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Pollster Ann Selzer 'reviewing data' after setting off media firestorm with Iowa poll showing Harris ahead

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Pollster Ann Selzer 'reviewing data' after setting off media firestorm with Iowa poll showing Harris ahead

Pollster J. Ann Selzer is “reviewing her data” to determine why her pre-election poll, which set off a multi-day media firestorm, inaccurately showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Iowa. 

Selzer is “reviewing her data to determine why a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll released just days before the election produced results so far out of line with former President Donald Trump’s resounding victory,” according to the Des Moines Register.

The shock poll showed a 7-point shift from Trump to Harris from September, when he had a 4-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%) in the same survey. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll released Saturday had Harris up 47% to 44 %, in a state Trump had carried easily in 2016 and 2020 and wasn’t considered a swing state in 2024. 

Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., who conducted the poll, declared Harris had clearly “leaped into a leading position” ahead of Election Day.

Much of the media took her words as gospel, as pundits on MSNBC, CNN and ABC’s “The View” all celebrated the forecast. Even if it didn’t necessarily mean Harris would win Iowa given the polling average, a narrative spread that it could indicate a broader shift in the Midwest to Harris in more competitive states.

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‘ENJOY RETIREMENT’: VETERAN POLLSTER MOCKED AFTER HARRIS PREDICTION IN IOWA WAS ‘SHOCKINGLY WRONG’

Former President Trump, pollster J. Ann Selzer and Vice President Kamala Harris. (Getty Images/ The Bulwark Podcast via YouTube screenshot)

“If this is accurate, and if anybody is accurate, it’s likely to be Ann Selzer in the Iowa poll, if this is accurate, it implies that Harris might be winning Iowa,” Rachel Maddow gushed. 

The “View” panelists declared Selzer “always right,” and her track record was billed as “incredibly solid” on CNN. 

Selzer had egg on her face when the Fox News Decision Desk called Iowa for Trump on Tuesday night with the former president holding a commanding lead. 

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TRUMP’S PROJECTED VICTORY DOESN’T GO OVER WELL WITH LIBERAL MEDIA: ‘I’M GONNA THROW UP’

Trump supporters were quick to point out Selzer’s poll was wildly inaccurate.

“Congratulations to Donald J. Trump and J.D. Vance on their victory,” Deputy Political Director Alex Latcham said in a statement. “After four years under Kamala Harris, Hawkeye state voters are eager for President Trump to fix what Kamala Harris broke. Starting on Day 1, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance will help to ease costs, secure the border, and protect Social Security for retirees like Ann Selzer.”

“Enjoy retirement…,” Trump co-campaign manager Chris LaCivita posted on X, along with a screenshot of an article calling Selzer “the best pollster in politics.”

Selzer was forced to address the humiliating poll. 

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A Halloween display featuring an inflatable Donald Trump stands in Griswold, Iowa, on Oct. 16.  (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

“Tonight, I’m of course thinking about how we got where we are,” Selzer said in a statement. 

“The poll findings we produced for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom did not match what the Iowa electorate ultimately decided in the voting booth today,” she continued. “I’ll be reviewing data from multiple sources with hopes of learning why that happened. And, I welcome what that process might teach me.”

Many others took to X with thoughts on Selzer’s poll: 

A farmer shows support for former President Trump and a view on abortion on Aug. 10 near Hawkeye, Iowa. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

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Shawn Carney, founder of 40 Days for Life, said the Iowa poll results show the consequences of an arrogant assumption that women are single-issue voters whose only concern is access to abortion.

“The media ran with this narrative because it’s what they wanted to believe was true,” Carney said in a statement to Fox News Digital. “It just shows how out of touch they are with what actually matters to Americans. For way too long, they’ve acted as a mouthpiece for the political elite, pushing stories that fit the agenda of those in power instead of reflecting the real concerns of everyday people. They tried to make abortion the only issue that women care about, despite clear signs that Americans are focused on things like economic stability, safety, and family. Last night’s results sent a strong message: Americans are rejecting the agenda the media tried to sell them.”

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Fox News Digital’s Brie Stimson and Andrew Mark Miller contributed to this report.

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Wisconsin

Texas routs Wisconsin softball in NCAA Tournament | When Badgers play next

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Texas routs Wisconsin softball in NCAA Tournament | When Badgers play next


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  • Wisconsin softball lost to Texas, 9-0, in the NCAA Tournament’s Austin regional.
  • Texas pitcher Teagan Kavan held the Badgers hitless until the fifth inning while the Longhorns jumped to an early lead.
  • Wisconsin will play an elimination game against either Baylor or Wagner.

Wisconsin softball could not keep up with the reigning national champions.

Texas – the No. 2 overall seed in the tournament – run-ruled the Badgers, 9-0, in six innings on May 16 in the Austin regional of the NCAA Tournament, easily sending UW to the consolation side of the double-elimination bracket.

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Texas pitcher Teagan Kavan took a no-hitter into the fifth inning until Alivia Bark’s single. The Badgers’ only other baserunner during Kavan’s five innings in the circle was on a walk in the first inning.

The Badgers did not have a runner in scoring position until the sixth inning, when Emily Bojan hit a double off Texas reliever Cambria Salmon.

The Longhorns, meanwhile, wasted no time in distancing themselves from the Badgers with their bats. They scored three runs in the first inning after back-to-back hits by Kayden Henry and Katie Stewart, a sacrifice fly by Viviana Martinez and a two-run home run by Reese Atwood.

Texas scored another two runs on a Henry double in the second inning, prompting the Badgers to pull UW ace Shelby Jacobson. One day after her complete-game win over Baylor, Jacobson gave up five earned runs against the Longhorns in 1 ⅓ innings pitched.

Texas piled on with two more runs in the third inning in small-ball fashion after loading the bases, and completed the run-rule win with Henry’s two-run homer in the sixth inning – her third hit of the afternoon – off UW reliever Jordan Felci. (The mercy rule in college softball is eight runs after five or more innings.)

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All three UW pitchers to face the Longhorns – Jacobson, Berritt Herr and then Felci – each gave up at least two runs against the host and SEC tournament champion.

When, who will Wisconsin softball play next

The Badgers will look to keep their tournament run alive later today in a consolation game against the winner of the Baylor-Wagner game. (The winner of UW’s next game would then need to defeat Texas twice on May 17 to win the Austin regional.)

UW defeated Baylor in the first round following Hannah Conger’s walk-off double in the ninth inning. Wagner is coming off a 9-1 loss against Texas. The first pitch of UW’s second game is expected to be at approximately 5 p.m., depending on the duration of the Baylor-Wagner game.

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This story will be updated after Wisconsin’s second game against Baylor or Wagner.



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Detroit, MI

How many division wins will the Detroit Lions tally in 2026?

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How many division wins will the Detroit Lions tally in 2026?


Every year, the NFL schedule bring upon something new for the Detroit Lions. This year, it’s a trip to Germany, a rare “Sunday Night Football” game at Carolina, and an early bye week. Oh wait, scratch that last one. It happens all that time.

Another constant on the Lions’ schedule is their divisional opponents. Like every other team, Detroit’s six divisional games make up over a third of their entire schedule. That means Detroit’s record within the NFC North will likely be crucial toward their regular season success. And with all three of their road divisional games crammed into the final four weeks of the season, how Detroit fares in those contests will almost certainly decide where they land in the postseason picture.

Last year, Detroit was swept by both the Vikings and Packers, and even though they ended up sweeping the division-winning Chicago Bears, it wasn’t enough to punch their ticket to the playoffs. So today’s Question of the Day is:

How many division wins will the Lions pick up on their 2026 schedule?

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My answer: I’m going with three.

First off, let’s get this straight. There is no universe where getting swept by the Vikings again in 2026 is acceptable. I understand their defense is a very tough matchup for an offense-heavy team like the Lions, but Minnesota’s roster just doesn’t compare to the rest of the division right now—especially with the questions at quarterback. Because the Vikings still always play the Lions tough, I’ll give them a split of the series.

And I’m going to be boring with the other two teams, too. I expect a split with each series. I think Ben Johnson will have a chip on his shoulder after getting swept by Dan Campbell last year and find a way to win one of those games. And while I’m really tempted to predict a sweep of the Packers, I’m just having a hard time seeing it given how well they tend to play against Detroit. The Lions will have the benefit of the bye week going into their first matchup, but a Week 18 game in Lambeau will be tough, even if the Lions managed to beat them in that exact scenario during the 2022 season.

How many division wins do you think the Lions pick up this year? Vote in the poll below and share your reasoning in the comment section.



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Milwaukee, WI

How much money do I need to retire in Wisconsin? Here’s what a new study found

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How much money do I need to retire in Wisconsin? Here’s what a new study found


Where you live can have a significant impact on how much money you need saved for retirement. And according to a new study, Wisconsin ranks near the middle of the pack in terms of the most and least expensive states for retirees.

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Big picture view:

MoneyLion, a consumer finance app and marketplace, examined how much money Americans would need to save each month to retire comfortably in each state. The study weighed factors such as average retiree household expenses, Social Security income and the age at which a person started saving for retirement.

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The study’s full methodology can be found on MoneyLion’s website.

What they’re saying:

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Ted Jenkin, managing partner at Exit Wealth Advisors, told FOX Business that state income taxes and real estate property taxes are two of the biggest expenses that retirees need to look at. Thomas Aiello, National Taxpayers Union vice president of federal affairs, added that taxes are a reason some retirees may move to places like Florida, Texas and Tennessee – which offer no sate income tax or “death” tax.

How much in Wisconsin?

Local perspective:

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Wisconsin ranked No. 28 in MoneyLion’s study, which determined someone would need to save $1,096,140 to retire comfortably at age 65. That’s based on a $54,807 average annual cost of retirement over 20 years.

To hit that number, MoneyLion said someone would need to start saving $2,030 per month at age 20 or $2,610 per month starting at age 30.

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By the numbers:

MoneyLion’s study also determined the following savings needed to retire comfortably at age 65 (as well as the average annual cost of retirement over 20 years) in neighboring states:

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  • Minnesota, No. 25: $1,162,628 ($58,131)
  • Illinois, No. 34: $1,003,326 ($50,166)
  • Michigan, No. 42: $868,526 ($43,426)
  • Iowa, No. 43: $821,180 ($41,059)

Hawaii was the most expensive state for retirees, with $3,132,206 needed to retire comfortably at age 65. The most affordable state in the study was West Virginia, with $664,463 needed to retire comfortably at age 65.

The Source: Information in this story is from the MoneyLion study, which referenced data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics and other sources. LiveNOW from FOX and FOX Business contributed to this report.

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