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Guns, Law and the Uvalde Elementary School Shooting

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Guns, Law and the Uvalde Elementary School Shooting

The horrific college taking pictures yesterday in Uvalde, Texas, has ramped up the depth of the nationwide debate over gun management and the feelings round it.

The gunman killed 21 individuals, together with 19 kids, making this the deadliest taking pictures at a U.S. elementary college because the 2012 assault at Sandy Hook Elementary in Newtown, Conn. As a result of he turned 18 this month, the gunman was capable of legally buy two AR-15-style rifles in Texas, The Houston Chronicle reported.

Quickly after the taking pictures, the Senate majority chief, Chuck Schumer, moved to clear the way in which to drive votes on laws that might strengthen background checks for gun patrons. Senator Mitch McConnell, the minority chief, mentioned he was “horrified and heartbroken” by the taking pictures. However he and different Republican lawmakers gave no sign that they could drop their longstanding opposition to tighter gun legal guidelines, regardless that polls present that People overwhelmingly help such measures.

With the Senate divided 50-50, any laws on weapons must draw the help of all Democrats and not less than 10 Republicans to advance. The Democratic Senator Joe Manchin has mentioned he nonetheless helps the laws on background checks that he and the Republican Senator Pat Toomey launched after Sandy Hook, however yesterday he mentioned he didn’t favor eliminating the filibuster to go such a invoice.

Right here is how the newest mass taking pictures is more likely to reverberate in Washington and elsewhere:

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  • President Biden’s nominee to guide the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, Steven Dettelbach, is ready to look earlier than the Senate Judiciary Committee right this moment. The listening to was already going to place a highlight on Biden’s stalled agenda on gun management, however the taking pictures raises the stakes. Republicans have portrayed Biden’s nominee as a risk to Second Modification rights.

  • The Nationwide Rifle Affiliation’s annual assembly opens on Friday in Houston, 300 miles from the location of the bloodbath. Former President Donald Trump, Gov. Greg Abbott of Texas and Senator Ted Cruz are amongst these scheduled to talk, and their phrases will get shut scrutiny. Requested yesterday in regards to the want for gun management measures, Cruz blamed Democrats and the media for dashing to “attempt to limit the constitutional rights of law-abiding residents.”

  • The taking pictures might improve strain on corporations to chop ties with the N.R.A., as some did within the wake of the 2018 highschool taking pictures in Parkland, Fla. That assault led to an even bigger push for boycotts than different current shootings, maybe as a result of the survivors had been youngsters who had been expert at leveraging social media.

  • Simply after the taking pictures, the California Senate handed a invoice permitting residents to sue makers or sellers of untraceable “ghost weapons” and unlawful assault weapons. The invoice was impressed by the abortion regulation in Texas that additionally deputizes personal residents. Different states might attempt related approaches to regulation.

  • Renewed requires tighter controls might result in a spike in gun gross sales. One month after the Sandy Hook taking pictures, a file two million weapons had been bought. Shares of gun makers typically rise after mass shootings, however the efficiency of main gun shares was combined in premarket buying and selling this morning, with Smith & Wesson up 1 p.c, Sturm Ruger down 1 p.c and Vista Out of doors falling 2 p.c.

“The gun producers have spent twenty years aggressively advertising and marketing assault weapons, which make them probably the most and largest revenue,” Biden mentioned in a speech to the nation yesterday. “For God’s sake, now we have to have the braveness to face as much as the trade.” This may very well be the mass taking pictures that results in vital change — or it might be a part of the lengthy record of different atrocities which were adopted by coverage stalemates.

Listed here are some methods to assist the victims of the taking pictures in Uvalde.


The Biden administration blocks Russia from paying American bondholders. The transfer will increase the probability of the primary default of Russia’s overseas debt in additional than a century. In the meantime, preventing is intensifying in Ukraine’s Donbas area, the place Ukrainian officers say they anticipate a devastating siege in Sievierodonetsk, the easternmost metropolis nonetheless underneath Ukrainian management.

One in 5 grownup Covid survivors within the U.S. could develop lengthy Covid. A big examine by the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention, which evaluated digital medical data for almost two million individuals, discovered that the most typical post-Covid circumstances, no matter age, had been respiratory issues and musculoskeletal ache.

Glencore pays $1.1 billion to settle bribery and price-fixing fees. U.S. prosecutors mentioned the settlement with the mining and commodity-trading large adopted a “multiyear scheme to govern benchmarks used to set costs for oil at two of our nation’s busiest ports.”

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Two candidates in Georgia beat Trump-backed challengers. Gov. Brian Kemp trounced David Perdue in a victory that represented a convincing rebuke of former President Donald Trump. The victory units Kemp up for a rematch with Stacey Abrams. Within the secretary of state race, Brad Raffensperger, the Republican incumbent, averted a runoff towards Consultant Jody Hice.

The U.Ok. approves the sale of Chelsea F.C. to a U.S.-led investor group. The British authorities accredited the $3.1 billion sale of the soccer membership after receiving assurances that not one of the proceeds would go to its Russian vendor, Roman Abramovich, who hurriedly put his group available on the market three months in the past, virtually as quickly as Russian troops crossed into Ukraine.

The enterprise capital agency Andreessen Horowitz has guess large on crypto by means of market ups and downs. However nothing like this.

With the cryptocurrency market reeling — after the collapse of a so-called stablecoin helped tank the value of Bitcoin and worn out $300 billion in worth from the broader crypto economic system — the agency introduced this morning that it was launching its fourth and largest crypto fund, dedicating $4.5 billion to blockchain investments. “This speaks to the scale of the chance,” Arianna Simpson, a basic associate on the agency, instructed DealBook. “We’re excited to double down.”

The brand new fund will convey the agency’s whole crypto funding to $7.6 billion. About $1.5 billion of the fund will go to seed investments, and $3 billion to enterprise bets, backing initiatives of every kind from infrastructure to middleware to shopper apps.

Andreessen Horowitz, typically referred to as A16Z, believes the web might be improved by creating a brand new layer of infrastructure referred to as web3, constructed on blockchain know-how and fueled by cryptocurrencies. Believers say it is going to rework commerce and finance, permitting customers to transact with out intermediaries, receives a commission for participation and assist govern corporations.

At present, tech corporations are “primarily extractive, taking and benefiting from information,” Simpson mentioned, however web3 gives “a very novel method to possession.”

The agency is worried that the current crash will spur officers to enact laws that might crimp crypto’s progress, Simpson mentioned. Andreessen Horowitz began a lobbying effort final yr to assist make its case in Washington.

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— The billionaire financier George Soros, talking in regards to the warfare in Ukraine yesterday on the annual assembly of the World Financial Discussion board. Soros mentioned Russia’s invasion “could have been the start” of World Battle III.


When former President Donald Trump’s social media firm and its merger associate introduced in December that they’d rounded up $1 billion in further personal funds for the deal, it set off hypothesis in regards to the identities of the buyers.

Now, a draft doc shared with The Instances’s Matthew Goldstein sheds some mild. The buyers are largely a mixture of small to midsize hedge funds based mostly within the U.S. and Canada. The hedge funds Pentwater Capital and Sabby Administration are two of the larger buyers within the personal placement, as beforehand reported by The Instances. Funds related to Pentwater, a $10 billion hedge fund based mostly in Naples, Fla., stand to get the biggest variety of shares by means of the deal, in keeping with the draft doc.

Different large buyers embody Anson Funds Administration, Kershner Buying and selling Americas, K2 & Associates, Yorkville Advisors and MMCAP.

For the time being, Trump Media — which employed former Consultant Devin Nunes, a staunch Trump ally, as chief govt in December — has no disclosed income, and its social community has struggled to realize traction. Two individuals briefed on the matter mentioned a remaining model of the draft was anticipated to be filed with regulators tomorrow, though the timing might change.

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Trump Media’s bankers instructed potential buyers that these keen to place up not less than $100 million would get a name from Mr. Trump, in keeping with 5 individuals who had been briefed in regards to the pitches however weren’t approved to talk publicly.

Among the many funds that turned down Trump Media’s bankers had been Millennium Administration, a $57 billion hedge fund; Hudson Bay Capital, a $15 billion hedge fund; and Balyasny Asset Administration, a hedge fund with $13 billion in property. Apollo International Administration, the large personal fairness agency, additionally handed, an individual briefed on the matter mentioned.

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How Poshmark Is Trying to Make Resale Work Again

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How Poshmark Is Trying to Make Resale Work Again

Lauren Eager got into thrifting in high school. It was a way to find cheap, interesting clothes while not contributing to the wastefulness of fast fashion.

In 2015, in her first year of college, she downloaded the app for Poshmark, a kind of Instagram-meets-eBay resale platform. Soon, she was selling as well as buying clothes.

This was the golden age of online reselling. In addition to Poshmark, companies like ThredUp and Depop had sprung up, giving a second life to old clothes. In 2016, Facebook debuted Marketplace. Even Goodwill got into the action, starting a snazzy website.

The platforms tapped into two consumer trends: buying stuff online and the never-gets-old delight of snagging a gently used item for a fraction of the original cost. During the Covid-19 pandemic, as people cleaned out their closets, enthusiasm for reselling intensified. It was so strong that Poshmark decided to go public. On the day of its initial public offering in January 2021, the company’s market value peaked at $7.4 billion, roughly the same as PVH’s, the company that owns Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, at the time.

Then, the business of old clothes started to fray.

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Using the Poshmark app, Ms. Eager and others said, started to feel like trying to find something in a messy closet. The app was cluttered with features that did not work or that she did not use, and it felt “spammy,” she said, sending too many push notifications.

Many platforms found selling used items hard to scale. Now, online resellers are trying to recalibrate. Last year, ThredUp decided to exit Europe and focus on selling in the United States. Trove, a company that helps brands like Canada Goose and Steve Madden resell their goods, purchased a competitor, Recurate. The RealReal, a luxury consignor, appointed a new chief executive as the company tried to improve profitability.

Poshmark is undergoing perhaps the biggest reinvention. In 2023, Naver, South Korea’s biggest search engine as well as an online marketplace, bought the company in a deal valued at $1.6 billion, less than half its IPO price.

Something of a mash-up of Google and Amazon, Naver is betting it can rebuild Poshmark, which has 130 million active users, with the same technology that made Naver dominant in its own country.

It may also help breathe new life into the resale market. Analysts think the resale fashion market still has room to grow in the United States, with revenue expected to increase 26 percent to $36.3 billion by 2028, according to the retail consultancy firm Coresight Research.

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New legislation in California could help. The law, passed last year, requires brands and retailers that operate in the state and generate at least $1 million to set up a “producer responsibility organization” to collect and then reuse, repair or recycle its products. Resale platforms like ThredUp and Poshmark could be in a position to help brands carry out that mandate.

At the moment, though, Naver’s focus for Poshmark is more basic: Make it a better place to sell and shop. The company has the “operating know-how” to do that, said Philip Lee, a founder of the media outlet The Pickool, which covers both South Korean and U.S. tech companies.

“They’re trying to renovate Poshmark and then expand the market share,” he said.

Poshmark, which is based in Redwood City, Calif., was founded in 2011 by Manish Chandra, an entrepreneur and former tech executive, and three others. In trying to expand, Poshmark faced a problem common to resellers: Capturing the excitement of the secondhand-shopping treasure hunt while not frustrating buyers with an endless scroll. The company knew it needed better search, as well as interactive elements that gave people more reasons to come beyond paying $19 for a J. Crew sweater.

For its part, Naver was looking for ways to push beyond South Korea, where its commerce and search businesses were already mature. The growing online resale market in the United States presented an opportunity, and also gave the company access to the largest consumer market in the world.

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Commerce is a big growth engine for us,” Namsun Kim, Naver’s chief financial officer, said. And the peer-to-peer sector, where users sell to one another, was still in its infancy, with room to expand. But, Mr. Kim added, “it’s a more challenging segment, and that’s why it’s harder for a lot of the larger players to enter.”

There are two common business models for resale: peer-to-peer and consignment. With consignment, a platform collects and redistributes physical goods. Poshmark uses the peer-to-peer model, which relies on scores of people — many of them novices — haggling over prices and then mailing items to one another. This decentralization can be a headache for brands, which like to maintain a certain level of control of their products. And platforms like Poshmark must make buyers comfortable with trusting the sellers on their site.

Before the Naver purchase, it was difficult to push through needed technological changes, said Vanessa Wong, the vice president of product at Poshmark.

“I would always talk to my engineers and ask, ‘What if we do this or do that?’ They’re like, ‘That’s hard. The effort’s really high,’” Ms. Wong said.

Naver’s purchase offered both the investment and the expertise to pull off the changes. Founded in 1999, the company is everywhere in South Korea.

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“We are not just a simple search technology or A.I. service,” said Soo-yeon Choi, the chief executive of Naver, whose headquarters are near Seoul. The company, she said, “alleviates the frustrations of people, which is what is needed to help growth.”

Search built Naver “into the massive power that they are in Korea,” said Mr. Chandra, who stayed on as chief executive after Naver’s purchase. It was the top priority when the company bought Poshmark.

Several new elements for users and sellers have been introduced. With a tool called Posh Lens, users can take a photo of an item and, using Naver’s machine-learning technology, the site populates listings that are the same or similar to the shoe or tank top that they’re searching for. A paid ad feature for sellers called “Promoted Closet,” pushes listings higher on customer feeds.

Poshmark also introduced live shows, some of which are themed, to draw in the TikTok generation and increase engagement. One party auctioned off clothing previously worn by South Korean celebrities, a connection that was made with the help of Naver.

Still, the resale market is going through growing pains and has not quite found its footing since the height of the pandemic. It’s not clear whether the changes taking place at Poshmark will be enough. In May, Mr. Kim, Naver’s finance chief, said in an earnings call that Poshmark’s profitability was improving, but by November, the company was cautioning that growth had slowed because of weakness in the peer-to-peer resale market in North America.

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The company has already done some backpedaling on unpopular decisions.

In October, Poshmark introduced a new fee structure, which increased costs for buyers. Sellers, fearing that higher costs would make consumers bolt, revolted. Within weeks, the company scrapped the new fee structure.

And there are still user headaches: tags and keywords that help users find what they’re looking for can be miscategorized. Sellers sometimes tag their products incorrectly to get more eyeballs on their less popular products. (Hard-to-offload Amazon leggings, for example, may be listed as Free People apparel.)

The company is beta testing changes with its frequent sellers — people like Alex Mahl, who sells thousands of dollars in apparel on the site each year. And within dedicated Facebook groups related to Poshmark, there’s a lot of chatter about the changes that sellers and buyers would still like to see.

“The only way for it to do well is there’s going to be constant changes,” Ms. Mahl said about the tweaks on Poshmark. “If you were just on an app that never changed — one, it would be boring, and two, the opportunity to just do better wouldn’t be there.”

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One recent morning, Ms. Eager, the seller who joined Poshmark back in college, was pleasantly surprised to find that the app had some new features she actually liked. She snapped a photo of her Aerie gray tank top with Posh Lens. Within seconds, the app populated listings of similar products. It was so much better than conjuring up the adjectives needed to describe it.

“Love it,” Ms. Eager exclaimed.

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When receipts of home renovations are lost, is the tax break gone too?

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When receipts of home renovations are lost, is the tax break gone too?

Dear Liz: I have sold my family home recently after almost 50 years. I had done lots of improvements throughout those years. Due to a fire 15 years ago, all the documentation for these improvements has been destroyed. How do I document the improvements for the capital gains tax calculation?

Answer: As you probably know, you can exclude $250,000 of capital gains from the sale of a principal residence as long as you own and live in the home at least two of the previous five years. The exclusion is $500,000 for a couple.

Once upon a time, that meant few homeowners had to worry about capital gains taxes on the sale of their home. But the exclusion amounts haven’t changed since they were created in 1997, even as home values have soared. Qualifying home improvements can be used to increase your tax basis in the home and thus decrease your tax bill, but the IRS probably will demand proof of those changes should you be audited.

You could ask any contractors you used who are still in business if they will provide written verification of the work they performed, suggests Mark Luscombe, principal analyst for Wolters Kluwer Tax & Accounting. You also could check your home’s history with your property tax assessor to see if its assessment was adjusted to reflect any of the improvements.

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At a minimum, prepare a list from memory of the improvements you made, including the year and the approximate cost. If you don’t have pictures of the house reflecting the changes, perhaps friends and relatives might. This won’t be the best evidence, Luscombe concedes, but it might get the IRS to accept at least some increase in your tax basis.

If you’re a widow or widower, there’s another tax break you should know about. At least part of your home would have gotten a step-up in tax basis if you were married and your co-owner spouse died. In most states, the half owned by the deceased spouse would get a new tax basis reflecting the home’s current market value. In community property states such as California, both halves of the house get this step-up. A tax pro can provide more details.

Other homeowners should take note of the importance of keeping good digital records. While documents may not be lost in a fire, they may be misplaced, accidentally discarded or (in the case of receipts) so faded they’re illegible. To make sure documents are available when you need them, consider scanning or taking photographs of your records and keeping multiple copies, such as one set in your computer and another in a secure cloud account.

When an employee is misclassified as contractor

Dear Liz: A parent recently wrote to you about a son who was being paid as a contractor. I know someone else who got a job that did not “take out taxes from his paycheck.” Such workers believe they are pocketing more money, but unfortunately, too many do not know about the nature of withholding. They only learn if they choose to file for their expected refund, but instead discover an exorbitant tax liability that a paycheck-to-paycheck worker cannot pay.

The sad fact is that many of these employers improperly classify their workers, who are truly employees, as independent contractors! And they do this to avoid paying their own portion of Social Security and unemployment taxes and also workers compensation insurance.

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If workers believe that they have been misclassified (the IRS website provides all criteria), they can file IRS Form SS-8 and Form 8919, which will allow them to pay only their allocated half of their Social Security taxes. Hopefully the IRS will then contact these employers to correct their wrong classifications. And finally, it should be a law that, when hired, all true independent contractors should be given a clear form (not fine print on their employment agreements) that informs them of their status and the need to make estimated tax payments.

Answer: A big factor in determining whether a worker is an employee or contractor is control. Who controls what the worker does and how the worker does the job? The more control that’s in the employer’s hands, the more likely the worker is an employee.

However, the IRS notes that there are no hard and fast rules and that “factors which are relevant in one situation may not be relevant in another.”

The form you mentioned, IRS Form SS-8, also can be filed by any employer unsure if a worker is properly classified.

Liz Weston, Certified Financial Planner®, is a personal finance columnist. Questions may be sent to her at 3940 Laurel Canyon, No. 238, Studio City, CA 91604, or by using the “Contact” form at asklizweston.com.

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Inside Elon Musk’s Plan for DOGE to Slash Government Costs

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Inside Elon Musk’s Plan for DOGE to Slash Government Costs

An unpaid group of billionaires, tech executives and some disciples of Peter Thiel, a powerful Republican donor, are preparing to take up unofficial positions in the U.S. government in the name of cost-cutting.

As President-elect Donald J. Trump’s so-called Department of Government Efficiency girds for battle against “wasteful” spending, it is preparing to dispatch individuals with ties to its co-leaders, Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, to agencies across the federal government.

After Inauguration Day, the group of Silicon Valley-inflected, wide-eyed recruits will be deployed to Washington’s alphabet soup of agencies. The goal is for most major agencies to eventually have two DOGE representatives as they seek to cut costs like Mr. Musk did at X, his social media platform.

This story is based on interviews with roughly a dozen people who have insight into DOGE’s operations. They spoke to The Times on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly.

On the eve of Mr. Trump’s presidency, the structure of DOGE is still amorphous and closely held. People involved in the operation say that secrecy and avoiding leaks is paramount, and much of its communication is conducted on Signal, the encrypted messaging app.

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Mr. Trump has said the effort would drive “drastic change,” and that the entity would provide outside advice on how to cut wasteful spending. DOGE itself will have no power to cut spending — that authority rests with Congress. Instead, it is expected to provide recommendations for programs and other areas to cut.

But parts of the operation are becoming clear: Many of the executives involved are expecting to do six-month voluntary stints inside the federal government before returning to their high-paying jobs. Mr. Musk has said they will not be paid — a nonstarter for some originally interested tech executives — and have been asked by him to work 80-hour weeks. Some, including possibly Mr. Musk, will be so-called special government employees, a specific category of temporary workers who can only work for the federal government for 130 days or less in a 365-day period.

The representatives will largely be stationed inside federal agencies. After some consideration by top officials, DOGE itself is now unlikely to incorporate as an organized outside entity or nonprofit. Instead, it is likely to exist as more of a brand for an interlinked group of aspirational leaders who are on joint group chats and share a loyalty to Mr. Musk or Mr. Ramaswamy.

“The cynics among us will say, ‘Oh, it’s naïve billionaires stepping into the fray.’ But the other side will say this is a service to the nation that we saw more typically around the founding of the nation,” said Trevor Traina, an entrepreneur who worked in the first Trump administration with associates who have considered joining DOGE.

“The friends I know have huge lives,” Mr. Traina said, “and they’re agreeing to work for free for six months, and leave their families and roll up their sleeves in an attempt to really turn things around. You can view it either way.”

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DOGE leaders have told others that the minority of people not detailed to agencies would be housed within the Executive Office of the President at the U.S. Digital Service, which was created in 2014 by former President Barack Obama to “change our government’s approach to technology.”

DOGE is also expected to have an office in the Office of Management and Budget, and officials have also considered forming a think tank outside the government in the future.

Mr. Musk’s friends have been intimately involved in choosing people who are set to be deployed to various agencies. Those who have conducted interviews for DOGE include the Silicon Valley investors Marc Andreessen, Shaun Maguire, Baris Akis and others who have a personal connection to Mr. Musk. Some who have received the Thiel Fellowship, a prestigious grant funded by Mr. Thiel given to those who promise to skip or drop out of college to become entrepreneurs, are involved with programming and operations for DOGE. Brokering an introduction to Mr. Musk or Mr. Ramaswamy, or their inner circles, has been a key way for leaders to be picked for deployment.

That is how the co-founder of Loom, Vinay Hiremath, said he became involved in DOGE in a rare public statement from someone who worked with the entity. In a post this month on his personal blog, Mr. Hiremath described the work that DOGE employees have been doing before he decided against moving to Washington to join the entity.

“After 8 calls with people who all talked fast and sounded very smart, I was added to a number of Signal groups and immediately put to work,” he wrote. “The next 4 weeks of my life consisted of 100s of calls recruiting the smartest people I’ve ever talked to, working on various projects I’m definitely not able to talk about, and learning how completely dysfunctional the government was. It was a blast.”

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These recruits are assigned to specific agencies where they are thought to have expertise. Some other DOGE enrollees have come to the attention of Mr. Musk and Mr. Ramaswamy through X. In recent weeks, DOGE’s account on X has posted requests to recruit a “very small number” of full-time salaried positions for engineers and back-office functions like human resources.

The DOGE team, including those paid engineers, is largely working out of a glass building in SpaceX’s downtown office located a few blocks from the White House. Some people close to Mr. Ramaswamy and Mr. Musk hope that these DOGE engineers can use artificial intelligence to find cost-cutting opportunities.

The broader effort is being run by two people with starkly different backgrounds: One is Brad Smith, a health care entrepreneur and former top health official in Mr. Trump’s first White House who is close with Jared Kushner, Mr. Trump’s son-in-law. Mr. Smith has effectively been running DOGE during the transition period, with a particular focus on recruiting, especially for the workers who will be embedded at the agencies.

Mr. Smith has been working closely with Steve Davis, a collaborator of Mr. Musk’s for two decades who is widely seen as working as Mr. Musk’s proxy on all things. Mr. Davis has joined Mr. Musk as he calls experts with questions about the federal budget, for instance.

Other people involved include Matt Luby, Mr. Ramaswamy’s chief of staff and childhood friend; Joanna Wischer, a Trump campaign official; and Rachel Riley, a McKinsey partner who works closely with Mr. Smith.

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Mr. Musk’s personal counsel — Chris Gober — and Mr. Ramaswamy’s personal lawyer — Steve Roberts — have been exploring various legal issues regarding the structure of DOGE. James Burnham, a former Justice Department official, is also helping DOGE with legal matters. Bill McGinley, Mr. Trump’s initial pick for White House counsel who was instead named as legal counsel for DOGE, has played a more minimal role.

“DOGE will be a cornerstone of the new administration, helping President Trump deliver his vision of a new golden era,” said James Fishback, the founder of Azoria, an investment firm, and confidant of Mr. Ramaswamy who will be providing outside advice for DOGE.

Despite all this firepower, many budget experts have been deeply skeptical about the effort and its cost-cutting ambitions. Mr. Musk initially said the effort could result in “at least $2 trillion” in cuts from the $6.75 trillion federal budget. But budget experts say that goal would be difficult to achieve without slashing popular programs like Social Security and Medicare, which Mr. Trump has promised not to cut.

Both Mr. Musk and Mr. Ramaswamy have also recast what success might mean. Mr. Ramaswamy emphasized DOGE-led deregulation on X last month, saying that removing regulations could stimulate the economy and that “the success of DOGE can’t be measured through deficit reduction alone.”

And in an interview last week with Mark Penn, the chairman and chief executive of Stagwell, a marketing company, Mr. Musk downplayed the total potential savings.

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“We’ll try for $2 trillion — I think that’s like the best-case outcome,” Mr. Musk said. “You kind of have to have some overage. I think if we try for two trillion, we’ve got a good shot at getting one.”

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