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Bellingcat founder: Don’t let Putin’s disinformation distract from his war crimes

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The author is the founding father of Bellingcat

For these of us who’ve spent the previous decade intently watching the battle in Syria, the Russian invasion of Ukraine brings with it a dreadful familiarity. A lot of what has unfolded during the last three weeks has direct parallels which can be exhausting to overlook. Russia’s makes an attempt to border its army motion as focusing on “nationalists” whereas it bombs hospitals and terrorises civilians with cluster munitions is acquainted to anybody who watched their actions after they entered the Syrian battle in 2015. Quite than bombing Isis, the Russian air pressure focused opposition-controlled areas, indiscriminately attacking not solely army targets, however hospitals and bakeries.

As with Syria, Russian officers have performed a job in spreading disinformation about these assaults on civilians and civilian infrastructure, and as with Syria, their makes an attempt have been notably pathetic. When questioned concerning the bombing of a maternity hospital in Mariupol, Russia’s ambassador within the Netherlands informed a journalist that the 2 ladies featured in photographs from the incident had been the identical girl, citing abusive feedback from Instagram posts as proof. The Russian Embassy to the Netherlands promoted this interview on the morning one of many two ladies died from her accidents, alongside along with her youngster. 

For individuals who grew to become acquainted with Russian disinformation via the lens of the 2016 US elections, this crass propaganda and the debasement of officers who abandon any sense of self-respect to put it up for sale might sound stunning. However it’s nothing new. The one distinction is that folks at the moment are taking note of it, in contrast to the relentless stream of Russian disinformation that got here out across the battle in Syria.

Utilizing web conspiracy theories as the premise of their response to struggle crimes allegations could seem weird and appalling, however that is now par for the course within the Russian data struggle playbook. Following the 2013 Sarin assaults in Damascus, officers cited theories about YouTube movies being uploaded the day earlier than the assault. These originated from conspiracy blogs and on-line boards, and had been quickly debunked. With the downing of Malaysia Airways Flight 17 over jap Ukraine in 2014, the Russian Ministry of Defence mirrored claims made by pro-Russian bloggers and social media customers {that a} video displaying a Buk missile launcher was truly filmed in government-controlled territory. It was, in truth, filmed in separatist territory.

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When Russian officers now make statements about Ukrainians getting ready false flag chemical assaults, that is clearly alarming to the uninitiated. It’s value taking into account, although, that since 2018 these officers have revamped 60 separate claims about false flag chemical assaults being ready in Syria, and none of them have come to cross. These new claims look like nothing greater than an extension of the regular drum beat of lies.

For these of us who investigated struggle crimes and human rights abuses in Syria, the true worry is that regardless of the widespread documentation of alarmingly related acts in Ukraine, there will probably be no accountability for the brand new crimes being dedicated. After numerous UN stories and investigations, Russia’s complicity in Syria has in impact gone unpunished. This consists of the systematic assaults on medical services and civilians that we now see repeated in Ukraine, excused as soon as extra by the identical lies.

The obsession round disinformation can sadly act as a distraction from this, seeing struggle crimes when it comes to the lies which can be informed moderately than the truths that may be discovered. The battle in Syria, and the downing of Malaysia Airways Flight 17 taught us the worth of knowledge shared from open sources in battle zones, corresponding to social media, in establishing the reality. There have been intense efforts by the small however passionate neighborhood that developed from the work of open-source investigators engaged on these subjects. 

My organisation, Bellingcat, used publicly-available data to research struggle crimes in Syria, set up Russian involvement within the downing of Malaysia Airways Flight 17 and the 2014 battle in Ukraine, and later the reality behind the poisonings of Sergei Skripal and Alexei Navalny. Whereas a component of this work addressed disinformation round these subjects, the precedence was discovering the reality.

Over the previous few years specifically, the understanding of the worth of open-source data has developed to the purpose the place the broader neighborhood has rapidly realised its worth in guaranteeing Russian crimes in Ukraine will be documented and Moscow held to account. It’s been notably heartening to me, as somebody who began my profession with a easy weblog that’s now recognised by human rights organisations, policymakers, worldwide accountability our bodies, and different actors who can guarantee what occurs in Ukraine isn’t forgotten. 

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However it’s important that we’re not distracted by Russia’s pathetic makes an attempt at disinformation. We’d like help to pursue accountability not solely on this second, however within the years to return. If Vladimir Putin’s Russia is rehabilitated into the worldwide neighborhood when its crimes have gone unanswered — and with such a wealth of proof round them — this may solely embolden the following autocrat who decides to devastate different nations for their very own achieve.

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China poses ‘genuine and increasing cyber risk’ to UK, warns GCHQ head

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China poses ‘genuine and increasing cyber risk’ to UK, warns GCHQ head

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China poses a “genuine and increasing cyber risk to the UK”, the head of Britain’s signals intelligence agency has said.

The remarks by Anne Keast-Butler, director of GCHQ, follow a slew of alleged China-related espionage activity in the UK, including a suspected cyber attack that targeted the records of thousands of British military personnel.

Keast-Butler told a security conference in Birmingham on Tuesday that while the cyber threats from Russia and Iran were “globally pervasive” and “aggressive” respectively, China was her agency’s top priority.

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“China poses a genuine and increasing cyber risk to the UK,” she said, calling the country “the epoch-defining challenge” in a direct echo of the British government last year.

“In cyber space, we believe that the PRC’s [People’s Republic of China’s] irresponsible actions weaken the security of the internet for all,” said Keast-Butler.

“China has built an advanced set of cyber capabilities and is taking advantage of a growing commercial ecosystem of hacking outfits and data brokers at its disposal,” she added.

Her warnings came a week after a reported cyber attack on private IT contractor SSCL, which has multiple government contracts, accessed the records of up to 272,000 people on the UK Ministry of Defence’s payroll.

Defence secretary Grant Shapps told parliament last week that the attack had been carried out by a “malign actor”. He did not confirm who was behind it, but a person with direct knowledge of the incident said Beijing was thought to be the culprit.

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SSCL, which is owned by Paris-based Sopra Steria, a digital services company, holds the payroll details of most of the British armed forces and 550,000 public servants in total through its other state contracts, including with the Home Office, Ministry of Justice and Metropolitan Police.

The hack is one of a series of recent incidents that has sparked growing concern across Europe and in the US about Chinese cyber and espionage activity.

On Monday, UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said Britain faced threats from “an axis of authoritarian states like Russia, Iran, North Korea, and China” as three men appeared in a London court on charges of assisting intelligence services in Hong Kong.

On Tuesday, the UK government summoned China’s ambassador to Britain, Zheng Zeguang, over the case.

John Lee, Hong Kong’s chief executive, on Tuesday said his administration had demanded the British government provide an explanation about the prosecution of one of the three men, Bill Yuen, who was the office manager of the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in London.  

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Beijing officials have also repeatedly denied the British accusations, calling them “groundless and slanderous” in what has become a tit-for-tat series of allegations and denials.

Meanwhile, Felicity Oswald, who heads the National Cyber Security Centre, a branch of GCHQ, warned CyberUK conference attendees about the Chinese Communist party’s cyber capability, which she described as “vast in scale and sophistication”.

She said western security agencies had repeatedly raised the alarm about Volt Typhoon, a Chinese hacking network, which FBI director Christopher Wrap said this year had targeted the US electricity grid and water supply.

Oswald added that a Chinese law, introduced in recent years, that required Chinese citizens to report any cyber security vulnerabilities they identified to the government “should worry all of us”.

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Despite state bans, abortions nationwide are up, driven by telehealth

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Despite state bans, abortions nationwide are up, driven by telehealth

Abortion rights activists at the Supreme Court in Washington, D.C. on March 26, the day the case about the abortion drug mifepristone was heard. The number of abortions in the U.S. increased, a study says, surprising researchers.

Drew Angerer/AFP via Getty Images


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Drew Angerer/AFP via Getty Images


Abortion rights activists at the Supreme Court in Washington, D.C. on March 26, the day the case about the abortion drug mifepristone was heard. The number of abortions in the U.S. increased, a study says, surprising researchers.

Drew Angerer/AFP via Getty Images

In the 18 months following the Supreme Court’s decision that ended federal protection for abortion, the number of abortions in the U.S. has continued to grow, according to The Society of Family Planning’s WeCount project.

“We are seeing a slow and small steady increase in the number of abortions per month and this was completely surprising to us,” says Ushma Upadhyay, a professor and public health scientist at the University of California, San Francisco who co-leads the research. According to the report, in 2023 there were, on average, 86,000 abortions per month compared to 2022, where there were about 82,000 abortions per month. “Not huge,” says Upadhyay, “but we were expecting a decline.”

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The slight increase comes despite the fact that 14 states had total abortion bans in place during the time of the research. According to the report, there were about 145,000 fewer abortions in person in those states since the Dobbs decision, which triggered many of the restrictive state laws.

“We know that there are people living in states with bans who are not getting their needed abortions,” says Upadhyay. “The concern we have is that that might be overlooked by these increases.”

Florida, California and Illinois saw the largest surges in abortions, which is especially interesting given Florida’s recent 6-week ban that started on May 1.

Abortion rights opponents demonstrate in New York City, on March 23. Some states’ abortion bans are known as “heartbeat bills,” because they make abortion illegal after cardiac activity starts, usually around six weeks of pregnancy.

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Abortion rights opponents demonstrate in New York City, on March 23. Some states’ abortion bans are known as “heartbeat bills,” because they make abortion illegal after cardiac activity starts, usually around six weeks of pregnancy.

Kena Betancur/AFP via Getty Images

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The latest report also captures for the first time the impact of providers offering telehealth abortions from states with protections for doctors and clinics known as shield laws – statutes that say they can’t be prosecuted or held liable for providing abortion care to people from other states.

Between July and December 2023, more than 40,000 people in states with abortion bans and telehealth restrictions received medication abortion through providers in states protected by shield laws. Abortion pills can be prescribed via telehealth appointments and sent through the mail; the pills can safely end pregnancies in the first trimester.

The report includes abortions happening within the U.S. health care system, and does not include self-managed abortions, when people take pills at home without the oversight of a clinician. For that reason, researchers believe these numbers are still an undercount of abortions happening in the U.S.

Accounting for the increases

A major factor in the uptick in abortions nationwide is the rise of telehealth, made possible in part by regulations first loosened during the coronavirus pandemic.

According to the report, telehealth abortions now make up 19% of all abortions in the U.S. In comparison, the first WeCount report which spanned April 2022 through August 2022 showed telehealth abortions accounted for just 4% of all abortions. Research has shown that telehealth abortions are as safe and effective as in-clinic care.

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“It’s affordable, it’s convenient, and it feels more private,” says Jillian Barovick, a midwife in Brooklyn and one of the co-founders of Juniper Midwifery, which offers medication abortion via telehealth to patients in six states where abortion is legal. The organization saw its first patient in August 2022 and now treats about 300 patients a month.

“Having an in-clinic abortion, even a medication abortion, you could potentially be in the clinic for hours, whereas with us you get to sort of bypass all of that,” she says. Instead, patients can connect with a clinician using text messages or a secure messaging platform. In addition to charging $100 dollars for the consultation and medication – which is well below the average cost of an abortion – Barovick points to the cost savings of not having to take off work or arrange child care to spend multiple hours in a clinic.

She says her patients receive their medication within 1 to 4 business days, “often faster than you can get an appointment in a clinic.”

A study published in JAMA Internal Medicine on Monday followed about 500 women who had medication abortions with the pills distributed via mail order pharmacy after an in-person visit with a doctor. More than 90% of the patients were satisfied with the experience; there were three serious adverse events that required hospitalization.

In addition to expansions in telehealth, there have been new clinics in states like Kansas, Illinois and New Mexico, and there’s been an increase in funding for abortion care – fueled by private donors and abortion funds.

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The impact of shield laws

During the period from October to December 2023, nearly 8,000 people per month in states with bans or severe restrictions accessed medication abortions from clinicians providing telehealth in the 5 states that had shield laws at the time. That’s nearly half of all monthly telehealth abortions.

“It’s telemedicine overall that is meeting the need of people who either want to or need to remain in their banned or restricted state for their care,” says Angel Foster, who founded The MAP, a group practice operating a telehealth model under Massachusetts’ shield laws. “If you want to have your abortion care in your state and you live in Texas or Mississippi or Missouri, right now, the shield law provision is by far the most dominant way that you’d be able to get that care.”

Foster’s group offers medication abortions for about 500 patients a month. About 90% of their patients are in banned or restrictive states; about a third are from Texas, their most common state of origin, followed by Florida.

“Patients are scared that we are a scam,” she says, “they can’t believe that we’re legit.”

Since the WeCount data was collected, additional states including Maine and California have passed shield laws protecting providers who offer care nationwide. The new shield laws circumvent traditional telemedicine laws, which often require out-of-state health providers to be licensed in the states where patients are located. States with abortion bans or restrictions and/or telehealth bans hold the provider at fault, not the patient.

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Existing lawsuits brought by abortion opponents, including the case awaiting a Supreme Court decision, have the potential to disrupt this telehealth surge by restricting the use of the drug mifepristone nationwide. If the Supreme Court upholds an appeals court ruling, providers would be essentially barred from mailing the drug and an in-person doctor visit would be required.

There is also an effort underway in Louisiana to classify abortion pills as a controlled substance.

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Anglo American plans break-up after rejecting £34bn BHP bid

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Anglo American plans break-up after rejecting £34bn BHP bid

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Anglo American plans to break itself up as the embattled mining group tries to win over shareholders following its rejection of a £34bn takeover bid from rival BHP.

In a series of sweeping changes to the 107-year-old mining company, Anglo said on Tuesday that it would sell or demerge its De Beers diamond business, its South African-based Anglo American Platinum operation as well as its coking coal assets.

London-listed Anglo will instead focus on its copper, iron ore and crop nutrients businesses. BHP, the world’s biggest miner, has set its sights on securing Anglo’s copper business, which is expected to boom as the world decarbonises.

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Since rebuffing two approaches from BHP, Anglo’s chief executive Duncan Wanblad has been under intense pressure to set out the group’s future as a standalone group.

Laying out the proposed changes, Wanblad said: “These actions represent the most radical changes to Anglo American in decades.” They will result in “a radically simpler business [that] will deliver sustainable incremental value creation”.

Anglo said it would also pull back on spending on Woodsmith, a flagship project in the UK designed to create a vast underground mine producing a yet-unproven fertiliser. Instead of spending $1bn a year to build the mine by 2027, only $200mn will be spent next year and nothing in 2026.

Shares in Anglo fell 0.5 per cent to £27.03 in early trading on Tuesday. BHP’s improved offer valued Anglo at £27.53, up from approximately £25 in its original bid.

Anglo shareholders have predicted that the group would struggle to sustain its current structure. They have long complained that the value of Anglo’s coveted copper mines in Latin America has been obscured by its other lacklustre operations, particularly its platinum and diamond divisions.

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As part of its bids, BHP has a provision requiring Anglo to spin off its two Johannesburg-listed subsidiaries, Anglo American Platinum and iron ore miner Kumba.

Following Anglo’s announcement on Tuesday, shares in Anglo American Platinum, which produces a range of metals in South Africa, fell 7 per cent. Anglo intends to keep Kumba Iron Ore as part of a “premium” iron ore division that would also include its Minas Rio mine in Brazil.

Alongside dismantling the structure it has maintained for years, Anglo also vowed to cut a further $800mn of costs annually on top of $1bn already earmarked.

Anglo provided few details on where the cost savings would come from, saying it would “need to consider its global workforce arrangements to realise the opportunities for its employees and to ensure delivery of the accelerated strategy”.

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