Crypto
New cryptocurrency GBTC hits 5M: What is Green Bitcoin, and why are traders backing it for its upside potential?
With the presale rapidly progressing, the early adopter’s opportunity to get positioned at the lowest price is quickly running thin as the price consistently increases in the unique fundraising design.
Green Bitcoin officially crossed the $5 million fundraising milestone, as traders back the predict-to-earn protocol for considerable gains in the coming weeks. The project has created a unique staking mechanism that allows users to place forecasts on the future price of Bitcoin to earn massive rewards scaled to their level of investment while earning staking rewards simultaneously.Green Bitcoin is being hailed as a greener alternative to Bitcoin. It combines Bitcoin’s legacy with Ethereum’s co-friendly proof-of-stake mechanism. As a result, Green Bitcoin has birthed an ecosystem tied to Bitcoin’s price through price predictions with no environmental impact.
The project intends for its blockchain to experience a high level of activity. Its users will consistently stake $GBTC to participate in the daily price contests and earn massive rewards. The price contests are rooted in the staking system, and the team will release new daily and weekly challenges based on Bitcoin’s price action to keep the content fresh.
What is Green Bitcoin, and how does it reward users for accurate price forecasts?
Spotlight WireGreen Bitcoin introduces a novel staking ecosystem called Gamified Green Staking. This ecosystem allows users to stake $GBTC tokens to be eligible to place daily price predictions on Bitcoin’s value. Those who accurately place correct forecasts are proportionally rewarded from the daily mining rewards pool, scaled to their level of commitment to the ecosystem.Green Bitcoin pays homage to Bitcoin’s legacy. Its rewards are distributed to winners every ten minutes, in line with the original Bitcoin block schedule. Contestants can claim their accumulated rewards from the protocol once every 24 hours to keep transaction costs low. The team has allocated an enormous 27.5% of the entire $GBTC supply to provide the rewards for accurate predictions for the next two years.
Spotlight WireUsers must lock their $GBTC into the Gamified Green Staking mechanism and submit their forecast before 11:30 PM EST to participate. At midnight, the smart contract will tally the day’s stakes against the actual price of Bitcoin and reward forecasts that land in the ‘Green Zone.’
As mentioned, the rewards earned depend on the level of investment made and the duration committed to the ecosystem. For example, those who have staked their $GBTC tokens in the Gamified Green Staking mechanism for more than a week are entitled to a 5% bonus on top of their regular daily rewards to recognise their extended commitment.
Those staking their tokens while participating in the daily price contests also earn an APY reward on top of their holdings through daily passive staking. The staking currently provides a 110% APY return, further incentivising users to keep their $GBTC locked into the ecosystem.
Why are traders backing it for huge upside potential?
Spotlight WireTraders are quickly flocking to the presale, expecting upside potential for $GBTC due to its supply constraint dynamics.
Influential YouTubers ClayBro and Matthew Perryare backing the project with bullish views. They believe the unique staking system will cause $GBTC to surge following its exchange listing.
Users are required to stake their $GBTC into the ecosystem to participate in the price contests, so the tokens aren’t available for purchase on the open market. As a result, these experts predict that there might be a supply shock on centralised and decentralized exchanges as most $GBTC will be locked into the ecosystem.
Therefore, newcomers to $GBTC will likely be forced to pay higher prices to acquire the token and participate in the predict-to-earn ecosystem following the presale.
Investors are comparing the supply dynamics for Green Bitcoin as very similar to those of Bitcoin itself, which is currently experiencing a pre-halving rally ahead of its block reward cut. Both cryptocurrencies will likely experience massive supply shocks on the open market, causing prices to surge.
How to buy $GBTC today
$GBTC can be purchased at presale prices through the project’s website. Green Bitcoin is utilising the Web3Payments gateway to ensure the safety and security of everybody investing.
- Go to the official $GBTC presale page.
- Fund your wallet with $ETH or $USDT and connect to the Web3Payments widget.
- Use the presale widget to swap your currency for $GBTC, entering the desired amount you wish to purchase.
- If you prefer plastic, order $GBTC tokens to your wallet using your credit/debit card.
Once purchased, your $GBTC will be automatically staked, allowing you to start earning a return on your investment throughout the presale stage. You can claim your $GBTC through the same portal when the token officially launches.
Overall, it’s unsurprising to see investors rushing to the $GBTC project, which, with its unique staking dynamics, is about to cause a supply shock on the open market, leading to much higher prices following the presale.
Buy $GBTC today.
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Key Takeaways
A $2.2 Million Vote of Confidence
Arthur Hayes, the co-founder and former chief executive of derivatives exchange BitMEX, has placed a fresh bet on the Hyperliquid ecosystem, buying roughly $2.2 million of synapse (SYN) and publicly endorsing the project behind an onchain options exchange.
The purchase, made on June 29 through over-the-counter trading firm Flowdesk, totaled about 6.16 million SYN tokens. Hayes, not one to keep quiet, subsequently took to X and commented:
“I still want to be long the Hyperliquid ecosystem but I need some asymmetry. It’s time for an options dex to properly take on Deribit. Hypercall, owned by $SYN, is that challenger. Let’s see if they can cook.”
Hypercall is an onchain options trading protocol built on Hyperliquid’s HyperEVM, the smart-contract layer of the fast-growing Hyperliquid network. The platform lets users trade options, with positions tradeable around the clock and risk capped at the premium a trader pays. Moreover, it has been developed by the team behind Synapse, whose SYN token is the asset Hayes bought.
A Run-Up in SYN
The endorsement landed on a token that was already on a tear as SYN surged more than tenfold in June, and Hayes’s purchase and public backing added fuel, with Synapse’s market capitalization climbing toward the $55 million to $60 million range and daily trading volume running above $95 million in the wake of his comments.
Hayes commands an unusually large following among crypto traders, both for his market essays and his willingness to put capital behind his theses. Not only that, he has become one of the most closely watched voices in the Hyperliquid orbit, repeatedly championing the network’s HYPE token, at one point setting a $150 price target, though his wallet activity has not always matched his rhetoric.
Bitcoin.com News reported recently that a wallet linked to Hayes sold HYPE near $54 before buying back in at a higher price, a sequence that drew attention to the gap between his public calls and his trades.
Targeting Deribit’s Turf
Deribit has been the dominant venue for crypto options, a corner of the market long underserved by decentralized platforms because options are harder to build onchain than simple spot or perpetual-futures trading. By putting forth Hypercall as a credible challenger, Hayes is betting that Hyperliquid’s infrastructure can finally support a decentralized options market at scale and that SYN is the way to gain exposure to that bet.
That said, an endorsement and a price spike are not the same as trading volume, open interest, and users, the metrics that ultimately decide whether an options DEX can pressure an incumbent like Deribit. For the time being, Hayes and his $2.2 million bet have put a considerable megaphone behind the idea and the next thing to look out for is whether Hypercall can convert the hype and capital into durable trading activity before the attention inadvertently fades.
Crypto
Elizabeth Warren Says US Enemies Exploiting Crypto To ‘Move Billions’ After Iran Reportedly Uses CoinEx T
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) expressed concerns on Sunday over the potential misuse of cryptocurrencies by America’s adversaries.
Warren Says Crypto Legislation Will Make The Problem Worse
Warren cited a Wall Street Journal report on X detailing how Iran-affiliated entities moved billions in transactions through CoinEx, a cryptocurrency exchange that withdrew from the U.S. after a 2023 lawsuit.
“More evidence that our adversaries exploit crypto to move billions,” the senior lawmaker said.
Warren argued that the cryptocurrency legislation, i.e., the Clarity Act, would make the problem “worse” by creating new loopholes and urged Congress to strengthen the bill before passage.
CoinEx Serving As A Conduit?
The WSJ report noted that CoinEx has played a “growing role” in connecting Iran’s cryptocurrency operations to the global markets, with wallets hosted by the exchange moving more than $3.84 billion over the last 7 years.
The wallets received hacked cryptocurrency that originated with Iran’s Central Bank and were used to transact directly with accounts U.S. officials have since linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the report said.
In 2023, CoinEx was sued by New York Attorney General Letitia James for allegedly conducting business without proper registration in the state of New York.
The exchange didn’t immediately return Benzinga’s request for comment.
Iran Using Crypto To Bypass Sanctions?
Warren has repeatedly flagged concerns that cryptocurrency exchanges are helping move money into and out of Iran.
Nobitex has been under increased scrutiny from U.S. regulators and policymakers for its continued operations during wartime. The platform reportedly handles about 70% of Iran’s cryptocurrency activity and claims to serve roughly 11 million users.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo Courtesy: Bryan J. Scrafford on Shutterstock.com
Key Takeaways
- Kalshi traders assign a 76% probability that bitcoin hits $50,000 before $100,000, up 35% in recent weeks.
- Polymarket’s $45M annual bitcoin market prices a 64% chance BTC falls to $50,000 or lower before Dec. 31, 2026.
- Kalshi’s $10.3M timeline market gives bitcoin only a 14% chance of crossing $100,000 before January 2027.
Bearish Consensus Builds Across Platforms
The largest signal comes from Kalshi, where a market asking “Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?” now shows a 76% probability favoring the downside. That figure represents a 35% increase in probability in recent weeks. The contract has drawn $54,516 in total trading volume and resolves based on the CF Real-Time Index, using a 60-second average to confirm which threshold is crossed first. If neither is reached by Dec. 31, 2026, the market defaults to “No.”
The result: a strong majority of active traders on Kalshi believe bitcoin tests $50,000 before it sees six figures again.
June Price Range Looks Tight
On Polymarket, a market focused on bitcoin’s June 2026 price range has pulled in $30.3 million in trading volume. With bitcoin trading near $60,000 on Sunday, the crowd gives a 33% chance the price drops to or below $57,500 this month, versus a 29% chance of reaching $62,500 or above. Targets at $67,500 or higher carry odds of 1% or less. A drop to $55,000 carries a 7% probability.
The range reflects a market pricing limited upside in the near term and real downside risk through June 30.
$100K Timeline Looks Distant
Kalshi’s “When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?” market, which has accumulated $10.3 million in trading volume, shows traders see almost no chance of a near-term recovery. The odds of bitcoin crossing $100,000 before July 2026 are below 1%. Before October 2026, those odds sit at 6%. Even extending the window to January 2027 only brings the probability to 14%.
Polymarket’s companion market, “When will bitcoin hit $150k?”, paints a similar picture. With $26.9 million in total volume, traders give the $150,000 milestone less than a 1% chance of being reached by June 30. The year-end December 2026 window carries just 5% odds.
2026 Annual Targets Show Wide Range
Polymarket’s largest active bitcoin market, asking “What price will bitcoin hit in 2026?”, has drawn $45 million in trading volume. It tracks price milestones from Nov. 24, 2025, through Dec. 31, 2026, using Binance’s 1-minute candle data on the BTC/ USDT pair.
Current crowd pricing shows:
- $55,000 or lower: 78% probability
- $50,000 or lower: 64% probability
- $70,000: 67% probability
- $75,000: 50% probability
- $80,000: 36% probability
- $90,000: 20% probability
- $100,000: 10% probability
- $160,000 and above: 1% to 2% probability
The data reflects a market that expects bitcoin to both dip below current levels and potentially recover to the $70,000 range within the year, while viewing anything above $90,000 as a long shot.
$57,500 Floor Gets Priced In
Kalshi’s “How low will BTC get in June?” market has logged $1.7 million in volume. Traders are pricing a 32% chance bitcoin’s trimmed mean price falls below $57,500 before June 30. The odds drop sharply for deeper cuts: 7% for a close below $55,000, and 2% for a move below $52,500.
What the Data Shows
Prediction markets aggregate real money from traders willing to back their views with capital. The consistency across Polymarket and Kalshi, covering several separate contracts and more than $75 million in combined volume, points to a cohesive view: Bitcoin faces meaningful near-term downside, the $100,000 level is not expected to be reclaimed in 2026 by most prediction marketplace participants, and the floor around $50,000 to $55,000 is being actively priced as a realistic outcome before year-end.
At the time of writing, bitcoin was trading near $59,500, down roughly 31.5% from the high of the tracking period on the year’s largest Polymarket contract.
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