World
Will Scotland’s longest-serving leader deliver an independence vote?
Nicola Sturgeon needs to be having fun with a landmark week in her political profession as she turns into Scotland’s longest-serving First Minister.
As a substitute, she’s been affected by a bout of COVID that basically “knocked her for six” since getting back from a working go to to the US.
With seven years and 187 days in workplace below her belt, Sturgeon has now outlasted her predecessors, Scotland’s early Labour Social gathering First Ministers Donald Dewar, Henry McLeish, Jack McConnell – and the person who led Scotland into the 2014 independence referendum, her former pal and one-time mentor Alex Salmond.
Sturgeon continues to be planning to carry a recent referendum in 2023, lately repeating the mantra that her authorities has a “very agency mandate” to take action.
And it is true: the Scottish Nationwide Social gathering received an additional seat within the Scottish Parliament elections final 12 months, lacking out on an total majority by only one seat; and in Might’s native council elections the SNP additionally elevated its variety of councillors and share of the vote.
By European requirements, it is an enviable place for any ruling occasion to be in, nonetheless comfortably profitable elections and using excessive within the polls 15 years after it first took energy.
So how do Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP do it?
“It is actually uncommon {that a} occasion can preserve workplace for such an extended time frame and nonetheless not appear like dropping it any time quickly,” Dr Malcolm Harvey, a lecturer in politics on the College of Aberdeen, advised Euronews.
“Typically it comes all the way down to circumstances. If in case you have a robust economic system that tends to maintain events in workplace longer.
“It additionally comes all the way down to political competitors; you probably have another authorities in ready that appears like a possible authorities there’s a possibility for them to take over. These sort of issues actually play on voters’ minds.”
The Scottish authorities has management over a spread of coverage areas, whereas others are reserved for Westminster. This implies the SNP can take credit score for issues inside its remit going largely proper – like healthcare in the course of the pandemic – and blame the central authorities in London when issues go flawed, for instance after Brexit.
In essence, the SNP will get to cherry-pick the bouquets and brickbats to swimsuit its personal narrative, whereas not going through any severe political challenges from a cluster of weak opposition events with a revolving door of leaders who’ve hardly ever registered positively – if in any respect – within the minds of the voting public.
“The Scottish citizens do have a tendency to offer the Scottish parliament credit score for issues they’ve finished,” Dr Harvey mentioned, “and even issues they have not finished, and the blame tends to go to the UK parliament and the UK Authorities if issues are going badly.”
Is one other independence referendum nonetheless on the playing cards?
Regardless of sturdy polling and repeated election successes, the SNP hasn’t been in a position to translate its obvious broad assist right into a sustained surge in assist for independence.
So will there actually be one other independence vote by the tip of 2023, as Nicola Sturgeon has promised her occasion trustworthy?
Supporters say sure, however others should not satisfied.
“When it comes to the referendum, the mandate is there, the laws is coming ahead, and I do not see within the medium time period how that may be sustainable for the British Authorities to proceed to say no to it,” mentioned Martin Docherty-Hughes, an SNP Member of Parliament whose constituency is within the west of Scotland.
Professional-independence critics of Sturgeon, of which there are a lot of, each outdoors and likewise contained in the SNP, maintain that she’s obtained too snug in authorities and has misplaced the urge for food for independence, particularly after pushing again plans for an additional vote till after the COVID disaster.
“I feel she is a gentle ship, she has been in a position to make sure the folks of Scotland belief not simply her however her authorities, which was re-elected, and has now enabled her to get on with the job in hand which is delivering an independence referendum,” mentioned Docherty-Hughes.
Issues for the subsequent independence marketing campaign
There stay a sequence of urgent points for the SNP. The primary is to someway persuade Boris Johnson’s authorities to grant them the facility to name a referendum within the first place, one thing Downing Road has repeatedly dismissed.
Then, they would want to persuade Scottish voters to take that leap, which polling exhibits they don’t seem to be dashing to do. Thirdly, there may be the issue of Brexit, which has highlighted the necessity for some sort of border regime between an EU nation and the UK on the island of Eire.
Consultants like Dr Malcolm Harvey say there would must be the same ‘tougher border’ between England and Scotland if it had been to hitch the EU: a notion that Martin Docherty-Hughes rejects. Any new guidelines or restrictions on the border would very probably damage hundreds of Scottish companies who do the majority of their buying and selling with the remainder of Britain.
“The function of the occasion is to persuade as many Scots as attainable of the advantages of independence and to show that right into a vote for sure,” mentioned Docherty-Hughes. “There’s a job at hand.
“There isn’t any phantasm within the occasion, and within the wider ‘Sure’ motion, which incorporates not solely the SNP however the Inexperienced Social gathering and others on the left, that work should be finished within the marketing campaign to maneuver that dial.”
Arguably, campaigning began for the 2014 referendum with polls exhibiting lower than 30 per cent assist for independence, and it finally took 45 per cent of the vote.
In public, the SNP says it may now construct on that 45 per cent share forward of the referendum with a transparent marketing campaign that learns from the errors made eight years in the past. However privately, occasion activists say there are issues as as to whether 45 per cent is a place to begin or a ceiling.
So will there be an ‘indyref2’ in 2023?
Dr Harvey from Aberdeen College describes this as a “pivotal second” for the SNP in relation to holding one other referendum.
“For the SNP in a second independence referendum, it is win or bust. The chance is extremely excessive, should you lose this one you do not get one other likelihood at it,” he said.
The paradox is that the SNP solely desires to have a referendum when it may be received, whereas the UK authorities won’t grant a referendum when that’s the expectation.
It is a political Catch-22, and a part of the explanation the SNP is saying there needs to be a referendum subsequent 12 months is as a result of it is aware of the UK authorities will reject the demand.
Within the eyes of the worldwide neighborhood and the voting public alike, something in need of a full partnership and settlement between London and Edinburgh on holding a vote would lack legitimacy.
“It might be a toss of the coin whether or not they would win it or not,” mentioned Dr Harvey. “And neither facet desires to take the prospect they might lose it.”
In the interim Nicola Sturgeon won’t be for turning, to borrow a phrase from Margaret Thatcher, on the timing of the subsequent independence referendum.
However the realities of Scottish and UK politics might effectively imply a referendum date is pushed again a number of years additional nonetheless – with the prospect {that a} recent face on the helm of the SNP is perhaps wanted by then, a generational change in management, with a purpose to get a victory over the road.
“Presumably a refresh is so as, governments do are inclined to lose their approach just a little bit after they’ve been in workplace for an extended time frame,” mentioned Dr Harvey.
“I do not see it coming any time quickly,” Dr Harvey mentioned, “however maybe if Nicola Sturgeon cannot get a referendum subsequent 12 months she would possibly then determine she’s had sufficient and move on the torch to another person.”
World
Ralph Macchio on Why Now Was the Right Time to End ‘Cobra Kai,’ the Future of Daniel LaRusso and That Coldplay Music Video
Serendipity seems to follow Ralph Macchio — and it most recently took him to Australia.
In October, Coldplay released the song “The Karate Kid,” and it’s exactly what you think it’s about, down to the lyrics about “Daniel.” That, of course, is the name of the lead character played by Macchio in three “The Karate Kid” movies and six seasons of Netflix’s “Cobra Kai.” After Macchio heard the tune, he shared it on social media — and that’s when Coldplay concocted a plan. Frontman Chris Martin asked Macchio to come to Australia, where they were playing a series of dates, and film the music video. The ruse included bringing the actor on stage to help perform “The Karate Kid.”
“It was just one of those whirlwind things,” says Macchio, who just returned from Down Under. “It’s just a beautiful track. It blew my mind that he wrote the song, just from the film, which meant so much to him. We certainly had an impact 41 years ago, at least for a young Chris Martin and Coldplay. It never ceases to amaze me, the emotions and feelings that the original film still carries through the decades.”
Macchio is about to experience another one of those moments. As the final season of “Cobra Kai” posts its next five episodes (there are still five to go) this month, Macchio is set to receive his star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame. And his honor will be fittingly placed near the plaque for his late co-star Pat Morita, aka Mr. Miyagi.
“That’s just perfectly wonderful at this point in my life,” Macchio says. The actor, at a youthful 63, is somehow a decade older than Morita was in the original 1984 film. “It’s only fitting I will be Miyagi-adjacent till the end of time, and I couldn’t be prouder and more honored to have that kind of placement. I remember him saying having a star on the Walk of Fame was probably the biggest highlight of his career, coming from humble beginnings. So I’ll get to channel a little bit of the love that he still sprinkles on this ‘Karate Kid’ universe.”
It’s also a complete career full circle moment for Macchio, who remembers visiting the Walk of Fame as a teen in the late 1970s when he moved to Hollywood from his native Long Island, N.Y. to give acting a shot.
“It was the land of hopes and dreams, and I remember I would walk on Hollywood Boulevard looking for Gene Kelly’s star,” Macchio says. “I wanted to be Gene Kelly, ever since my youngest memory. I used to watch the old movie musicals with my mom. And so seeing all those names like Clark Gable, which come from a lot of the films and television shows that I grew up with, it never seemed obtainable.”
Before long, he had a regular role on “Eight Is Enough.” Then came his breakout role in Francis Ford Coppola’s 1983 feature “The Outsiders,” followed a year later by that life-changing moment in “The Karate Kid.” That crane kick. Wax on, wax off. Daniel-san. All iconic pop culture moments that are forever attached to Macchio. “People still remember where they saw ‘The Karate Kid,’” he says. “I’m incredibly grateful, and feel privileged to be blessed enough to bring joy to people through a character.”
He also starred in the first two “Karate Kid” sequels and held a major role in 1992’s “My Cousin Vinny,” the Joe Pesci starrer that is in endless heavy rotation on basic cable. “I always call it the late-for-dinner movie,” he says. “If it’s on, you’re going to be late for dinner because you have another setup that’s going to pay off and you have to stick to the next one.”
But then came the lean years, which Macchio chronicled in his recent memoir, “Waxing On: The Karate Kid and Me.” Macchio was inspired by the philosophy of one of his idols, Michael Caine, who talked about capitalizing on the difficulties you might face in acting and in life.
“I’ve learned to do that,” he says. “There were some difficult times as far as career goes and where I’d wanted it to be. But those are also the years that I was here for my kids at a very young age. It was perfect, especially with this great resurgence and groundswell act that I’m going through right now. I almost couldn’t have written it better, because I get to enjoy it, and it just keeps giving. I mean, the fans never let it disappear.”
Indeed, Macchio never stopped working. In the 2000s, he held a recurring role on “Ugly Betty” and was given several opportunities to play versions of himself — most of which he turned down. But he embraced a few, including on HBO’s “Entourage.”
“If I could tell you the amount of times it was pitched — I said no 90% of the time,” he says. “I went through a phase where I would joke that my name was more famous than I was. ‘Entourage’ was the first time I played myself, and so I was proud because it was a cool industry choice, and a pretty darn good episode as well.”
Then there was the Funny or Die parody “Wax On, F*ck Off,” from filmmaker Todd Holland, which toyed with Macchio’s nice guy persona by trying to turn him into a Hollywood bad boy. “It was the perfect time when people with bad behavior were being rewarded, and I considered myself a good guy,” he says. “So how could I try to make myself more relevant with what works in in Hollywood?
But the real groundwork for “Cobra Kai” came when he and William Zabka guest starred on “How I Met Your Mother” — in which Neil Patrick Harris’ character Barney wanted the hero of the “The Karate Kid” at his party. When Macchio showed up, he was disappointed as he’d considered Johnny Lawrence (Zabka) the good guy.
That dynamic, of course, became the heart of “Cobra Kai,” a new take on the “Karate Kid” characters from Josh Heald, Jon Hurwitz and Hayden Schlossberg. Around the time that show began development (originally at YouTube Originals), Macchio had landed a very different kind of role as a vice cop in HBO’s gritty drama “The Deuce.”
“He’s everything that you dream of when you’re think about meeting your heroes,” Hurwitz says. “He’s a kind person. He’s a family man. It extends to how he carries himself on set as the No. 1 on the call sheet. He’s a role model to a whole group of young actors on our show.”
Heald interjects: “It’s easy to see, upon meeting him for the very first time, that he’s one of the most authentic people you’ll ever meet. He is thoughtful as a performer and a producer and now a director, and in the way that you want as a collaborator.”
Now, as “Cobra Kai” ends, Macchio says the timing “just feels right” to “land it but in a great way.” But this isn’t the end for Macchio as Daniel LaRusso. He will revive the character again opposite Jackie Chan in “The Karate Kid: Legends,” which takes place three years after the events of “Cobra Kai.”
“It was not a quick decision, because it was about protecting the Daniel LaRusso character, and finding where he would be at that point, and then protecting the whole legacy in the Miyagi-verse,” says Macchio. “Once we were able to line that up, for the ‘Cobra Kai’ story to lead into the new film — even though they’re separate ecosystems — it all made sense for me. Then, working with Jackie was just super exciting. I started this on the big screen. How cool is it to get it back to the big screen?”
As for what’s next, Macchio is keen on pursuing more directing and hopes to help Heald, Hurwitz and Schlossberg turn a Mr. Miyagi origins series into fruition. Plus, he wants to explore other characters beyond the “Karate Kid” universe.
Will “The Karate Kid: Legends” mark his final bow as Daniel? “I don’t want to overstay the welcome of a character that’s so beloved,” he says. “But he’s aging like I am, so there could be other areas to explore as well. Never say never.”
World
US Embassy in Kyiv closed as 'potential significant air attack' looms
The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv, Ukraine, issued a warning after receiving “specific information of a potential significant air attack” allegedly taking place on Wednesday.
The embassy in Ukraine’s capital is temporarily closed following the alert and employees are being asked to prepare to shelter in place.
“The U.S. Embassy recommends U.S. citizens be prepared to immediately shelter in the event an air alert is announced,” the statement said.
PUTIN SIGNS REVISED DOCTRINE LOWERING THRESHOLD FOR NUCLEAR RESPONSE IF RUSSIA IS ATTACKED
Employees have been asked to take the following actions:
- Monitor local media for updates
- Identify shelter locations in advance of any air alert
- Immediately take shelter if an air alert is announced
- Follow the directions of Ukrainian officials and first responders in the event of an emergency
This comes after Ukraine fired American-supplied long-range missiles into Russia on Tuesday, marking the first time for Kyiv to do so in the 1,000 days of war, which was authorized by President Biden on Sunday.
BIDEN AUTHORIZES UKRAINE TO USE US LONG-RANGE MISSILES TO STRIKE INSIDE RUSSIA
This was not the first time the embassy has issued a warning of potential danger and a significant attack.
A similar warning was issued around Ukraine’s Independence Day on Aug. 24.
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a revised nuclear doctrine on Tuesday, warning that any attack on Russia supported by a country with nuclear power could be grounds for a nuclear response.
Fox News Digital’s Elizabeth Pritchett contributed to this report.
World
Sharp rise recorded in landmine casualties in 2023, warns report
Civilians, including children, make up 84 percent of landmine casualties, with the highest numbers last year in Myanmar.
The number of people killed or wounded worldwide by landmines and explosive remnants of war surged in 2023, according to a new report.
There were more than 5,700 casualties last year, the Landmine and Cluster Munition Monitor group said in its annual report published on Wednesday. The highest number was reported in Myanmar, while significant tolls were also recorded in Syria, Afghanistan and Ukraine.
The global total marks a rise of about 1,000 compared with the previous year. At least 1,983 people were killed and 3,663 injured across 53 countries. Civilians made up 84 percent of the victims, with children accounting for 37 percent, the report said.
Just over 1,000 casualties were reported in Myanmar, which is not party to the Mine Ban Treaty. Syria, which had for the previous three years the highest number of annual casualties, came next. More than 500 casualties were recorded in both Afghanistan and Ukraine.
“Landmines are inherently indiscriminate weapons, meaning that, by design, it is not possible for the mine to be deployed to target a specific person,” read the report. “Hence, casualties can occur among whoever triggers the mine, whether a child or a soldier, as well as anyone nearby.”
The report notes that not all landmine-related deaths and injuries are documented, suggesting the actual figures could be higher.
Alongside Myanmar, Russia, Iran, and North Korea are accused of laying new mines, continuing trends observed in previous years.
These countries have not signed the Ottawa Treaty, an international agreement that bans the use, stockpiling, production and transfer of antipersonnel mines.
The treaty has banned landmines since 1999, and 164 countries are parties to it. However, major powers including the United States, Israel and Russia are not signed up.
Washington was reported on Wednesday to be ready to provide landmines to Ukraine.
In a statement to the AFP news agency, the ICBL said it condemned “this terrible decision” by the US, and vowed to push for it to be reversed. The lobby group also called on Ukraine to “clearly state they cannot and will not accept these weapons”.
Non-state actors, including armed groups, have also been implicated in the use of landmines in conflict zones such as the Gaza Strip, Colombia, India, Myanmar and parts of Africa’s Sahel region, including Burkina Faso and Mali, according to the report.
The report also stated that landmines continue to be produced or procured in 12 countries, including China, Cuba, Singapore and Vietnam.
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