Crypto
One bitcoin could be worth $115K after halving, study figures (Cryptocurrency:BTC-USD)
rzelich
If $70K isn’t enough, how ‘bout $115K?
A looming reduction in bitcoin’s (BTC-USD) supply growth, known as the halving event, is poised to boost the price of the highest-profile cryptocurrency to over $115K in 2024, crypto tax-reporting firm CoinLedger said in a recent study.
A year after the past two halvings – there have only been three so far – the price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged by an average of 400%, according to the study, which based its $115K price prediction on whether the token is at $69K when it halves in April.
A bitcoin (BTC-USD) halving occurs when miners’ (Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA), Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT), etc.) reward is slashed in half, essentially reducing the rate at which new tokens are created by 50%. That means the halving – which occurs about every four years – reduces the supply of new bitcoins entering the market, a move that could drive up the coin’s price should demand remain constant or rise.
The first mining reward was 50 bitcoins (BTC-USD). On Nov. 28, 2012, the first-ever halving, the reward was cut in half to 25. From there, the reward was lowered to 12.5 after the July 9, 2016 halving, and then to 6.25 on May 11, 2020. The next halving, at some point in April, will see the block reward fall to 3.125.
In 2016, the price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) jumped to $986 six months after the halving, a 51.6% increase from $650 on the day of the event, the report said. Similarly, the price rose 82.3% to $15,702 six months after the 2020 halving.
That’s an average increase of 67.7% six months after a halving event. “If a similar pattern were to follow, then Bitcoin could rise to a high of $115,733,” CoinLedger estimated. “Although this seems like a high estimation Bitcoin has shocked people before in past bull runs.”
Not everyone is bullish on the halving catalyst. J.P. Morgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou thinks bitcoin (BTC-USD) could drop to $42K after the event, a “level we envisage bitcoin prices drifting towards once bitcoin-halving-induced euphoria subsides after April.”
Speaking of euphoria, bitcoin (BTC-USD) briefly topped $70K on Friday to claim new territory, leaving the token up more than 50% this year and up more than 200% Y/Y. The rally has been fueled by strong inflows into spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds and the hype around the upcoming halving, as well as bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve and other major central banks will start cutting interest rates in a few months.
But SA analyst D Lombardo warned investors that bitcoin is at a mid-cycle peak and a near-term correction is likely, citing bearish on-chain metrics and giddy-level sentiment.
Other bitcoin miners: HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE), Hut 8 (HUT), Bitfarms (BITF), Bit Digital (BTBT), CleanSpark (CLSK), Core Scientific (CORZ).
Crypto
ADI Foundation and Settlemint Launch ADGM Tokenization Rail for $30.9B RWAs
- ADI Foundation and Settlemint launched a digital securities hub under ADGM’s 2026 regulatory framework.
- BCG projects digital assets will grow to $18.9 trillion by 2033 as institutional RWA adoption accelerates.
- Van Niekerk says the Settlemint blueprint allows global exchanges to launch 24/7 tokenized trading next.
Integrated Infrastructure for Institutional Adoption
ADI Foundation and Settlemint announced a partnership on May 13 to launch a new digital securities infrastructure on the ADI Chain, aiming to streamline the tokenization of assets within the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) regulatory framework.
The collaboration integrates ADI Foundation’s compliance-ready Layer-2 blockchain with Settlemint’s digital asset lifecycle platform (DALP). The combined system is designed to handle the entire lifespan of a digital security, from initial token creation and on-chain recording to post-trade servicing and management.
The move addresses a primary hurdle for institutional investors: the difficulty of coordinating issuance, trading, settlement, and custody across fragmented jurisdictions. By providing an integrated architecture, the partners aim to offer a unified pathway for institutions to move traditional assets onto the blockchain.
“The future of investment and trading will not only be digitized, but also available 24 hours a day, 7 days a week,” said Andrey Lazorenko, CEO of ADI Foundation. “Our partnership brings together market infrastructure, institutional-grade blockchain, and a digital asset lifecycle platform to tokenize equities and trade them on secondary platforms.”
According to a media statement, the platform utilizes Settlemint’s implementation of the ERC-3643 standard—a protocol specifically designed for security tokens to ensure compliance with regulatory requirements. While the partnership is initially focusing on equity tokenization, the infrastructure is built to support a variety of other tokenized securities and financial instruments, pending regulatory approval.
The announcement comes as institutional interest in real-world assets ( RWAs) on-chain continues to accelerate. According to data from RWA.xyz, tokenized RWAs currently represent approximately $30.92 billion in on-chain value, with tokenized U.S. Treasuries accounting for roughly $15.20 billion of that total. Market analysts expect this trend to scale significantly. A 2026 analysis by BCG suggests the digital asset market could surge from $0.6 trillion in 2025 to $18.9 trillion by 2033.
Matthew Van Niekerk, co-founder and president of Settlemint, characterized the partnership as a “blueprint” for the broader financial industry.
“This partnership proves that regulated, multi-asset tokenization at national scale on public blockchains is not just feasible, but live,” Van Niekerk said. He added that the infrastructure is intended to be a model that central securities depositories (CSDs), exchanges, and clearing houses can adopt to integrate digital assets into existing operations.
Crypto
BlackRock COO: Cryptocurrency Demand Surpasses Firm’s Expectations, Signaling a Shift in Value
BlackRock Chief Operating Officer Rob Goldstein revealed that demand for cryptocurrency has significantly exceeded the firm’s initial projections, marking a notable shift in institutional sentiment toward digital assets. Speaking during a Binance online stream, Goldstein addressed the market’s reception of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), IBIT, and outlined the asset manager’s broader strategic outlook on blockchain-based finance.
Demand Driven by Value Proposition, Not Speculation
Goldstein emphasized that the global demand for IBIT was stronger than anticipated, describing the interest not as fleeting speculative enthusiasm but as a recognition of a new value proposition rooted in emerging technology. He noted that investors are increasingly viewing cryptocurrency as a distinct asset class with potential for long-term portfolio diversification, rather than a short-term trading vehicle. This perspective aligns with BlackRock’s broader push to integrate digital assets into traditional investment frameworks.
Tokenization and the Future of Capital Markets
Goldstein predicted that the tokenization of capital market instruments remains in its early stages, with future growth expected to be measured in multiples rather than incremental percentages. He argued that blockchain infrastructure could fundamentally reshape how assets are issued, traded, and settled, reducing friction and increasing transparency. This view is consistent with growing industry interest in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, a trend that major financial institutions are beginning to explore.
AI Agents and Digital Rail Transactions
In a forward-looking comment, Goldstein suggested that artificial intelligence agents will eventually conduct transactions directly via digital rails, or blockchain infrastructure, rather than logging into traditional bank accounts. This vision points to a future where automated systems interact with decentralized finance protocols, potentially streamlining operations across supply chains, payments, and asset management. While still conceptual, the statement underscores BlackRock’s attention to the convergence of AI and blockchain technologies.
The Education Gap Remains a Key Obstacle
Goldstein identified the primary barrier to broader adoption as a lack of investor education regarding the technical aspects of virtual assets and efficient portfolio allocation. Many institutional and retail investors remain uncertain about how to evaluate cryptocurrencies, assess risks, and integrate them into existing investment strategies. BlackRock’s emphasis on education suggests that the firm sees informed participation as critical to sustainable market growth.
Conclusion
BlackRock’s acknowledgment that cryptocurrency demand has exceeded expectations carries significant weight, given the firm’s status as the world’s largest asset manager with over $10 trillion in assets under management. Goldstein’s comments reflect a maturing institutional perspective that views digital assets not as a passing trend but as a structural evolution in finance. For investors, the key takeaway is that major financial players are moving beyond skepticism and actively building infrastructure for a tokenized future, even as educational gaps persist.
FAQs
Q1: What did BlackRock’s COO say about cryptocurrency demand?
Rob Goldstein stated that demand for cryptocurrency, particularly through BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF, has exceeded the firm’s expectations, driven by a recognition of its value as an emerging technology rather than mere speculation.
Q2: What is BlackRock’s view on tokenization?
Goldstein described tokenization of capital market tools as still in its infancy, with future growth expected to be exponential. He believes blockchain infrastructure will play a key role in transforming how assets are managed and traded.
Q3: What is the biggest obstacle to cryptocurrency adoption according to BlackRock?
The main challenge is a lack of investor education on the technical aspects of virtual assets and how to allocate them effectively within a portfolio, according to Goldstein.
Crypto
MEXC Commits to 1,000 BTC Purchase as Guardian Fund Targets $500M Expansion
Key Takeaways
- MEXC plans to expand its Guardian Fund to $500M over two years, along with a 1,000 BTC reserve.
- MEXC logged $270M inflows by May 11, reflecting demand for stronger reserve safeguards.
- MEXC will add on-chain BTC and USDT proof-of-reserves to boost transparency and trust.
BTC and USDT to Serve as Dual Reserve System for Market Stability
Crypto exchange MEXC is deepening its focus on reserve strength and user protection, announcing plans to expand its Guardian Fund fivefold to $500 million and acquire 1,000 bitcoin as part of a broader risk management strategy.
The exchange said the initiative will be rolled out over the next two years and is designed to create a dual-reserve structure combining liquid stablecoin holdings with long-term BTC reserves. The framework is intended to bolster platform stability and improve resilience during periods of market stress.
The announcement comes as MEXC continues to attract new capital and users. According to data from Defillama, the exchange recorded $271.6 million in net inflows over the past month through May 11, reflecting increased trading activity and participation across global markets.
Under the revised structure, the Guardian Fund will continue to hold significant USDT reserves to ensure immediate liquidity and operational flexibility. The addition of bitcoin is intended to provide a longer-term store of value capable of preserving purchasing power across market cycles.
Transparency Remains Key for MEXC
MEXC said the strategy is part of a disciplined reserve management approach rather than a reaction to short-term volatility. The company framed the expansion as an effort to build infrastructure comparable to institutional-grade financial safeguards increasingly expected in the digital asset industry.
“Trust has to be capitalized, not just claimed. The expansion of the Guardian Fund and the addition of bitcoin reserves reflect our commitment to building protection infrastructure that helps users access infinite opportunities with greater confidence,” CEO Vugar Usi said in a statement.
The exchange also emphasized transparency. Wallet addresses tied to the Guardian Fund’s USDT and bitcoin holdings have been disclosed publicly, allowing users to verify reserve balances on-chain in real time. The move highlights a broader trend among large trading platforms seeking to differentiate themselves through stronger balance sheets and more visible proof-of-reserves mechanisms.
For MEXC, the Guardian Fund expansion forms part of a wider push to position itself as a global platform capable of supporting long-term growth. The company said the initiative aligns with its broader strategy of improving transparency, strengthening risk management, and protecting users during periods of heightened market uncertainty.
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