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Minnesota presidential poll: Biden leads Trump post-conviction

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Minnesota presidential poll: Biden leads Trump post-conviction


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The first poll conducted of Minnesota voters post-former President Donald Trump’s felony conviction shows President Joe Biden with a slight lead.

A new poll released by KARE11, MPR News and the Star Tribune found that the race to win the White House is still a close one in the North Star State.

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Despite a Republican president not winning Minnesota in more than 50 years and Biden handily beating Trump in 2020, an unapproving and apathetic electorate is predicted to make 2024 a close election.

Here are the key takeaways from the poll.

Sign up for Your Vote: Text USA TODAY reporters and the elections team by joining our SMS service.

Biden leads Trump, but not by much

Of the 800 registered Minnesotan voters polled in the survey, 44.5% said they’d support Biden while 40.6% said they’d cast their vote for Trump with a margin of error of ± 3.5 %

Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. holds 6.4% of the vote while 7% of those surveyed are undecided and 2% favor other candidates.

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More: Elections 2024: Will Minnesota be a battleground state in November?

Who’s voting for who?

Minnesotan voters are sticking to their party lines, according to the results. Most Democrats supported Biden and Republicans Trump.

Independent voters are split. While nearly 12% said they were undecided, more than 37% of those polled said they’d cast their ballot for Trump, almost 35% for Biden.

Is RFK Jr. a spoiler candidate?

According to Kennedy, no, he doesn’t see himself as a spoiler.

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Despite it being statistically unlikely that Kennedy wins the presidential election, his presence on the ballot is attracting unhappy voters away from their major party figures.

Thirteen percent of independent voters polled in Minnesota said they’d back Kennedy.

In an exclusive interview with USA TODAY, the 70-year-old said he’s the hope a lot of Americans are looking for.

“I think it’s important that Americans feel that its potential for democracy to work for them, and they don’t have to vote the lesser of two evils. They don’t have to hold their nose and vote for a candidate they don’t like because they hate the other guy worse,” Kennedy said.

In a race that looks like it might come down to single digits, the independent candidate could be enough to pull votes away from either candidate to secure them a victory, putting the race in an even closer position.

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“I think it’s important to give them an alternative where they can continue to have hope for our democracy and vote out of inspiration rather than fear,” Kennedy said.

More: A look at the closest Minnesota presidential election races in the last 50 years

What do Minnesotans care about?

The poll identified five top issues for voters:

  • Democracy (27.4%)
  • Economy/jobs (26.1%)
  • Immigration (14.6%)
  • Crime (8%)
  • Healthcare (7%)

Previous polling from KSTP/SurveyUSA gave Biden a two-point lead in both April and May surveys.

Sam Woodward is the Minnesota elections reporting fellow for USA Today. You can reach her at swoodward@gannett.com, on X @woodyreports, or on Threads @samjowoody



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Much colder with snow possible by Thanksgiving weekend

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Much colder with snow possible by Thanksgiving weekend


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Minnesota lawmakers react as House, Senate vote to release Epstein files

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Minnesota lawmakers react as House, Senate vote to release Epstein files


The stunning vote to release the Epstein files saw all members of Minnesota’s House and Senate delegations voting yes to release the files.

Minnesota Republicans and almost every other Republican were all lined up to vote no, but all changed their mind after President Trump said he now supports the release of the files.

Rep. Ilhan Omar, a Democrat, celebrated the vote but had criticism for those who had previously planned to vote no on releasing the files.

“While I am glad the House passed this legislation, it is unconscionable that we needed a discharge petition to get a vote because Republican Leadership refused to take up this issue,” she said in a statement.

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Meanwhile, Republican Rep. Brad Finstad praised the House Oversight Committee, which last week released more than 20,000 pages of records from Epstein’s estate, for its work.

“Jeffrey Epstein’s victims have experienced untold physical and emotional damage at the hands of powerful people. It’s these women, more than anyone, who deserve to know the truth,” Finstad said.

DFL Congresswoman Kelly Morrison met with survivors of Epstein’s abuse, who were on Capitol Hill ahead of the vote.

“Well, it’s really emotional to listen to these remarkable people retell some of their stories, talk about the decades of frustration that they have suffered through in their journey to try to get justice,” Morrison said. “It was very emotional, and I’m just struck by, honestly, their courage, their resilience and their determination.”

Rep. Tom Emmer, who is a member of the GOP leadership, released a statement saying, “House Republicans have been consistent with our calls for transparency and for accountability regarding Epstein. That is why I voted in favor of the Epstein Files Transparency Act.”

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Things are moving quickly right now on Capitol Hill. Late Tuesday afternoon, the Senate followed the House in voting to release the files.



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Teen injured in south Minneapolis shooting, police say; no arrests

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Teen injured in south Minneapolis shooting, police say; no arrests



Police in south Minneapolis are investigating after a 16-year-old boy was injured in a shooting on Monday afternoon.

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Officers responded to the incident at 1825 E. Lake St. around 3:31 p.m., according to officials. They found the teen with a gunshot wound that was not life-threatening. He was taken to the hospital. 

Investigators are working to learn the circumstances of the shooting. 

Police said no arrests have been made.



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