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What happens if there’s a tie in the US presidential election?

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What happens if there’s a tie in the US presidential election?

A constitutional amendment more than two centuries old determines the choice of winner in case of a draw.

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Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are fighting down to the last vote to gain the upper hand in tomorrow’s election. There’s a remote possibility that the US poll could end in a draw, however.

This concerns the machinery of the US Electoral College, the winner-takes-all system that determines which presidential candidate will win the White House.

The Electoral College comprises 538 votes, distributed in varying proportions among the fifty states plus the District of Columbia. A tie between two presidential candidates is therefore theoretically possible.

Harris and Trump could each receive 269 electoral votes, resulting in a complete draw scenario, with both candidates unable to achieve the majority of electoral votes required to become president.

Similar stalemates have occurred twice in US history, in 1800 and 1824.

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What happened when there was a tie in the past?

In the 1800 election, Thomas Jefferson’s Democratic-Republicans defeated the incumbent Federalist President John Adams.

At that time, presidential candidates had a “running mate” from a different state, similar to today’s candidates for vice president. The electors had to cast two votes each: the candidate with the most votes would become president, while the candidate with the second-most votes would become vice president.

However, the Democratic-Republicans did not coordinate well, resulting in their candidate for president (Jefferson) receiving the same number of votes as their candidate for vice president (Aaron Burr).

The election was therefore decided by the House of Representatives using a one-state, one-vote rule after a long deadlock that nearly resulted in a military confrontation, as Sanford Levinson, a professor at the University of Texas Law School, has noted.

For this reason, the 12th Amendment was introduced, which still regulates the election of the US president. It clarifies that electors “shall name in their ballots the person voted for as President, and in distinct ballots the person voted for as Vice President,” to avoid any possible tie between candidates from the same party.

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However, there remains the possibility that no candidate receives a majority of the total number of electors appointed—currently, that crucial threshold is 270.

This actually happened in 1824, when Andrew Jackson received 99 votes, John Quincy Adams 84, William Crawford 41, and Henry Clay 37. All of these candidates were from the same Democratic-Republican political party, which was split into regional factions.

The 12th Amendment states that in such cases, the House of Representatives shall immediately choose the president by ballot from the top three choices of the electors. Votes are taken by state, with each state having one vote and a simple majority required.

This means that Wyoming, the smallest state in the US with fewer than 600,000 people, would have the same say in choosing a new president as California, which has almost 40 million residents (even though Wyoming appoints only three electors and California 54).

Additionally, the choice of the new president would depend on the composition of the House of Representatives, which is set to be voted on in parallel with the presidential elections.

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How likely is a tie?

While a tie is unlikely, it is still a possibility to consider, with various scenarios outlined by the website 270toWin.

One scenario is that Trump wins Pennsylvania and Georgia, while Harris secures victories in Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, and one electoral vote in Nebraska, which alongside Maine is the only state that splits its allocation of electors.

Another scenario, even more unlikely, is that Harris wins all the states Biden won, plus North Carolina, which current polls indicate could go to Republicans. If Trump then reclaims Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and also wins Nevada for the first time, the outcome would be a 269-269 tie.

This would trigger a “contingent election,” with the House of Representatives tasked with deciding the US president for the first time in two centuries, requiring a simple majority of 26 states to elect the new commander-in-chief.

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With the country sharply divided, newly sworn-in US congress members would face immense pressure and, in some cases, might have to choose between backing their party candidate or the one who received the most popular votes in their own state (there is no requirement for state delegations to honour the winner of their state’s vote).

This situation would likely unfold on 6 January, right after Congress determines that no candidate has a majority, according to an analysis by the Congressional Research Service.

Even more surprisingly, the tie scenario could lead to cohabitation between a Republican president and a Democratic vice president or vice versa.

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Indeed, according to the 12th Amendment, in the event of no majority, the US vice president is chosen by the Senate from the two candidates with the highest number of electoral votes, with each senator entitled to one vote (the US Senate has 100 members, with each state electing two).

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Finally, the Senate could select a vice president even if the House is deadlocked in the election of the president. So, if a president is not selected by Inauguration Day, 2o January, the newly chosen vice president would serve as acting president. This is a scenario that no one in the US can envision as of today.

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‘28 Years Later’ Trailer: Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Ralph Fiennes Fight Zombies in Danny Boyle’s Apocalyptic Threequel — but Is Cillian Murphy One of Them?

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‘28 Years Later’ Trailer: Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Ralph Fiennes Fight Zombies in Danny Boyle’s Apocalyptic Threequel — but Is Cillian Murphy One of Them?

Lace up your running shoes and get ready to return to Danny Boyle and Alex Garland’s world of fleet-footed zombies because “28 Years Later” has its first official trailer.

The third installment in the “28 Days Later” franchise sees Boyle and Garland return to their respective roles in the franchise as director and writer, having served as executive producers on Juan Carlos Fersnadillo’s 2007 sequel “28 Weeks Later.”

The film is led by franchise newcomers Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Jodie Comer and Ralph Fiennes, who are seen throughout the creepy trailer fighting off zombies. Though original movie star Cillian Murphy had been reported to be reprising his role as Jim in addition to being an executive producer, he appears absent from the trailer and is not listed as a cast member in the promotional material. However, the new trailer features a particularly jarring clip of a zombie that some on social media speculated bears a resemblance to the Oscar winner. (Columbia Pictures did not immediately respond to Variety‘s request for comment on the matter.)

Other new cast members include Erin Kellyman and Jack O’Connell. The film’s official synopsis reads: “It’s been almost three decades since the rage virus escaped a biological weapons laboratory, and now, still in a ruthlessly enforced quarantine, some have found ways to exist amidst the infected. One such group of survivors lives on a small island connected to the mainland by a single, heavily-defended causeway. When one of the group leaves the island on a mission into the dark heart of the mainland, he discovers secrets, wonders and horrors that have mutated not only the infected but other survivors as well.”

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“28 Years Later” will serve as the first in a trilogy of sequel films spearheaded by Boyle and Garland. It shot back-to-back with “28 Years Later II: The Bone Temple,” the second film in the trilogy, directed by Nia DaCosta.

The film was shot by cinematographer Anthony Dod Mantle using an iPhone 15 Pro Max. Andrew MacDonald and Peter Rice will serve as producers alongside Garland and Boyle. “28 Years Later” is produced by Columbia Pictures in association with BFI, DNA Films, and Decibel Films. The film will be released June 20, 2025.

Watch the trailer below.

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Biden seems to take credit for Assad's downfall amid fears of Islamic State revival

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Biden seems to take credit for Assad's downfall amid fears of Islamic State revival

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JERUSALEM — The rapid-fire collapse of the Syrian dictatorship of Bashar Assad has engulfed the Biden administration in a new wave of criticism about its efforts to claim a win for the end of one of the most brutal regimes in the Middle East.

Questions abound about whether Biden’s foreign policy team had a significant blind spot in Syria, where roughly 900 U.S. troops and American military contractors operate in the northeastern part of the war-ravaged country.

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Speaking from the White House on Sunday, President Biden seemed to claim a much-needed victory for his administration’s foreign policy, “Our approach has shifted the balance of power in the Middle East.”

This is a direct result of the blows that Ukraine, Israel have delivered upon their own self-defense with unflagging support of the United States,” he said.

John Hannah, a senior fellow at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s Gemunder Center for Defense and Strategy and who served as Vice President Dick Cheney’s national security adviser, told Fox News Digital, “President Biden’s efforts to take credit for the fatal weakening of Iran and Hezbollah is, frankly speaking, unseemly.”

SYRIAN DICTATOR BASHAR ASSAD FLEES INTO EXILE AS ISLAMIST REBELS CONQUER COUNTRY 

TOPSHOT – A picture taken at the entrance of the Kweyris military airfield in the eastern part of Aleppo province on December 3, 2024 shows a portrait of  Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad and a national flag in the garbage dumpster following the take over of the area by rebel groups. A war monitor on December 1 said Ankara-backed groups seized control of the towns of Safireh and Khanasser southeast of Aleppo from government forces, and also took the Kweyris military airport. (Photo by RAMI AL SAYED/AFP via Getty Images)

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“The harsh reality is that if Israel had succumbed to the Biden administration’s pressures and followed its advice over the past 14 months of war, Iran and Hezbollah would have been far stronger and Israel far weaker than they are today,” said Hannah, who also served in the Clinton administration.

“There’s no doubt that President Biden deserves a lot of credit for his unflagging support of Israel’s ability to defend itself against the multifront war that Iran and its proxies launched on Oct. 7, 2023,” he continued. “But what he refused to do was provide that same unflagging support of Israel’s ability to actually win that war by inflicting a comprehensive defeat on its enemies, particularly Iran and Hezbollah, precisely the element that was required to make last week’s historic events in Syria possible.”

President Biden delivers remarks on the latest developments in Syria at the White House on Dec. 8, 2024. (Pete Marovich/Getty Images)

President Biden delivers remarks on the latest developments in Syria at the White House on Dec. 8, 2024. (Pete Marovich/Getty Images)

“The collapse of the Syrian regime is a direct result of the severe blows we inflicted on Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told reporters at a press conference on Monday. “I would like to clarify: challenges are still expected in the campaign, and our hand is outstretched.”

He also expressed appreciation to President-elect Donald Trump for recognizing Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights in 2019.

“The Golan will forever be an inseparable part of Israel,” he said, per Israeli news agency TPS-IL.

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Netanyahu and Biden

WASHINGTON, DC – JULY 25: U.S. President Joe Biden meets with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Oval Office at the White House on July 25, 2024 in Washington, DC. Netanyahu’s visit occurs as the Israel-Hamas war reaches nearly ten months. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

FALL OF SYRIA’S BASHAR ASSAD IS STRATEGIC BLOW TO IRAN AND RUSSIA, EXPERTS SAY

Fox News Digital has reported that since Hamas terrorists from Gaza slaughtered nearly 1,200 people, including more than 40 Americans, on Oct. 7, 2023, in southern Israel, the Biden administration sought to curtail Israel’s efforts to root out Hamas, as well as Hezbollah terrorists in Lebanon, and not launch counterstrikes against Iran’s regime.

Rebels in northwest Syria seized military vehicles belonging to the regime along the route toward Kweris Airport on Dec. 2, 2024.

Rebels in northwest Syria seized military vehicles belonging to the regime along the route toward Kweris Airport on Dec. 2, 2024. (Rami Alsayed/NurPhoto via APRami Alsayed/NurPhoto via AP)

After Biden’s speech, a senior administration official seemed to echo the president’s bravado, “I think U.S. policy is a direct contributor to this for the reasons I laid out, and the president laid out, is significant, is important, has completely changed the equation in the Middle East, and you saw that play out here over the last week.”

Behnam Ben Taleblu, an Iran expert and senior fellow with the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, offered a different take, saying, “Respectfully, it’s a bit odd to have an administration, which pulled punches against the Assad regime in Syria as well as its patron, the Islamic Republic of Iran, try to take credit for the fall of the Assad regime.”

Syrian President Bashar Assad, left, and Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

Syrian President Bashar Assad, left, and Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader via AP/File)

“Less, not more, has defined Biden’s risk-averse approach to the region,” he continued. “Over the past year, the administration has watched Israel box in the Iran-backed threat network in the region, and in so doing break taboos that have long hindered Washington’s regional policy.”

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Obama-Biden failures

Democrat politicians like former Secretary of State John Kerry and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi courted Assad before his use of chemical weapons on his population after the outbreak of the Syrian civil war in 2011. Former National Security Council spokesperson Gordon Johndroe said about Pelosi’s 2007 visit with Assad, “On the contrary, these visits have convinced the Assad regime that its actions in support of terrorists have no consequences.”

Deeply misjudging Middle East dictators and radical Islamist movements has plagued the Biden and Obama administrations, according to experts. 

Plane in Afghanistan

Afghans climb atop a plane at Kabul’s airport on Aug. 16, 2021, to escape the country before the Taliban return to seize power after the U.S. military withdrawal. (Getty Images)

The Biden-Harris administration faced congressional criticism for the reportedly premature and botched withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021 that resulted in the radical Islamist Taliban movement absorbing the country and U.S. weapons.

TRUMP URGES US TO STAY OUT OF SYRIAN CIVIL WAR, BLAMING OBAMA FOR FAILURE AS ISLAMISTS CLOSE IN ON CAPITAL

Islamic State threats

Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., wrote on X, “As to U.S. interests in Syria, there are over 50,000 ISIS prisoners primarily being held by the Kurdish forces who helped President Trump destroy the caliphate. These ISIS fighters planned and executed plots against the American homeland and our allies. A breakout and reestablishment of ISIS is a major threat to the U.S. and our friends. Obama and Biden got this wrong big time, requiring President Trump to clean up their mess.”

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On Sunday it was announced that U.S. Central Command launched dozens of key strikes against ISIS in a move said to stop the terror group from taking advantage of the fluid situation in Syria.

Displaced Kurds leave a refugee camp in the north of Aleppo, Syria, Dec. 4, 2024.

Displaced Kurds leave a refugee camp in the north of Aleppo, Syria, Dec. 4, 2024. (Ugur Yildirim/DIA Images/Abaca/Sipa USA via AP Images)

The Syrian Kurds have faced slashing attacks from Turkey and pro-Turkey Syrian Sunni jihadi organizations, including the Islamic State, over the years.

Sinam Sherkany Mohamad, the representative of the Syrian Democratic Council mission in the United States, told Fox News Digital, “Defeating Assad was the goal of all Syrians, to build a pluralistic democratic system that guarantees the rights of all ethnic and religious components and diversity in Syria.”
 

Islamic State militant holds ISIS flag in a desert setting

An Islamic State terrorist (History/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

“ISIS is still present in the Syrian desert and has sleeper cells in northern and eastern Syria in addition to the prisons of ISIS fighters and the Al-Holl camp, all of which threaten our people, while warning the current situation could whet ISIS’s appetite to become active again,” Mohamad said.

Incoming freshman Rep. Abraham Hamadeh, R-Ariz., told Fox News Digital, “We cannot ignore the impact of President Biden’s weak leadership, which has eroded deterrence and encouraged our allies to hedge their bets. President Trump understood that arming the Kurds and working with them to dismantle ISIS was a critical success. The reward for standing with America should never be betrayal or abandonment.”

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Hamadeh, whose parents are Syrian immigrants, added, “We must ensure Syrian Kurdish civilians are not caught in the crossfire and that they are integral to any peace process.”

Max Abrahms, a leading expert on counterterrorism and a tenured professor of political science at Northeastern University, told Fox News Digital, “It is also expected that ISIS will manifest as a non-trivial issue in the new Syria. It is on this issue where the Kurds and America have the most strategic overlap, as both regard ISIS as a serious threat. The more ISIS presents as a problem, the stronger the logic of maintaining American forces to work with the Syrian Democratic Forces.”

The U.S.-backed, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces has been a key player in stopping the spread of ISIS in Syria.

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The real work on Mercosur deal starts now, says French liberal MEP

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The real work on Mercosur deal starts now, says French liberal MEP

Last week, European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen signed the EU-Mercosur deal, despite opposition from France.

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With French opposition remaining to the EU-Mercosur deal struck last week by the EU, the real work on the deal starts now, French liberal MEP Marie-Pierre Vedrenne tells the Radio Schuman podcast today.

Last week, the EU finalised the contentious Mercosur agreement with some South Amercan countries, a deal that follows on-and-off negotiations that began in 1999.

However, France—one of the largest EU member states—along with several other countries with sizeable dairy and beef industries, opposes the agreement. They argue it could expose local farmers to unfair competition and heighten environmental risks.

To block the deal, France is attempting to form a coalition of like-minded member states. Under EU rules, it would need the support of at least three other countries representing 35% of the bloc’s population. Additionally, the agreement must gain approval from the European Parliament.

In the second segment of the podcast, we look at EU ministers discussions with the Commission on the economic plans for their countries. Are they performing well?

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On the last part of the show, Radio Schuman reveals which airlines are using more sustainable form of fuel.

Radio Schuman is hosted and produced by Maïa de la Baume, with journalist and production assistant Eleonora Vasques, audio editing by  David Brodheim and Georgios Leivaditis. Music by Alexandre Jas.

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