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A compelling case for regulating cryptocurrency

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A compelling case for regulating cryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency is accessible anywhere. It feels smart and sophisticated. It is built to be technologically secure. It can be an asset as well as, in some parts of the world, a means of payment. It can be converted into fiat (cash) at a moment’s notice. And, unlike conventional financial instruments, it offers no barriers to adoption. With as little as a hundred rupees, an aspiring youngster in the hinterlands of India can buy a fraction of cryptocurrency and feel like a grand investor.

Mitali Mukherjee’s book Crypto Crimes deals with this alluring asset class that has the potential to exist beyond the reaches of governments and conventional financial institutions or at least dodge easy scrutiny by governments. This is why crypto is so popular among scamsters, kidnappers, extortionists, drug peddlers, hawala operators, terrorism financiers, and ransomware invaders. Mukherjee successfully depicts this web of nefarious activities. She describes the world of crypto as one without guardrails, lethal to many, and potentially dangerous to all. Like a good journalist, she does this by expertly piling fact-filled passages upon each other.

Crypto Crimes: Inside India’s Best-Kept Secret 

By Mitali Mukherjee

HarperCollins India
Pages: ‎336
Price: Rs.499

Two chapters dedicated to the threat posed by ransomware attacks offer us details about how a cross section of Indian organisations—both public and private—were affected. The list includes JNPT, SpiceJet, Oil India Limited, Dr Reddy’s, BSNL, Mobikwik, Paytm Mall, BigBasket, and AIIMS. In this model, the invaders have the option to not only extract ransom but also earn through the sale of sensitive personal information of the customers of these companies. The author highlights the inadequacies of security frameworks in many Indian corporates and also how some companies under attack resort to denials or react irrationally against whistle-blowers or those offering a helping hand. 

Even more revealing is the existence of “Ransomware-as-a-Service” groups that lease technologies to other groups that actually carry out the attack. But what is crypto’s role in ransomware? Well, it brings scalability to this grimly innovative industry by offering convenience and anonymity and, therefore, the promise of an untraceable escape.

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Need for regulations

The book helps one understand the dire need for standardised regulations, protocols, and practices for this porous currency, which has as much disregard for national borders as greenhouse gases. However, with world leaders unable to build a consensus to combat greater existential threats such as climate change and AI, the only hope is that the global crypto market offers sufficient financial incentive for such a consensus to be reached.

As things stand, three different entities of the Indian government itself—the RBI, the Securities and Exchange Board of India, and the Ministry of Finance—are unable to agree upon the approach to cryptocurrency. Whereas the RBI has been sounding the warning bugle since 2013, the ministry has been inconsistent in its response. It has pondered over banning cryptocurrency altogether, created committees at various points that made different recommendations, and mulled over the introduction of its own virtual currency (Central Bank Digital Currency) and, after all these years, still has not formulated regulations for the domain. However, in 2022, it did announce heavy taxation of gains made in cryptocurrency, which affected the industry. Without a trace of irony, the Finance Minister denied that this move offered legitimacy to crypto and instead claimed “a sovereign right to tax”.

The book captures a sole, sane voice from within the corridors of power: former Finance Secretary Subhash Chandra Garg, who recommends that policy-making precede legislation, which can then lead to well-framed and implementable regulations.

Highlights
  • Eshwar Sundaresan reviews Crypto Crimes: Inside India’s Best-Kept Secret by Mitali Mukherjee.
  • The book makes a compelling case for regulating cryptocurrency that may be longer-lasting than its detractors believe
  • Two chapters on ransomware attacks offer us details about how a cross section of Indian organisations were affected by these.
  • However the book suffers from poor storytelling and repetitiveness.

Tedious and repetitive

Now for the flaws of the book. The author often overloads the reader with information while resorting to poor storytelling, except in the last few chapters, which are more free-flowing. In some chapters, the same point is repeated in a loop, with a new source offering a similar or slightly differing perspective of the same point. In the process, the drama, emotions, and imagery surrounding poignant human moments are left untapped. Can a serious book not also be evocative?

Had the organisation of information been better, this would have been a much smaller book. It does not help that key points are repeated ad nauseum. These include the specific vulnerabilities of India to crypto crimes, the speed with which the technology penetrated rural and semi-rural landscapes in the country, market fluctuations vis-a-vis the pandemic, and the involvement of Russian and Chinese entities in ransomware attacks and extortions respectively. Sometimes, the same study is cited twice in a span of a few pages, such as the mention of Maharashtra being the target of 42 per cent of ransomware attacks in India. One wonders whether each chapter was written like an isolated article and, therefore, the author felt compelled to set contexts and data points all over again.

For a book that relies extensively on surveys and statistics, it seems astonishing that the author has made no attempt to leverage infographics. These could have made the points more memorable, while offering the beginnings of analysis. Forget a grand diorama of stakeholders, issues, and interactions, the book does not include even a timeline of events or a simple table or graph that would help one absorb comparative data.

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Also Read | ‘Only the tip of the iceberg’: Dr Jayant Mahadevan on online gambling in India

Although the book has the viscous storytelling of a scholarly study, it lacks the rigour to make it one. A great deal of the book relies on secondary research; while citing these external sources of information, the author hardly ever offers more than rudimentary analysis of her own. And the primary research itself is unsatisfactory. The author has interviewed technocrats, the odd retail investor, some insiders, and a few crypto entrepreneurs. She walks on eggshells with the latter category, making no attempt to provoke or even challenge their self-serving opinions. For instance, when BuyUCoin co-founder Shivam Thakral laments the lack of financial literacy among Indians, the author does not ask whether this puts a greater onus on the government to protect such a target audience from harm. Perhaps just making an observation in this regard would have sufficed. Similarly, while interviewing Nischal Shetty, the co-founder of WazirX—a company that was slapped with a show-cause notice for allegedly contravening regulations of the Foreign Exchange Management Act to the tune of Rs.2,790.74 crore—who refuses to look within and states that people will always choose freedom (as opposed to regulations), she does not ask if all people, including the honest retail investor, would object to regulations that protect them. Finally, in a book based on hard research, the citations provided are not substantiated either in the back pages of the book or in the publisher’s website URL linked to a QR code that promises “Detailed Notes” on both the front and back sides of the book.

Overall, Mukherjee makes a compelling case for regulating this new asset class that may be longer-lasting than its detractors believe while also highlighting its potential for positive transformation. This makes the book a ready reckoner for those who want to delve into and dwell on the world of crypto. Others are likely to find it tedious and mediocre.

Eshwar Sundaresan is an author, freelance journalist, counsellor, life skills trainer, and bestselling ghostwriter.

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Crypto

Cryptocurrency becomes trendy holiday gift option

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Cryptocurrency becomes trendy holiday gift option

PHOENIX (AZFamily) — Cryptocurrency is appearing on more holiday wish lists as gift-givers look for alternatives to traditional presents.

A new survey from the National Cryptocurrency Association and PayPal shows 24% of Americans have given or are considering giving cryptocurrency this holiday season.

The survey also found that 17% of consumers would rather receive cryptocurrency than a gift card, and 31% of Americans believe crypto gifts are less likely to go unused than gift cards.

“It’s actually a trending holiday gift, especially compared to gift cards,” said Ali Tager, a spokesperson for the NCA. “We know crypto is becoming increasingly mainstream.”

Tager said people like receiving cryptocurrency because it has the potential to increase in value.

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“There’s so much you can do with this technology and it’s still in its early days,” she said.

Financial advisor Angelica Prescod said there are other investment options to consider for gift-giving.

“One of them is just gifting people something simple. Maybe some shares of some stocks that you may already have, that you are gifting over, or you can give them the cash to do so and open up their own account and feel involved in the process,” Prescod said. “For most folks [cryptocurrency] is not really the go to.”

Gift-givers can also contribute to 529 plans for college and other education expenses.

“It’s that gift that potentially can keep on giving,” Prescod said.

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For those still interested in giving cryptocurrency, experts recommend doing research first.

“Like with everything, anywhere, you always want to do your research. You want to make sure to verify your sources. You never want to take financial advice from strangers or click on random links that you receive,” Tager said.

The National Cryptocurrency Association offers a crypto simulator that helps users learn how to choose an exchange, set up a wallet, and send and receive cryptocurrency without spending real money.

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Visa Targets Banks and Fintechs With Stablecoin Advisory Launch as Adoption Pressure Tightens

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Visa Targets Banks and Fintechs With Stablecoin Advisory Launch as Adoption Pressure Tightens
Visa is moving deeper into stablecoin-powered payments as adoption surges, launching a new advisory practice to help banks, fintechs, and enterprises design, assess, and deploy stablecoin strategies across global payment and treasury operations.
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Crypto

1 Top Cryptocurrency to Buy Before It Soars Over 1,000%, According to Bernstein | The Motley Fool

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1 Top Cryptocurrency to Buy Before It Soars Over 1,000%, According to Bernstein | The Motley Fool

Bitcoin’s price dip has not deterred Bernstein analysts.

Cryptocurrency investors are understandably nervous as Bitcoin (BTC 4.08%) has fallen around 20% in the last three months. Some fear this could be the start of another crypto winter, but analysts at Bernstein remain optimistic. The brokerage recently predicted that Bitcoin will rally in the coming two years. It also reiterated its price target of $1 million by 2033. With the lead crypto hovering around the $90,000 mark, that suggests an upside of over 1,000%.

Today’s Change

(-4.08%) $-3646.00

Current Price

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$85646.00

Cryptocurrencies are volatile assets, and unfortunately, huge price swings come with the territory. Bernstein’s targets are a timely reminder to focus on the long-term horizon, which could bring dramatic growth.

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Image source: Getty Images.

Why Bernstein remains bullish on Bitcoin

Bernstein had originally forecast that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 this year. The recent slump has poured cold water on that projection. Now, the analysts predict that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 by the end of next year and push on to $200,000 in 2027.

Continued institutional demand plays a key part in the firm’s belief that Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2033. Bernstein points out that spot Bitcoin ETF outflows have been minimal in recent months, despite the extreme price correction. It argues that panic selling by retail investors is being offset by institutional buying.

Perhaps most importantly, Bernstein argues that Bitcoin has moved beyond its four-year Bitcoin halving cycle. Roughly every four years, the Bitcoin mining rewards get halved. It’s built into the programming as a way to control supply. In each of the previous cycles, Bitcoin’s price has risen to new highs in the 12 to 18 months after the halving.

  • 2016 halving: Bitcoin set a new all-time high in December 2017.
  • 2020 halving: Bitcoin set two new highs in April and November 2021.
  • 2024 halving: Bitcoin set new highs in December 2024 and October 2025.

If the pattern holds, we could expect Bitcoin’s price to trend downward next year, having peaked in October. The very expectation of a slump is one of the factors behind faltering investor sentiment. However, Bernstein is one of several crypto analysts who think we’re entering new territory.

It joins leading institutions, including Ark Invest and Grayscale, in saying that Bitcoin will break away from its old cycles. Rather than a prolonged winter, they argue 2026 could bring new highs. The logic is that Bitcoin has matured, attracting significant institutional funds. Plus, next year may bring further rate cuts and regulatory clarity.

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Bitcoin predictions are not set in stone

Price predictions are useful, especially when they come from established financial institutions. Even so, I’d take them with a grain of salt. This is still a relatively new and fast-changing industry, and there are too many moving parts to give more than a best guess. Case in point: Bitcoin is a long way from the $200,000 that Bernstein originally predicted for 2025.

Plus, those optimistic price targets only tell part of the picture. Analysts zoomed in on the stabilizing effect of institutional investors, which is just one of several possible growth drivers for the lead crypto. Others, such as its potential as a form of digital gold, are becoming harder to believe. For example, Bitcoin’s recent volatility undermines its safe-haven asset credentials. It has some of the traits of gold, but it doesn’t yet work as a store of value.

Similarly, in November, Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood slashed her price target for Bitcoin. She told CNBC that the rapid growth of stablecoins and their use in emerging markets eats into a role the firm thought Bitcoin would play. That said, her long-term conviction is still extremely bullish — to her, Bitcoin is a whole new monetary system, and we’re only just beginning to see what it might do.

The idea of an asset growing from $90,000 to $1 million in eight years is extremely attractive. It may happen — Bitcoin has gained over 400% since December 2017. However, it is an ambitious target, and that level of potential growth comes with corresponding levels of risk. Only allocate a small percentage of your portfolio to cryptocurrencies. That way, you benefit if Bitcoin goes to the moon, without risking your financial security if it falls to the gutter.

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