Cleveland, OH

2 good bets on Ohio State vs. W. Kentucky that don’t involve the point spread: Tyler Shoemaker’s ‘Betting the Buckeyes’

Published

11 months ago

September 15, 2023

2 good bets on Ohio State vs. W. Kentucky that don’t involve the point spread: Tyler Shoemaker’s ‘Betting the Buckeyes’

COLUMBUS, Ohio – So I am being asked if there was a way I thought about this Ohio State football team coming into the season, and how much of that has changed after the first two weeks of the year.

It’s a good question.

So my Ohio State power rating has decreased from 28.1 to 21.6, a 6 1/2-point downgrade in their power rating just through two weeks. And some of that is now I’ve got my FCS ratings like we talked about last week, so I’m able to properly quantify that performance against Youngstown State.

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I’ve got the game grades here, which is basically my rating for, “How many points above or below FBS average was your performance?” And I do that for both sides of the ball.

So Ohio State’s offensive grade against Indiana was minus-5.3. I went back and looked and that’s only 1 1/2 points worse than the Northwestern game from last year, which was played in hurricane-like conditions.

So to put that into perspective: How bad was the Buckeyes’ offensive performance on paper in that Indiana game? It was almost as bad as the 2022 Northwestern game.

The defense, though, has been great. The defense had a positive 16 rating in the Indiana game. And then in the Youngstown State game, the offense again barely above FBS average at 0.7, but the defense 12.6.

So the defense is really saving the power rating. If the defense had the same rating from last year, I mean, Ohio State, I’ve got them No. 7 now overall they would be well outside the top 10 for sure.

I do expect the Buckeye offense to get back on track now.

I think had Kyle McCord played every snap of the season so far, I think Ohio State’s power rating and their offensive rating would be much, much higher because they just looked and performed so much better with him at the helm. So I think now that he’s settled in as the starter, doesn’t have to look over his shoulder and is going to play the majority of the snaps, I do expect the offensive rating and then therefore the overall power rating to increase for them here as the season goes on.

Betting Ohio State vs. W. Kentucky

I project this game minus-27 for Ohio State, which is about where it opened, but has been bet up to 29, 29 1/2 some places.

I started Ohio State this season with my No. 1 projected offense and that’s now dropped to No. 10. However, the defense was like barely in the top 20 or top 25 and now that’s up to No. 7.

I think I would stay away from the side here in this game until we get a better handle on them, maybe after next week. But I do expect their numbers to kind of normalize and I think the numbers will have a much better handle on them here in a week or two.

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Honestly, you know, sometimes in games like this where it’s against kind of a no-name team, I think Ohio State kind of gets inflated a little bit.

I actually think, at least from what I’ve seen in the media and on Twitter and stuff, I think people are almost giving too much respect to Western Kentucky at this point. I think it’s gone the other way where I think some media may have OSU fans like, ‘Oh my God, are we going to maybe lose to Western Kentucky or is this going to be a one-score game?’

And I don’t think that’s going to be the case at all.

In fact, my Ohio State bet for this week would be to take the Western Kentucky team total under 17 1/2.

If you find it at 17, I would probably still take it. Obviously don’t like it as much if you can’t get the 17 1/2, but I think the defense is going to suffocate them. I think Denzel Burke and the corners have been excellent, albeit against not nearly as good passing attacks as Western Kentucky has.

But like I said, I think it’s been a little bit overblown at this point. If Western Kentucky is able to sling it all over Ohio State and put points on the board, I will be surprised. I think they’re going to score 14 or less in this game. So I would take the Western Kentucky team total under 17 or better.

Best bets

You can get Marvin Harrison Jr. over 99 1/2 receiving yards at -114 odds.

I think if last week was any indication, Ryan Day and Kyle McCord want to feed him. Western Kentucky is not going to be able to slow him down at all, and if he doesn’t get 100 yards. I will be shocked.

So I think I would take him over 99 1/2 receiving yards at -114 odds.

Bets around the country

I’m taking Florida Atlantic plus-25 vs Clemson

And Cincinnati minus-14 vs Miami (Ohio)

T Shoe’s 2023 record on picks to date

Ohio State bets: 1-2

Best Bets: 1-3

Tyler Shoemaker started betting on sports in 2017, trying hit 10-team parlays every college football Saturday. His hobby quickly turned into a competitive obsession once he learned some betting fundamentals – including the unlikelihood of ever hitting a 10-team parlay.

The idea of his T Shoe Index (TSI) was planted.

Tyler has a bachelor’s and a master’s degree, neither of which is in anything stats or data-related, so he started with a pen and notebook and math. In 2018, those notebooks eventually turned into spreadsheets that he manually populated, which led to his first opportunity to become the unofficial sports betting expert of cleveland.com’s “Buckeye Talk” podcast..

Last season, he cashed 60% (24-16) of his best bets. He hit on 80% (8-2) of his Ohio State bets and was profitable 38% (5-8) on his touchdown-or-more money line upset picks.

This season, he is sharing his insights in a weekly post, “Betting the Buckeyes”

If you or a loved one has questions and needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call the Ohio Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-589-9966 or the National Council on Program Gambling Helpline (NCPG) at 1-800-522-4700 or visit 1800gambler.net for more information. 21+ and present in Ohio. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

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Cleveland, OH

Fatal shooting on east side after reports of large fight: Cleveland Police

Published

6 hours ago

August 4, 2024

Press Room

Fatal shooting on east side after reports of large fight: Cleveland Police

CLEVELAND, Ohio (WOIO) – One man is dead after a shooting following reports of a large fight on the east side, according to Cleveland Police.

Police got reports of a large fight around 2:50 a.m. on Saturday in the 1000 block of East 71st Street.

While officers were en route, they learned that two people were shot.

Police located a 22-year-old man and a 24-year-old man who were both shot, according to a release.

Both of the men were taken to the hospital by EMS.

The 22-year-old man later died at the hospital.

The condition of the 24-year-old is unknown.

Cleveland Police homicide unit is investigating, according to police.

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Cleveland, OH

WWE SummerSlam 2024 Results: Winners And Grades On August 3, 2024

Published

14 hours ago

August 4, 2024

Press Room

WWE SummerSlam 2024 results

Credit: WWE.com

WWE SummerSlam 2024 from Cleveland, Ohio advertised six championship matches. Among them was Solo Sikoa challenging Cody Rhodes for the WWE Undisputed Championship, LA Knight challenging Logan Paul for the WWE United States Championship, Sami Zayn defending the WWE Intercontinental Championship against Bron Breakker and GUNTHER challenging Damian Priest for the WWE World Championship.

This week’s broadcast of WWE Raw garnered 1.412 million viewers on SyFy after being preempted by the Olympics.

WWE SummerSlam Results | August 3, 2024

Liv Morgan def. Rhea Ripley | WWE Women’s World Championship
Bron Breakker def. Sami Zayn | WWE Intercontinental Championship
LA Knight def. Logan Paul | WWE United States Championship
Nia Jax def. Bayley | WWE Women’s Championship
Drew McIntyre def. CM Punk
GUNTHER def. Damian Priest | WWE World Heavyweight Championship
Cody Rhodes def. Solo Sikoa | WWE Undisputed Championship

WWE SummerSlam 2024 Ticket Sales

WWE SummerSlam 2024 Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium (Cleveland, OH)
WWE SummerSlam 2024 Tickets Distributed: 55,858
WWE SummerSlam 2024 Tickets Available: 807

WWE Money In The Bank 2024 Winners And Grades

Liv Morgan Def. Rhea Ripley

Despite all the talk of The Judgment Day competing by themselves, Dominik Mysterio accompanied Rhea Ripley to the ring.

Michael Cole noted the last time Rhea Ripley lost a singles match was 26 months ago. To Liv Morgan.

This match started as a cat-and-mouse as Liv ran away from Ripley. Fans became frustrated and booed Liv loudly.

Rhea dominated this match until Liv Morgan dodged a charging Ripley and followed up by throwing her, shoulder-first, into the turnbuckle. Ripley could be heard (kayfabe) saying “it’s out, it’s out!”

Fans were split as they made dueling chants of “let’s go Rhea/let’s go Liv!”

Liv Morgan (kayfabe) popped her shoulder back into place by running herself into the announce table and fans went crazy.

Ripley hit the riptide, but did not pin Morgan. Instead, she grabbed a steel chair that Morgan brought into the ring. Mysterio grabbed the chair from her, which was the wise decision because she would have gotten herself disqualified. This led to an Oblivion for a nearfall and “holy s—t” chants.

Dom distracted the ref, leading to an Oblivion on the steel chair for the win. After the match, Dominik Mysterio kissed Liv Morgan and they left together.

Backstage, Damian Priest was furious with Dominik Mysterio for his actions. Finn and the rest of the Judgment Day vowed to go find him. I don’t trust them.

Rhea Ripley vs. Liv Morgan Grade: A-

Bron Breakker Def. Sami Zayn

Bron Breakker hit his always impressive Breakkensteiner early on, then he proceeded to scream “quit!” at Sami Zayn.

Bron Breakker cut Sami Zayn off with a Spear, then he hit ayn with another Spear for the win. This wasn’t necessarily a squash match, but it was definitely a dominant win for Breakker.

Bron Breakker vs. Sami Zayn Grade: B

LA Knight Def. Logan Paul

Logan Paul wore a Cleveland-inspired American Flag vest and greeted two security guards on his way to the ring. One of hte security guards turned out to be Cleveland’s own MGK.

LA Knight shattered the glass on Logan Paul’s Prime vehicle before making his way to the ring.

Paul cleared the table, but LA Knight got the better of him with a modified TKO, though the table didn’t break.

Paul won these people over with a springboard moonsault on LA Knight. Though they cheered the spot, they eventually came to their senses and chanted “you still suck!”

After jumping up on the top rope, LA Knight hit a scary looking superplex. Fans chanted “this is awesome” after a nearfall.

Logan Paul borrowed brass knuckles from MGK. After a shot to LA Knight, Knight countered with a BFT.

Logan Paul vs. LA Knight Grade: A-

Nia Jax Def. Bayley

Bayley relentlessly knocked Nia Jax off her feet early in the match.

Nia Jax took control of the match, to the point where she hit the Annihilator, but Bayley kicked out.

Jax called herself “reckless” and “clumsy” while trash-talking Bayley on offense.

Bayley hit an awesome power bomb on Nia Jax from the top rope. The fans were fervently into a match that struggled to follow Logan Paul vs. LA Knight.

A Tiffany Stratton cash-in was thwarted by Bayley, but the distraction led to two power bombs and two Annihilators for the win.

Nia Jax vs. Bayley Grade: A-

Drew McIntyre Def. CM Punk

Seth Rollins walked out in a long cloak, and what was under the jacket was certain to be even wilder.

WWE used ref cameras on the referee’s ear, and there were never more ref cam shots than during Seth Rollins’ entrance.

Rollins’ referee outfit were baggy, bedazzled pants and a cutoff shirt similar to Shawn Michaels.

Fans chanted “CM Punk” to start the match as punk donned pink gear in homage to Bret Hart.

Rollins did a great job working the fans into a frenzy before ringing the bell. When the bell rang, Punk and McIntyre brawled like crazy.

Instead of counting to 10 while Punk and McIntyre were outside of the ring, Rollins instead chose to tie his shoes. Rollins also took immense pleasure in seeing Punk and Rollins beat the hell out of one another.

During an Anaconda Vice on McIntyre, Punk secured his friendship bracelet and the entire stadium celebrated.

Punk stopped his GTS on McIntyre dead in its tracks and confronted Rollins about wearing his bracelet, which Rollins picked up off the ground did wear, but out of no malice.

After a ref bump and a nearfall (followed by a second visual pinfall), Punk and Rollins got into a heated argument. Punk hit a Go To Sleep on Rollins and took his bracelet back, but it cost him the match.

Drew McIntyre vs. CM Punk Grade: B+

GUNTHER Def. Damian Priest

Finn Balor wished Damian Priest luck before the match. Famous last words.

GUNTHER already had chop marks on his chest before the match even started.

GUNTHER and Priest chopped the hell out of one another to the point where GUNTHER was bleeding from the chest.

Finn Balor hit the ring, presumably to save Priest, but he ended up costing Priest the WWE World Heavyweight Championship by putting GUNTHER’s leg on the bottom rope.

After this match, Jelly Roll, The Miz and R-Truth took out A-Town Down Under.

GUNTHER vs. Damian Priest Grade: B+

Cody Rhodes Def. Solo Sikoa

Cody Rhodes ran into Arn Anderson backstage, and Anderson said he called in a few favors to a few allies of Cody Rhodes. Some of whom he knows, some he doesn’t.

For a full recap of Cody vs. Solo Sikoa in Bloodline Rules, click here.

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Cleveland, OH

Ohio State loses out to Oregon for in-state five-star safety

Published

21 hours ago

August 3, 2024

Press Room

Ohio State loses out to Oregon for in-state five-star safety

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