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Analysis: The West is running out of ways to punish Putin

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Analysis: The West is running out of ways to punish Putin

That is one snapshot of the bloody value Ukrainian civilians are paying for Putin’s obsession with Russia’s Chilly Struggle humiliation, and it encapsulates how world responses to crimes in opposition to humanity — wanting army motion — wrestle to maintain tempo with a vicious on-the-ground battle.

The sense of revulsion about what is going on in Ukraine produced new momentum to carry Russia accountable on Monday. The European Union and Ukraine launched a brand new probe into potential battle crimes within the Kyiv suburb of Bucha, the place our bodies had been discovered strewn on the street. Members of Congress referred to as on President Joe Biden to hurry up the circulate of weapons into Ukraine to beat again the invasion. The European Union is going through rising strain to just accept what could be a painful financial hit by completely chopping off Russian oil and coal exports.

Biden reacted to the rising catalog of inhumanity on Monday by calling for extra sanctions and for a battle crimes trial to happen in opposition to Putin.

“You could bear in mind I obtained criticized for calling Putin a battle legal,” Biden stated. “He’s a battle legal. This man is brutal.”

However the terrible tragedy being revealed in Ukraine is that all the measures the West is ready to ponder to punish Moscow and affect the long-term course of the battle can not do a lot to avoid wasting civilians being focused now.

And it’s questionable whether or not any of the potential responses to the bloodlust by Putin’s troops will sway the ruthless Russian chief anyway.

The reflex for leaders to supply horrified condemnations, to demand accountability and to lash out at Putin is comprehensible. It is also essential for the world to not be numbed into acceptance.

However the West is unlikely to halt Putin’s marketing campaign of atrocities within the brief time period — particularly because the Russian chief has confirmed immune from ethical outrage. And given the dimensions of carnage already dedicated, together with assaults on house blocks, hospitals and bomb shelters, he additionally seems to have lengthy handed the purpose of any restraint.

New momentum for recent punishments for Russia adopted a weekend wherein harrowing footage emerged of civilians shot lifeless, some execution-style, in Bucha. A CNN staff additionally noticed a mass grave within the city on Sunday and witnessed the elimination of our bodies from a basement on Monday.
Ukraine warned Monday that such scenes often is the “tip of the iceberg,” and President Volodymyr Zelensky stated worse atrocities had been being uncovered.

“There may be already data that the variety of victims of the occupiers could also be even greater in Borodyanka and another liberated cities,” Zelensky stated.

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“In lots of villages of the liberated districts of the Kyiv, Chernihiv and Sumy areas, the occupiers did issues that the locals had not seen even throughout the Nazi occupation 80 years in the past.”

Putin is aware of the West’s limits

The hardest sanctions ever, Russia’s new standing as a worldwide pariah and its cultural, diplomatic, financial and sporting isolation have not stopped the Kremlin strongman but. Given Putin’s apparently safe political place, he exhibits no concern at being labeled a battle legal, and the possibilities of him standing trial are distant barring staggering political change in Russia.

Russia’s contempt for the notion of accountability, in the meantime, shone by way of its absurd claims that scenes of the decomposed our bodies being pulled from the basement and pictures of civilians apparently killed execution-style had been staged by the Ukrainians.

Ukraine's dilemma: How to negotiate with someone who could be a war criminal

Armed with the world’s largest stockpile of nuclear warheads, Putin understands that the West is unwilling to intervene straight in Ukraine and danger a disastrous conflict with Russia with measures like a no-fly zone to avoid wasting civilians.

He’s providing a lesson in why different dictators may think about pursuing nuclear arms. The sort of Western interventions to avoid wasting civilians in locations like Kosovo or Libya are prohibited in Ukraine, merely due to the implied energy of the Russian chief’s arsenal — and his saber rattling earlier within the battle.

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Eighty years after dictators like Adolf Hitler in Germany or Joseph Stalin within the Soviet Union unfold terror inside and out of doors their international locations, Putin is creating an terrible new spectacle for the twenty first century — that of a dictator who can’t be deterred.

A particular sort of impunity

Putin’s willingness to soak up punishments already clamped on Russia over the invasion gave him a particular sort of impunity. Sanctions on the Russian economic system and oligarchs could have a debilitating affect in the long run. However they’ve clearly failed as a software of deterrence.

The Russian chief has additionally appeared prepared to tolerate heavy casualties amongst his troops within the face of heroic resistance from Ukrainian forces. The recalibration of Russian technique to attempting to consolidate management of japanese areas could, nevertheless, present even Putin may be moved by occasions over time.

In Russia's military, a culture of brutality runs deep

From the surface, the battle is a army, diplomatic and financial catastrophe for Russia after its failure to grab key targets. However it might nonetheless be a perverse success for Putin if his purpose is solely to destroy as a lot of Ukraine as doable and create a victory parade for Russian state media.

So in some ways, he is enjoying an uneven sport with the West, whose sanctions and punitive measures are based mostly on a extra logical view of Russia’s pursuits and its personal limitations.

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Nonetheless, the White Home reacted to the horror rising from Ukraine by promising to quicken the tempo of army, humanitarian and financial help to Kyiv.

“The photographs from Bucha so powerfully reinforce now is just not the time for complacency,” US nationwide safety adviser Jake Sullivan stated Monday.

Such assist might shorten the battle and alleviate assaults on civilians in weeks and months to come back. However Putin has been besieging and bombarding Ukrainian cities for weeks. Thousands and thousands of individuals had been already pushed overseas into Western Europe as refugees.

A Nuremberg-style trial?

Momentum can also be rising for some sort of formal mechanism to carry Russian leaders accountable for battle crimes. Former Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk advised CNN’s Jake Tapper on Monday that the invasion was the most important catastrophe in Europe since World Struggle II, and merited a system of justice much like the Nuremberg Trials of Nazi battle criminals.

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“We have to put together proper now. We have to urgently launch a sort of joint investigative group to be able to be ready to carry to justice Putin and to see Putin sitting behind … bars.”

However the nature of the post-Chilly Struggle worldwide system would complicate the institution of a system that loved world legitimacy. Russia, as an example, would be sure to veto any try and contain the United Nations with its Safety Council vote. China would additionally search to derail any effort to impose accountability for human rights abuses given its personal repression of Uyghur Muslims that america has branded a genocide.

Nonetheless, the issue of bringing Putin to justice doesn’t imply that Russians decrease within the chain of command can’t be investigated, although the Worldwide Felony Courtroom in The Hague would not conduct trials in absentia. The group does, nevertheless, have already got investigations in Ukraine, which has accepted its jurisdiction regardless that it isn’t a member of the court docket.

One probably vital new blow in opposition to Russia might come from Europe because the European Union attracts up new sanctions. French President Emmanuel Macron backed a ban on Russian coal and oil exports to the EU as quickly as this week.

However it’s uncertain whether or not different huge powers, together with Germany, would go that far, given the vitality shortages and spikes to already excessive inflation that might outcome.

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Such a transfer would undoubtedly make strides in ravenous funding for the battle in Ukraine.

However within the shorter time period, it could additionally beg two questions: Is Putin even weak to strain anymore? And what number of extra Ukrainian civilians will die till he’s?

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Finland probes Russian shadow fleet oil tanker after cable-cutting incident

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Finland probes Russian shadow fleet oil tanker after cable-cutting incident

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Finnish authorities are investigating an oil tanker that is part of Russia’s shadow fleet over whether it cut an electricity cable between Finland and Estonia.

The Eagle S was stopped by Finnish authorities after the Estlink 2 subsea electricity cable in the Gulf of Finland was disconnected on Wednesday. The tanker, which is registered in the Cook Islands and is carrying oil from Russia to Egypt according to ship tracking data, was seen passing over the cable at the time of the incident.

The aged tanker is part of Russia’s shadow fleet and is the focus of Finland’s investigation, according to people familiar with the probe. The Eagle S is also under investigation over whether it cut three communications cables in the Gulf of Finland, the people added.

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The shadow fleet is a group of old and often poorly maintained ships used by Russia to circumvent international sanctions on its oil exports.

The Christmas Day incident appears to be the latest in a series of pipelines and cables being targeted in the Baltic Sea by foreign vessels, sparking fears of deliberate attacks on critical infrastructure between Nato countries.

“We must be able to prevent the risks posed by ships belonging to the Russian shadow fleet,” said Finland’s President Alexander Stubb in a post on X after a meeting with security chiefs on Thursday.

Last year a Chinese container ship, the Newnew Polar Bear, cut a gas pipeline between Finland and Estonia but was not stopped by authorities as it was in international waters.

A Chinese bulk carrier, the Yi Peng 3, last month passed over two data cables between Finland and Germany and Sweden and Lithuania about the times they were severed. It stopped for a month in international waters between Denmark and Sweden.

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Chinese investigators finally boarded the ship last week, with Swedish, Danish, German and Finnish representatives present as observers. But Sweden’s foreign minister criticised Beijing for not allowing the lead Swedish investigator to board or to inspect the vessel, which has now left the region.

The Eagle S case is different as the ship voluntarily stopped inside Finnish waters, according to people familiar with the investigation, leaving no question as to jurisdiction. Ownership of the Eagle S is murky but it appears to be the only vessel owned by a Dubai company. Attempts to reach the owner on Thursday were unsuccessful. 

Authorities have not determined the cause of the disconnection of the Estlink 2 cable. Estonia has also said it will not affect its electricity supply. The cable is used to export electricity from Finland, which recently brought its latest nuclear power plant online, to Estonia.

Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo said the country’s electricity supply would not be affected.

Finnish authorities are keeping an open mind on the latest incident, not least because dozens of poorly maintained vessels in the shadow fleet sail in the Baltic Sea.

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Environmental campaigners have issued repeated warnings about the dangers in the region and elsewhere of the dilapidated vessels.

In the Mediterranean, a Russian cargo ship under US sanctions for working with the Russian military sank between Spain and Algeria on Tuesday.

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Popeye, Tintin and more will enter the public domain in the new year

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Popeye, Tintin and more will enter the public domain in the new year

An enlarged cartoon of Tintin pictured on display at Paris’ Pompidou Cultural Center in 2006. The Belgian cub reporter is among the characters and works entering the public domain in 2025.

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Jan. 1 marks the dawn of a new era for Popeye and Tintin. It’s the day the nonagenarian cartoon characters officially enter the U.S. public domain along with a treasure trove of other iconic works.

The copyrights of thousands of films, songs and books expire in 2025, making them instantly available for people to use, share and adapt. The list includes classics like Virginia Woolf’s book A Room of One’s Own, the Fats Waller song “Ain’t Misbehavin’” and the Marx Brothers’ first feature film, The Cocoanuts.

The main thing they have in common is their age — under U.S. copyright law, their terms all expire after 95 years. All of the works entering the public domain next year are from 1929, except for sound recordings, which (because they are covered by a different law) come from 1924.

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“Copyright’s awesome … but the fact that rights eventually expire, that’s a good thing, too, because that’s the wellspring for creativity,” says Jennifer Jenkins, the director of Duke’s Center for the Study of the Public Domain, which spends months poring over records to compile the most famous examples.

Once in the public domain, these works become fodder for remakes, spinoffs and other adaptations.

That explains the recent wave of horror films starring Mickey Mouse and Winnie the Pooh, characters that entered the public domain in 2024 and 2023 respectively. The trend seems poised to continue: Jenkins says there are already three Popeye slasher flicks in the works.

“They’re capitalizing on the incongruity of this comic book character in a different genre and they get a lot of buzz,” she adds. “[But] when I sit back and look at the universe of remakes of public domain characters or works … the things that we still talk about that stand the test of time don’t tend to be these buzzworthy, kind of ew, grossed-out features.”

More enduring examples include West Side Story drawn from Shakespeare’s Romeo & Juliet, screen adaptations of Jane Austen’s Emma, Percival Everett’s 2024 book James (a retelling of Huckleberry Finn) and Wicked, the musical-turned-movie prequel to L. Frank Baum’s Wizard of Oz. 

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But these artifacts don’t only become fodder for big-name directors and authors — they’re available for anyone who wants to use them, from artists to high school orchestra directors.

Jenkins says she gets “adorable emails” from people who are drawing their own little Winnie the Pooh cartoons, and parents whose kids are talented musicians, eager to finally be able to perform certain compositions publicly and post them online.

In other words, the impact of public domain works extends far beyond the box office and Billboard charts.

“I’m excited about those things that not everybody’s going to notice — people really re-discovering some of these older works and engaging with them and appreciating them and making them their own,” she adds.

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Here’s a look at some of the works that are just days away from the public domain:

Characters

A Popeye balloon flies over the 33rd Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade in Times Square.

A helium-filled Popeye balloon participates in the 33rd Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade in New York in 1959, three decades after his comic strip debut.

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Tintin the brave cub reporter — and his dog, Snowy — will enter the public domain in the U.S. well before they will in the European Union, where they are copyrighted until 2054. That’s because EU copyright terms extend 70 years past creators’ deaths, and Belgian cartoonist Hergé died in 1983.

Closer to home there’s E.C. Segar’s Popeye, who made his debut in a January 1929 Thimble Theatre cartoon strip. He sports his signature pipe, sailor outfit, anchor tattoo and sense of humor, responding when asked if he’s a sailor: “Ja think I’m a cowboy?”

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He could have a whole new set of adventures starting in 2025. But there’s a catch: Popeye didn’t start deriving his strength from spinach until 1932.

As Jenkins explains, many cartoon characters develop over time and have been in copyrighted works year after year, meaning certain aspects of them may come into the public domain in different years. So only the original 1929 versions of Popeye and Tintin are fair game, at least for now.

“Definitely the Popeye from 1929 and everything that he says, all of his characteristics, his personality, his sarcasm … that’s public domain,” she says. “The spinach, if you want to be on the safe side, you might want to wait.”

Films

A promotional card for Clara Bow's movie "The Wild Party."

The Wild Party, Clara Bow’s first talkie, was released in 1929, making it public domain in 2025.

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Similarly, the original Steamboat Willie version of Mickey Mouse arrived in the public domain with much fanfare in 2024. In 2025, a dozen more Mickey animations will follow suit — including The Karnival Kid, in which he speaks for the first time.

“His very first words are ‘Hot dogs! Hot dogs!’ — so I guess that’s kind of cute,” Jenkins says. “And then he didn’t wear the white gloves in 1928, but next year, in 2025, we get the version of Mickey Mouse with the signature white gloves in the public domain.”

Sound is a big theme across the films making their public domain debut next year, since 1929 marked the end of the silent film era and the dawn of the sound film age.

The list includes the first sound films from major directors like Alfred Hitchcock (Blackmail), John Ford (The Black Watch) and Cecil B. DeMille (Dynamite), as well as Clara Bow’s first talkie, The Wild Party, and The Broadway Melody, the first sound film to win an Academy Award for Best Picture.

Other notables include Walt Disney’s The Skeleton Dance (the first of the Silly Symphony shorts); King Vidor’s Hallelujah, the first major studio film with an all-Black cast; and Alan Crosland’s On With the Show, the first all-talking, all-color, feature-length film.

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Books

This combination of photos show authors Ernest Hemingway in 1950, left, William Faulkner in 1950, center, and John Steinbeck in 1962.

From left: Ernest Hemingway in 1950, William Faulkner in 1950, and John Steinbeck in 1962.

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Among the many literary works entering the public domain next year are two of the most acclaimed books about World War I: Ernest Hemingway’s A Farewell to Arms, and the first English translation of Erich Maria Remarque’s All Quiet on the Western Front — both authors served in the war themselves.

The list includes several detective mysteries: Red Harvest and The Maltese Falcon by Dashiell Hammett, Ellery Queen’s The Roman Hat Mystery, and Seven Dials Mystery by Agatha Christie.

There are also some literary debuts, including John Steinbeck’s first novel, Cup of Gold, and Richard Hughes’ first novel A High Wind in Jamaica.

Musical compositions

George Gershwin writes sheet music while sitting at a piano.

George Gershwin’s “An American in Paris” is among the musical compositions entering the public domain in 2025.

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The latest crop of compositions spans the era’s jazz standards, show tunes, pop music and more.

They include: Arthur Freed’s Singin’ in the Rain (which was featured in the film The Hollywood Revue of 1929, also entering public domain), George Gershwin’s An American in Paris, Maurice Ravel’s Bolero, Jack Yellen’s Happy Days Are Here Again (the campaign song for FDR’s 1932 presidential run), Cole Porter’s What Is This Thing Called Love? and Tiptoe Through the Tulips (the Joseph Burke version, not the 1968 Tiny Tim one).

“But if you felt like singing like Tiny Tim for some reason, and you could, you can record your own version of Tiptoe Through the Tulips next year because that song’s going to be public domain,” Jenkins says.

The Center for the Study of Public Domain specifies that musical compositions refer to “the music and lyrics that you might see on a piece of sheet music, not the recordings of those songs.” Those are covered by a separate copyright.

Sound recordings

Marian Anderson poses for a photo outside.

Marian Anderson became the first Black singer to perform at the Metropolitan Opera House in New York in 1955. One of her early recordings from 1924 will enter the public domain next year.

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Under the 2018 Music Modernization Act, sound recordings are protected by copyright for 100 years. It’s the particular recordings that eventually enter the public domain, not the song’s music or lyrics or later recordings from those artists.

These are some of the 1924 performances that will become available for legal reuse in January: Marian Anderson’s “Nobody Knows the Trouble I’ve Seen,” George Gershwin’s “Rhapsody in Blue,” Jelly Roll Morton’s “Shreveport Stomp,” “Deep Blue Sea Blues” by Clara Smith, and “Everybody Loves My Baby (But My Baby Don’t Love Nobody But Me)” recorded by Louis Armstrong and Clarence Williams’ Blue Five.

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Dozens feared dead as Azerbaijan Airlines plane crashes in Kazakhstan

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Dozens feared dead as Azerbaijan Airlines plane crashes in Kazakhstan

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An Azerbaijan Airlines plane carrying 62 passengers and five crew has crashed while making an emergency landing at a Kazakhstan airport, with 29 survivors, including two children, taken to hospital.

Videos on local media showed a large explosion after the aircraft crashed into an empty field. Images from the scene showed passengers climbing out of the tail of the fuselage aided by emergency workers.

Those aboard were from Azerbaijan, Russia, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, Russian state Ria news agency reported, citing Kazakhstan’s transport ministry.

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Local media outlets reported that nine of those taken to hospital were in serious condition and that search and rescue operations were under way.

The plane, an Embraer 190, was travelling to Grozny in the southern Russian republic of Chechnya from Azerbaijan’s capital Baku, but was diverted to Aktau after flying into heavy fog.

Early media reports suggested that the plane hit a flock of birds, which affected control of the aircraft.

“After a collision with birds, due to an emergency situation on board the aircraft, its commander decided to go to an alternate airfield and Aktau was chosen,” Ria reported, citing Russia’s aviation agency Rosaviatsia. Local media also shared unconfirmed reports of an explosion of an oxygen canister onboard, leading many passengers to lose consciousness.

Baku has sent an official delegation to Kazakhstan to investigate the incident, Azerbaijan’s APA news agency said. The country’s president, Ilham Aliyev, left an informal summit of the Commonwealth of Independent States in Russia to return to Baku. He expressed his condolences to the those affected by the crash.

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Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Russian President Vladimir Putin had also extended his condolences to Azerbaijan’s leader.

Chechnya’s leader Ramzan Kadyrov expressed his condolences to the relatives of the deceased on social media. “We pray to the Almighty for [the survivors’] recovery.”

Photos on social media showed relatives gathering in Grozny airport to wait for news of their loved ones.

One man at Grozny airport said he had just received a video in which he could see his nephew had survived the crash. “Of course I am very happy,” he told a Ria news reporter.

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