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Republican wave tested by competitive Senate race in Ohio

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Republican wave tested by competitive Senate race in Ohio


GROVEPORT, Ohio (AP) — Ruth and Boyd Boone are longtime Ohio Republican voters, desirous to reelect their GOP governor. However in terms of the Senate, they’re not so positive.

Each are skeptical of JD Vance, the enterprise capitalist and author-turned-first time candidate who gained the Republican nomination with former President Donald Trump’s backing.

“I don’t like him in any respect,” mentioned Boyd, 80, who owns a farm outdoors of Ashville. “I don’t suppose he offers a clean about Ohio. I feel he simply thinks he’s going to be the senator.”

Each he and Ruth, 77, additionally mentioned they like what they hear from Democrat Tim Ryan, the 10-term congressman working in opposition to Vance as a average — although in addition they have their reservations, together with about his help for abortion rights.

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“It’s going to be proper right down to the wire,” mentioned Ruth of her choice, whilst she picked up a yard signal for an additional Republican, Secretary of State Frank LaRose, from canvassers in a Kroger parking zone.

That ambivalence underscores a stunning dynamic in Ohio, the place Vance is hoping to journey to Washington on a wave of nationwide discontent with Democrats. Lower than two weeks earlier than Election Day, the race is extra aggressive than initially anticipated. Whereas Vance should still win in a state that Trump carried by 8 factors twice, most polls present Vance and Ryan roughly tied, whilst incumbent Republican Gov. Mike DeWine leads his Democratic rival by double digits.

Campaigning lately in a pink and white windbreaker and sneakers, Ryan burdened his working class roots and solid Vance as an outsider and “extremist” extra fascinated by notching a title than serving Ohioans.

However the Democrat’s blue collar marketing campaign typically seems like a broadside in opposition to his personal get together.

“We’ve got received to get this nation again targeted on the stress that working individuals are below each single day,” he mentioned at a union corridor in Niles, the place he grew up, peppering his speech with profanities. “I don’t give a s—- who you voted for,” he informed the room of Democratic activists and union organizers.

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Certainly, Ryan typically sounds much less like a candidate for Senate than a doomsday prophet warning nationwide Democrats that they’re on the precipice of catastrophe in the event that they abandon the working class voters who had been as soon as the center of the get together’s base.

“We won’t be a nationwide get together except now we have the working class again on our aspect and that’s what this election is all about,” Ryan mentioned, his voice straining as he stood flanked by labor leaders at P.J. McIntyre’s Irish pub in Cleveland later that afternoon.

It’s a message that has resonated with voters like Christine Varwig, 54, a Toledo faculty board member who mentioned that Ryan speaks her “language.”

“He will get us,” Varwig mentioned at a yard union gathering in Toledo, the place Ryan, a former quarterback, tossed round a soccer, sipped beer and performed tug-of battle. (He misplaced however gained a re-match.) ”When he talks about his grandfather, it jogs my memory of my very own grandparents, and so we will relate.”

However throughout the state, it was clear what Ryan is up in opposition to. On a latest weekday morning at 9 a.m., the Thirsty Cowboy bar in Republican stronghold Medina was filled with a number of hundred Vance supporters, fired up and offended, with cups of Dunkin’ Donuts espresso in hand.

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“I feel individuals are fed up,” Vance mentioned as he railed in opposition to excessive grocery payments, rising gasoline costs and a porous border and blamed the nation’s woes on failed management in Washington.

After sparking concern throughout the GOP for largely disappearing from the marketing campaign path over the summer time, Vance has crossed the state with conservative firebrands together with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Donald Trump. Jr. At occasions, he talks about being raised by his grandparents as his mom struggled with opioid dependancy — a narrative he become the best-selling memoir-turned film “Hillbilly Elegy.” And he revs up his crowds by lacing into Ryan, portray the congressman as a “full fraud” who has tried to promote himself as a average however votes with President Joe Biden — a theme Republicans have hit laborious in adverts.

“My message is fairly clear: Tim Ryan has been in workplace for 20 years, women and gents, he’s had his probability. Let’s ship him again to Youngstown and drive him to get an actual job,” Vance mentioned as he campaigned later that afternoon with Cruz outdoors the Unfold Eagle Tavern in Hanoverton, the place a number of hundred folks had gathered on a crisp fall afternoon subsequent to a number of hulking tractors.

The group included Lettie Davis, 63, who works at a neighborhood automobile dealership, the place a life-size cardboard cutout of Trump greets prospects however the place enterprise has suffered from provide chain points and hovering rates of interest.

“We love him,” she mentioned of Vance. “He’s right down to earth, which I actually like. And he has quite a bit to supply from his previous, together with his mother and all that. So he’s like the remainder of us.”

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“For a first-time candidate, he’s doing properly,” mentioned Steven Clifford, 68, a longtime Republican from Stark County.

Trump’s choice to endorse Vance, regardless of years of Vance’s criticism, helped the novice candidate seal the nomination in a aggressive GOP main. That turned him into one among Trump’s earliest success tales, serving to the defeated president cement his standing as a GOP kingmaker. However it additionally sparked fierce native backlash from supporters of rival candidates, who urged Trump to rethink.

East Palestine’s Peggy Caratelli, 64, who initially backed Vance rival Josh Mandel, mentioned it took her a while to return round to Trump’s choice. However now she is absolutely onboard.

“So a few of us weren’t very blissful about (the endorsement.) However we determine Trump is smarter than we’re. So there’s a cause,” she mentioned. “You already know, (Vance) was an anti-Trumper. However he was very fast to elucidate why he felt that approach and why he modified his thoughts.”

“I feel he’s seen the error of his methods. We forgive him,” added Don Ridge, 65, from Winona, who mentioned he sees similarities between Trump and Vance.

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Ryan, in an interview after an extended day of campaigning, mentioned he was assured he would in the end prevail, partially by profitable over the sorts of Republicans and independents within the state who’ve lengthy backed get together moderates like DeWine and retiring Sen. Rob Portman however have soured on Trump’s model. He’s hoping some DeWine voters will cut up their tickets and solid their ballots for him, too.

“They like the truth that I’m working as an independent-minded man who’s keen to tackle his personal get together,” he mentioned of voters.

Vance is publicly dismissive of his opponent’s possibilities.

“I feel the media has consistently tried to inform a narrative that Tim Ryan is by some means preserving this race shut. In actuality, I feel we’re going to win and I feel we’re going to win fairly convincingly,” he mentioned in an interview.

Via all of it, Ryan has been largely ignored by the nationwide Democratic Celebration as teams give attention to defending susceptible incumbents and flipping different Republican-held seats, whilst Republicans have been pouring cash into Ohio for assault adverts in opposition to Ryan. That features $28 million from the Mitch McConnell-affiliated Senate Management Fund from Labor Day via the election, and $2.4 million from Trump’s MAGA Inc. Tremendous PAC, which is predicted to proceed spending within the state.

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Ryan has his personal sturdy fundraising operation and has truly outraised Vance. However the choice by the Democratic Senatorial Marketing campaign Committee to not make investments extra within the race thus far has left some Democrats fuming.

“If he finally ends up shedding by some extent or two, that’s on them, 100%,” mentioned Chris Monaghan, 51, who works with sheet metallic staff in Toledo.

“I personally suppose it’s shameful. … We’re so shut,” mentioned Varwig, the college board member who additionally works as an workplace supervisor on the Lucas County Democratic Celebration. She mentioned that day-after-day she meets Republicans who stroll into the workplace and ask for Ryan indicators.

“That claims one thing,” she mentioned. “They’re fully turned off by Vance, fully turned off. The Republicans that I’ve talked to, they’re sick of the Trump-Vance messaging.”

However nationally, each events sense that the dynamics are trending in Republicans’ favor. And the GOP is counting on voters like Kimberly Kell, 61, a software program engineer from Groveport who hoped to retire this yr however has postpone her plans due to her battered retirement financial savings.

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Kell hasn’t been following native politics or the Senate race, however plans to vote Republican as a result of she’s offended at Biden.

“The one factor I actually comply with is listening to the presidential stuff, which I might simply choke on,” she mentioned. She plans to vote, “all Republican, down the board.”

___

Observe AP’s protection of the elections at: https://apnews.com/hub/2022-midterm-elections

Take a look at https://apnews.com/hub/explaining-the-elections to be taught extra in regards to the points and elements at play within the 2022 midterm elections.

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315 south reopens near Ohio State campus before big game against Indiana

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315 south reopens near Ohio State campus before big game against Indiana


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(This story has been updated to accurately reflect the most current information.)

Ohio State football fans should be in better shape driving to Saturday’s game after road crews cleared a major traffic crash near campus.

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All southbound lanes on State Route 315 beyond North Broadway Street were closed for several hours Saturday morning due to a crash, according to the Ohio Department of Transportation. A semitruck carrying fuel jack-knifed around 6:30 a.m., blocking traffic on the freeway just before the Gooddale Street exit.

The truck was moved from the freeway around 8 a.m., and the freeway reopened about 45 minutes later.

How to get to Ohio Stadium for Indiana game

Ohio State athletics suggests these alternate routes to get to Ohio Stadium:

Traveling from the North

  • I-71 South to Hudson Street or 17th Avenue exits

Traveling from the South

  • I-71 North to SR-315 North
  • Exit at Ackerman Road or Olentangy River Road

Traveling from the East

  • I-670 West to SR-315 North
  • Exit at Ackerman or Olentangy River Road
  • 670 West to 71 North to 17th Avenue or Hudson Street

Traveling from the West

  • I-270 South to 70 East to I-670 to SR-315 North
  • Exit at Ackerman Road or Olentangy River Road
  • Fishinger Road to Kenny Road to Ackerman Road
  • Riverside Drive to Fishinger Road or Lane Avenue

shendrix@dispatch.com

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@sheridan120



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Ohio, Kentucky high school football teams look ahead to state semifinals Nov. 29

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Ohio, Kentucky high school football teams look ahead to state semifinals Nov. 29


CINCINNATI — Thanksgiving week represents the state semifinals for high school football teams in Ohio and Kentucky.

In Division I, Moeller (13-1) is expected to take on Centerville (11-3) in a state semifinal to be played at Princeton Nov. 29. This will be Moeller’s fourth consecutive state semifinals after defeating St. Xavier 28-23.

Friday night’s sold-out game at Mason (7,000 capacity) was the second meeting between the Greater Catholic League South division rivals this season. Moeller defeated host St. X 45-37 Sept. 20. This was the first time the two teams had met in a regional final since 2014.

Moeller, Ohio’s No. 1-ranked team by MaxPreps, was the No. 1 seed in Region 4 this season. St. X, ranked No. 8 statewide by MaxPreps, is the No. 6 seed.

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Region 8’s top seed, Anderson (14-0), will play Sunbury Big Walnut in a Division II state semifinal Nov. 29 at a location to be determined.

Unbeaten Anderson defeated No. 2 seed La Salle 28-21 in a regional final at Princeton.

Anderson is ranked No. 11 in the MaxPreps Ohio rankings (regardless of division) while La Salle was No. 18.

Friday was the fourth meeting between the two programs including the first matchup since a 2021 second-round playoff game in which the Lancers won 45-21, according to La Salle football broadcaster Jeff Bosse. The Lancers were also victorious in a 2020 regional semifinal and a 2007 regular-season game.

Anderson, winning its second straight regional title, now makes its fourth state Final Four appearance in program history. The Raptors were a 2023 state semifinalist, 2008 state runner-up and 2007 state champion — all in Division II.

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Taft (12-2) is also heading to the state semifinals after a 26-12 win over Alter in the Division IV, Region 16 regional final at Monroe. The game was a rematch of a Week 3 game in which Taft won 36-7 over visiting Alter. That was part of the Senators’ three-game win streak to start the season.

Taft was in its first regional final since 2021, which was Tyler Williams’ first season as head coach.

The Senators have won the first Cincinnati Public Schools football regional championship since 1992, according to CPS athletics. Cincinnati Academy of Physical Education (CAPE) won the last of its three state championships in 1992 (Division IV). CAPE also won state titles in 1986 (Division III) and 1985 (Division IV).

Kentucky played its regional finals Friday night. Ryle defeated Central Hardin 43-14, getting their first regional championship since 2020.

In Class 5A, Cooper dominated at home against Southwestern, advancing after a 56-15 win. Highlands also won big, running away at the half to defeat Pulaski County 42-18.

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In a rematch of last year’s Class 4A state championship, Covington Catholic defeated Boyle County 31-28.

Beechwood defeated Martin County 44-7 in Class 2A play.

Indiana was in the semi-state round Friday night. In Class 3A, Batesville lost on the road at Heritage Hills.

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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers prediction: Who wins, and why?

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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers prediction: Who wins, and why?


What you should watch for as No. 5 Indiana hits the road against No. 2 Ohio State in this top-five battle, with our updated prediction for the game.

Just about everything is on the line in this one, as both Big Ten rivals look to take either a major step towards College Football Playoff eligibility, or potential elimination with a loss.

Ohio State sits in third place in the Big Ten standings thanks to that 1-point loss at Oregon earlier this year and wants revenge against the Ducks in the conference championship game.

Standing in the Buckeyes’ way is an undefeated Indiana team that has won 10 games for the first time ever and playing some of the country’s most productive offense, but hoping to impress the selection committee, which is less than enthused with the Hoosiers’ 106th-ranked strength of schedule.

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What can we expect as the Hoosiers take on the Buckeyes in this Big Ten clash over the weekend?

Here’s what you should watch out for as Ohio State and Indiana meet in this Week 13 college football game, with our updated prediction.

1. Battle at the line. Ohio State is down two key blockers, as left tackle Josh Simmons and center Seth McLaughlin are both out for the season with injuries. 

That’s a matchup to watch against an Indiana front seven that ranks 13th in FBS in negative plays created this season, racking up 7.3 tackles for loss per game.

For its part, Ohio State is among the best groups nationally in warding off that pressure, ranking 6th in the country surrendering just 3.4 stops behind the line per game.

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2. Strength vs. strength. It’s no secret that Indiana has been putting up points this year, coming into this week ranked No. 2 in the country with 43.9 points per game, behind just Miami. That figure drops by less than a point on average when playing on the road.

But the Buckeyes have proven brilliant at preventing other teams from scoring this season, ranking No. 1 in FBS by allowing just 10.3 points from opponents, a number that falls to about a touchdown allowed on average when playing at home.

3. Get to the QB. Sure, the Hoosiers can score plenty of points, but it’s their defense that could make the bigger impact in the game, especially when generating pressure against Ohio State quarterback Will Howard, whose mobility and improvisational skills are still an open question.

That vulnerability has resulted in turnovers at times this season, as he ranks fifth among quarterbacks with 7 fumbles and has accuracy problems when forced to move in the pocket.

Howard hasn’t displayed consistent speed to get away from edge rushers, and he could have a similar issue against Indiana’s Mikail Kamara, who leads the Big Ten with 9.5 sacks.

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Ohio State’s quarterback has dealt with persistent accuracy concerns when forced to move around and, given the Buckeyes’ newfound injuries on the line, that could allow Indiana to design blitzes that bring pressure through the interior and force Howard to the outside and into some hurried throws.

Most football computer models expect the Buckeyes to handle the Hoosiers in this game.

That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times and pick winners.

Ohio State is the big favorite in the game according to the index, coming out ahead in the majority 73.4 percent of the computer’s simulations of the matchup.

That leaves Indiana as the presumptive winner in the remaining 26.6 percent of sims.

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How does that translate to an expected margin of victory in the game?

Ohio State is projected to be 9 points better than Indiana on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.

More … Ohio State vs. Indiana prediction: What the analytics say

Ohio State is a 10.5 point favorite against Indiana, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at 53.5 points for the game (Over -108, Under -112).

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And it set the moneyline odds for Ohio State at -430 and for Indiana at +330 to win outright.

Three times this year, Indiana has played a game that analysts called the biggest test of its perfect season, but the Buckeyes do actually represent a marked talent discrepancy from anyone the Hoosiers have seen yet.

And while Indiana is a solid 8-2 against the spread this season, the best mark among Power Four teams, Ohio State is the first ranked team it will play, and IU is 3-9 ATS against ranked competition over the last three seasons, the third-worst record in the country.

Indiana’s worst offensive performance of the season came against Michigan, which was perhaps uncoincidentally the best defense it played to that point, and the Buckeyes are even better at bringing pressure up front and locking down throwing lanes on the back end.

The Hoosiers will get some big gainers through the air and bother Howard in the pocket, but don’t have the tacklers to contend with the variety that Ohio State can throw at them.

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College Football HQ picks …

More … Ohio State vs. Indiana score prediction by expert football model

When: Sat., Nov. 23
Where: Columbus, Ohio

Time: 12 p.m. Eastern
TV: Fox network

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks

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