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What caused such a sudden rush of torrential rain in Vermont? – The Boston Globe

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What caused such a sudden rush of torrential rain in Vermont? – The Boston Globe


Sometimes heavy rain events are widespread and sometimes they’re more localized. Either way, they can cause tremendous amounts of damage, ranging from major to even catastrophic. Last night and early Tuesday, one of these localized heavy rain events went through a small area of the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont.

A small area of heavy rain due to low pressure was moving east of the northeast kingdom of Vermont in the pre-dawn hours Tuesday.NOAA

The torrential rain was caused by an unusually well developed low-pressure area that had a lot of moisture and was moving slowly. This combination of high precipitable water — the amount of moisture available in the atmosphere — the slow movement of the storm system and probably even some topographical enhancement all contributed to dumping anywhere from 5 to 8 inches of rain in a short amount of time.

Notice how fast the Passumpsic River rose and then started to fall due to the heavy rain. This is why flash flooding is so dangerous.

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The Passumpsic River rose into moderate flood stage in about an hour Tuesday morning. The river receded from flood stage quickly Tuesday afternoon.NOAA

When you receive this much rain in such a limited amount of time, it overwhelms streams, rivers and catch basins and the water has no place to go.

This is why flash flood warnings end up being issued and why damage can occur really fast.

Some scientists are calling this devastating flooding a 1-in-1,000-year event, but it’s not that simple.

Last night’s rain in VT had a 1 in 1,000 statistical probability of occurring. There is a 0.1% chance of that event occurring in any given year, but you don’t have to wait 1,000 years between them. You could even have these events in back-to-back years or even two in one year.

In the graphic below, the curved line marks a hypothetical list of all possible extreme rainfall events, with the caveat that the total area under the curved line must equal 1.0 or 100%. The percent chance of any single rain event being more than a specific amount is the percent of the total area to the right of that rainfall amount. The percent chance of a rain event less than or equal to that threshold can be found by subtracting the area to the right of the threshold from 100.

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In this type of graph, the curved line marks a hypothetical list of all possible extreme rainfall events, with the caveat that the total area under the curved line must equal 1.0 or 100%.NOAA

This recent event is being compared to some other big Vermont flooding events as far back as the 1920s and as recently as 2011, when the remnants of Hurricane Irene brought devastation to many of Vermont’s covered bridges. Those events were the type that impacted many more people and were not so localized.

The image above illustrates the total rainfall from the Nov. 3-4 flooding event back in 1927. By some accounts this is still one of the worst flooding events in Vermont’s recorded weather history.USGS

There are more chances of rain in the forecast for much of New England, including the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont. On Wednesday, a more widespread area of showers is likely to develop and I suspect at least some appreciable precipitation will occur.

Scattered showers are likely in some areas Tuesday evening, including parts of Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine.WeatherBELL

There is the chance for more downpours, but it’s highly unlikely we will see a repeat of Tuesday morning’s event. Nevertheless, any additional rainfall will be unwelcome.

Between Wednesday and Thursday morning this week some areas of heavy rain are forecast for parts of Northern New England. This forecast is from the EURO model.WeatherBELL

Lastly, while individual events like what we saw this morning are just simply weather in a warming climate, these events are forecast to become more frequent.

Indeed there has been a notable uptick in heavy precipitation events worldwide and the Northeast is likely to experience both localized micro events and more widespread flooding events in the coming decades.

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As temperatures rise, more heavy rain events are forecast in the US and the Northeast is forecast to see some of the largest increases in such events by mid-century.Globalchange.gov





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Friends, family rally behind Vermont veteran charged with domestic terrorism

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Friends, family rally behind Vermont veteran charged with domestic terrorism


NEWPORT, Vt. (WCAX) – Friends and family of a Vermont veteran charged with domestic terrorism rallied in Newport Thursday, saying the charges stem from a mental health crisis and are unwarranted.

Vermont State Police say Joseph “J.J.” Millett, 38, of Newport, called a veterans crisis line in February, making suicidal statements and threatening a mass-casualty event.

Court records say Millett had guns and wrote what investigators call a manifesto. He turned himself in, and state police say they disarmed him at the barracks. He pleaded not guilty and was never formally arrested or placed in jail. He is currently in a treatment facility.

Supporters say the threats were the result of new medication and a mental health crisis. “But all the way to domestic terrorism for a man that fought overseas — he wasn’t a terrorist. He’s been fighting terrorists half his life,” said Chad Abbott, a friend who served with Millett overseas.

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Abbott said he believes the charges could have unintended consequences for veterans seeking help. “These hotlines that they put out for us is to kind of get us the help we need. And now, none of us are going to want to call that,” he said.

Millett’s sister, Courtney Morin, said her brother served in the Vermont Guard for nearly 10 years and has struggled with mental health since returning home. “He suffers from depression, anxiety — he has PTSD. So, he’s actually been seeking help for his mental health for probably as long as he’s been home,” Morin said.

Orleans County State’s Attorney Farzana Leyva said the charge is warranted and that Millett was not calling for help when he contacted the crisis line. “He called the crisis helpline to make the threats. I think we have to be very clear about that. Those were threats. He did not call the crisis helpline for help. He called anonymously,” Leyva said.

She said the evidence — including repeated threats — Millett’s access to guns, and a manifesto justifies the charge and protects the public. “My priority is public safety, which is the highest priority that I have right now,” Leyva said.

Morin said she believes her brother was trying to get help. “I think he was seeking help. I mean, it’s all a trail of him seeking help, being on different meds. You know, we’re not in his head. We don’t know what he’s dealing with. And especially if you’re dealing with it alone,” Morin said.

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Millett continues to receive treatment and is due back in court later this month.



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Vermont high school playoff scores, results, stats for Thursday, March 5

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Vermont high school playoff scores, results, stats for Thursday, March 5


The 2025-2026 Vermont high school winter season has begun. See below for scores, schedules and game details (statistical leaders, game notes) from basketball, hockey, gymnastics, wrestling, Nordic/Alpine skiing and other winter sports.

TO REPORT SCORES

Coaches or team representatives are asked to report results ASAP after games by emailing sports@burlingtonfreepress.com. Please submit with a name/contact number.

Contact Alex Abrami at aabrami@freepressmedia.com. Follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter: @aabrami5.

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Contact Judith Altneu at JAltneu@usatodayco.com. Follow her on X, formerly known as Twitter: @Judith_Altneu.

THURSDAY’S H.S. PLAYOFF GAMES

D-III GIRLS BASKETBALL SEMIFINALS

At Barre Auditorium

No. 5 Vergennes (17-4) vs. No. 1 Hazen (18-2), 5:30 p.m.

No. 3 Oxbow (16-6) vs. No. 2 Windsor (16-6), 7:30 p.m.

Watch Vermont high school sports on NFHS Network

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D-I BOYS BASKETBALL QUARTERFINALS

Games at 7 p.m. unless noted

No. 8 Mount Mansfield (10-11) at No. 1 Rice Memorial (17-3)

No. 12 Essex (5-16) at No. 4 Rutland (15-6)

No. 7 Burr and Burton (13-8) at No. 2 South Burlington (15-5), 6 p.m.

No. 6 BFA-St. Albans (13-8) vs. No. 3 Burlington (15-5) at Colchester, 7:30 p.m.

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D-II GIRLS HOCKEY QUARTERFINALS

No. 8 Stowe (5-16) vs. No. 1 U-32 (13-6-1) at Kreitzberg Arena, 5 p.m.

(Subject to change)





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19 Vermont school budgets fail as education leaders debate need for reform

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19 Vermont school budgets fail as education leaders debate need for reform


MONTPELIER, Vt. (WCAX) – Most Vermont school budgets passed Tuesday, but 19 districts and supervisory unions saw their spending plans rejected — an uptick from the nine that failed in 2025, though well below the 29 that failed in 2024.

Some education leaders say the results show communities are largely supportive of their schools.

“We’re starting to kind of equalize out again towards the normal trend of passage of school budgets each year,” said Chelsea Meyers of the Vermont Superintendents Association.

Sue Ceglowski of the Vermont School Boards Association said the results send a clear message. “Vermont taxpayers support Vermont’s public schools,” she said.

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Meyers said the results also raise questions about the scope of education reform being considered in Montpelier. “If we are going to reform the system, it might not require sweeping broad changes as are being considered right now, but a more concise approach to consider that inequity,” she said.

But in districts where budgets failed, officials say structural changes are still needed. In Barre, where the budget failed, Barre Unified Union School District Board Chair Michael Boutin said the Legislature must, at a minimum, create a new funding formula. “We have to have that in order to avoid the huge increases and decreases — the huge increases that we’ve seen in the last couple years,” Boutin said.

He said the rise in school budgets is separate from why property owners are seeing sharp tax increases. The average state increase in school budgets is 4%, but the average property tax increase is 10%, driven by cost factors including health care. “There’s a complete disconnect, and that’s a product of the terrible system that we have in Vermont with our funding formula,” Boutin said.

Ceglowski says the state should address health care costs before moving forward with rapid education policy changes. “Addressing the rapid rise in the cost of school employees’ health benefits by ensuring a fair and balanced statewide bargaining process for those benefits,” she said.

The 19 districts that did not pass their budgets will need to draft new spending plans to present to voters, which often requires cuts. Twelve school districts are scheduled to vote at a later date.

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