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Indiana Pacers’ Odds Of Moving Up In The 2023 NBA Draft Lottery

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Indiana Pacers’ Odds Of Moving Up In The 2023 NBA Draft Lottery


The 2023 NBA Draft Lottery is in a few days, and the Indiana Pacers are hoping for the luck of the draw for the third year in a row. They had the 13th overall pick in 2021 and sixth overall pick in 2022.

Last year, the team had the fifth-best lottery odds after a hellish 25-57 campaign, but the Pacers did not end up jumping up via the ping pong ball drawing. Instead, they fell to sixth after the Sacramento Kings moved into the top four and the rest of the lottery followed the odds.

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That sixth pick was still the highest the Pacers had owned since the 1980s, and they used it on Bennedict Mathurin, who recently was named to the All-Rookie first team. He had a special year, and Indiana will hope to repeat that success in the lottery again this time around.

“The very top of it is obviously impactful,” Pacers head coach Rick Carlsile said of the 2023 draft class. “When you get to the next tier, you’re looking at some really talented guys.”

This year, the Pacers lottery odds are lower than last year. They finished tied for the seventh-worst record this time around, so they are lower in the inverse standings. That weakens their odds, though they are still strong after the NBA changed the lottery structure in 2019.

Indiana and Washington finished with the same record (35-47), so they are splitting the average odds of the seventh and eighth lottery slots. A random coin flip performed in mid April determined that the Pacers would finish higher than the Wizards in the draft order if neither team jumped up in the lottery, and that also gives the blue and gold one extra ping pong ball combination in the lottery process. 1,001 combinations exist for the lottery drawing, and all but one of them correspond to one of the 14 lottery teams.

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Because the Pacers sit in seventh in the pre-lottery draft order, they could pick anywhere between one and four as well as anywhere between seven and 11. The top-four picks are decided via the drawing of ping pong balls, and the remaining lottery teams are placed in the inverse order of the standings.

The NBA’s changed lottery system from 2019 flattened the odds for lottery teams, skewing them away from the teams with the worst record. It also added a fourth drawing — only the top-three picks used to be decided by the drawing.

In the old system, the team in the seventh slot — like Indiana is this year — would have had a 4.3% chance at the number one pick. When accounting for the split with Washington, those odds would have dropped to 3.5%. There would have been a 12.5% chance for either team to jump into the top three picks.

Instead, the Pacers odds look much better this season. They can be seen in this table on Tankathon as well. Note that there is some rounding involved with these numbers.

First overall pick: 6.8%

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Second overall pick: 7.1%

Third overall pick: 7.5%

Fourth overall pick: 7.9%

Overall chance at moving into the top four: 29.4%

The Pacers had better than a 42% chance to move into the top four last season, but it was not to be. They will be happy with Mathurin either way.

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“All teams have to draft well,” Pacers guard T.J. McConnell said last summer.

If Indiana doesn’t move up via the lottery drawing, they will hope that none of the teams below them in the inverse standings move up and they remain at seven. The odds they end up at their possible non-lottery pick locations are as follows, per Tankathon.

Seventh: 19.7%

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Eighth: 35.6%

Ninth: 13.8%

Tenth: 1.4%

11th: Less than 0.2%

If infinite simulations of the lottery were run, the weighted average of the Pacers draft slot would be 6.4, per Tankathon, though they can’t actually end up with the sixth overall pick. Their median outcome is between the seventh and eighth picks, which are the two most likely spots for the franchise to end up. It is more likely that a team behind the Pacers in the inverse standings jumps them in the lottery than Indiana moving up themselves, which is why the eighth slot is the most likely.

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There is nothing a team can do to change the lottery odds of its pick slot. The Indiana Pacers are at the mercy of luck during next Tuesday’s lottery, and they will hope to move up into the top four and pick inside the top five for the first time since 1988.



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Indiana

Pacers Predicted to Part With Obi Toppin For $70M Guard

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Pacers Predicted to Part With Obi Toppin For M Guard


The Indiana Pacers have some work to do if they want to be seen as legitimate title contenders.

With a pair of routs during the NBA Paris Games — losing by 30 and two days later winning by 38 — the Pacers are now at 24-20 which is good for the No. 5 seed in the Eastern Conference.

At 8-2 in the last 10 matchups, the Pacers are certainly doing something right, but to compete with the top-tier of NBA talent come playoff time, a roster edit or two might be necessary.

More news: Kyle Kuzma Growing ‘Impatient’ With Wizards is Good News for Pacers

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A name that has been thrown around is rotational piece Obi Toppin.

Continuing his solid play from last season, Toppin is putting up 10 points and four rebounds per game on 54 percent shooting during his second season in Indiana.

The 26-year-old has recently been predicted to get dealt before the Feb. 6 trade deadline in exchange for another bench piece.

More news: Pacers’ Rick Carlisle Says Paris Will Remember Tyrese Haliburton, Not Victor Wembanyama

Pacers receive: Grayson Allen

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Suns receive: Obi Toppin

The Phoenix Suns are in a similar position to Indiana as they see themselves as contenders, despite being the No. 8 seed in a stacked Western Conference. This can be a mutually beneficial trade.

Allen is a three-point specialist leading the NBA in three-point percentage last year with a 46 percent average. Putting up 10.9 points per game, he can be a similar scoring presence to Toppin but with the ability to spread the floor in a more efficient way.

Indiana is also 20th in the league in total three-pointers made per game this season and would love to have a deep threat on the bench in Allen.

Although it would be hard to part ways with Toppin, making a trade now may be the best time to do it given his current value. Additionally, there are a lot of forwards on the Pacers roster, and making this trade gives more opportunity to others to get minutes while adding a piece that makes them more of a contender.

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More news: Pacers Could Make Splash in East With Trade For Multi-Time All-Star Pacers Rumors: Myles Turner Contract Situation Could Be Big Problem For Indiana Pacers Could Land $125M Forward Before Trade Deadline



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Suspect dead after shooting involving Indiana sheriff's deputy during traffic stop: officials

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Suspect dead after shooting involving Indiana sheriff's deputy during traffic stop: officials


A suspect is dead after a shooting involving an Indiana sheriff’s deputy during a traffic stop Sunday in northwest Indiana, authorities said.

Deadly shooting in Northwest Indiana 

What we know:

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The incident occurred at 4:15 p.m. on State Road 14, east of County Road 475 E, near the Pulaski County line.

During the traffic stop, the Jasper County sheriff’s deputy attempted to arrest the suspect, but the suspect resisted. 

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An altercation ensued, and the deputy fired his weapon, fatally wounding the suspect, authorities said.

Further investigation revealed the suspect was armed with a firearm during the traffic stop.  

What’s next:

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Indiana State Police are leading the investigation, with assistance from the Jasper County Prosecutor’s Office. 

Once the investigation is complete, the findings will be submitted to the prosecutor’s office for further review. 

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We’ll bring more updates to this story as they become available. 

Crime and Public SafetyIndianaNews



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Indiana to reconsider iGaming in 2025

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Indiana to reconsider iGaming in 2025


Indiana has joined the ranks of US states that will take a fresh look at online gambling legislation aiming to authorize and regulate the market segment during 2025. Indiana State Rep. Ethan Manning, a long-time backer of online gambling expansion in the state, has introduced House Bill 1432, an omnibus measure of gambling-related topics, including the approval of online poker and other casino-style online games.

Manning has sponsored or backed several previous gambling measures, the last of those coming in 2023 with his House Bill 1536. Manning’s new measure, HB 1432 (2025), had been teased earlier in January but was finally introduced on Tuesday, then immediately assigned to the House Committee on Public Policy, which Manning chairs.

Manning is also the sponsor of a second bill regarding charitable-gaming initiatives that will also receive early-year attention before his committee. Both gaming-related bills are scheduled for initial discussion on Tuesday, January 28.

iGaming returns to Indiana’s legislative debates

In 2023, Indiana had been considered one of the US states most likely to approve online poker. The state had been a relatively early adopter of online sports betting, and iGaming in Indiana appeared ripe for a similar run toward approval. However, a prominent corruption scandal involving another gambling-expansion proponent sent the state into a cool-off period, legislatively speaking, and Manning’s once-promising bill was allowed to expire and an informal moratorium on the topic went into place for all of 2024.

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The issue, which lawmakers believed put a temporary taint on iGaming in Indiana, was the charging of one-time State Rep. Sean Eberhart as part of a scheme to benefit Spectacle Gaming, a former provider of off-track betting services at a small number of northern Iowa venues.

As part of the scheme, Eberhart lobbied and advocated for slashing or eliminating fees connected to two gaming licenses to be acquired by Spectacle. In return, Eberhart accepted the promise of a future position with the company with an annual salary of $350,000. In late 2023, Eberhart agreed to plead guilty and was ultimately sentenced to a fine and a prison sentence of year and a day. 



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