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Bitcoin Prices Plunge Below $53,000 As Multiple Factors Fuel Losses

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Bitcoin Prices Plunge Below ,000 As Multiple Factors Fuel Losses

Bitcoin prices took a tumble today, falling close to 8% in less than 24 hours as markets responded to several bearish variables including lackluster jobs data.

The world’s most prominent digital currency dropped to $52,530 around 5 p.m. EST, according to Coinbase data provided by TradingView.

At this point, the cryptocurrency was down approximately 7.8% after rising to nearly $57,000 earlier in the day, additional Coinbase figures pulled from the same source reveal.

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Since falling to roughly $52,500, the digital asset has bounced back somewhat, trading close to $53,800 at the time of this writing. However, the cryptocurrency has failed to recoup most of the losses it suffered today.

Multiple Causal Factors

When asked to explain these latest price fluctuations, analysts pointed to several developments.

“Bitcoin’s price action continues to be in a downtrend, attributing to a combination of macroeconomic factors, underwhelming ETF flows, and seasonality effects,” Jacob Joseph, senior research analyst at CCData, said via emailed comments.

He pointed to the latest U.S. jobs data, which showed that the nation’s economy created 142,000 net positions in August, according to a Labor Department news release.

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“Recent revisions to job data indicate a weaker labour market than previously thought, raising fears about economic slowdown,” he stated.

“This has led to risk aversion among investors, causing them to shy away from riskier assets like Bitcoin,” Joseph added.

Brett Sifling, an investment advisor for Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management, also weighed in on the key role that this development played in the downward movement the cryptocurrency experienced today.

“The sell off was started by the recent jobs report, which is causing investors to wonder about the state of the economy and if we’re heading into a recession,” he stated via comments submitted through email.

All Eyes On The Fed

In spite of the bearish impact today’s jobs data had on bitcoin, the figures could cause Fed officials “to be much more dovish and lower rates this month,” Sifling stated, emphasizing the frequently repeated sentiment that “Lower rates have historically been seen as a positive development for Bitcoin.”

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Several other market observers highlighted how the lackluster jobs figures could potentially impact the decision making of these government officials.

Tim Enneking, managing partner of Psalion, spoke to this via email, stating that “the cuts will almost certainly total 75-100 bps this year (which is quite rapid) and the US (and global) economy looks to be set for a soft landing.”

Seasonality

Recently, the cryptocurrency markets have been impacted by the specific time of the year, Joseph emphasized, stating that “the seasonality effects in the summer have slowed down the inflow of capital to the ETFs, leading to a lack of fresh capital to support Bitcoin’s price.”

Over the next several weeks, the digital asset could experience further weakness, at least if bitcoin experiences performance this September that is similar to previous years.

“Historically, since 2010, Bitcoin’s average returns in September have averaged -4.51%, making it the worst-performing month on record, contributing to negative expectations,” the analyst noted.

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“Moreover, the market is more likely to be risk averse entering a period of catalysts that can induce high volatility; with the US Presidential Election debate on Sept 10th, CPI and FOMC decision on the 12th and 20th,” he added.

Meanwhile, bitcoin has been experiencing lackluster demand over the last several months, Julio Moreno, head of research for CryptoQuant, noted via Telegram.

He provided the chart below, which illustrates these developments:

Uncertain Outlook

While analysts were able to create a consensus regarding the key impact that monetary policy will likely have on bitcoin markets going forward, they offered varying takes on how the digital currency will behave going forward.

“We’re in a transition period right now, though, with no clear bullish drivers for the BTC price, especially since the furor over the spot BTC ETFs is over, and the price is drifting lower,” said Enneking.

“Now that $56k, the mid-August low, has fallen, there’s some decent support at $54k, but if that doesn’t hold (and, as of right now, it doesn’t look good), we risk dropping to the early August low of $49k,” he stated.

Greg Magadini, director of derivatives for digital asset data provider Amberdata, provided a different take.

“Bitcoin’s price will probably continue to range in the $55-65k band for a while longer,” he stated via email.

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“It could touch the high 40’s, which would be a great buy opportunity but not a concern,” Magadini added.

“Bitcoin price is poised to continue a run up from the $16k bear market lows over the next 12-18 months given rising global liquidity, $16bn being issued in cash to FTX creditors, and a fiscal environment which favors asset prices.”

Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether, EOS and SOL.

Crypto

Dogecoin Jumps On Election Day: Poll Asks If Trump Or Harris Victory Will Spark 2025 Rally

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Dogecoin Jumps On Election Day: Poll Asks If Trump Or Harris Victory Will Spark 2025 Rally

Meme cryptocurrency Dogecoin DOGE/USD has experienced a surge in trading volume and price activity leading up to the 2024 presidential election.

A Benzinga poll asks readers to choose whether a victory by Donald Trump or Kamala Harris in the election could have a more positive impact on Dogecoin in 2025.

What Happened: Dogecoin is up 12% to $0.1761 on Tuesday, with the meme cryptocurrency seeing increased activity likely related to the 2024 election and positive mentions of the Department of Government Efficiency, or D.O.G.E. for short, by Elon Musk.

Musk is expected to join the Trump administration if the former president wins the 2024 election. In this role, Musk would seek to cut government inefficiencies and unnecessary departments, a role labeled under the D.O.G.E.

The Tesla CEO and billionaire mentioned D.O.G.E. during his most recent appearance Monday on “The Joe Rogan Experience” podcast, which is likely contributing to Dogecoin’s strong movement on Tuesday.

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“For Dogecoin’s future in 2025, who would be the better president: Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?” Benzinga recently asked.

The results were:

  • Donald Trump: 72%
  • Kamala Harris: 28%

The Benzinga poll found that respondents believe Trump would be more favorable for the future of Dogecoin, which may not come as a surprise given the former president’s reputation as a more pro-crypto leader.

Did You Know?

What’s Next: Trump, who previously spoke out against Bitcoin, reversed course and has appealed to cryptocurrency investors ahead of the 2024 election.

If Trump wins the 2024 election, cryptocurrency investors expect the price of Bitcoin BTC/USD and other cryptocurrencies to rise with a more crypto-friendly government in place and the likelihood that SEC Chair Gary Gensler will be replaced.

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While Harris has not been as vocal on cryptocurrency as Trump, there is belief that she could look to advance the sector forward if she wins the election.

Either way, Dogecoin could see high volatility during the week as the 2024 election outcome is expected to take some time to make official.

With a price of $0.1761 on Tuesday, Dogecoin is nearing its one-month high of $0.1792.

Over the last 52 weeks, Dogecoin has traded between $0.07028 and $0.2266. Dogecoin hit all-time highs of $0.7376 back in May 2021.

Read Next:

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The study was conducted by Benzinga from Nov. 4 through Nov. 5, 2024, and included the responses of a diverse population of adults 18 or older. Opting into the survey was completely voluntary, with no incentives offered to potential respondents. The study reflects results from 134 adults.

Image created with Shutterstock and Midjourney.

Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs

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FBI finds $8.3 million embezzled by ‘pure evil’ Kansas banker in a cryptocurrency account in the Cayman Islands

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FBI finds .3 million embezzled by ‘pure evil’ Kansas banker in a cryptocurrency account in the Cayman Islands

Sobs of relief broke out in a federal courtroom in Kansas on Monday as dozens of people whose life savings had been embezzled by a bank CEO learned that federal law enforcement had recovered their money.

“I just can’t describe the weight lifted off of us,” said Bart Camilli, 70, who with his wife Cleo had just learned they’d recover close to $450,000 — money Bart began saving at 18 when he bought his first individual retirement account. “It’s life-changing.”

In August, former Kansas bank CEO Shan Hanes was sentenced to 24 years after stealing $47 million from customer accounts and wiring the money to cryptocurrency accounts run by scammers. Prosecutors said Hanes also stole $40,000 from his church, $10,000 from an investment club and $60,000 from his daughter’s college fund and lost $1.1 million of his own in the scheme. Deposits were “jettisoned into the ether,” said prosecutor Aaron Smith.

Hanes’ Heartland Tri-State Bank, drained of cash, was shut down by federal regulators and sold to another financial institution. Customers’ savings and checking accounts amounting to $47.1 million were insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which paid off their losses.

But there were still 30 shareholders of the community-owned rural bank Hanes helped found — including his close family friends and neighbors — who thought they lost $8.3 million in investments: well-planned retirements were upended, funds for long-term eldercare gone, education funds and bequests for children and grandchildren zeroed out.

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On Monday the shareholders stood to cheer federal Judge John W. Broomes in Wichita after he told them, one at a time, that they’d be paid back in full. The FBI recovered the funds from a cryptocurrency account held by Tether Ltd. in the Cayman Islands.

During an earlier sentencing hearing, these victims had called Hanes a “deceitful cheat and a liar,” and “pure evil.”

Margaret Grice came to court Monday figuring she’d get $1,000 back. Instead, she learned she’d be recovering almost $250,000, her entire 401(k).

“I’m just really thrilled,” she said. “I can breathe.”

Prosecutors said Hanes, who was the CEO of Heartland Tri-State Bank in Elkhart, Kansas, lost the money in a scam referred to as “pig butchering,” or the way pigs are fattened before slaughter. In the scam, a third party gains a victims’ trust and, over time, convinces them to invest all of their money into cryptocurrency, which immediately disappears. U.S. and U.N. officials say these schemes are proliferating, with scammers largely in Southeast Asia increasingly taking advantage of Americans.

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Hanes started buying what he thought was $5,000 in cryptocurrency in late 2022, communicating with someone who had reached out on WhatsApp, according to court records. A few months later he transferred over his church and investment club funds. Records show the scam accelerated in the summer of 2023, when Hanes wired $47.1 million out of customer accounts in 11 wire transfers over just eight weeks. Each transfer, he thought, was necessary to end the investment and cash out, court records said. He watched, on a fake website, as the money appeared to grow to more than $200 million.

“He was to take some of the money, and the rest of the money was supposed to go back to the bank,” his attorney John Stang explained. “Now it’s fiction, it didn’t exist. We all know that now … It failed big time.”

Hanes, who was not in court Monday, apologized at an earlier sentencing hearing.

“From the deepest depth of my soul, I had no intention of ever causing the harm that I did,” he said. ”I’ll forever struggle to understand how I was duped and how what I thought was just getting the money back was making it worse.”

Prosecutors said Hanes wasn’t just the victim of a scam, he crossed a line when he began taking customers’ money and violating banking regulations. He pleaded guilty to embezzlement by a bank officer in May.

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His prominent standing in his hometown of 2,000 made it easier for him to get away with it, a Federal Reserve System investigation found; he had been on the school board, volunteered as a swim meet official, and served on the Kansas Bankers Association.

He also was a banking leader beyond his rural community. In recent years, he testified to Congressional committees about the importance of local banks in farming communities, and he served as a director for the American Bankers Association, which represents almost all banking assets in the U.S.

On Monday, prosecutors said the FDIC wanted to be paid back for the insurance claims it reimbursed to bank customers. But Judge Broomes said the economic circumstances of shareholders “who became insolvent because of a fraud scheme” justified paying them back first, before the FDIC recovers anything.

Hanes, 53, may be in his late 70s when he is released and is unlikely to be able to pay the FDIC the $47.1 million still owed.

In a court filing, Hanes and his attorney tried to explain what had happened.

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“Mr. Hanes made some very bad choices after being caught up in an extremely well-run cryptocurrency scam,” they said. “He was the pig that was butchered.”

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$3M Bitcoin Forecast: Vaneck's Model Sees Central Bank BTC Adoption – Markets and Prices Bitcoin News

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M Bitcoin Forecast: Vaneck's Model Sees Central Bank BTC Adoption – Markets and Prices Bitcoin News
Bitcoin could reach $3 million, according to asset manager Vaneck, with a model showing its potential as a reserve asset held by global central banks. Bitcoin as Central Bank Asset? The $3M Target Driving Big Conversations Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at asset management firm Vaneck, analyzed bitcoin’s recent rise in an interview […]
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