Midwest
Pollster Ann Selzer 'reviewing data' after setting off media firestorm with Iowa poll showing Harris ahead
Pollster J. Ann Selzer is “reviewing her data” to determine why her pre-election poll, which set off a multi-day media firestorm, inaccurately showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Iowa.
Selzer is “reviewing her data to determine why a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll released just days before the election produced results so far out of line with former President Donald Trump’s resounding victory,” according to the Des Moines Register.
The shock poll showed a 7-point shift from Trump to Harris from September, when he had a 4-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%) in the same survey. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll released Saturday had Harris up 47% to 44 %, in a state Trump had carried easily in 2016 and 2020 and wasn’t considered a swing state in 2024.
Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., who conducted the poll, declared Harris had clearly “leaped into a leading position” ahead of Election Day.
Much of the media took her words as gospel, as pundits on MSNBC, CNN and ABC’s “The View” all celebrated the forecast. Even if it didn’t necessarily mean Harris would win Iowa given the polling average, a narrative spread that it could indicate a broader shift in the Midwest to Harris in more competitive states.
‘ENJOY RETIREMENT’: VETERAN POLLSTER MOCKED AFTER HARRIS PREDICTION IN IOWA WAS ‘SHOCKINGLY WRONG’
Former President Trump, pollster J. Ann Selzer and Vice President Kamala Harris. (Getty Images/ The Bulwark Podcast via YouTube screenshot)
“If this is accurate, and if anybody is accurate, it’s likely to be Ann Selzer in the Iowa poll, if this is accurate, it implies that Harris might be winning Iowa,” Rachel Maddow gushed.
The “View” panelists declared Selzer “always right,” and her track record was billed as “incredibly solid” on CNN.
Selzer had egg on her face when the Fox News Decision Desk called Iowa for Trump on Tuesday night with the former president holding a commanding lead.
TRUMP’S PROJECTED VICTORY DOESN’T GO OVER WELL WITH LIBERAL MEDIA: ‘I’M GONNA THROW UP’
Trump supporters were quick to point out Selzer’s poll was wildly inaccurate.
“Congratulations to Donald J. Trump and J.D. Vance on their victory,” Deputy Political Director Alex Latcham said in a statement. “After four years under Kamala Harris, Hawkeye state voters are eager for President Trump to fix what Kamala Harris broke. Starting on Day 1, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance will help to ease costs, secure the border, and protect Social Security for retirees like Ann Selzer.”
“Enjoy retirement…,” Trump co-campaign manager Chris LaCivita posted on X, along with a screenshot of an article calling Selzer “the best pollster in politics.”
Selzer was forced to address the humiliating poll.
A Halloween display featuring an inflatable Donald Trump stands in Griswold, Iowa, on Oct. 16. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)
“Tonight, I’m of course thinking about how we got where we are,” Selzer said in a statement.
“The poll findings we produced for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom did not match what the Iowa electorate ultimately decided in the voting booth today,” she continued. “I’ll be reviewing data from multiple sources with hopes of learning why that happened. And, I welcome what that process might teach me.”
Many others took to X with thoughts on Selzer’s poll:
A farmer shows support for former President Trump and a view on abortion on Aug. 10 near Hawkeye, Iowa. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Shawn Carney, founder of 40 Days for Life, said the Iowa poll results show the consequences of an arrogant assumption that women are single-issue voters whose only concern is access to abortion.
“The media ran with this narrative because it’s what they wanted to believe was true,” Carney said in a statement to Fox News Digital. “It just shows how out of touch they are with what actually matters to Americans. For way too long, they’ve acted as a mouthpiece for the political elite, pushing stories that fit the agenda of those in power instead of reflecting the real concerns of everyday people. They tried to make abortion the only issue that women care about, despite clear signs that Americans are focused on things like economic stability, safety, and family. Last night’s results sent a strong message: Americans are rejecting the agenda the media tried to sell them.”
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Fox News Digital’s Brie Stimson and Andrew Mark Miller contributed to this report.
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JOLIET, Ill. (WLS) — Four people were hospitalized after a south suburban police chase ended in a crash early Sunday morning, police said.
Joliet police said an officer saw a Cadillac CTS traveling southbound on Raynor Avenue without its headlights or taillights on just before 2 a.m.
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The officer tried to conduct a traffic stop when the Cadillac’s driver, a 21-year-old Joliet man, turned westbound onto Black Road, but he immediately sped away, police said. The officer stopped before reaching Black Road and Midland Avenue due to safety concerns.
Police said the officer and witnesses then saw the Cadillac’s driver run a red light at Black Road and Larkin Avenue, where he collided with a Chevrolet Cruze, which was heading northbound on Larkin on a green light. The crash caused the Cadillac to leave the roadway, strike a utility pole, and overturn in a nearby grassy area.
The Cadillac’s driver, the only person in that vehicle, was extricated and transported to Saint Joseph Medical Center with life-threatening injuries, police said. He was later flown to Loyola University Medical Center in Maywood.
Police said the Chevrolet’s driver, a 23-year-old Chicago man, and two passengers, both men, suffered non-life-threatening injuries and were also taken to Saint Joseph Medical Center.
The roadway was closed for several hours while investigators reconstructed the crash scene.
Joliet police are investigating and asked anyone with video footage or information to call them at 815-724-3010.
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The Chicago Bears this weekend said they are assessing land at Wolf Lake Terminals in Hammond, Indiana, for a possible new stadium.
The Northwest Indiana Times reported that soil drilling equipment was spotted near the site, located west of the Indiana Toll Road (Interstate 90) in Hammond.
Logistics and storage facilities are currently located on the site, the paper reported.
“This activity is part of the normal site evaluation process as we continue to advance our stadium development project in Hammond,” the Bears said in a statement issued to CBS News Chicago. “We have an excellent option already in place and continue to assess additional parcels of land in the Wolf Lake region to ensure we place the stadium and mixed-use district in the very best location to serve all of Chicagoland.”
Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. is staying tight-lipped on the search, but said he is confident the Bears are heading to Indiana.
Earlier this month, the team announced the plan to build a new stadium complex in Hammond.
A bill passed by Indiana lawmakers calls for $1 billion in taxpayer money to be put toward infrastructure around the stadium, which officials said would support plans for retail, restaurants and residential units to be built around the stadium complex.
The Bears say they are also continuing negotiations with Illinois lawmakers.
The Iowa State Cyclones are going to be preparing soon for the 2026-27 campaign, and they will be relying on some returning players to take a step forward.
It was a fantastic season for the most part for the Cyclones last year. This was a team that was one of the best in the country and was ranked as the number two overall team in the nation at one point.
The Big 12 was one of the most challenging conferences in the country, and even though Iowa State had some bumps along the way, they were still a real threat heading into March Madness.
There was plenty to like about the team, with this being a group under T.J. Otzelberger that was really good not only defensively, but on the offensive end of the court as well. Unfortunately, the team was eliminated in the Sweet 16 with the absence of their star Joshua Jefferson being too much for the team to overcome.
Now, as they get ready to head into next season, the roster is going to look a lot different, but they do have one returning player who did show some signs of improvement at the end of the year.
Killyan Toure Has Star Potential
Coming off such an impressive NCAA tournament, it could end up being Toure who will be the next star of the Cyclones. This was a team that lost a lot of talent both in the transfer portal with Milan Momcilovic leaving, but also due to graduation.
As they prepare for next season, there are going to be a lot of new faces on the roster. Otzelberger was active in the transfer portal, bringing in talent, and it will be needed to fill some holes. However, they do have a returning starter who could be a player to watch.
After being a starter as a freshman, Toure is very experienced and now knows what it takes to be successful. Right off the bat, the young guard proved as a freshman that he was one of the best defenders in the conference. With speed and length at the position, he was able to guard most players and was a real problem when it came to opposing guards.
However, if he is going to take the leap toward stardom, it will be the offensive end of the court that will be key. Hopefully, the end of the season was something that Toure can build upon heading into year two. If he improves offensively to go along with his already elite defensive skills, he will be one of the best guards in the Big 12.
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