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Bitcoin Remains Above $65k—What’s Next For The Cryptocurrency?

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Bitcoin Remains Above k—What’s Next For The Cryptocurrency?

Bitcoin prices have maintained their strength over the last 24 hours, retaining the vast majority of the gains that materialized during the cryptocurrency’s latest rally.

The world’s largest digital currency by total market capitalization was trading above $65,000 at the time of this writing, according to CoinMarketCap data.

The digital asset held that value after rallying more than 8% in under 24 hours, reaching its highest since approximately April 24 and then extending those gains, additional CoinMarketCap figures show.

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Focusing in on bitcoin’s short-term outlook, several market observers highlighted key fundamental developments that could impact the digital asset’s price, in addition to singling out price levels that could provide key support or resistance.

Brett Sifling, an investment advisor for Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management, offered some input on this situation.

“Bitcoin remains range bound since the end of February, as the halving event wasn’t enough to push it to new highs,” he stated via emailed comments.

“I don’t see any other major catalysts on the horizon, other than increased institutional adoption. There is also the potential for the Fed to lower rates later this year, which could bring increased optimism for risk-on assets like Bitcoin,” said Sifling, referring to the federal funds rate, which is controlled by Federal Reserve policymakers.

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The decisions of the Federal Open Market Committee have generated quite a bit of visibility over the last few years, as these government officials pushed the fed funds rate, which has an impact on broader borrowing costs, to its highest level since 2008.

This, in turn, has provided a significant headwind for economic activity, but inflation data has remained stubbornly high at many points in spite of high borrowing costs.

Yesterday, headline inflation figures that fell short of economist estimates were cited as a catalyst that helped bitcoin prices rally. This development was credited with helping provide investors with greater hopes that the Fed will cut rates soon.

Technical Analysis

As for the key price levels that technical traders should monitor going forward, Sifling offered some guidance.

“The recent all-time highs in March of around ~$74,000 is a key level to watch, as well as the lows of this recent range at ~$56,500,” he stated.

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Grant Tungate, head of business development for Blockforce Capital, also shed some light on this matter.

“I don’t want to make any predictions but I’ll provide some commentary on levels I believe are important,” he said via email.

“Key levels are the new 30d high ~$67.3k, then the all time high ~$74k. On the downside the 30d low ~$57k is an important zone,” Tungate added, pinpointing figures similar to those identified by Sifling.

Armando Aguilar, an independent cryptocurrency analyst, also offered some input on this subject.

“The next critical support level for BTC holds in the high $62k range, if BTC struggles to maintain these levels it could retest low $61k range,” he stated.

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“The resistance levels for BTC are in the mid $66k which if breached, we could see the blue chip cryptocurrency cruise to mid/high $68k,” Aguilar added.

“The ATH does provide a key resistance level which would require BTC inflows to pick up as it was the case for the first 2 months since launch. Don’t immediately see levels passing ATH as most custodians have reached maximum distribution capacity thus seeing low inflows into BTC,” he concluded.

Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether, EOS and sol.

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'Make Bitcoin Great Again': Specter of Trump — and absence of Harris — hangs over annual crypto gathering

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'Make Bitcoin Great Again': Specter of Trump — and absence of Harris — hangs over annual crypto gathering

NASHVILLE — Charlene Brown arrived at the first full day of Bitcoin 2024 at the Music City Center convention complex with two signs in hand: “Orange Man Good” and “Bitcoin Don.” 

Similar symbols of a recent and sudden shift in the politics of bitcoin could be spotted elsewhere in the Nashville crowd. “Make Bitcoin Great Again” caps — not to mention knockoff “Make America Great Again” hats that eventually were seized by organizers for violating conference rules dotted the convention hall as the year’s biggest bitcoin event got rolling. 

Brown, who publishes Tokens Magazine, a pro-cryptocurrency publication, was perhaps the most visibly pro-Trump bitcoin advocate at the Nashville confab.

“I love that we now have a president who supports Bitcoin,” said Brown, referring to former President Donald Trump. “Now everyone is jumping on the bandwagon,” she said. 

Charlene Brown, a conference attendee.Rob Wile / NBC News

Interviews with others in attendance confirmed a clear, if less outwardly apparent, support of the former president. 

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Bitcoin Conference, a long-running event centered around the most popular cryptocurrency, has taken on national significance virtually overnight thanks to Trump’s recent embrace of bitcoin. Starting Friday and running through the weekend, the schedule is dotted with GOP power players.

Trump is slated to deliver an address on Saturday, just weeks after he officially made supporting cryptocurrencies an official plank of the GOP’s platform. He will be preceded by one current and three prospective Republican elected officials: South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, Pennsylvania Senate candidate Bernie Moreno, Nevada Senate candidate Sam Brown and Massachusetts Senate candidate John Deaton.  

Plenty of other high-profile Republicans are scheduled to speak, including former presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy and Sens. Marsha Blackburn, Bill Hagerty and Cynthia Lummis. Representative Ro Khanna of California was the only high-profile Democrat on the agenda.  

The speaker list reflects the growing coterie of the crypto world and tech writ large that has taken a hard-right turn. Other prominent crypto investors now backing Trump include Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, co-founders of Gemini crypto exchange; and Elon Musk, a longtime crypto fan who has also begun aggressively backing the GOP candidate. 

The conference also welcomed Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is making a third-party run for president. He pledged to build a reserve of 4 million bitcoins — worth about $272 billion as of Friday — if elected.

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Some in the GOP have also floated building a U.S. bitcoin reserve, pitching it as akin to the government’s strategic reserves of oil and other precious commodities.

Silicon Valley was also instrumental in selecting JD Vance as Trump’s running mate; the Ohio Senator disclosed in 2021 that he owned $100,000-worth of bitcoin and has called crypto “one of the few sectors of our economy where conservatives and other free thinkers can operate without pressure from the social justice mob.”

The crypto crowd has historically been skeptical of politicians and institutions thanks in part to its origins among the cypherpunk community, which embraced the technology as a way to use the internet to embrace decentralization. But with the perception among many in the cryptocurrency community that the Biden administration has stifled the technology, convention attendees told NBC News that Trump would be a step in the right direction.

“With Trump, it’s not even that he’s necessarily pro-Bitcoin — it’s just that he’s going to be willing to allow it to even exist,” said Adam McBride, a crypto entrepreneur based in Costa Rica. McBride compared the current administration’s stance to being “held underwater, not allowing us to breathe.”

Trump, too, once kept the community at arms length, at one point saying he was “not a fan” of crypto.

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But he signaled a sea change last month when he announced his support of the Bitcoin mining industry; pledged to commute the sentence of the founder of the Silk Road online underground marketplace; and wrote his support of crypto in the GOP’s 2024 platform. 

“We will end Democrats’ unlawful and unAmerican Crypto crackdown and oppose the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency,” the platform document states, referring to discussion of creating a centralized digital token, an idea that has sparked vigorous opposition by crypto supporters. “We will defend the right to mine Bitcoin, and ensure every American has the right to self-custody of their Digital Assets, and transact free from Government Surveillance and Control,” the document reads. 

Crypto enthusiasts say Trump has said all the right things so far — but some conference attendees said they were still not ready to proclaim that crypto has gone fully MAGA.

Garett Curran, an associate at Qubic Labs, a Boston-based organization that supports blockchain and Web3 technology companies, said Trump’s appearance showed there was an opportunity to overturn the current regulatory posture of the U.S. government, which many in the crypto world see as overly restrictive.  

But he also mentioned the prospect of more positive overtures toward the community from Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris, referring to recent remarks in Politico from Mark Cuban, who said people in the vice president’s orbit have signaled a greater openness to crypto. 

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“The bitcoin community actually has power,” Curran said.  

And a handful of attendees said that despite Trump’s newfound embrace of crypto, they still could not in good conscience support him.  

Sarai Mora, a multimedia artist known as “Creatress” and who gave a live art performance at a nearby bar Thursday night, said that Trump’s other views remained antithetical to her own as a woman of Mexican descent.

“I’m hoping the female candidate wins — it’s time to try something new,” she said. “I’m not saying anyone’s perfect, but I think it’s time to try something different.”

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Why Bitcoin and Trump Are Once Again Crypto’s Biggest Story

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Why Bitcoin and Trump Are Once Again Crypto’s Biggest Story

It’s day two of Nashville’s Bitcoin Conference, but many attendees are waiting for day three.

The reason? Saturday (July 27), at 2 p.m., is when U.S. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will give a keynote address to the conference.

The former president and current hopeful, who once dismissed bitcoin as a “scam” competing against the U.S. dollar, is now positioning himself as a proponent of the crypto industry.

Trump has already raised more than $4 million in crypto for his campaign war chest, and the crypto audience represents an attractive and lucrative voting bloc, particularly given their ongoing disillusionment with the current state of existing domestic digital asset policy.

A free T-shirt being offered to attendees of the conference reads “Vote Trump.”

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Per a Barron’s report, the prevailing sentiment among certain bitcoin investors and enthusiasts is that Trump will use his speech to make a major announcement, something along the lines of throwing his support behind having the U.S. government buy bitcoin as a “strategic reserve” asset, akin to foreign currencies, or oil.

Central banks’ investment in bitcoin would lend credibility to cryptocurrency, potentially elevating it to a status similar to gold in terms of being a store of value. Any such move could have a far-ranging influence on discussions around digital currencies and monetary sovereignty.

Trump, who has pitched himself as the “crypto president,” isn’t the only politician speaking at the crypto festival. Republican former candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, independent U.S. presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and lawmakers from both parties — including Sen. Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming — are also slated to speak.

See also: Trump Running Mate J.D. Vance’s Antitrust Views Divide Business Leaders

Crypto Industry Looks to Increase Beltway Influence

Trump’s rebranding as a crypto-friendly candidate is part of a larger trend among Republicans to embrace digital currencies and blockchain technology. This strategy aims not only to attract a young and tech-savvy demographic but also to tap into the substantial financial resources of the crypto sector. By aligning with the interests of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, Trump and his party are seeking to leverage the political and economic potential of this burgeoning industry.

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Trump’s running mate, J.D. Vance, has maintained a positive view on the digital asset sector throughout his political career, and voted as a senator accordingly.

The Republican Party’s platform states that the GOP will “end Democrats’ unlawful and unAmerican Crypto crackdown” and “defend the right to mine Bitcoin.”

And as PYMNTS wrote earlier this month, the need for clear regulatory frameworks remains one of the most pressing issues facing the crypto industry.

“What we are seeing, where it’s the UK, Japan, Singapore … even the European Union, more than two dozen countries have come together to provide a framework for crypto regulation,” Ripple’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse said last week (July 17). “It’s frustrating that we as a country can’t get that framework in place. And instead, we have this interminable litigation coming from the SEC that really isn’t solving the problem.”

Ripple earlier this year donated $25 million to the crypto industry super PAC Fairshake, with Garlinghouse saying at the time that those donations would continue each year, as long as the sector had its naysayers.

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Read more: Blockchain’s Benefits for Regulated Industries

As the 2024 elections approach, the cryptocurrency sector is poised to play an increasingly significant role in American politics, across both parties.

Per a Politico report on Tuesday (July 23), billionaire investor and bitcoin enthusiast Mark Cuban believes that Democratic Presidential Nominee Kamala Harris would be “far more open” to crypto, though he noted that was “certainly not confirmed by the VP.”

Potentially contributing to the more mainstream embrace of crypto is the fact that institutions are starting to warm up to digital assets, too.

Coinbase Asset Management is reportedly creating a tokenized money market fund, while asset manager BlackRock introduced a tokenization of real-world assets: a fund called BUIDL that holds U.S. Treasurys and gained $500 million of assets following its launch in March.

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The tokenization of real-world assets is a function of the blockchain landscape that has captured the imagination of various players across payments, finance and commerce, PYMNTS reported in April.

As PYMNTS Intelligence’s latest report revealed, regulated industries, including healthcare and financial services, must adhere to numerous requirements, such as know your customer (KYC), anti-money laundering (AML) and data privacy regulations. Blockchain could help these industries in that regard.


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Trump Will Headline Bitcoin 2024 Conference—His Latest ‘Crypto President’ Rebrand Effort

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Trump Will Headline Bitcoin 2024 Conference—His Latest ‘Crypto President’ Rebrand Effort

Topline

Former president and one-time bitcoin detractor Donald Trump will speak at Bitcoin 2024 in Nashville, Tennessee, this weekend alongside other political figures, looking to further his rebrand as a “crypto president” ahead of Election Day.

Key Facts

Characterized as the world’s largest bitcoin conference, the three-day event hosted at the Music City Center convention complex features a wide range of speakers such as independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., political commentator and comedian Russell Brand and former Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy.

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The conference features educational panels, networking opportunities and entertainment experiences such as a Karate Combat/Influencer Fight Club viewing and a screening of a bitcoin movie, “God Bless Bitcoin,” which features interviews with people such as billionaire Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban and skateboarding legend Tony Hawk.

Trump will give a 30-minute keynote address Saturday during the conference’s final day, in a speech that will likely attempt to court voters and capitalize on support he has already received from key cryptocurrency figures like the Winklevoss twins.

Tickets to the conference are pricey, starting at $699 and reaching as high as $21,000 for a single ticket—though prospective attendees can get tickets at a 21% discount if they purchase them with bitcoin.

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Surprising Fact

Edward Snowden, the whistleblower behind one of the largest classified documents leaks in the history of the National Security Agency, is expected to speak Friday from Russia, and has called the cryptocurrency “the most significant monetary advance since the creation of coinage.”

Tangent

Bitcoin traded down more than 2% at just under $65,000 Thursday afternoon, having mostly plateaued in the last three months, posting gains of a fraction of a percent. It has surged more than 53% since the start of the year.

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Big Number

$1.8 million. That is how many dollars worth of bitcoin Trump supporters donated to the Republican nominee through the end of June, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Key Background

The bitcoin conference has historically been used by public figures and companies as an event to announce partnerships and initiatives. In 2021, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced at the event that the country would be making bitcoin a legal tender. Attendance has been inconsistent in recent years, as 25,000 people appeared at the convention in 2022 (when the crypto market experienced one of its worst crashes ever) and 12,000 attended in 2023, according to Bloomberg. Bitcoin 2024 has yet to share attendance numbers, though big-name speakers like Trump could generate more tickets than prior years.

What Has Donald Trump Said About Bitcoin?

Trump has increasingly warmed up to cryptocurrency as Election Day draws closer, ditching the skepticism he had for it years ago. While president in 2019 he said he was not a fan of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, calling their values “highly volatile and based on thin air” in a tweet. He also told Fox News in 2021 bitcoin “just seems like a scam,” saying he did not like it “because it’s another currency competing against the dollar.” Since then, Trump has embraced cryptocurrency, allowing supporters to donate to his campaign with bitcoin and selecting a running mate in JD Vance, R-Ohio, who supports and owns at least $100,000 worth of bitcoin. The cryptocurrency market may benefit from Trump winning in November, with bitcoin remaining “sensitive” to the election as its price is “positively correlated with the probability” of a Trump victory, according to Bernstein analysts led by Gautam Chhugani. Trump’s Democratic challenger, Vice President Kamala Harris, is likely to adopt the regulation-centric crypto policies of her former running mate, President Joe Biden.

Further Reading

Billionaire Winklevoss Twins Donate $2 Million In Bitcoin To Support Donald Trump (Forbes)

Are Trump And Vance Good For Bitcoin? Here’s Why The Market Thinks So—Even Though Trump’s Called It A ‘Scam.’ (Forbes)

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