Crypto
One bitcoin could be worth $115K after halving, study figures (Cryptocurrency:BTC-USD)
rzelich
If $70K isn’t enough, how ‘bout $115K?
A looming reduction in bitcoin’s (BTC-USD) supply growth, known as the halving event, is poised to boost the price of the highest-profile cryptocurrency to over $115K in 2024, crypto tax-reporting firm CoinLedger said in a recent study.
A year after the past two halvings – there have only been three so far – the price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged by an average of 400%, according to the study, which based its $115K price prediction on whether the token is at $69K when it halves in April.
A bitcoin (BTC-USD) halving occurs when miners’ (Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA), Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT), etc.) reward is slashed in half, essentially reducing the rate at which new tokens are created by 50%. That means the halving – which occurs about every four years – reduces the supply of new bitcoins entering the market, a move that could drive up the coin’s price should demand remain constant or rise.
The first mining reward was 50 bitcoins (BTC-USD). On Nov. 28, 2012, the first-ever halving, the reward was cut in half to 25. From there, the reward was lowered to 12.5 after the July 9, 2016 halving, and then to 6.25 on May 11, 2020. The next halving, at some point in April, will see the block reward fall to 3.125.
In 2016, the price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) jumped to $986 six months after the halving, a 51.6% increase from $650 on the day of the event, the report said. Similarly, the price rose 82.3% to $15,702 six months after the 2020 halving.
That’s an average increase of 67.7% six months after a halving event. “If a similar pattern were to follow, then Bitcoin could rise to a high of $115,733,” CoinLedger estimated. “Although this seems like a high estimation Bitcoin has shocked people before in past bull runs.”
Not everyone is bullish on the halving catalyst. J.P. Morgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou thinks bitcoin (BTC-USD) could drop to $42K after the event, a “level we envisage bitcoin prices drifting towards once bitcoin-halving-induced euphoria subsides after April.”
Speaking of euphoria, bitcoin (BTC-USD) briefly topped $70K on Friday to claim new territory, leaving the token up more than 50% this year and up more than 200% Y/Y. The rally has been fueled by strong inflows into spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds and the hype around the upcoming halving, as well as bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve and other major central banks will start cutting interest rates in a few months.
But SA analyst D Lombardo warned investors that bitcoin is at a mid-cycle peak and a near-term correction is likely, citing bearish on-chain metrics and giddy-level sentiment.
Other bitcoin miners: HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE), Hut 8 (HUT), Bitfarms (BITF), Bit Digital (BTBT), CleanSpark (CLSK), Core Scientific (CORZ).
Crypto
Crypto mogul Do Kwon sentenced to 15 years in prison over $40B ‘epic fraud’
Do Kwon, the South Korean cryptocurrency entrepreneur behind two digital currencies that lost an estimated $40 billion in 2022, was sentenced on Thursday to 15 years in prison for for what a judge called an “epic fraud.”
U.S. District Judge Paul A. Engelmayer, who handed down the sentence, sharply rebuked Kwon for repeatedly lying to everyday investors who trusted him with their life savings.
“This was a fraud on an epic, generational scale. In the history of federal prosecutions, there are few frauds that have caused as much harm as you have, Mr. Kwon,” Engelmayer said during a hearing in Manhattan federal court.
Kwon, 34, who co-founded Singapore-based Terraform Labs and developed the TerraUSD and Luna currencies, previously pleaded guilty and admitted to misleading investors about a coin that was supposed to maintain a steady price during periods of crypto market volatility.
He is one of several cryptocurrency moguls to face federal charges after a slump in digital token prices in 2022 prompted the collapse of a number of companies.
Dressed in yellow prison garb, Kwon addressed the court and apologized to his victims, including the hundreds who submitted letters to the court describing the harm they had suffered.
“All of their stories were harrowing and reminded me again of the great losses that I’ve caused. I want to tell these victims that I am sorry,” Kwon said.
Ayyildiz Attila, one of the hundreds of victims who submitted letters to the court, said he lost between $400,000 and $500,000 in the collapse.
“My savings, my future, and the results of years of sacrifice disappeared. I struggled to keep up with payments and responsibilities, and everything I had worked forwas erased,” Attila said.
Kwon’s lawyer Sean Hecker said in an email after the sentencing that Kwon spoke from the heart, expressed genuine remorse and will continue his efforts to make amends.
US Attorney Jay Clayton in Manhattan said in a statement following the hearing that Kwon devised elaborate schemes to inflate the value of his cryptocurrencies and fled accountability when his crimes caught up to him.
Prosecutors had asked for a sentence of at least 12 years in prison, saying the crash of Kwon’s Terra cryptocurrency caused billions of dollars in losses and triggered a cascade of crises in the crypto market.
Kwon’s lawyers had asked that he be sentenced to no more than five years so he can return to South Korea to face criminal charges.
Prosecutors charged Kwon in January with nine criminal counts for securities fraud, wire fraud, commodities fraud and money laundering conspiracy.
Kwon was accused of misleading investors in 2021 about TerraUSD, a so-called stablecoin designed to maintain a value of $1. Prosecutors alleged that when TerraUSD slipped below its $1 peg in May 2021, Kwon told investors a computer algorithm known as “Terra Protocol” had restored the coin’s value.
Instead, Kwon arranged for a high-frequency trading firm to secretly buy millions of dollars of the token to artificially prop up its price, according to charging documents.
Kwon pleaded guilty in August to two counts, conspiracy to defraud and wire fraud, and apologized in court for his conduct.
“I made false and misleading statements about why it regained its peg by failing to disclose a trading firm’s role in restoring that peg,” Kwon said at the time. “What I did was wrong.”
Kwon agreed in 2024 to pay $80 million as a civil fine and be banned from crypto transactions as part of a $4.55 billion settlement he and Terraform reached with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
He also faces charges in South Korea. As part of his plea deal, prosecutors will not oppose Kwon’s potential application to be transferred abroad after serving half his US sentence.
Crypto
Robinhood Sets 2026 Crypto Vision With Expanded Global Access
Crypto
OCC Clarifies Bank Authority for Regulated Crypto Trade Execution
-
Alaska6 days agoHowling Mat-Su winds leave thousands without power
-
Politics1 week agoTrump rips Somali community as federal agents reportedly eye Minnesota enforcement sweep
-
Ohio1 week ago
Who do the Ohio State Buckeyes hire as the next offensive coordinator?
-
Texas6 days agoTexas Tech football vs BYU live updates, start time, TV channel for Big 12 title
-
News1 week agoTrump threatens strikes on any country he claims makes drugs for US
-
World1 week agoHonduras election council member accuses colleague of ‘intimidation’
-
Washington3 days agoLIVE UPDATES: Mudslide, road closures across Western Washington
-
Iowa5 days agoMatt Campbell reportedly bringing longtime Iowa State staffer to Penn State as 1st hire