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Pollster Ann Selzer 'reviewing data' after setting off media firestorm with Iowa poll showing Harris ahead

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Pollster Ann Selzer 'reviewing data' after setting off media firestorm with Iowa poll showing Harris ahead

Pollster J. Ann Selzer is “reviewing her data” to determine why her pre-election poll, which set off a multi-day media firestorm, inaccurately showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Iowa. 

Selzer is “reviewing her data to determine why a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll released just days before the election produced results so far out of line with former President Donald Trump’s resounding victory,” according to the Des Moines Register.

The shock poll showed a 7-point shift from Trump to Harris from September, when he had a 4-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%) in the same survey. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll released Saturday had Harris up 47% to 44 %, in a state Trump had carried easily in 2016 and 2020 and wasn’t considered a swing state in 2024. 

Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., who conducted the poll, declared Harris had clearly “leaped into a leading position” ahead of Election Day.

Much of the media took her words as gospel, as pundits on MSNBC, CNN and ABC’s “The View” all celebrated the forecast. Even if it didn’t necessarily mean Harris would win Iowa given the polling average, a narrative spread that it could indicate a broader shift in the Midwest to Harris in more competitive states.

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‘ENJOY RETIREMENT’: VETERAN POLLSTER MOCKED AFTER HARRIS PREDICTION IN IOWA WAS ‘SHOCKINGLY WRONG’

Former President Trump, pollster J. Ann Selzer and Vice President Kamala Harris. (Getty Images/ The Bulwark Podcast via YouTube screenshot)

“If this is accurate, and if anybody is accurate, it’s likely to be Ann Selzer in the Iowa poll, if this is accurate, it implies that Harris might be winning Iowa,” Rachel Maddow gushed. 

The “View” panelists declared Selzer “always right,” and her track record was billed as “incredibly solid” on CNN. 

Selzer had egg on her face when the Fox News Decision Desk called Iowa for Trump on Tuesday night with the former president holding a commanding lead. 

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TRUMP’S PROJECTED VICTORY DOESN’T GO OVER WELL WITH LIBERAL MEDIA: ‘I’M GONNA THROW UP’

Trump supporters were quick to point out Selzer’s poll was wildly inaccurate.

“Congratulations to Donald J. Trump and J.D. Vance on their victory,” Deputy Political Director Alex Latcham said in a statement. “After four years under Kamala Harris, Hawkeye state voters are eager for President Trump to fix what Kamala Harris broke. Starting on Day 1, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance will help to ease costs, secure the border, and protect Social Security for retirees like Ann Selzer.”

“Enjoy retirement…,” Trump co-campaign manager Chris LaCivita posted on X, along with a screenshot of an article calling Selzer “the best pollster in politics.”

Selzer was forced to address the humiliating poll. 

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A Halloween display featuring an inflatable Donald Trump stands in Griswold, Iowa, on Oct. 16.  (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

“Tonight, I’m of course thinking about how we got where we are,” Selzer said in a statement. 

“The poll findings we produced for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom did not match what the Iowa electorate ultimately decided in the voting booth today,” she continued. “I’ll be reviewing data from multiple sources with hopes of learning why that happened. And, I welcome what that process might teach me.”

Many others took to X with thoughts on Selzer’s poll: 

A farmer shows support for former President Trump and a view on abortion on Aug. 10 near Hawkeye, Iowa. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

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Shawn Carney, founder of 40 Days for Life, said the Iowa poll results show the consequences of an arrogant assumption that women are single-issue voters whose only concern is access to abortion.

“The media ran with this narrative because it’s what they wanted to believe was true,” Carney said in a statement to Fox News Digital. “It just shows how out of touch they are with what actually matters to Americans. For way too long, they’ve acted as a mouthpiece for the political elite, pushing stories that fit the agenda of those in power instead of reflecting the real concerns of everyday people. They tried to make abortion the only issue that women care about, despite clear signs that Americans are focused on things like economic stability, safety, and family. Last night’s results sent a strong message: Americans are rejecting the agenda the media tried to sell them.”

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Fox News Digital’s Brie Stimson and Andrew Mark Miller contributed to this report.

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Ohio

Ohio Highway Patrol investigating fatal head-on crash on U.S. Route 62

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Ohio Highway Patrol investigating fatal head-on crash on U.S. Route 62


PERRY TWP. ‒ Two people were killed and a juvenile was injured in a two-vehicle, head-on crash the morning of May 16 on U.S. Route 62, the Ohio State Highway Patrol said.

A 2019 Ford Ranger was traveling northbound when the vehicle traveled left of center and struck a southbound 2021 Honda Odyssey at 7:16 a.m., the patrol said. The Ford was operated by Cole Scholey, 21, of Beach City, and the Honda was driven by Kelly Kemp, 56, of Massillon.

Scholey was taken by the Perry Township Fire Department to Cleveland Clinic Mercy Hospital, where he died. Kemp was pronounced dead at the scene. A juvenile occupant in the Honda was transported to Aultman Hospital with serious injuries.

Neither Scholey nor Kemp were using safety belts, the patrol said. Speed is suspected as a factor in the crash, which remains under investigation.

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Route 62 southbound lanes, south of Navarre Road, were closed for about three and a half hours.

The patrol was assisted at the scene by Perry Township and Massillon police, Perry Township and Erie Valley firefighters, Ohio Department of Transportation, Stark County Coroner’s Office and Tracer’s Towing.



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South Dakota

Fact brief: Was an east-west split of Dakota Territory considered?

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Fact brief: Was an east-west split of Dakota Territory considered?


RAPID CITY, S.D. (KOTA) – Legislation was considered to split Dakota Territory east-west at the Missouri River instead of the current north-south split that was approved in 1889.

A retrospective released by the state of South Dakota on the 125th anniversary of statehood noted that the east-west proposal did have some support.

The East/West Dakota would have followed the Missouri River and aligned regions with similar geographic and cultural identities.

The north-south border decision was motivated partially by resentment between the northern and southern portions of Dakota Territory over the location of the state capital. In 1883, the territory’s capital was moved from Yankton to Bismarck.

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Other reasons cited included separate railroad systems, economic ties to major eastern cities (Sioux Falls and Fargo) and the growth of separate systems of public institutions.

This fact brief responds to conversations such as this one.

Sources

State of South Dakota, 125th anniversary story

BigThink.com, East and West Dakota? Here’s What Those States Would Look Like

Medium, A Tale of Two States

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South Dakota News Watch partners with Gigafact to publish fact briefs that refute or confirm a claim with supporting information and additional evidence and context. Send questions or feedback to news@sdnewswatch.org. Submit a question for us to answer on the tipline.

See a spelling or grammatical error in our story? Please click here to report it.

Do you have a photo or video of a breaking news story? Send it to us here with a brief description.

Copyright 2026 KOTA. All rights reserved.



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Wisconsin

Texas routs Wisconsin softball in NCAA Tournament | When Badgers play next

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Texas routs Wisconsin softball in NCAA Tournament | When Badgers play next


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  • Wisconsin softball lost to Texas, 9-0, in the NCAA Tournament’s Austin regional.
  • Texas pitcher Teagan Kavan held the Badgers hitless until the fifth inning while the Longhorns jumped to an early lead.
  • Wisconsin will play an elimination game against either Baylor or Wagner.

Wisconsin softball could not keep up with the reigning national champions.

Texas – the No. 2 overall seed in the tournament – run-ruled the Badgers, 9-0, in six innings on May 16 in the Austin regional of the NCAA Tournament, easily sending UW to the consolation side of the double-elimination bracket.

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Texas pitcher Teagan Kavan took a no-hitter into the fifth inning until Alivia Bark’s single. The Badgers’ only other baserunner during Kavan’s five innings in the circle was on a walk in the first inning.

The Badgers did not have a runner in scoring position until the sixth inning, when Emily Bojan hit a double off Texas reliever Cambria Salmon.

The Longhorns, meanwhile, wasted no time in distancing themselves from the Badgers with their bats. They scored three runs in the first inning after back-to-back hits by Kayden Henry and Katie Stewart, a sacrifice fly by Viviana Martinez and a two-run home run by Reese Atwood.

Texas scored another two runs on a Henry double in the second inning, prompting the Badgers to pull UW ace Shelby Jacobson. One day after her complete-game win over Baylor, Jacobson gave up five earned runs against the Longhorns in 1 ⅓ innings pitched.

Texas piled on with two more runs in the third inning in small-ball fashion after loading the bases, and completed the run-rule win with Henry’s two-run homer in the sixth inning – her third hit of the afternoon – off UW reliever Jordan Felci. (The mercy rule in college softball is eight runs after five or more innings.)

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All three UW pitchers to face the Longhorns – Jacobson, Berritt Herr and then Felci – each gave up at least two runs against the host and SEC tournament champion.

When, who will Wisconsin softball play next

The Badgers will look to keep their tournament run alive later today in a consolation game against the winner of the Baylor-Wagner game. (The winner of UW’s next game would then need to defeat Texas twice on May 17 to win the Austin regional.)

UW defeated Baylor in the first round following Hannah Conger’s walk-off double in the ninth inning. Wagner is coming off a 9-1 loss against Texas. The first pitch of UW’s second game is expected to be at approximately 5 p.m., depending on the duration of the Baylor-Wagner game.

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This story will be updated after Wisconsin’s second game against Baylor or Wagner.



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