Finance
Oil jumps nearly 2% as traders expect China stimulus to boost demand
Oil jumped nearly 2% on Tuesday before paring gains after China announced its biggest stimulus package since the early days of the pandemic, raising prospects of increased demand.
On Tuesday, West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) rose to trade above $71 per barrel. Brent (BZ=F), the interventional benchmark price, also gained to hover north of $75.
The People’s Bank of China unveiled a new stimulus package aimed at revitalizing the nation’s economy, which is suffering from deflation and a slumping real estate market.
“Stalled Chinese growth has been one of the primary banes of the oil market all year,” OPIS global head of energy analysis Tom Kloza told Yahoo Finance.
Oil prices have been volatile this month. WTI rebounded more than 4% last week amid lingering production shut-ins.
A jumbo rate cut announcement by the Federal Reserve helped buoy crude markets on the prospects of growing economic activity.
Escalating tensions in the Israel war against Hamas and Iran-backed Hezbollah militants also put upward pressure on oil.
On Monday, prices pulled back after Iran’s president said he’s ready to deescalate tensions with Israel if the other side agreed to the same. Iran produces roughly 3 million barrels of oil a day.
Meanwhile, the looming threat of tropical storm Helen, expected to reach hurricane status, appears to be headed toward the coast of Florida and is expected to make landfall on Thursday.
“The Hurricane looks to be a demand-destroyer and not a supply destroyer and indeed our private OPIS data is suggesting that gasoline demand is down perhaps a few percentage points from last year,” said Kloza.
Gasoline prices, which have been on downward trend, hovered around $3.21 per gallon on Tuesday, roughly $0.64 lower than a year ago, according to AAA data.
Prices at the pump are expected to fall further as gas stations sell a cheaper winter blend. More oil is expected to enter the market if OPEC+ starts to unwind some of its production cuts during the last month of the year.
“I still very much believe that we will see sub-$3/gal gasoline in October, November and December,” said Kloza.
Ines Ferre is a senior business reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X at @ines_ferre.
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Finance
World Bank drops climate finance target amid US pressure
The World Bank is ditching its commitment to steer 45 percent of its spending toward projects with climate benefits, after facing pressure from the Trump administration.
The move, announced Monday following a meeting of the bank’s board of directors last week, marks a victory in President Donald Trump’s effort to purge climate policies from U.S. foreign policy. His administration has described the target as “distortionary” and “nonsensical.”
The bank preserved its broader Climate Change Action Plan — of which the 45 percent target was a key metric — just days before it was set to expire at the end of June. In addition to directing money toward climate projects, the plan provides technical support for helping countries reduce their greenhouse gas pollution and adapt to rising temperatures.
“We will retire the 45% climate co-benefits target,” the World Bank Group said in a statement, noting that it had “done significant work in answering client demand and needs.”
The bank’s work on climate “is and will remain firmly client driven, supporting them in delivering on their own ambitions as set out in their national plans and NDCs,” the statement added, referring to the nationally determined contributions countries submit under the Paris Agreement.
The decision to drop the climate finance target follows months of pressure from the Trump administration. People with knowledge of the negotiations said the U.S. was firm that the target must go despite other countries indicating their support for the bank’s climate goal. The U.S. has sway over the bank’s decisions as its largest shareholder.
Beyond the finance target, the Climate Change Action Plan also provides diagnostic reports on countries’ climate and development goals and aims to align lending with the Paris Agreement, which calls for preventing temperature rise from surpassing 2 degrees Celsius since the Industrial Revolution.
The bank said it would honor a board request to undertake an independent evaluation of the climate plan to determine if it’s helping countries grapple with rising temperatures. The decision effectively extends the plan beyond its expiration at the end of June.
The climate target was supported by many of the bank’s shareholders. It’s also been a prominent signal of the bank’s support for climate action at a time when the impacts of rising temperatures are accelerating.
“This is way, way away from where we should be for a responsible financial architecture,” said one official from a developed country who was directly involved in the negotiations and was granted anonymity to describe internal discussions.
The bank will continue to track and report on the amount of money going to projects with climate co-benefits. It exceeded its own target last year by directing 48 percent of its financing to climate-related projects.
Other climate targets embedded in agreements that govern different arms of the bank will remain, including one for the International Development Association, the bank’s fund for the poorest countries.
Multilateral development banks play a key role in global climate negotiations, where wealthy countries have committed to helping provide $300 billion a year for poorer countries by 2035. That no longer includes the United States, which has left the Paris Agreement and will exit the underlying United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change early next year.
“Targets send enormous signals about an institution’s direction of travel,” said Clemence Landers, a senior fellow at the Center for Global Development. “At the same time, it’s a sign of the times and the World Bank is doing its level best to not rankle its largest shareholder.”
She believes the bank will continue financing renewable energy projects in countries that want them, despite having dropped its climate target.
“I wouldn’t be shocked if the bank continued to have an extremely robust clean pipeline with or without this target,” said Landers.
The bank says retiring the 45 percent target is part of its shift from a focus on “inputs to outcomes.” It will continue to monitor and report net greenhouse gas emissions across its projects and countries’ ability to withstand climate risks.
“We will continue to report to the Board on progress, including on climate co-benefits, and to contribute to our related joint MDB efforts,” the statement said, referring to its role as a multilateral development bank. “We will explore and discuss ways to better structure our engagement on adaptation, nature and pollution.”
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