has riled up Trump backers in favor of stricter immigration rules in the process.

The recent debate came after Trump offered Sriram Krishnan, a Chennai-born, Indian-American investor, a role as a senior policy advisor for artificial intelligence — a move that triggered heated criticisms online.

Krishnan, who was recently in London leading an expansion of venture capital firm A16z’s — previously lived in the US, where he completed stints at Microsoft, Twitter, and Meta from 2005.

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Criticisms have largely come from anonymous accounts online — one X post asked if anyone had voted “for this Indian to run America,” prompting a defense from Trump’s AI and crypto czar David Sacks.

They also prompted a wider debate on the merits of the H-1B visa commonly used to employ skilled workers from other countries.

Tech leaders such as Musk, who have been deeply critical of illegal immigration, have used the saga to defend immigration that prioritizes the transfer of high-skilled foreign workers into American companies.

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On Thursday, Musk said his priority was bringing in top engineering talent legally — saying it is “essential for America to keep winning.”

“Thinking of America as a pro sports team that has been winning for a long time and wants to keep winning is the right mental construct,” he wrote on X.

Musk’s co-lead at the Department of Government Efficiency, Vivek Ramaswamy, also took to X on Thursday. He argued that tech companies often hire foreign-born engineers, saying it allowed them to avoid what he called an American culture that has “venerated mediocrity over excellence for way too long.”

“A culture that celebrates the prom queen over the math olympiad champ, or the jock over the valedictorian, will not produce the best engineers,” he wrote in an almost 400-word post.

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In a later post, he said immigration rules should be reformed more effectively to funnel talent to the US. The H-1B system was not effective, he said, and “should be replaced with one that focuses on selecting the very best of the best.”

Marc Benioff, the boss of Salesforce, also weighed in, offering a solution to keep the “best and brightest” foreign students in the US after graduation: “Can we staple a US green card to every degree earned at an American university?”

The pro-immigration messages haven’t gone down well with everyone in the Trump pack.

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Former Florida congressman Matt Gaetz, who Trump briefly put forward to be his Attorney General, wrote an X post on Thursday saying that tech figures should butt out.

When Republicans embraced them, he said, “We did not ask them to engineer an immigration policy.”

Meanwhile, far-right activist and Trump supporter Laura Loomer used several posts to express strong opposition to H-1B visas and her concerns over the “replacement of American tech workers by Indian immigrants.”

Where Trump will land on the issue remains to be seen. Immigration lawyers have warned tech workers that a “storm is coming” with the arrival of a second Trump term, and suggested those who have left to get back before it’s too late.

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The debate signals a deep divide between different groups of Trump supporters as he prepared to take office.

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Trump’s crypto embrace overshadows new EU digital assets rules

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Trump’s crypto embrace overshadows new EU digital assets rules

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Donald Trump’s embrace of cryptocurrencies risks undermining Europe’s incoming rules on digital assets as companies overlook the continent in favour of a friendlier US market, industry executives have warned.

Companies such as Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, have indicated they will look to refocus their attention on the US after Trump promised to make the country “the crypto capital of the planet”.

Top executives and analysts say a crypto-friendly White House will exert a strong pull that compares favourably to the European Union’s new landmark rules, which come into force from December 30.

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The bloc’s rules, known as the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), will set guardrails for the public following the collapse of companies like exchange FTX and lenders including Genesis and Celsius. The standards have in the past been praised by the industry as a potential benchmark for global crypto asset regulation.

“In the previous US administration . . . MiCA certainly seemed like it was a good way of trying to think about the crypto industry without completely killing off innovation,” said Eswar Prasad, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. 

But in the wake of Trump’s win, “we’re going to see a migration of crypto-related activities away from Europe in any form because things are going to be much easier in the US,” he added. “[MiCA] is going to be seen as very stringent.”

Trump’s victory has helped propel bitcoin to a record high of $108,000 this year, more than double its price a year ago. Retail and institutional investors have warmed to Trump’s pledge that he will end the US’s tough regulatory crackdown of recent years.

He has also nominated Paul Atkins, a crypto advocate, to head the Securities and Exchange Commission, and appointed David Sacks, a venture capitalist, to advise the president on crypto and AI policy. “We’re going to do something great with crypto,” he said last week.

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The EU’s MiCA rules will regulate the issuance of crypto coins including stablecoins, as well as digital asset services like custody and trading by demanding that companies providing those services are authorised in the EU.

Yulia Makarova, special counsel at law firm Cooley, said complying with MiCA “increases the costs for start-up firms” in particular. “Ongoing compliance costs can be such that the business gets to the brink of viability,” she added, warning that crypto start-ups may choose to launch in the US rather than the EU.

Some companies, such as US cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase and Circle, operator of the stablecoin USDC, have secured their EU licences. However others, such as Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin, will not be compliant with the new rules and are being delisted by local regulated exchanges.

“The new administration might take a bit of shine and a bit of edge off MiCA,” said Denzel Walters, head of Luxembourg at market maker B2C2. “But I still think MiCA here presents a really great opportunity for the digital assets market,” he added.

Executives are betting that Trump, as well as a new cohort of pro-crypto politicians in Washington, will also make headway with new legislation for crypto assets, which will in turn pave the way for traditional financial institutions to plough money into crypto.

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Already, crypto companies that dropped US services for fear of being hit by regulators, or were banned, are planning to return. “We are closer than ever to restoring US dollar services and our plan is to achieve this important milestone in early 2025,” said Norman Reed, interim chief executive of crypto exchange Binance US. “It is not a matter of if, but when,” he added.

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