Finance
Look out for these personal finance pain points in the U.S. election aftermath
The rally for stocks and crypto following Donald Trump’s U.S. election win is a head fake that diverts attention from several investing and personal finance pain points ahead.
Mr. Trump was seen as better for stocks than Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, and he’s thought to be a booster of crypto currency. The S&P 500 and several cryptocurrencies surged in morning trading on Wednesday, but signs of trouble were there if you looked for them in the bond market.
Investors sold U.S. Treasury bonds, which has the effect of making bond yields rise. Why we care about bond yields in the United States: They have a big influence on bonds here in Canada and, in turn, on the cost of mortgages.
Mortgage rates are well off their recent peaks, but still well above the level where many homeowners locked in several years ago. Waves of these homeowners will renew mortgages in the next 12 months, and they have to be wondering how much more they’ll be required to pay. Events in the bond market suggest further mortgage rate cuts aren’t imminent, a point worth noting if you’re on the housing market sidelines waiting for lower borrowing costs.
Stocks rise and fall on expectations for corporate profits, while bonds are dependent on how investors view economic prospects, including inflation. Mr. Trump’s plan to introduce tariffs on imports is considered inflationary because it will increase the cost of imported goods, while also potentially slowing growth.
Something else investors worry about is the creditworthiness of bond issuers, an area where the United States is generating concern through its US$35-trillion debt. Neither Mr. Trump nor Ms. Harris focused on government debts and deficits in the election campaign, but his policies were judged as adding more to overall debt levels. There’s justifiable concern about Canadian government’s finances, but the U.S. is in worse shape.
Without attention to government debt in the United States, it’s possible that bond yields could rise from current levels. The Bank of Canada and U.S. Federal Reserve will keep lowering their benchmark interest rates, which in turn will push down rates for variable-rate mortgages, lines of credit and floating-rate loans. But bond yields are a bigger influence on fixed-rate mortgages, which happen to be a popular pick right now.
A takeaway for homeowners from these developments is that variable-rate mortgages are worth a look. If you go variable, each Bank of Canada rate cut – and there are several expected over the remainder of this year and next – will lower your borrowing costs.
Another post-election pain point is the Canadian dollar, which has dropped to 71.9 US cents as of Wednesday morning from 74.2 US cents in late September. Part of the reason for that is that money flows are drawn to the higher interest rates in the United States. A five-year Canada bond had a yield of 3.1 per cent early Wednesday, while a comparable U.S. Treasury bond had a yield of 4.3 per cent.
But Canada’s lack of economic competitiveness also contributes to its dollar weakness. If a Trump government offers tax cuts to business and removes regulations, then we may see additional downward pressure on the dollar. Now seems a good time to buy some U.S. currency if you plan to head south this winter.
Stocks had a great run Wednesday morning on the Trump win, but the comparative returns for the U.S. and Canadian markets suggests another pain point. The S&P 500 was up 1.7 per cent by late morning, while the S&P/TSX composite index was up just 0.3 per cent.
In addition to being seen as friendly for business, Mr. Trump is also regarded as someone who will have policies favouring the mega-size tech companies that are dominant in the S&P 500 and non-existent in the S&P/TSX composite.
The Canadian market has benefited lately from a rebound in blue-chip dividend stocks, but that was driven by the decline in interest rates on bonds. Sticky bond yields could limit near-term gains for dividend stocks.
The rally in the price of bitcoin, ethereum, dogecoin and other cryptocurrencies was a win for investors holding these speculative assets. But if you’re a traditioal investor or money manager who has avoided them, prepare for FOMO, or fear of missing out. Crypto remains a non-essential portfolio holding, but has the potential to move beyond that if it becomes more widely adopted.
Are you a young Canadian with money on your mind? To set yourself up for success and steer clear of costly mistakes, listen to our award-winning Stress Test podcast.
Finance
‘It Won’t Be Enough’: Financial Experts Warn Gen X About Key Retirement Pitfalls
As the oldest members of Generation X (those born between 1965 and 1980) approach retirement, financial experts warn that many in this group may not be as prepared as they think. Generation X faces unique challenges as they prepare for retired life, from shortfalls in savings to unexpected costs that may arise.
Here’s what experts say Gen Xers need to know to avoid these key pitfalls and ensure a more secure retirement.
Many Gen Xers are significantly behind in their retirement savings. A recent study by Northwestern Mutual found that only 7% of Gen X respondents have saved more than 10 times their annual income–the amount most experts recommend for a comfortable retirement.
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Perhaps even more concerning, over half of Gen X respondents say they have only saved three times their annual income or less. Fidelity recommends having at least three times your annual salary by age 40, six times your salary by age 50 and eight times your salary by age 60 to stay on track for a comfortable retirement.
This shortfall in savings is compounded by the fact that many Gen Xers do not have a retirement income plan. According to Allianz, only 30% of Gen Xers have mapped out how they will fund their post-work years, the lowest rate among all generations surveyed.
A common misconception among Americans is that taxes decrease in retirement. However, financial experts caution that many Gen Xers could face higher-than-expected tax burdens. The reason? Most have their retirement savings in tax-deferred accounts, like 401(k)s and IRAs, which require taxes to be paid upon withdrawal.
“The big problem is that a lot of them are going to be faced with a lot of taxes in retirement,” Jonathan Dane, founder and chief investment officer for Defiant Capital Group in Pittsburgh, told U.S. News. He says one way to mitigate this is to stop putting money in tax-deferred accounts and transition to Roth accounts, which allow for tax-free withdrawals.
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Another concern is healthcare costs. While Medicare provides comprehensive coverage starting at age 65, it doesn’t cover everything. Long-term care expenses, like assisted living, typically aren’t included. Experts suggest considering long-term care insurance or using a health savings account (HSA) to prepare for these costs.
Finance
Deregulation to boost banks, a ‘force for strength in the economy’
Bank of New York Mellon (BK) CEO Robin Vince joins Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi at the 2025 World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, to discuss US President Donald Trump’s return to the White House and his expectations for the president’s second term and the impact on the financial sector.
“To see a government that’s really focused on growth and being able to make the economy everything that it can be, because ultimately, as one of America’s leading banks, we are focused on helping our customers to be able to grow and thrive. You know, that’s what our platforms are all about,” Vince says.
As deregulation under Trump is expected to benefit the financial sector, Vince says he’s “not that concerned” about the risks associated with loose regulation. “We have to be vigilant that that doesn’t happen. We need a strong, healthy financial system,” he says, explaining, ” We’ve seen how the strong banks have been able to actually help the system over the course of the events … We’ve been a force for strength in the economy, and that’s actually the role that we should be playing.”
The CEO underlines, “I’m looking forward. I’m thinking about the innovation. I’m thinking about the investment. I’m thinking about helping to make economies grow and our clients be successful.”
Watch the video above to hear more from the BNY CEO on tariff expectations, a potential uptick in merger and acquisition (M&A) activity, and his crypto outlook.
Click here for more of Yahoo Finance’s coverage from the World Economic Forum in Davos.
Check out Yahoo Finance’s Davos interview with Bank of America (BAC) CEO Brian Moynihan here.
This post was written by Naomi Buchanan.
Finance
Global climate finance alliances at risk as top lenders pull out | Semafor
Major global climate finance alliances are increasingly at risk with European lenders reportedly mulling following major US banks in withdrawing from the UN-backed Net Zero Banking Alliance.
The timing of the departures of top US banks including Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Morgan Stanley — as well as four large Canadian counterparts, and potentially top lenders in Europe, too — is significant: US President Donald Trump and other Republicans have led criticism of finance’s role in the energy transition, and the latest departures come months after the COP29 climate summit sought to increase targets for global climate finance.
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