Minnesota
Minnesota presidential poll: Biden leads Trump post-conviction
Will Minnesota be a battleground state in 2024?
Minnesota hasn’t elected a Republican for president in decades, but low party support and close margins means the state could be in play for Trump.
The first poll conducted of Minnesota voters post-former President Donald Trump’s felony conviction shows President Joe Biden with a slight lead.
A new poll released by KARE11, MPR News and the Star Tribune found that the race to win the White House is still a close one in the North Star State.
Despite a Republican president not winning Minnesota in more than 50 years and Biden handily beating Trump in 2020, an unapproving and apathetic electorate is predicted to make 2024 a close election.
Here are the key takeaways from the poll.
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Biden leads Trump, but not by much
Of the 800 registered Minnesotan voters polled in the survey, 44.5% said they’d support Biden while 40.6% said they’d cast their vote for Trump with a margin of error of ± 3.5 %
Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. holds 6.4% of the vote while 7% of those surveyed are undecided and 2% favor other candidates.
More: Elections 2024: Will Minnesota be a battleground state in November?
Who’s voting for who?
Minnesotan voters are sticking to their party lines, according to the results. Most Democrats supported Biden and Republicans Trump.
Independent voters are split. While nearly 12% said they were undecided, more than 37% of those polled said they’d cast their ballot for Trump, almost 35% for Biden.
Is RFK Jr. a spoiler candidate?
According to Kennedy, no, he doesn’t see himself as a spoiler.
Despite it being statistically unlikely that Kennedy wins the presidential election, his presence on the ballot is attracting unhappy voters away from their major party figures.
Thirteen percent of independent voters polled in Minnesota said they’d back Kennedy.
In an exclusive interview with USA TODAY, the 70-year-old said he’s the hope a lot of Americans are looking for.
“I think it’s important that Americans feel that its potential for democracy to work for them, and they don’t have to vote the lesser of two evils. They don’t have to hold their nose and vote for a candidate they don’t like because they hate the other guy worse,” Kennedy said.
In a race that looks like it might come down to single digits, the independent candidate could be enough to pull votes away from either candidate to secure them a victory, putting the race in an even closer position.
“I think it’s important to give them an alternative where they can continue to have hope for our democracy and vote out of inspiration rather than fear,” Kennedy said.
More: A look at the closest Minnesota presidential election races in the last 50 years
What do Minnesotans care about?
The poll identified five top issues for voters:
- Democracy (27.4%)
- Economy/jobs (26.1%)
- Immigration (14.6%)
- Crime (8%)
- Healthcare (7%)
Previous polling from KSTP/SurveyUSA gave Biden a two-point lead in both April and May surveys.
— Sam Woodward is the Minnesota elections reporting fellow for USA Today. You can reach her at swoodward@gannett.com, on X @woodyreports, or on Threads @samjowoody
Minnesota
D.C. Memo: Trump admin accuses Minnesota of SNAP fraud
WASHINGTON – The Trump administration’s war on Minnesota resumed this week with the continuation of Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s “Operation Metro Surge” and an escalation of President Trump’s rhetoric about the state’s Somalis and Gov. Tim Walz.
Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins opened a new front by also attacking Walz this week, saying in a post on X that the state’s food stamp program was beset by fraud perpetrated by “illegals” and “transnational crime rings.”
“@GovTimWalz. Welfare benefits are for the truly needed,” Rollins said. “Not bad actors, Not criminals. And not for Illegals. @USDA compliance investigations will be asked to reauthorize to accept SNAP. Say goodbye to trafficking, transnational crime rings, and skimmed benefits in MN retailers.”
Rep. Angie Craig, D-2nd District, quickly pointed out that it’s the USDA, not the state, that is responsible for licensing and overseeing retailers that accept Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) payments from their customers through EBT cards.
“USDA has the responsibility to oversee SNAP retailers, so tweeting about my governor is idiotic,” said Craig, the top Democrat on the House Agriculture Committee. “Undocumented individuals have never been eligible for SNAP benefits. This is just another cruel effort from this administration to use Minnesota’s immigrant community as pawns in its fights with a Democratic-led state.”
Minnesota was already at loggerheads with Rollins because it is one of 22 states that have failed to provide the USDA with records of its SNAP program, including the names of recipients and transaction data.
Rollins, who issued the request on May 6, has threatened non-compliant states with the elimination of the federal funds to administer the program. Those funds have already been reduced by Trump’s “big beautiful” budget bill, which resulted in hikes in property taxes in Minnesota where individual counties run the food stamp program. A further reduction in federal funds could wreak new havoc on the budgets of the state’s counties.
Instead of providing information about their SNAP program to Rollins, Minnesota and the 21 other states have sued the USDA.
“USDA’s attempt to collect this information from Plaintiff States flies in the face of privacy and security protections in federal and state law,” the lawsuit says.
It also says that, while the USDA has demanded the information to detect “overpayments and fraud,” the move “appears to be part of the federal government’s well-publicized campaign to amass enormous troves of personal and private data, including information on taxpayers and Medicaid recipients, to advance goals that have nothing to do with combating waste, fraud, or abuse in federal benefit programs.”
Minnesota’s GOP lawmakers, however, have sided with the USDA on this issue.
Reps. Brad Finstad, R-1st District; Pete Stauber, R-8th District; Tom Emmer, R-6th District; and Michelle Fischbach, R-7th District, wrote to Walz and the leaders of Minnesota’s state Legislature this week
The lawmakers said an analysis of the 28 GOP-led states that did provide the information requested by Rollins found substantial fraud in the food stamp program.
Among other things, the lawmakers asked the Walz administration to provide “a full explanation” of why the state did not complete “required security assessments of SNAP systems” and “an update on the state’s response” to Rollins’s data request.
Senate stumbles on extending ACA subsidies
As was expected, the U.S. Senate on Thursday failed to approve a Democratic bill that would have extended enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies and a GOP bill that would have provided those who buy health insurance from MNsure or from ACA exchanges in other states with expanded health savings accounts as an alternative to the enhanced subsidies.
Those enhanced subsidies allowed higher-income Minnesotans (making up to 400% of the federal poverty level or $128,600 in income for a family of four) to receive help in paying for their health insurance premiums. They also increased aid for those with lower incomes.
About 90,000 Minnesotans benefited from those enhanced premiums. But they expire on Dec. 31. The subsidies are paid directly to insurers and the nation’s insurance companies have already factored the loss of that money (about $40 billion a year) in their proposals for 2026 rates, which will increase substantially for those who purchase insurance from an ACA exchange.
Even those who receive their health care coverage from their employer or purchase their health care outside an exchange will see premiums rise, because of medical inflation and GOP cuts to Medicaid as well as the expectation the enhanced GOP subsidies will end.
Thursday’s Senate votes were part of a deal Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., made with Democrats to end the government shutdown last month.
But a bipartisan compromise has been elusive. Sens. Amy Klobuchar and Tina Smith joined their Democratic colleagues in voting for an extension of the subsidies and against the GOP plan. Both bills were rejected because they failed to secure the 60 votes needed to end a filibuster.
“By refusing to act, Congress has put millions of Americans in an impossible position — forcing families, farmers, and small business owners to question whether they can even afford to keep their insurance,” Klobuchar said in a statement. “I will keep fighting to end this health care crisis, lower costs, and increase access to quality care.”
The prospect of extending the enhanced premium subsidies faces an even steeper climb in the U.S. House, where GOP leaders continue to seek an end to the Affordable Care Act.
Still, there is faint hope for a bipartisan compromise. Two bipartisan bills in the House would extend the subsidies for a year or two, with restrictions on those who would qualify for the aid.
House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., does not want to schedule a vote on legislation that would extend the ACA subsidies. But he said he will allow a vote next week on a Republican alternative.
Meanwhile, House sponsors of the bipartisan bills are seeking the signatures of a majority — or 218 — of House members that would force consideration of their bills.
Even if lawmakers are able to hold a vote on a bipartisan compromise, that cannot be done until next year. Congress plans to leave Washington, D.C., on its holiday break next week.
In other news:
▪️We wrote about President Trump’s stepped up attacks on the Somali community in Minnesota and U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar, including public calls for the Somali-American lawmaker to be deported.
▪️We also shared an AP story about the Trump administration’s plan to provide $12 billion for farmers struggling in the wake of a trade war spawned by new tariffs on China.
▪️How thorough has an audit of payments in the state’s 14 Medicaid program been? Matt Blake took a look.
▪️Also, Cleo Krejci interviewed a GOP state lawmaker who is resisting calls for Republicans to refute President Trump’s comments about Somalis, calling it “selective partisan outrage” on the part of Democrats.
This and that
A reader responded to a story about President Donald Trump’s latest, and most disturbing, attack on Rep. Ilhan Omar and Minnesota’s Somali community, which referenced a Tuesday rally in Pennsylvania at which Trump said, “Why is it we only take people from shithole countries, right? Why can’t we have some people from Norway, Sweden?”
“What Trump is saying is no less vile than what Nazis said about Jews,” the reader wrote. “He wonders why modern America is not attracting Norwegians, Swedes and Danes? The answer – those places are far better places to learn, work, raise a family and age in good health. Nobody wants to live in a place led by an angry, violent and psychotic bully when they have a better option.”
Please keep your comments, and any questions, coming. I’ll try my best to respond. Please contact me at aradelat@minnpost.com.
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Minnesota
So Minnesota: Enchanted Fantasy Film Museum brings Hollywood magic to Twin Cities
So Minnesota: Enchanted Fantasy Film Museum brings Hollywood magic to Twin Cities
One museum in the Maplewood Mall brings a part of Hollywood glamour to the Twin Cities.
William Swift is the owner and curator of Enchanted Fantasy Film Museum.
“I own the largest display of film costumes in North America, which is crazy,” Swift said.
There are more than 350 costumes and props on display from over 90 films and TV shows.
“I have stuff from Narnia, the Power Rangers, and have quite an extensive collection from Game of Thrones,” Swift said. “It’s just so cool and so fun to share with people such a grand collection. We never get anything like this in Minnesota or even really in the Midwest.”
Years ago, Swift, a longtime film buff, started collecting screen-used movie memorabilia in auctions. In 2024, he opened the museum with his massive collection.
“Eventually I ran out of room in my house, and I thought maybe it was time to take that leap of faith,” Swift said.
Minnesota
MyPillow’s Mike Lindell announces he’s running for Minnesota governor as a Republican
MyPillow founder and CEO Mike Lindell has announced he will run for Minnesota governor in 2026 against incumbent Gov. Tim Walz.
Lindell, 64, last week filed the paperwork to potentially run, but at the time said he hadn’t yet 100% decided on a gubernatorial run. On Thursday, he made it official.
“After prayerful consideration and hearing from so many of you across our great state, I’ve made the decision to enter the 2026 gubernatorial race,” Lindell posted on social media Thursday. “I’m still standing and I’ll stand for you.”
Lindell will run as a Republican and a noted ally of President Trump, and enters a crowded field of names who have already tossed their hats into the ring, as Walz, a Democrat, attempts to secure an unprecedented third consecutive four-year term as Minnesota’s governor.
“We’ve seen what happens when we elect a con man to the highest office in America,” Walz said Thursday, responding to Lindell’s announcement. “We can’t let it happen here in Minnesota.”
In addition to Lindell, state House Republican speaker Lisa Demuth has already announced a run for governor, as well as Scott Jensen, the Republican candidate who lost to Walz in the 2022 midterms. Other Republican hopefuls include Minnesota Rep. Kristin Robbins, Kendall Qualls and defense lawyer Chris Madel.
Lindell launched a campaign website, listing his main campaign priorities as including stopping fraud, fixing “failing school systems,” stopping “exploding property taxes” and “send(ing) illegal immigrants back.”
Lindell’s MyPillow has been at the center of a number of legal issues through the years, and earlier this year was ordered to pay hundreds of thousands of dollars to shipping company DHL.
Also, a judge this year ruled that Lindell defamed election technology company Smartmatic after he alleged their voting machines rigged the 2020 presidential election in favor of former President Joe Biden. Lindell made similar unfounded claims against Dominion Voting Systems.
Minnesota has a history of political outsiders overperforming in statewide races, most notably former Gov. Jesse Ventura’s surprising win in 1998, but also it’s been two decades since a Republican won a statewide race in the increasingly blue-tilting state.
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