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What Trump’s second term could mean for student debt

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What Trump’s second term could mean for student debt

Donald Trump’s Oval Office return could mean a major rollback of efforts to relieve student debt — at least if his campaign comments and first-term record are any indicator.

During his last administration, Trump took steps to limit debt cancellation for students defrauded by their schools and proposed eliminating the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program. Conservative activist groups have urged the president-elect to take similar action this time around.

And in 2023, when the Supreme Court struck down President Joe Biden’s first stab at a sweeping student debt forgiveness program, Trump applauded. The attempt to wipe out approximately $430 billion owed by borrowers was “very, very unfair to the millions and millions of people who have paid their debt through hard work” he told a crowd in New Jersey, adding that it was just “a way to buy votes.”

In all, the Biden administration has managed to waive $175 billion of student loans through various programs. But several of its major initiatives aimed at further reducing Americans’ $1.7 trillion pile of education loans have stalled in the face of legal challenges or are still in the process of being written by regulators, giving Trump ample room to try to unwind them if he chooses.

Based on a review of Trump’s website and platform, as well as conversations with advocates, it does not appear that Trump’s campaign released any specific proposals regarding student debt, though he has called for eliminating the Department of Education. A campaign spokesman did not respond to a request for comment about the incoming administration’s plans.

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Here’s what debt cancellation initiatives remain in limbo — and what could change.

Read more: Do I qualify for student loan forgiveness?

Biden’s Plan B

The Biden administration’s second attempt to craft a wide-scale student loan forgiveness — nicknamed “Plan B” — looks to be in peril. In April, the Department of Education proposed new rules that would allow it to waive debt for an estimated 30 million Americans, including former students who owed more than their original principal or had been repaying their balances for more than 20 years.

That plan has been repeatedly blocked from going into effect thanks to a lawsuit by Republican state attorneys general. Trump’s Department of Education could shelve it for good by simply declining to finalize the program’s rules, since they were never officially completed. The same goes for a preliminary proposal the Biden administration unveiled last month that would have allowed it to clear away debts for borrowers facing financial hardships.

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Finance

American Public Education Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results

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American Public Education Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results

Net Income & Adjusted EBITDA Performance Driven by Further Stabilization and Improvement in Rasmussen and Hondros Segments

CHARLES TOWN, W.Va., Nov. 12, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — American Public Education, Inc. (Nasdaq: APEI), a portfolio of education companies providing online and campus-based postsecondary education and career learning to over 125,000 students through four subsidiary institutions, has reported unaudited financial and operational results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.

“The third quarter demonstrated continued progress in the goals we set out at the beginning of this year,” said Angela Selden, President and Chief Executive Officer of APEI. “In the third quarter of 2024, Rasmussen had its first positive year over year enrollment comparison since our acquisition of the business and we expect continued momentum in that business. Hondros continues to show improvement in the third quarter and we expect further enrollment growth in the fourth quarter of this year.”

“We remain on track to deliver on the expectations we set out at the beginning of this year. We maintained that Rasmussen would be EBITDA positive in the second half of 2024 and we are on track to deliver. We are confident in our revenue, net income and Adjusted EBITDA outlook in 2024.

We believe the steps we have taken throughout last year and this year are leading to greater student engagement and outcomes and will continue to be reflected in the financial results and provide greater long term shareholder value,” concluded Selden.

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Balance Sheet and Liquidity

  • Total cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash were $162.2 million at September 30, 2024, compared to $144.3 million and December 31, 2023, representing an increase of $17.9 million, or 12.4%.

Registrations and Enrollment

Q3 2024

Q3 2023

% Change

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American Public University System 1

For the three months ended September 30,
  Net Course Registrations

92,500

92,300

0.2 %

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Rasmussen University 2

For the three months ended September 30,
  Total Student Enrollment

13,500

13,500

0 %

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Hondros College of Nursing 3

For the three months ended September 30,
  Total Student Enrollment

3,100

2,800

10.4 %

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  1. APUS Net Course Registrations represents the approximate aggregate number of courses for which students remain enrolled after the date by which they may drop a course without financial penalty. Excludes students in doctoral programs.

  2. RU Total Student Enrollment represents students in an active status as of the full-term census or billing date.

  3. HCN Total Student Enrollment represents the approximate number of students enrolled in a course after the date by which students may drop a course without financial penalty.

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Outlook

The following statements are based on APEI’s current expectations. These statements are forward-looking and actual results may differ materially. APEI undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason unless required by law. Refer to APEI’s earnings conference call and presentation for further details.

Fourth Quarter 2024 Guidance

(Approximate)

(% Yr/Yr Change)

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APUS Net course registrations

94,400 to 96,100

4% to 6%

HCN Student enrollment

3,700

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19 %

RU Student enrollment

14,600

4 %

 – On-ground Healthcare

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6,300

-3 %

 – Online

8,300

9 %

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($ in millions except EPS)

APEI Consolidated revenue

$159.0 – $164.0

4% to 8%

APEI Net loss/income available to common stockholders

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$9.0 – $11.0

(20%) – (4.0%)

APEI Adjusted EBITDA

$23.0 – $26.0

(10%) to 2%

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APEI Diluted EPS

$0.47 – $0.56

(26%) to (13%)

Full Year 2024 Guidance

(Approximate)

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(% Yr/Yr Change)

($ in millions)

APEI Consolidated Revenue

$620 – $625

3% to 4%

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APEI Net income available to common stockholders

$7-$9

n.m.

APEI Adjusted EBITDA

$64 – $67

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7% to 12%

APEI Capital Expenditure (CapEx)

$19 – $22

37% to 58%

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

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This press release contains the non-GAAP financial measures of EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) and adjusted EBITDA (EBITDA less non-cash expenses such as stock compensation and non-recurring expenses). APEI believes that the use of these measures is useful because they allow investors to better evaluate APEI’s operating profit and cash generation capabilities.

For the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, adjusted EBITDA excludes impairment of goodwill and intangible assets, severance costs, loss on leases, stock compensation, loss on disposals of long-lived assets, and transition services costs.

These non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to measures determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (GAAP). The principal limitation of our non-GAAP measures is that they exclude expenses that are required by GAAP to be recorded. In addition, non-GAAP measures are subject to inherent limitations as they reflect the exercise of judgment by management about which expenses are excluded.

APEI is presenting EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA in connection with its GAAP results and urges investors to review the reconciliation of EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA to the comparable GAAP financial measures that is included in the tables following this press release (under the captions “GAAP Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA,” and “GAAP Outlook Net Income to Outlook Adjusted EBITDA”) and not to rely on any single financial measure to evaluate its business.

About American Public Education

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American Public Education, Inc. (Nasdaq: APEI), through its institutions American Public University System (APUS), Rasmussen University, Hondros College of Nursing, and Graduate School USA (GSUSA), provides education that transforms lives, advances careers, and improves communities.

APUS, which operates through American Military University and American Public University, is the leading educator to active-duty military and veteran students* and serves approximately 88,000 adult learners worldwide via accessible and affordable higher education.

Rasmussen University is a 120-year-old nursing and health sciences-focused institution that serves approximately 13,500 students across its 20 campuses in six states and online. It also has schools of Business, Technology, Design, Early Childhood Education and Justice Studies.

Hondros College of Nursing focuses on educating pre-licensure nursing students at eight campuses (six in Ohio, one in Indiana, and one in Michigan). It is the largest educator of PN (LPN) nurses in the state of Ohio** and serves approximately 3,100 total students.

Graduate School USA is a leading training provider to the federal workforce with an extensive portfolio of government agency customers. It serves the federal workforce through customized contract training (B2G) to federal agencies and through open enrollment (B2C) to government professionals.

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Both APUS and Rasmussen are institutionally accredited by the Higher Learning Commission (HLC), an institutional accreditation agency recognized by the U.S. Department of Education. Hondros is accredited by the Accrediting Bureau of Health Education Schools (ABHES). GSUSA is accredited by the Accrediting Council for Continuing Education & Training (ACCET). For additional information, visit www.apei.com.

*Based on FY 2019 Department of Defense tuition assistance data, as reported by Military Times, and Veterans Administration student enrollment data as of 2023.

**Based on information compiled by the National Council of State Boards of Nursing and Ohio Board of Nursing.

Forward Looking Statements

Statements made in this press release regarding APEI or its subsidiaries that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements based on current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections about APEI and the industry. In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “seek,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “should,” “will,” “would,” and similar words or their opposites. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future path, expected growth, registration and enrollments, revenues, income and adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA, capital expenditures, the growth and profitability of Rasmussen University and plans with respect to recent, current and future initiatives.

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Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among others, risks related to: APEI’s failure to comply with regulatory and accrediting agency requirements, including the “90/10 Rule”, and to maintain institutional accreditation and the impacts of any actions APEI may take to prevent or correct such failure; APEI’s dependence on the effectiveness of its ability to attract students who persist in its institutions’ programs; changing market demands;  declines in enrollments at APEI’s subsidiaries; the enactment of legislation that adversely impacts APEI or its subsidiaries; APEI’s inability to effectively market its institutions’ programs; APEI’s inability to maintain strong relationships with the military and maintain course registrations and enrollments from military students; the loss or disruption of APEI’s ability to receive funds under tuition assistance programs or the reduction, elimination, or suspension of tuition assistance; adverse effects of changes APEI makes to improve the student experience and enhance the ability to identify and enroll students who are likely to succeed; APEI’s need to successfully adjust to future market demands by updating existing programs and developing new programs; APEI’s loss of eligibility to participate in Title IV programs or ability to process Title IV financial aid; economic and market conditions and changes in interest rates; difficulties involving acquisitions; APEI’s indebtedness and preferred stock; APEI’s dependence on and the need to continue to invest in its technology infrastructure, including with respect to third-party vendors; the inability to recognize the anticipated benefits of APEI’s cost savings and revenue generating efforts; APEI’s ability to manage and limit its exposure to bad debt; and the various risks described in the “Risk Factors” section and elsewhere in APEI’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, and in other filings with the SEC. You should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. APEI undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason, unless required by law, even if new information becomes available or other events occur in the future.

Company Contact
Frank Tutalo
Director, Public Relations
American Public Education, Inc.
ftutalo@apei.com
571-358-3042

Investor Relations
Brian M. Prenoveau, CFA
MZ North America
Direct: 561-489-5315
APEI@mzgroup.us

 

American Public Education, Inc.

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Consolidated Statement of Income

(In thousands, except per share data)

Three Months Ended

September 30,

2024

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2023

(unaudited)

Revenues 

$

153,122

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$

150,838

Costs and expenses: 

Instructional costs and services 

75,401

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73,228

Selling and promotional 

33,459

33,315

General and administrative 

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35,030

30,885

Depreciation and amortization

5,080

7,026

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Loss (gain) on disposals of long-lived assets

23

(16)

   Total costs and expenses

148,993

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144,438

Income from operations before

  interest and income taxes

4,129

6,400

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Interest expense, net

(631)

(792)

Income before income taxes

3,498

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5,608

Income tax expense

1,236

3,712

Equity investment loss

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(5,224)

Net income (loss)

$

2,262

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$

(3,328)

Preferred stock dividends

1,531

1,525

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Net income (loss) available to common stockholders

$

731

$

(4,853)

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Income (loss) per common share: 

Basic

$

0.04

$

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(0.27)

Diluted

$

0.04

$

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(0.27)

Weighted average number of 

   common shares:

Basic

17,679

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17,778

Diluted

18,247

17,820

Three Months Ended

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Segment Information: 

September 30,

2024

2023

Revenues:

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  APUS Segment

$

76,981

$

76,406

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  RU Segment

$

52,604

$

52,073

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  HCN Segment

$

15,493

$

13,741

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  Corporate and other1

$

8,044

$

8,618

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Income (loss) from operations before

interest and income taxes:

  APUS Segment

$

20,765

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$

21,948

  RU Segment

$

(7,609)

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$

(10,570)

  HCN Segment

$

(771)

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$

(641)

  Corporate and other

$

(8,256)

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$

(4,337)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

2024

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2023

(unaudited)

Revenues 

$

460,449

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$

447,741

Costs and expenses: 

Instructional costs and services 

224,042

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222,115

Selling and promotional 

99,753

106,205

General and administrative 

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105,733

96,907

Depreciation and amortization

15,440

22,735

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Impairment of goodwill and intangible assets

64,000

Loss on leases 

3,715

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Loss (gain) on disposals of long-lived assets

235

17

   Total costs and expenses

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448,918

511,979

Income (loss) from operations before

interest and income taxes

11,531

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(64,238)

Interest expense, net

(1,542)

(3,668)

Income (loss) before income taxes

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9,989

(67,906)

Income tax expense (benefit)

2,433

(12,839)

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Equity investment loss

(4,407)

(5,233)

Net income (loss)

$

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3,149

$

(60,300)

Preferred stock dividends

4,597

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4,469

Net loss available to common stockholders

$

(1,448)

$

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(64,769)

Loss per common share: 

Basic

$

(0.08)

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$

(3.55)

Diluted

$

(0.08)

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$

(3.54)

Weighted average number of 

   common shares:

Basic

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17,604

18,230

Diluted

18,076

18,294

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Nine Months Ended

Segment Information: 

September 30,

2024

2023

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Revenues:

  APUS Segment

$

234,685

$

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223,941

  RU Segment

$

158,773

$

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161,511

  HCN Segment

$

48,349

$

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41,147

  Corporate and other1

$

18,642

$

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21,142

Income (loss) from operations before

interest and income taxes:

  APUS Segment

$

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62,143

$

57,963

  RU Segment

$

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(25,401)

$

(100,708)

  HCN Segment

$

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(1,819)

$

(2,179)

  Corporate and other

$

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(23,392)

$

(19,314)

1. Corporate and Other includes tuition and contract training revenue earned by GSUSA and the elimination of intersegment revenue for courses taken by employees of one segment at other segments.

 

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GAAP Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA:

The following table sets forth the reconciliation of the Company’s reported GAAP net income to the calculation of adjusted EBITDA for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023:

Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

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September 30,

(in thousands, except per share data)

2024

2023

2024

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2023

Net income (loss) available to common stockholders

$

731

$

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(4,853)

$

(1,448)

$

(64,769)

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Preferred dividends

1,531

1,525

4,597

4,469

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Net income (loss) 

$

2,262

$

(3,328)

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$

3,149

$

(60,300)

Income tax expense (benefit)

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1,236

3,712

2,433

(12,839)

Interest expense, net

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631

792

1,542

3,668

Equity investment loss 

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5,224

4,407

5,233

Depreciation and amortization

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5,080

7,026

15,440

22,735

EBITDA

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9,209

13,426

26,971

(41,503)

Impairment of goodwill and intangible assets

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64,000

Severance Costs

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25

2,959

530

2,959

Loss on leases

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3,715

Other professional fees

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813

813

Stock compensation

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1,761

1,733

5,502

6,025

Loss (gain) on disposals of long-lived assets

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23

(16)

235

17

Transition services costs

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1,092

3,139

2,403

Adjusted EBITDA

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$

12,923

$

18,102

$

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40,905

$

33,901

 

GAAP Outlook Net Income to Outlook Adjusted EBITDA:

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The following table sets forth the reconciliation of the Company’s outlook GAAP net income to the calculation of outlook adjusted EBITDA for the three and twelve months ending December 31, 2024:

Three Months Ending

Twelve Months Ending

December 31, 2024

December 31, 2024

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(in thousands, except per share data)

Low

High

Low

High

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Net income available to common stockholders

$

8,575

$

10,735

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$

7,127

$

9,287

Preferred dividends

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1,503

1,503

6,100

6,100

Net Income

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10,078

12,238

13,227

15,387

Income tax expense

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4,425

5,265

6,858

7,698

Interest expense

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458

458

1,750

1,750

Loss on minority investment

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4,408

4,408

Depreciation and amortization

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4,860

4,860

20,300

20,300

EBITDA

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19,820

22,820

46,542

49,542

Stock compensation

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1,898

1,898

7,400

7,400

Other professional fees

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1,050

1,050

1,813

1,813

Loss on leases

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3,950

3,950

Transition services cost

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651

651

4,295

4,295

Adjusted EBITDA

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$

23,419

$

26,419

$

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64,000

$

67,000

 

Cision

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The Historian’s Notebook: The Nobel Laureate Who Pioneered Modern Behavioral Finance at Yale

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The Historian’s Notebook: The Nobel Laureate Who Pioneered Modern Behavioral Finance at Yale

The Historian’s Notebook: 50 Years of Business & Society is a blog series created in preparation for the 50th anniversary of Yale SOM in September 2026. The series is written by Yale SOM’s resident historian, Michelle Spinelli. Reach out if you have an idea for a blog post, memories or photos to share, or an inquiry about SOM history.

One Thursday in January 2014, Yale SOM students, faculty, and staff packed Zhang Auditorium in the newly opened Edward P. Evans Hall to listen to Robert Shiller, now the Sterling Professor Emeritus of Economics, reprise his 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, “Speculative Asset Prices.” Nicholas Barberis, the Stephen and Camille Schramm Professor of Finance at SOM, introduced Shiller as being responsible for “some of the most innovative work of any economist in his generation.”

Just a few weeks prior, Shiller had accepted the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences along with Eugene F. Fama and Lars Peter Hansen for research that showed that while the price of stocks and other assets cannot be predicted accurately in the very short term, more accurate predictions can be made over a period of years.

Shiller’s research, widely viewed as the starting point for modern behavioral finance, examined stock prices over the previous century and concluded that they were too volatile to be explained only by investors rationally forecasting future dividends. Instead, Shiller argued, irrational thinking, like bias and emotion, played a role. Shiller challenged the efficient market hypothesis, which holds that securities prices properly reflect all available information. The argument “got me in a lot of trouble,” Shiller later remarked, because many thought it oversimplified the place of dividends in the stock market.

Shiller’s work has helped to explain market volatility and the speculative bubbles that can be fueled by mass misinformation and herd instinct. He predicted the collapse of both the dot-com bubble and the U.S. subprime housing bubble. Shiller has also written syndicated articles and books for popular audiences, including Irrational Exuberance, an analysis and explication of speculative bubbles that focuses on real estate and the stock market, and Animal Spirits, an exploration of the government’s role in restoring confidence in the economy, which he co-authored with fellow Nobel laureate George Akerlof.

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The audience at Zhang Auditorium was particularly eager to hear Shiller’s talk because of his central role in making Yale SOM a leader in behavioral finance research—the field he pioneered while at Yale. He was instrumental, for example, in facilitating a 2004 grant of $1.6 million from Yale College alum Andrew Redleaf and his company, Whitebox Advisors; the grant enabled the International Center for Finance to engage in more behavioral finance research initiatives, expand outreach, and establish the Yale Summer School in Behavioral Finance, now a widely known program.

Shiller has also attracted faculty with interest in behavioral finance to the school, including Kelly Shue, James Choi, and Barberis, who said he came to SOM in 2004 “to continue the tradition of the work that Shiller began.”

With Shiller’s support and encouragement, Barberis launched the Yale Summer School in Behavioral Finance in 2009. The one-week intensive course of study is offered every two years and educates PhD students from across the globe on path-breaking research. The summer school has now hosted close to 400 students, many of whom have become prominent behavioral finance researchers in their own right.

Shiller retired in 2022, but behavioral finance remains a core area of research and exploration at the school. “Inspired by Bob’s example, SOM faculty and graduate students have been producing remarkable behavioral finance research that has made Yale one of the leading centers, if not the leading center, for innovation in this field,” Barberis says.

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Belite Bio Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Provides a Corporate Update

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Belite Bio Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Provides a Corporate Update
  • Dosed first patient in Phase 2/3 DRAGON II trial of Tinlarebant for the treatment of Stargardt disease (STGD1)

  • Pivotal global Phase 3 PHOENIX trial of Tinlarebant in geographic atrophy (GA) subjects is ongoing with more than 280 subjects enrolled

  • Appointed Hendrik P.N. Scholl, MD, MA, a globally recognized leader in the field of ophthalmology and the coordinating principal investigator of the largest natural history study of Stargardt disease, as Chief Medical Officer

  • Interim analysis from the pivotal global Phase 3 DRAGON trial of Tinlarebant in adolescent STGD1 subjects anticipated by end of 2024 or early 2025

  • Company to host webcast on Tuesday, November 12, 2024, at 4:30 p.m. EST

SAN DIEGO, Nov. 12, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Belite Bio, Inc (NASDAQ: BLTE) (“Belite” or the “Company”), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical drug development company focused on advancing novel therapeutics targeting degenerative retinal diseases that have significant unmet medical needs, today announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024, and provided a general business update.

“I am pleased with the continued progress we made across our clinical programs. The pace of enrollment for the PHOENIX trial remains strong, and in the quarter, we completed the Phase 1b DRAGON II trial of Tinlarebant in Stargardt disease in Japan and dosed the first patient in the Phase 2/3 portion of the trial. We are well-positioned to achieve critical milestones and look forward to providing an update on the interim analysis from our pivotal Phase 3 DRAGON trial toward the end of 2024 or early 2025,” said Dr. Tom Lin, Chairman and CEO of Belite. “In the quarter, we were also excited to welcome Dr. Scholl, a leading global expert in Stargardt disease and age-related macular degeneration, as our Chief Medical Officer. Dr. Scholl’s decision to join Belite following his experience as Chair of the Data and Safety Monitoring Board for both our Phase 2 and Phase 3 Stargardt disease trials further validates our belief in Tinlarebant’s immense potential.”

Third Quarter 2024 Business Highlights and Upcoming Milestones:

Clinical Highlights

Tinlarebant (LBS-008) is an oral, potent, once daily retinol binding protein 4 (RBP4) antagonist that decreases RBP4 levels in the blood and reduces vitamin A (retinol) delivery to the eye without disrupting systemic retinol delivery to other tissues. Vitamin A is critical to normal vision but can accumulate as toxic byproducts in individuals affected with STGD1 and GA (the advanced form of dry age-related macular degeneration (dry AMD) leading to retinal cell death and loss of vision.

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