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Oil jumps nearly 2% as traders expect China stimulus to boost demand

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Oil jumps nearly 2% as traders expect China stimulus to boost demand

Oil jumped nearly 2% on Tuesday before paring gains after China announced its biggest stimulus package since the early days of the pandemic, raising prospects of increased demand.

On Tuesday, West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) rose to trade above $71 per barrel. Brent (BZ=F), the interventional benchmark price, also gained to hover north of $75.

The People’s Bank of China unveiled a new stimulus package aimed at revitalizing the nation’s economy, which is suffering from deflation and a slumping real estate market.

“Stalled Chinese growth has been one of the primary banes of the oil market all year,” OPIS global head of energy analysis Tom Kloza told Yahoo Finance.

Oil prices have been volatile this month. WTI rebounded more than 4% last week amid lingering production shut-ins.

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A jumbo rate cut announcement by the Federal Reserve helped buoy crude markets on the prospects of growing economic activity.

Escalating tensions in the Israel war against Hamas and Iran-backed Hezbollah militants also put upward pressure on oil.

On Monday, prices pulled back after Iran’s president said he’s ready to deescalate tensions with Israel if the other side agreed to the same. Iran produces roughly 3 million barrels of oil a day.

The per-gallon price is displayed electronically above the grades of gasoline available from a pump at an Exxon station Wednesday, Sept. 4, 2024, in Littleton, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

The per-gallon price is displayed electronically above the grades of gasoline available from a pump at an Exxon station Wednesday, Sept. 4, 2024, in Littleton, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Meanwhile, the looming threat of tropical storm Helen, expected to reach hurricane status, appears to be headed toward the coast of Florida and is expected to make landfall on Thursday.

“The Hurricane looks to be a demand-destroyer and not a supply destroyer and indeed our private OPIS data is suggesting that gasoline demand is down perhaps a few percentage points from last year,” said Kloza.

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Gasoline prices, which have been on downward trend, hovered around $3.21 per gallon on Tuesday, roughly $0.64 lower than a year ago, according to AAA data.

Prices at the pump are expected to fall further as gas stations sell a cheaper winter blend. More oil is expected to enter the market if OPEC+ starts to unwind some of its production cuts during the last month of the year.

“I still very much believe that we will see sub-$3/gal gasoline in October, November and December,” said Kloza.

Ines Ferre is a senior business reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X at @ines_ferre.

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Finance

This Is the Best Thing to Do With Your 2026 Military Pay Raise

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This Is the Best Thing to Do With Your 2026 Military Pay Raise

Editor’s note: This is the fourth installment of New Year, New You, a weeklong look at your financial health headed into 2026. 

The military’s regularly occurring pay raises provide an opportunity that many civilians only dream of. Not only do the annual percentage increases troops receive each January provide frequent chances to rebalance financial priorities — savings vs. current standard of living — so do time-in-service increases for every two years of military service, not to mention promotions.

Two experts in military pay and personal finance — a retired admiral and a retired general, each at the head of their respective military mutual aid associations — advised taking a similarly predictable approach to managing each new raise: 

Cut it in half.

In one variation of the strategy, a service member simply adds to their savings: whatever it is they prioritize. In the other, consistent increases in retirement contributions soon add up to a desirable threshold.

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Rainy Day Fund

The active military’s 3.8% pay raise in 2026 came in a percentage point higher than retirees and disabled veterans received, meaning troops “should be able to afford the market basket of goods that the average American is afforded,” said Michael Meese, a retired Army brigadier general and president of Armed Forces Mutual.

While the veterans’ lower rate relies exclusively on the rate of inflation, Congress has the option to offer more; and in doing so is making up for recent years when the pay raise didn’t keep up with unusually high inflation, Meese said.

“So this is helping us catch up a little bit.”

He also speculated that the government shutdown “upset a lot of people” and that widespread support of the 3.8% raise across party lines and in both houses of Congress showed “that it has confidence in the military and wants to take care of the military and restore government credibility with service men and women,” Meese said.

His suggestion for managing pay raises: 

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“If you’ve been living already without the pay raise and now you see this pay raise, if you can,” Meese advised, “I always said … you should save half and spend half,” Meese said. “That way, you don’t instantly increase your spending habits just because you see more money at the end of the month.” 

A service member who makes only $1,000 every two weeks, for example, gets another $38 every two weeks starting this month. Put $19 into savings, and you can put the other $19 toward “beer and pizza or whatever you’re going to do,” Meese said.

“That way you’re putting money away for a rainy day,” he said — to help prepare for a vacation, for example, “so you’re not putting those on a credit card.” If you set aside only $25 more per pay period, “at the end of the year, you’ve got an extra $300 in there, and that may be great for Christmas vacation or Christmas presents or something like that.”

Retirement Strategy

Brian Luther, retired rear admiral and the president and chief executive officer of Navy Mutual, recognizes that “personal finance is personal” — in other words, “every situation is different.” Nevertheless, he insists that “everyone should have a plan” that includes: 

  • What your cash flow is
  • Where your money is going
  • Where you need to go in the future

But even if you don’t know a lot of those details, Luther said, the most important thing:

Luther also advised an approach based on cutting the 3.8% pay raise in half, keeping half for expenses and putting the other half into the Thrift Savings Plan. Then “that pay will work for you until you need it in retirement,” Luther said. With every subsequent increase, put half into the TSP until you’re setting aside a full 15% of your pay. 

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For a relatively young service member, “Once you hit 15%, and [with] the 5% match from the government, that’s enough for your future,” Luther said. 

Previously in this series:

Part 1: 2026 Guide to Pay and Allowances for Military Service Members, Veterans and Retirees

Part 2: Understanding All the Deductions on Your 2026 Military Leave and Earnings Statements

Part 3: Should You Let the Military Set Aside Allotments from Your Pay?

Get the Latest Financial Tips

Whether you’re trying to balance your budget, build up your credit, select a good life insurance program or are gearing up for a home purchase, Military.com has you covered. Subscribe to Military.com and get the latest military benefit updates and tips delivered straight to your inbox.

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Tech trade needs 2 things to remain 'in favor' this year

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Tech trade needs 2 things to remain 'in favor' this year
MJP Wealth Advisors chief investment officer Brian Vendig sits down with Morning Brief host Julie Hyman to discuss the tech trade’s (XLK) outlook for 2026. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief.
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Promising UK Penny Stocks To Watch In January 2026

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Promising UK Penny Stocks To Watch In January 2026
The UK market has recently faced challenges, with the FTSE 100 index experiencing declines due to weak trade data from China, highlighting global economic interdependencies. Despite these broader market pressures, investors may find intriguing opportunities in penny stocks—smaller or newer companies that can offer a mix of affordability and growth potential. While the term ‘penny stocks’ might seem outdated, their potential remains significant for those seeking financial strength and…
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