Connect with us

News

Biden’s inconvenient truth on Putin

Published

on

Biden’s inconvenient truth on Putin

Washington’s definition of a gaffe is blurting out the reality at a clumsy second. On Saturday Joe Biden stated out loud what each western chief is unquestionably wishing in personal — the top of Vladimir Putin’s rule. The awkward bit is that Russian regime change may now be mistaken as Nato’s specific objective. That, in fact, may make Putin even much less prone to settle phrases that might deliver Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to an finish. 

Biden’s assertion can’t be deleted although White Home officers did their greatest to offer it a special gloss. They insisted that when Biden stated Putin “can’t stay in energy” what he meant was that he shouldn’t train energy over different international locations. Furthermore, Biden’s phrases weren’t within the textual content of the speech he gave at Warsaw’s royal fortress on Saturday. 

That’s all very nicely. However the impact of Biden’s apart may make it tougher to maintain the democratic unity that was the chief message of his Warsaw speech. On Sunday, France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, urged western leaders to keep away from escalatory rhetoric as it might make Putin even much less prone to come to the desk. In current days Biden had referred to as Putin a “butcher” and a “battle felony” — once more, saying in public what western leaders consider in personal. 

Will any of this alteration Putin’s calculations in observe? The reply might be not. Russia’s chief has already handed the purpose of no return together with his indiscriminate, although militarily incompetent, battle in Ukraine. He has made it plain that his final objective is to deliver Ukraine and doubtless different former Soviet territories again into mom Russia’s fold. Any ceasefire or bigger deal that Putin may provide Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky would thus be handled with the utmost scepticism. 

However the rising sense that Putin’s elimination is America’s actual finish recreation may make it tougher for any interim deal to be struck. On Sunday, Liz Truss, the UK’s overseas secretary, stated that western sanctions could possibly be eliminated if Russia agreed to finish the battle. This can be a departure from Biden’s stance. He has been cautious to keep away from saying when and even whether or not US sanctions on Russia could possibly be lifted. Given Biden’s view of Putin, it’s laborious to image the circumstances during which the US would reincorporate Russia into the worldwide economic system whereas Putin remains to be there. 

Advertisement

Furthermore, home US strain is tilting in direction of escalation. In marked distinction to US post-Vietnam historical past, America’s liberal consensus is as we speak at the least as gung-ho as on the conservative proper. A few of that is in response to Donald Trump’s admiration for Putin. The distinction between Biden’s “democracy versus autocracy” message in Poland this weekend and Trump’s conspiratorial 2018 Helsinki assembly with Putin performs strongly amongst Democrats. For the primary time for the reason that early chilly battle, when Republicans have been break up between isolationists and internationalists, US liberals are at the least as hawkish as conservatives. 

In such a local weather, it might be politically excruciating for the Biden administration to conform to any “reset” with Russia whereas Putin stays in energy. Speak of providing Putin diplomatic “off ramps” and face-saving exits from the Ukrainian quagmire look much less and fewer believable. Herein lie potential western divisions. Since Biden has made it clear the US is not going to intervene instantly in Ukraine, the underlying message is that the west will battle Russia right down to the final Ukrainian.

The implication can be that America will discover it very laborious to underwrite any cope with Putin. Elements of Europe — notably Poland and the Baltic states — are significantly extra resolute than others, corresponding to Germany. Nonetheless, because the battle continues, and Europe absorbs tens of millions extra refugees and suffers decrease financial progress, the hole between America’s implicit purple traces and what a lot of Europe will tolerate may turn out to be an issue. 

News

Stick-Wielding Man Kills 2 Homeless People in Miami and Injures 2 Others

Published

on

Stick-Wielding Man Kills 2 Homeless People in Miami and Injures 2 Others

A man with a stick attacked four homeless people in downtown Miami early Thursday morning, killing two and injuring two others in what the police called a horrible “display of unprovoked violence.”

The man was seen attacking the people with a stick at 6 a.m., the Miami Police Department said in a statement. The police responded soon after calls came in and saw a man who matched the description that had been given. He ran off but was arrested after a brief foot chase, the police said.

Two of the homeless people died at the scene of the attack. The two people who were injured were taken to a nearby trauma center for treatment, the police said. Their conditions were not available.

The authorities did not immediately release the name of the man who was arrested, who is in his 30s. They said that they would disclose his identity and the charges he faces once the charges had been confirmed. The motive for the attack was not immediately clear, the police said.

The suspect does not have an arrest history in Miami, but he has had “minor criminal run-ins with the police” in New York, Manuel A. Morales, the chief of police for the Miami Police Department, said at a news conference on Thursday. The man’s place of residence was not immediately clear.

Advertisement

“This is a horrible incident,” Chief Morales said.

The Miami-Dade County Homeless Trust, the county’s leading homeless outreach group, said in a statement that it was grieving the “senseless loss of these lives.” and thanked the police for their swift response.

Continue Reading

News

Rio Tinto and Glencore held talks about combining their businesses

Published

on

Rio Tinto and Glencore held talks about combining their businesses

Stay informed with free updates

Rio Tinto and Glencore held talks last year about combining part or all of their businesses, in an indication of how the push by mining companies to secure metals needed for the energy transition has focused executives on large-scale deals.

The London-listed companies engaged in early-stage talks as recently as October, according to people familiar with the matter, but the discussions did not progress to a deal.

A full-blown merger between Rio and Glencore — which have market capitalisations of $103bn and $55bn, respectively — would rank among the largest-ever transactions in the mining industry.

Advertisement

The talks between the two companies followed BHP’s failed £39bn bid for Anglo American last year, which prompted rivals to review strategic options.

BHP was interested in Anglo’s copper mines, among other assets, because the metal is used in renewable energy projects and electric vehicles.

Glencore and Rio declined to comment. Bloomberg first reported the companies had discussed combining their businesses.

Rio has been looking to boost its exposure to commodities including lithium and copper to offset weakness in the iron ore market as demand from China slows.

Glencore owns stakes in two significant copper mines — Collahuasi in Chile and Antamina in Peru — that would boost its production of the metal by almost 1mn tonnes a year and offer substantial expansion capacity, according to analysts.

Advertisement

A potential deal with Glencore would be complicated by the Swiss-based company’s heavy exposure to thermal coal, a commodity Rio has abandoned in recent years.

Matthew Haupt, a portfolio manager at Wilson Asset Management, which owns shares in Rio, said the deal “didn’t make a lot of sense” given Rio’s efforts to get out of coal and invest in renewable energy to power its operations.

Glencore, which has a large commodity trading business and mining operations, has been debating the future of its coal business.

The company said in 2023 it would spin out its coal mines into a separate listed business but changed its mind last year and decided to retain them. 

Glyn Lawcock, an analyst with investment bank Barrenjoey, said coal assets could be spun out as a separate company as part of any agreement. He added there was little overlap between the two companies, meaning there were few synergy benefits from a merger and a deal would need to be justified by asset diversification and creating more scale.

Advertisement

Ray David, a portfolio manager at Blackwattle Investment Partners, which owns Rio’s UK-listed shares, said Rio could fund an acquisition of Glencore by issuing shares in Australia, which would rebalance Rio’s share structure and close the value gap between its Australian and London listings.

Activist investors, including Blackwattle, have urged Rio to move its primary listing to Sydney — where its stock trades at a premium — to simplify share-based deals.

Rio’s Australia-quoted shares fell 1.8 per cent in early trading in Sydney on Friday, before climbing back to be down 0.5 per cent.

Demand for commodities required to decarbonise the global economy — such as copper, lithium and aluminium — has triggered a flurry of dealmaking activity in the mining industry over the past year.

Rio last year announced a $7bn deal to acquire Arcadium Lithium to increases its presence in metals used in batteries for electric vehicles. People close to the company said it was still digesting that transaction. 

Advertisement

Rio previously rejected a takeover bid by Glencore in 2014.

Lawcock said the reaction from some Rio investors in Australia was one of unease given Glencore’s reputation for smart dealmaking.

“Shareholders have said I don’t want any of my companies sitting across the table from Glencore,” he said.

Blackwattle’s David said the fact talks had ended showed Rio remained cautious in a consolidating market.

“I suspect Glencore wants a high premium,” he said. “It is a positive sign [that talks ceased] as it shows Rio is being disciplined and aware of not destroying shareholder value. It would be easy to panic.”

Advertisement
Continue Reading

News

ICE estimates it would need $26.9 billion to enforce GOP deportation bill

Published

on

ICE estimates it would need .9 billion to enforce GOP deportation bill

Detainees do a virtual visit with their attorneys or asylum officers at the Port Isabel Detention Center hosted by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Harlingen Enforcement and Removal Operations center on June 10, 2024 in Los Fresnos, Texas.

Pool/Getty Images


hide caption

toggle caption

Advertisement

Pool/Getty Images

The Homeland Security Department is warning lawmakers in Congress that a proposed immigration enforcement bill would cost $26.9 billion to implement in its first year and “would be impossible for [Immigration and Customs Enforcement] to execute within existing resources.”

The Senate is currently weighing amendments on the Laken Riley Act, which would direct federal immigration enforcement to detain and deport anyone in the U.S. without legal status if they have been charged, arrested or convicted of burglary, theft, larceny or shoplifting.

The bill passed the House last week with more Democratic support than the previous time the body voted on it. The bill has been broadly seen as a marker emphasizing Washington’s focus on immigration and border security as President-elect Donald Trump is about to be inaugurated.

Advertisement

Some Senate Democrats are giving the measure a chance. This week, a bipartisan set of procedural votes opened up the measure to further debate and changes.

But the agency in charge of carrying out the potential new law warns that it may physically not be able to.

New estimates from an internal ICE document obtained and verified by NPR show that the agency would need 110,000 more detention beds and over 10,000 enforcement and removal operations personnel to increase apprehensions, detentions and removals. More than 7,000 additional attorneys and support personnel would also be needed to handle immigration proceedings, according to the estimates.

The document notes that a figure of $3.2 billion “has been shared widely as a cost estimate,” but calls that number incorrect because it “does not represent the full cost of implementation.” The document says the previous estimate — outlined in a three-page memo from ICE sent in response to questions from one of the bill’s House sponsors — was based “on only 60,000 beds.”

Sen. Katie Britt, R-Ala., who introduced the measure in the Senate, did not respond to a request for comment. The measure that passed in the House does not include funding for additional ICE staff or resources. ICE declined to comment on its ability to enforce the bill.

Advertisement

Senate Democrats and Republicans are working through several proposed amendments to the measure. There is not a timeline yet for a final floor vote.

The bill is named after a Georgia nursing student who was killed last year by a Venezuelan man who was in the U.S. without legal status. Her death became a rallying cry for Republicans, who criticized the Biden administration’s approach to border security. Her assailant, Jose Ibarra, was convicted in November and sentenced to life in prison without parole. Ibarra had previously been charged with shoplifting in New York, leading Republicans to argue that if the law had been in place, Riley may still be alive.

The bill’s critics have said it could lead to innocent people being thrown into detention without due process, and note that research shows that immigrants commit less crimes than those born in the U.S.

Continue Reading

Trending