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ALABAMA VS FLORIDA PREDICTION, PICKS & ODDS FOR TODAY'S SEC TOURNAMENT GAME

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ALABAMA VS FLORIDA PREDICTION, PICKS & ODDS FOR TODAY'S SEC TOURNAMENT GAME


Two big-time offenses collide in the SEC semifinal, and our expert college basketball predictions expect a high-scoring affair this afternoon at Bridgestone Arena.

Mar 15, 2025 • 09:27 ET

• 4 min read

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Photo By – Imagn Images.

The No. 2 seeded Florida Gators face off against the No. 3 seed Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Tournament semifinals on Saturday.

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These elite attacks have been lighting up the scoreboard and my Alabama vs Florida predictions are betting on a shootout today.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this conference tournament clash on March 15, with tipoff at 7 p.m. ET.

Who will win Alabama vs Florida?

Only two spots separate the No. 4 Florida Gators from the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide in the KenPom and NET rankings.

While both of these teams have highly efficient offenses, the Gators have a far better defense, ranking ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency, while the Tide are 35th.

Florida beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa just a week ago and it makes sense that they would be able to beat them in a rematch at a neutral site.

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Alabama vs Florida prediction

My best bet: Over 175.5 (-110 at bet365)

These national title contenders clashed in Tuscaloosa just a week ago, with the Gators handing the Alabama Crimson Tide a rare home loss. The Total was set at 178.5 in that contest and easily cashed, with the Florida Gators winning 99-94.

What was surprising about that high-scoring game was that neither side shot particularly well from the perimeter, with Florida going 8-27 and Alabama 9-25.

Based on the quality of shots taken and allowed, ShotQualityBets projected a whopping 208 points in that contest, which is why it’s strange to see the O/U open 4.5 points lower for the rematch (it has since ticked up 1.5 points).

The Tide are coming off their best defensive performance this season in a 99-70 victory against Kentucky. They held the Wildcats highly-rated attack to 38% shooting from the field with just five offensive boards while forcing 16 turnovers.

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That said, the Tide are 347th in the country in opponent turnover rate over the entire season, and I don’t see the disruptive defense from last night appearing against a Florida offense that ranks in the Top 50 in turnover rate.

The Gators beat Missouri 95-81 last night and shot a sizzling 62% from the floor. Since getting shut down by Tennessee’s elite defense on February 1, Florida’s offense has been firing on an all cylinders.

The Gators have scored more than 80 points in 10 of their last 11 games and have hit the 90-point plateau in their last three. 

As good as Florida’s defense is, I don’t see it completely slowing down an Alabama attack that leads the nation with 91.4 ppg this season.

The Tide have been held to fewer than 80 points just once in their last 15 games (against that same top-rated Volunteers defense) and hit the 90-point mark in 10 of those contests.

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With both of these teams featuring highly efficient and consistent offenses that play at a breakneck pace, strap yourself in for a shootout at Bridgestone Arena and bet the Over. 

Alabama vs Florida same-game parlay (SGP)

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I know this parlay seems a bit strange since I said that the Gators would likely win, but it pays out far better than the Florida ML as a leg and makes sense, given the circumstances.

The lower the score is, the better it suits the Gators, who will need to slow down Alabama’s elite offense.

But a high-scoring shootout tends to favor the Tide who have the firepower to go blow-for-blow with anyone.

It’s also tough for a team to beat an evenly matched conference foe twice in a row during the same season (see the recent Alabama/Auburn games).

That makes the Tide tempting to bet on in a revenge spot, especially since they’ve gone 5-2 straight up and 6-1 against the spread as underdogs this season.

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Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365’s early win payout

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game CBB moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your school goes up by 18+ points!

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365’s offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.

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Alabama vs Florida odds

Alabama vs Florida live odds

Alabama vs Florida opening odds

  • Spread: Alabama +3.5 | Florida -3.5
  • Moneyline: Alabama +140 | Florida -165
  • Over/Under: Over 174 | Under 174

Odds courtesy of bet365

Alabama vs Florida betting trend to know

Despite some sky-high totals the Over the is 6-3 in Alabama last nine games while cashing in five straight contests for Florida. Find more college basketball betting trends for Alabama vs. Florida.

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How to watch Alabama vs Florida

Location Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Date Saturday, 3-15-2025
Tip-off 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Alabama vs Florida key injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Alabama ‘Fully Aware’ of Losing Streak to Tennessee Ahead of Road Rematch

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Alabama ‘Fully Aware’ of Losing Streak to Tennessee Ahead of Road Rematch


TUSCALOOSA, Ala. — Losing to a rival almost always hurts more than falling to another opponent during the regular season. Years of hatred, unforgettable moments and tradition boiled up into one game, and the delivery is nowhere to be found for one team.

No. 17 Alabama has won seven straight games and is eyeing an eighth on Saturday on the road against No. 22 Tennessee. This is the second time that Crimson Tide will face the Volunteers, as Alabama lost in Tuscaloosa in January.

The loss a month ago to head coach Rick Barnes and company brought UA’s losing streak against Tennessee to five games. It’s the first time that the Tide has dropped this many games to the Vols since 1968-72 — a streak that came two years before Alabama head coach Nate Oats was born (Oct. 13, 1974). It’s why Oats is not treating Tennessee as a faceless opponent or like any other team the Tide has faced.

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“Every year we’ve been here they’ve caused us issues,” Oats said during Friday’s press conference. “Our players, are fully aware that we’ve lost five in a row. They’re fully aware of what happened out there last year. I’ve taken ownership for my share of what happened up there last year.

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“We’re fully aware that they beat us at home. We haven’t lost very many home games in conference, period, really since we’ve been here, and they handed us one this year.”

After falling to Florida on Feb. 1, Alabama moved down to the ninth spot in the conference standings, and the college basketball world started to question whether or not the Crimson Tide would be a threat in the postseason.

But a switch flipped after that loss, and the current winning streak has Alabama tied for the No. 2 spot in the SEC standings. Everything seems to be trending in the Tide’s direction, as there are only three games remaining on the schedule.

Oats is in his sixth year as Alabama’s head coach. Following the retirement of former Auburn head coach Bruce Pearl during the offseason, Oats became the second-longest tenured coach for one team in the conference. The coach in front of him: Tennessee’s Rick Barnes, who has held his position since the 2015-16 season.

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Both Alabama and Tennessee have finished conference play in the top-4 of the standings since the 2022-23 season. The Crimson Tide was the regular-season and SEC Tournament champions in both the 2020-21 and 2022-23 seasons, while the Vols won the 2022 SEC Tournament and were the conference’s regular-season champions in 2023-24.

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“So our guys know, but at the same time, we’ve got a lot of respect for how they play and what they do. We’ve got to come in with a healthy amount of respect for them, but we got to try to win this game.

“There’s a lot riding on this game. What happens in Arkansas-Florida, you’re either going to be all alone in second place if we could get a win, or you’re going to be one game out first. If you take a loss, now you’re in danger of losing a top-4 seed. They’ll be tied with us if we take a loss.”

“So there’s a lot riding on the SEC standings in this game here. They know that. They know what our struggles against Tennessee have Been as well.”

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Selmont seeks incorporation to become independent Alabama city

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Selmont seeks incorporation to become independent Alabama city


SELMONT, Ala. (WSFA) – An unincorporated community in Dallas County is seeking to establish itself as an independent city, hoping to gain control over local government services and community priorities that have long been managed at the county level.

Selmont, located across the Edmund Pettus Bridge from Selma, is home to approximately 2,700 registered voters and carries a significant place in civil rights history.

The community was the site of a pivotal moment during the Bloody Sunday march in 1965, when roughly 600 civil rights marchers were tear-gassed by Alabama state troopers, including 13-year-old Mae Richmond.

“People ask us ‘Were we afraid?’ No. We were not afraid. We were not afraid, first of all, even as a 13-year-old child, we knew that we were doing what God was permitting us to do,” Richmond, a 60-plus year resident of Selmont, said of the historic event.

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As an unincorporated community, Selmont lacks its own municipal government. Residents must contact the Dallas County Commissioner for public works services. It’s a situation that community leaders say limits responsiveness to local needs.

Erice Williams, a community activist leading the incorporation effort, said the change would fundamentally alter how the community operates.

“It would give us decision power and allow us to get funding that we can allocate to our own community that we can make our own priorities be clear and resolved at the same time,” Williams said.

Williams also highlighted the strain on current county services. “Connel Towns (county commissioner) is the only person we have to call, and the resources and time that he would have to serve our community is very limited,” he said.

Operation Selmont, the group spearheading the incorporation effort, is currently gathering signatures on a petition to present to the local probate judge. The organization needs approximately 500 signatures to move forward with the incorporation process and has already collected 40 percent of its goal.

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The next meeting for Operation Selmont is scheduled for March 6 at 6 p.m.

For longtime residents like Richmond, incorporation represents an opportunity to ensure Selmont’s future and maintain its identity for generations to come.

“That we will be able to teach and train our children to give them the strength that our foreparents had that they will be able to stand up for justice and for equality,” Richmond said of her hopes for the community’s future.

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Report: Sen. Tuberville, Speaker Ledbetter uniting behind proposal to close Alabama party primaries: ‘Democrats shouldn’t be voting in our elections’

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Report: Sen. Tuberville, Speaker Ledbetter uniting behind proposal to close Alabama party primaries: ‘Democrats shouldn’t be voting in our elections’


U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville and Alabama House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter (R-Rainsville) announced support on Thursday for closing Alabama’s primary elections to only registered members of each party.

Alabama does not currently have party registration. Instead, voters choose a party ballot at the polls. State law also bars voters from switching parties between a primary and that cycle’s runoff.

Tuberville (R-Auburn) said during a press call with in-state reporters that Democrats have no place voting in Republican elections in Alabama.

“There’s a lot of talk about this,” Tuberville said.

“I’ve spoken with Speaker Ledbetter and we agree that we have to do something about Democrats voting in our elections. They shouldn’t be doing it. I know he’s moving a bill forward very very soon as we speak, and if we can get that done, I think it’s gonna help the cause of the conservative Republicans in the State of Alabama.”

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Under Alabama’s current open primary system, any registered voter can participate in either party’s primary without declaring a party affiliation.

Voters simply choose which party’s ballot they want at the polls. Alabama does not require partisan voter registration, meaning residents register without declaring themselves a Republican or Democrat.

The push to close the Republican primary is not new.

The Alabama Republican Party (ALGOP) passed a resolution in 2022 calling on the Alabama Legislature to require party registration before voters can participate in a party’s primary, but the Legislature did not act on it at the time.

Closing the primary would require changing state law under Ala. Code 17-13-7, which governs the existing open primary system.

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“I am proud to work with Coach Tuberville to begin the process of closing Alabama’s primary elections,” Ledbetter said in a statement on Thursday after lawmakers adjourned from the 17th day of the 2026 legislative session.

“Alabamians have made it clear that this is the direction our state needs to begin moving in, and I am committed to doing just that. Whether it was passing school choice, banning DEI, or making Alabama the most pro-life state in the nation, the Alabama Legislature has consistently delivered on its commitment to conservative governance, and we will do the same on this issue. We are in the process of reviewing the proposals before us and are eager to get the ball rolling.”

Sawyer Knowles is a capitol reporter for Yellowhammer News. You may contact him at [email protected].



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