Finance
Technology And 10-Year Notes: When Fintech And Finance Meet
Treasury policy aligns with technology policy to promote long-term growth in the United States. … [+]
In an all-encompassing interview with Bloomberg, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized the Trump administration’s strategic focus on maintaining low 10-year Treasury yields. This approach marks a significant shift in economic and fiscal policy, which previously focused almost exclusively on pushing the Federal Reserve to cut its benchmark interest rate.
U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell has overseen 100 bps in Fed rate cuts since Sep … [+]
Since the Fed began cutting interest rates in September 2024, 10-year Treasury note yields spiked from 3.6% in September to almost 4.8% in January. In the month since the last Non-Farm Payrolls report and the change in administration, yields have rallied by 30 basis points (bps), signifying increased demand.
Since taking office in January, the Trump administration has taken significant steps to demonstrate a commitment to strengthening U.S. leadership in innovating financial technologies. His crypto-focused executive order aims to establish regulatory clarity for digital assets and secure America’s position as a global leader in the digital asset economy.
Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C. led Senate Banking Committee hearings on the practice of debanking. Hours … [+]
Over the past week, the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee held hearings on the aggressive enforcement actions and regulatory overreach during the Biden Administration. Commonly referred to as Operation Choke Point (OCP) 2.0, industry experts testified about how OCP 2.0 stifled innovation and growth in crypto and other “politically disfavored industries,” by providing little or no regulatory guidance and requests to “pause” banking activities with crypto companies, resulting in debanking.
Regulatory and legislative policy measures that foster innovation in digital financial technologies could work in tandem with fiscal policy to pave a path toward a more efficient U.S. financial system with positive implications for consumers.
The Role of Fiscal Policy
Secretary
Scott Bessent, US treasury secretary, right, during an interview at the Treasury Department in … [+]
Bessent’s comments highlight the importance of long-term interest rates in driving economic stability and growth. While the mainstream financial press focuses much of its attention on the U.S. stock market, the 10-year Treasury note is a cornerstone for the whole U.S. financial system.
The 10-year Treasury note yield is the benchmark by which mortgage rates and other loans are priced. … [+]
The benchmark reflects investors’ sentiments about the U.S. economy’s future and influences everything from mortgage rates to corporate borrowing costs. This relationship underscores the importance of maintaining low 10-year yields to support consumer spending and economic growth.
The 10-year note simultaneously serves as a bellwether for sentiment about general global stability. Backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, U.S. bonds are considered a “flight to quality” investment. In times of global economic uncertainty or market volatility, investors sell riskier investments to buy U.S. Treasuries.
Price vs Yield
Financial press tend to focus on the stock market as a proxy for U.S. economic health and stability. … [+]
While stock investors talk about their assets in terms of price, bond mavens speak in terms of yield, which moves inversely to price. While this can be confusing for non-fixed income thinkers, bond markets, like all markets, respond to supply and demand.
Spend enough time on any trading floor and you’ll hear the most logical reason why any asset rallies (for 10-year notes, this means goes up in price, down in yield)– more buyers than sellers.
Innovation in Digital Financial Technologies: Catalysts for Efficiency
President Donald Trump signs executive orders in the Oval Office. His cryptocurrency-focused EO was … [+]
During its first month, the Trump administration has taken significant steps to promote innovation in digital financial technologies. Blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies are at the forefront of FinTech innovation.
Blockchain, a decentralized ledger technology, offers transparency, security, and efficiency in transactions. Cryptocurrencies, built on blockchains, provide new vehicles for digital transactions and financial inclusion.
Correlation Between Innovation and the Bond Market
For many, the correlation between technology innovation and the bond market can be elusive. While experts in both fields can point to the benefits in their own domain, the path to mutual benefit can be longer in duration (bond pun most definitely intended).
Blockchain technology can enhance the transparency and security of financial transactions, reducing the risk of fraud and improving investor confidence. This increased confidence can lead to greater demand for U.S. Treasury securities, including the 10-year note, thereby supporting lower yields.
The integration of blockchain and cryptocurrencies into the financial system can streamline payment processes, reducing transaction costs and settlement times. This efficiency can enhance liquidity in the financial markets.
USD₮ and USDC make up 86% of the rapidly growing stablecoin market. (Photo by Silas Stein/picture … [+]
Stablecoin development has been one of the fastest growing areas in the field. By mid-2024, there were over 180 stablecoin projects, a 574% increase over three years. Over 98% of the $230 billion stablecoin market is USD-denominated
If USD-denominated stablecoin issuers were aggregated and classified as a single investor, they would be one of the top 15 investors in U.S. Treasuries, somewhere between India and Brazil.
Increased confidence in the United States and the collateralization of stablecoins with U.S. Treasuries could both be catalysts for increased demand, driving prices higher and yields lower.
In turn, borrowing costs for consumers and corporations would decrease, making it more affordable to purchase homes and other goods and finance major capital expenditures.
The Long Game
Whether it’s technology or Treasuries, the ramifications of policy actions today may take time to manifest themselves. Like their namesake, 10-year Treasury notes reflect market expectations at that point in time. The uncertainty of such a long time horizon is reflected in the term premium, the extra compensation (higher yield) paid to investors for their investment in longer term bonds.
Standard rising yield curve. Context between the return and the maturity of a risk-free investment. … [+]
Treasury Secretary Bessent’s comments are aligned with technology policy mandates and reflect a nuanced understanding of the interconnectedness of fiscal policy, financial innovation, and market dynamics.
Focusing on 10-year Treasury yields instead of the Fed Funds rate is a change in fiscal policy. … [+]
By simultaneously encouraging digital financial technologies (cryptocurrency and blockchain) and implementing supportive fiscal policies, the Trump administration aims to create a favorable environment for economic growth driven by innovation. The focus on maintaining low 10-year Treasury yields is a strategic move that can benefit consumers, businesses, and investors alike. As we navigate the complexities of the modern economy, the integration of advanced technologies and sound policy measures will be key to sustaining long-term prosperity.
Finance
Budget crisis is top concern for MPS leader Cassellius | Opinion
Before seeking a new referendum MPS needs to rebuild trust in the community through completing state audits, putting in place controls to prevent overspending and routine reports to the public.
For MPS Superintendent Brenda Cassellius, who just wrapped up her first year leading Milwaukee’s public school system, her tenure has been punctuated by some very big numbers.
The first is $252 million. That is the amount of new spending voters narrowly approved in an April 2024 referendum to support operations in Wisconsin’s largest school district. Just months later, MPS was rocked by revelations the district was months behind in filing key financial reports to the state, which led to former Superintendent Keith Posley’s resignation.
The second is $1 billion. MPS faces a deferred maintenance backlog exceeding $1 billion. The district’s enrollment has declined 30% over the last 30 years, leaving many schools at less than 50% full. That, in part, is driving a plan to close some schools and to improve others to help lower costs.
The final is $46 million, the deficit MPS was running for the 2024-25 school year, an unexpected shortfall which has led to hundreds of staff layoffs.
Getting the district’s accounting, budgeting and financial reporting back on track has dominated Cassellius’s first year at MPS. In an April 15 interview with the Journal Sentinel’s editorial board, she talked in detail about the challenges putting that into order and progress she sees in restoring transparency into its operations.
State funding and aging buildings create budget nightmares
Cassellius says state needs to keep up its share of school funding
In an interview with the Journal Sentinel editorial board, MPS leader Brenda Cassellius says budgets and buildings are her two top worries.
Cassellius said the on-going budget crisis is her top concern. She said the state’s failure to live up to its share of funding is exacerbating MPS’ budget woes. A group of school districts, teachers and parents filed suit against the state Legislature and its Joint Finance Committee claiming the current state funding system is unconstitutional and prevents schools from meeting students’ educational needs.
Funding for special education is especially critical. About 20% of MPS students have disabilities, almost twice the share of the city’s charter schools, and the average of 14% across Wisconsin.
“What’s keeping me up now, you know, is really just the budget crisis we’re in, with not only this year but multiple years going out without additional state aid, we’ve been not getting funding for what our needs are for our students, and particularly our students with special needs,” she said.
Although the state budget increased special education funding to a 42% reimbursement rate, the actual rate has been about 35%. Another component to the budget headache is the age of MPS buildings. The average age is 85 years-old compared to 45 across the nation.
“We have just kicked this can down the curb or kicked it down the street or whatever you call it for too long. And it’s time that we really take on a serious conversation about the conditions of the learning environments in which we send our children,” she said. “Particularly in Milwaukee Public Schools, we serve the most vulnerable children. Children who have language barriers, children who have disabilities, children in high-concentrated poverty.”
What needs to happen before MPS seeks another referendum
Voters need to be comfortable MPS has made tough budget decisions
In an interview with Journal Sentinel editorial board, Brenda Cassellius said voters will need to see budget improvements before seeking more spending
Cassellius said MPS will definitely need to go back to voters for a new referendum in the future. In addition to the 2024 measure, voters approved an $87 million plan in 2020.
Before doing that, she said the district first needs to rebuild trust in the community through completing required state audits, putting into place controls to prevent overspending and routine reports to the school board and public about finances.
“I don’t think that the voters are going to want us to bring something forward until they feel comfortable that we have done the cleanup that is necessary,” she said. “And we’ve built the trust that we have the sufficient controls in place.”
In the interim, she’s hoping the state will meet its constitutional responsibility to adequately fund public schools.
“What the public expects is you know where the money is, you’re spending it as close as you can to children, you’re getting good on the promise around art, music, and PE, and the things the public said they wanted to fund,” Cassellius said. “And they want their kids to have so that they have a quality education and an excellent education in Milwaukee Public Schools, and that they had the right amount of staff that they actually need. In the school to be safe and to run a good operation.”
Rebuilding finance staff in wake of $46 million in overspending
MPS is rebuilding school finance staff in wake of reporting lapses
In an interview with the Journal Sentinel editorial board April 15, MPS superintendent discusses accountability for district’s financial problems.
The $46 million budget shortfall from the 2024-25 school year started coming into view last fall and was confirmed in mid-January. Cassellius noted that in addition to hiring a new superintendent, MPS also parted ways with its comptroller and CFO.
“We are really rebuilding the personnel and staff of the finance department. That is what’s critical, is having the right people in the right seats doing the work,” she said. “Also critical is making sure that you have the right controls in place. The audit findings found that we did not have proper controls in place and now we have those proper controls in place and when we find things we put new SOPs in place and that is what any business does.”
Identifying that shortfall, though painful, was the result of better accounting.
“Being three years behind in auditing means that you don’t have full sight on your actual revenues and expenditures. And so we have now full sight of our revenues and our expenditures and that’s why we were able to see this new deficit of $46 million,” she said. “And we still continue to work with DPI on those processes to make sure that every month we’re doing monthly to actuals and doing those accounting, reporting that to the board. In a way that is consumable to the public that they can understand.”
Jim Fitzhenry is the Ideas Lab Editor/Director of Community Engagement for the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Reach him at jfitzhen@gannett.com or 920-993-7154.
Finance
Psychological shift unfolds in soft Aussie housing market: ‘Vendors feel pressure’
Property markets move in cycles, and with interest rates rising and other pressures like high fuel costs, some markets are clearly slowing down. Many first-home buyers who have only ever seen markets going up are conditioned to think that when purchasing, competition is always intense and decisions need to be made quickly.
In those times, buyers often feel they need to act fast, stretch their budget and secure a property at almost any cost. But things have definitely changed.
In a softer market, the dynamic shifts. Properties take longer to sell, competition thins, and it’s the vendors who begin to feel pressure.
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For buyers who understand how to navigate that change, the balance of power quickly moves in their favour. The opportunity is not simply to buy at a lower price. It is to negotiate from a position of strength.
If that’s you right now, these are the key skills first-home buyers need to take advantage of in softer market conditions.
The most important shift in a soft market is psychological. In a rising market, buyers often feel like they are competing for limited opportunities. In a softer market, the opposite is true. There are more properties available, fewer active buyers and less urgency overall. This gives buyers options.
When buyers understand that they are not competing with multiple parties on every property, their decision-making improves. They are more willing to walk away, compare opportunities and avoid overpaying. Negotiation strength comes from not needing to transact immediately. When that pressure is removed, buyers are able to engage more strategically.
One of the most common mistakes first-home buyers make is continuing to apply strategies that only work in rising markets. Auction urgency is a clear example. In strong markets, auctions often attract multiple bidders and create competitive tension. In softer conditions, properties are more likely to pass in, shifting the process away from a public bidding environment into a private negotiation.
This is where leverage increases.
Private negotiations allow buyers to introduce conditions that protect their position. These may include finance clauses, longer settlement periods or price adjustments based on due diligence. Opportunities that are rarely available in competitive markets become standard in softer ones.
Finance
Finance Committee approves an average increase of University tuition by 3.6 percent
The Board of Visitors Finance Committee met Thursday and approved a 3.6 percent average increase in tuition, a 4.8 percent average increase in meal plan costs and a 5 percent increase in the cost of double-room housing for the 2026-27 school year. The approval was unanimous amongst Board members, though some expressed resistance to the increases before voting in favor of them.
The Committee heard from Jennifer Wagner Davis, executive vice president and chief operating officer, and Donna Price Henry, chancellor of the College at Wise, about reasons for the raise in tuition and rates. According to Davis and Henry, salary increases for professors and legislation passed by the General Assembly contribute to tuition and rates increases.
The Finance Committee, chaired by Vice Rector Victoria Harker, is responsible for the University’s financial affairs and business operations, and the Committee manages the budget, tuition and student fees.
Changes in tuition vary between schools, with the School of Law seeing at most a 5.1 percent increase, the School of Engineering & Applied Science seeing at most a 3.2 percent increase and the College of Arts and Sciences seeing at most a 3.1 percent increase in tuition for the 2026-27 school year.
For the 2026-27 school year at the College at Wise, the Committee also unanimously approved a 2.5 percent average increase in tuition, a 3.8 percent increase in meal plans and a 2 percent increase in the cost of housing.
Last year, the Committee approved a 3 percent average increase in tuition, a 5.5 percent increase in meal plans and a 5.5 percent increase in the cost of housing for the University.
Davis cited increased costs as the primary reason for the approved increase in tuition. She said that the budget that could be passed by the General Assembly for June 30, 2027 through June 30, 2028 could increase professor salaries — University professors receive raises via this process. Davis said that the Senate and House of Delegates have separate proposals dealing with the pay increases that are currently unresolved, with House Bill 30 raising salaries by 2 percent and Senate Bill 30 raising salaries by 3 percent.
Davis said every percent increase in faculty salaries costs the University $15 million annually, and the Commonwealth will increase funding to the University by $1-2 million to help pay for that increase. According to Davis, the most common way to stabilize the budgetary imbalance caused by raised salaries is through tuition raises.
Beyond the increase in salary, Davis cited the minimum wage increase, inflation and Virginia Military Survivors & Dependents Education Program as increased costs to the University. VMSDEP is a program that gives education benefits to spouses and children of disabled veterans or military service members killed, missing in action or taken prisoner. Davis said that the program is “partially unfunded” and could cost the University somewhere between $3.6 to $6 million, depending on how many students qualify for the program.
Davis spoke on other contributing factors to the increase in tuition, specifically collective bargaining — which allows workers to bargain for better wages and working conditions.
“If we look at other institutions or other states that have collective bargaining, [collective bargaining] does put an upward pressure on tuition,” Davis said.
Prior to Thursday’s meeting, the Committee heard the proposal for tuition increases from Davis and Henry April 6 in a Finance Committee tuition workshop with public comment. During the tuition workshop, tuition increases ranged from 3 to 4.5 percent for the University and 2 to 3 percent for the College at Wise. Both increases approved Thursday are within the ranges originally proposed.
Meal plan costs, on average, will be increasing by 4.8 percent in the upcoming academic year. Davis said that the University has been expanding dining options with the opening of the Gaston House and new locations for the Ivy Corridor student housing that is still in progress. She also said that the University has been taking steps to increase the availability of allergen-friendly food options.
Davis shared that the 5 percent cost increase in housing is due to the expansion of student housing in the Ivy Corridor. Davis also said that there will be 3,000 new units added to the Charlottesville housing market by 2027, of which 780 beds will be for University housing. Davis said that she hopes the Ivy Corridor housing would “free up” the city housing supply by having more students live on Grounds.
Board member Amanda Pillion said she was “concerned” about how tuition increases would harm rural families — she said the constant increases in cost could make a University education out of reach for middle-income Virginians.
“This is the second governor I’ve served under. Both times I’ve heard affordability, affordability, affordability,” Pillion said. “We need to really be conscious of the fact that … there is a large group of people that [are middle-income] that these increases [in tuition and fees] are really tough for.”
The Committee also approved a renovation for The Park — an 18-acre recreational hub in North Grounds — which will cost $10 million. As part of the renovation, The Park will include a maintenance facility, storm water systems and a maintenance access route. Davis said the renovation will address safety and security issues for the 200 people that use The Park daily. According to Davis, the University will use $2 million of institutional funds and issue $8 million of debt to fund the renovation.
The Finance Committee will reconvene during the regularly scheduled June Board meetings.
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