Finance
How Republicans created – and now exploit – the debt crisis
It’s that time again. A Democrat is in the White House and Republicans control the House of Representatives. Sure enough, the GOP is once again engaging in dangerous political hostage-taking over America’s massive federal debt.
Republicans, in short, are demanding major concessions before agreeing to raise the debt limit. The irony is that the GOP is overwhelmingly responsible for the staggering accumulation of debt over the past four decades. In other words, Republicans are engaging in the political equivalent of starting a four-alarm blaze and refusing to allow firefighters to do their job until someone pays up.
Twice in recent history – in 1980 and 2000 – America was on track to eliminate the federal debt. In both instances, Democratic presidents passed the baton to Republicans who proceeded to balloon the debt, demolishing any hope of paring down America’s IOUs.
In 1981, Republicans (with a major assist from conservative Southern Democrats) passed the then-largest tax cut in history. In a striking abandonment of decades of sound tax policy, President Reagan’s cuts overwhelmingly benefitted the ultra-wealthy.
At the same time, the Reagan administration spent trillions on a massive – and thoroughly unnecessary – military buildup.
Despite negligible economic growth from Reagan’s massive tax cuts for the wealthy, the federal debt tripled. As one Reagan and Bush administration official put it, “In the Reagan years, more federal debt was added than in the entire prior history of the United States.”
Then, in 2000, President Bill Clinton left office with historic budget surpluses. The United States was on track to eliminate the entire national debt – yes, all of it – within a decade.
But just a few months before the Sept. 11, 2001, jihadist attacks, newly-elected Republican President George W. Bush slashed taxes on the ultra-wealthy. Any hope of reducing, let alone eliminating, the debt was shattered for decades to come.
Bush then launched a tragically unnecessary multi-trillion-dollar war of choice, swelling the debt even further.
Now, in the face of conservative historical revisionism, let’s be clear: Clinton’s record budget surpluses are a product of Democrats’ 1993 tax increase on the wealthy, coupled with the booming economy that followed. Republicans who claim that the 1997 passage of (yet more) GOP tax cuts for the wealthy led to the historic Clinton-era surpluses need to check the math.
As noted, the American economy, buoyed by the internet revolution, climbed to soaring heights in the years after Clinton and the Democrats raised taxes on the wealthy. This is a critical lesson that Reagan, Bush and Trump-style “supply-siders” apparently have yet to learn.
Indeed, the theory of “trickle down” economics – the raison d’être of the post-1980 GOP – has been exhaustively discredited. Reagan, Bush and Trump’s tax cuts for the wealthy resulted in no significant economic growth or wage benefits for workers, despite significant declines in revenue. Far worse, the cuts turbocharged inequality.
Ultimately, one does not need an accounting degree to see how massive decreases in revenue from Trump-style tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy, coupled with enormous increases in unnecessary defense spending, led to the explosion in debt that America grapples with today.
A remarkable graphic created by the U.S. Treasury Department drives this point home. Readers should digest how Trump, Reagan and Bush-style tax cuts for the wealthy led to a multi-trillion-dollar swing – from historic budget surpluses to massive debt – in just a few years.
Of note, Obama-era crisis spending (lauded by most economists) to shore up an economy hemorrhaging hundreds of thousands of jobs each month is a drop in the bucket compared to the trillions in revenue lost due to Trump, Bush and Reagan-style tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy.
But the broader implications of the debt are far more profound than the abstract metrics described above.
As trillions in government IOUs stacked up and the very wealthy became ultra-wealthy, the American middle class collapsed. From 1975 to 2018, extreme, Trump-style economic policies led to the transfer of a staggering $50 trillion in wealth from millions of hard-working Americans to the top 1 percent.
Those who lost the most over the past four decades – white, blue-collar Americans – now confront an epidemic of deaths of despair (deaths by alcohol, suicide, opioids and other drugs) unheard of elsewhere in the world. Since economic distress is closely correlated with the rise of extreme political ideologies, it should come as little surprise that this demographic makes up Trump’s base. (Case in point: Most of the individuals arrested following the Jan. 6, 2021, riot had significant financial problems.)
Make no mistake: The debt is a glaring symptom of the dangerous inequality at the root of the political, cultural and social schisms now dividing America. That Republicans continue to engage in political brinksmanship over the debt – a crisis overwhelmingly of their own making – is unconscionable.
Marik von Rennenkampff served as an analyst with the U.S. Department of State’s Bureau of International Security and Nonproliferation, as well as an Obama administration appointee at the U.S. Department of Defense. Follow him on Twitter @MvonRen.
Copyright 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Finance
JSB Financial Inc. Reports Earnings for the Third Quarter and First Nine Months of 2024
SHEPHERDSTOWN, W. Va., November 15, 2024–(BUSINESS WIRE)–JSB Financial Inc. (OTCPink: JFWV) reported net income of $2.0 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, representing an increase of $1.3 million when compared to $643 thousand for the quarter ended September 30, 2023. Basic and diluted earnings per common share were $7.64 and $2.33 for the third quarter of 2024 and 2023, respectively. The third quarter results include the recognition of an interest recovery totaling $1.3 million, a recovery to the allowance for credit losses on loans totaling $252 thousand and a recovery of legal fees totaling $17 thousand on prior nonperforming loans. Excluding the impact of these notable items, pre-tax income of $959 thousand for the third quarter of 2024 was $187 thousand more than the same period in 2023.
Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 totaled $3.4 million, representing an increase of $1.1 million when compared to $2.3 million for the same period in 2023. Basic and diluted earnings per common share were $13.33 and $8.46 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. Annualized return on average assets and average equity for September 30, 2024 was 0.87% and 17.65%, respectively, and 0.66% and 13.17%, respectively, for September 30, 2023. Excluding the impact of the notable items in the third quarter of 2024, pre-tax income of $2.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 was $96 thousand lower than the same period in 2023.
“We are pleased with our performance for the third quarter, which includes one-time recoveries on nonperforming loans totaling $1.5 million. Additionally, our team continued to create, deepen and expand our customer relationships which resulted in an increase in total deposits of 10% when compared to the second quarter and 17% year-over-year,” said President and Chief Executive Officer, Cindy Kitner. “During the third quarter, we saw stable loan growth, which was funded through loan maturities and deposit growth, and we continue to have strong credit quality metrics including past dues, nonaccruals, charge offs and nonperforming loans, all of which remained at historically low levels.”
Finance
Interested In Manulife Financial’s (TSE:MFC) Upcoming CA$0.40 Dividend? You Have Four Days Left
Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it’s exciting to see Manulife Financial Corporation (TSE:MFC) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company’s books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Accordingly, Manulife Financial investors that purchase the stock on or after the 20th of November will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 19th of December.
The company’s next dividend payment will be CA$0.40 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CA$1.60 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Manulife Financial has a trailing yield of approximately 3.5% on its current stock price of CA$46.23. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether Manulife Financial can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.
View our latest analysis for Manulife Financial
If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable – hardly an ideal situation. Manulife Financial paid out more than half (55%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies.
When a company paid out less in dividends than it earned in profit, this generally suggests its dividend is affordable. The lower the % of its profit that it pays out, the greater the margin of safety for the dividend if the business enters a downturn.
Click here to see the company’s payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we’re encouraged by the steady growth at Manulife Financial, with earnings per share up 4.5% on average over the last five years.
Another key way to measure a company’s dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. In the past 10 years, Manulife Financial has increased its dividend at approximately 12% a year on average. It’s encouraging to see the company lifting dividends while earnings are growing, suggesting at least some corporate interest in rewarding shareholders.
Finance
Solving the Adaptation Finance Gap: Plans are in Place, but Funding Falls Short – Climate 411
The UN climate talks, COP29, is well underway, and countries have entered final negotiations on the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG), a new climate finance goal to boost funding for climate action in developing countries. Reaching agreement on the goal may be difficult in the face of the U.S election results, but it remains an urgent priority.
One glaring finance gap that we need to address in the new goal is finance for climate adaptation. Adaptation is how governments and communities prepare for and adjust to the impacts of climate change. It’s about making changes to reduce or prevent the harm caused by climate impacts like rising sea levels, more frequent storms, and hotter temperatures.
According to a new report from the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), adaptation needs are not being met worldwide. Developing countries will need $215 billion per year over the next decade for their adaptation priorities, from building climate resilient infrastructure to restoring ecosystems. Yet international finance flows for adaptation were just $28 billion in 2022 – an increase over prior years, but nowhere near enough.
Transformational adaptation requires closing the finance gap and maximizing the impact of every dollar.
Where is the world falling behind on adaptation?
Many developing countries are particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts, and the good news is that they are prioritizing efforts to build resilience. UNEP’s Adaptation Gap Report found that 87% of countries have at least one national adaptation planning instrument in place, compared to around just 50% a decade ago. These instruments include National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) and other strategies or policies that guide adaptation.
Now time for the bad news: although planning has improved, there is a growing gap in implementation as countries lack the necessary finance to meet their objectives. Adaptation has consistently been underfunded compared to mitigation, and while developed countries are working to double adaptation finance, the current $28 billion in annual flows represents just 13% of the $215 billion needed annually.
[Source: UNEP Adaptation Gap Report 2024]
The lack of finance for adaptation has serious implications for many developing countries, especially small island states which urgently need international support to strengthen resilience. For example, the Caribbean nation of Dominica is installing early warning systems to improve preparedness and reduce the impact of future hurricanes, but by 2023 they had only installed three systems and need 50 more to adequately cover the island. Without sufficient adaptation finance, the country will remain highly exposed to sudden climate shocks.
This finance gap is further complicated by limited private sector engagement in adaptation. UNEP finds that many transformational adaptation projects are seen as risky by private investors, due to their longer time frame for benefits and less clear return on investment. Private finance does flow to projects in infrastructure and commercial agriculture, but often not without efforts by the public sector to de-risk investments.
It is not surprising that two-thirds of adaptation financing needs are anticipated to be financed by the public sector. But the quality of public finance for adaptation has room for improvement as well. 62% of public finance for adaptation is delivered through loans, of which 25% are non-concessional, or at market rate with no favorable terms. And the use of non-concessional loans for adaptation in most vulnerable countries has actually increased in recent years. These tools have the potential to drive up the debt burden in developing nations which are already struggling to pay the bills. Expanding grant and concessional finance will be important to mitigate these challenges.
How do we unlock quality adaptation finance?
The Adaptation Gap Report suggests that filling the finance gap will require several enabling factors that can unlock new finance flows. Notably, in EDF’s new report ‘Quality Matters: Strengthening Climate Finance to Drive Climate Action,’ we identify similar strategies as we call for structural reforms within the international climate finance system. Three key recommendations overlap in both reports.
First, countries need to mainstream their climate objectives and adaptation goals within national planning and budgeting processes. This integration should be paired with robust stakeholder engagement that systematically includes subnational authorities, marginalized groups and potential implementing entities in the planning process. Doing so will better align adaptation activities with other national priorities and create more fundable projects. Moreover, planning processes should emphasize project evaluation and evidence gathering to better understand what interventions are most impactful and maximize the potential of climate resources.
Second, countries should adopt investment planning approaches to climate action. Specifically, they should work to develop a pipeline of bankable projects that can meet the objectives within their NAPs and other planning instruments. This can help attract investors to projects and ensure successful implementation of adaptation plans.
Third, multilateral financial institutions including multilateral development banks (MDBs) and climate funds need to undergo structural reform to improve the quality of finance. The MDBs are currently pursuing reforms to become better fit-for-purpose for addressing the climate crisis, and at COP29 they jointly announced that their collective climate finance will reach $120 billion by 2030 – though only $42 billion will be dedicated for adaptation. Improving the balance between mitigation and adaptation finance will be important to ensure that developing countries’ priorities don’t go unfunded. Additional actions these institutions can take include strengthening the concessionality of terms for adaptation projects to alleviate debt burdens and spark new blended finance opportunities, and leveraging innovative instruments like adaptation swaps which can foster positive adaptation outcomes in exchange for forgiving debt.
The NCQG is an important milestone which has the potential to advance action on these reforms and strengthen adaptation finance flows. Alongside supporting a strong quantitative goal, countries should call for improvements in the quality of finance, to ensure that finance for adaptation projects is available, accessible, concessional, and impactful.
-
Health1 week ago
Lose Weight Without the Gym? Try These Easy Lifestyle Hacks
-
Culture1 week ago
The NFL is heading to Germany – and the country has fallen for American football
-
Business7 days ago
Ref needs glasses? Not anymore. Lasik company offers free procedures for referees
-
Sports1 week ago
All-Free-Agent Team: Closers and corner outfielders aplenty, harder to fill up the middle
-
News4 days ago
Herbert Smith Freehills to merge with US-based law firm Kramer Levin
-
Technology5 days ago
The next Nintendo Direct is all about Super Nintendo World’s Donkey Kong Country
-
Business3 days ago
Column: OpenAI just scored a huge victory in a copyright case … or did it?
-
Health3 days ago
Bird flu leaves teen in critical condition after country's first reported case