World
Ukraine war upended China’s plan to invade Taiwan, alleged FSB whistleblower says
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Russia‘s invasion of Ukraine upended Chinese language President Xi Jinping’s timetable to invade Taiwan, in line with paperwork purportedly written by a Russian intelligence analyst in one in every of Moscow’s safety companies.
“Xi Jinping was a minimum of contemplating taking up Taiwan within the fall – he wants his personal little victory to get re-elected for a 3rd time period – there the battle throughout the elite is colossal,” an agent in Russia’s Federal Safety Service (FSB), the successor company to the KGB, allegedly wrote on March 9. China will maintain its twentieth Communist Get together Congress this fall, and Xi has mentioned will probably be a “main occasion.” Analysts have predicted that Xi will both be re-elected as the final secretary of the Communist Get together or be elected to the chairmanship of the get together, a place that has not existed since 1982.
RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE: LIVE UPDATES
“Now, after the Ukrainian occasions, this window of alternative has been closed to him, which provides the US the chance to each blackmail Xi and negotiate with its opponents on favorable phrases,” the FSB agent added. “It was on this case that we launched a entice mechanism for China with our actions.”
The agent added that the FSB is “critically contemplating” claiming that “the battle on Ukrainian territory is a US battle in opposition to China, during which the People merely set us up and used us.”
“The worldwide conflict between the US and China was inevitable,” the agent wrote. “After the battle with Ukraine (though I’ll keep away from utilizing the time period ‘operation’ right here), the price of sources on this planet, particularly power ones, has gone up. The principle sufferer of such actions turns into China, to which (I can verify) got ensures that every part will finish rapidly. Due to this fact, China behaved tolerant up to now. However that was earlier than that.”
“China might properly give us a tricky ultimatum to finish the battle to stabilize oil costs,” the agent predicted. “If this occurs, I do not wish to predict something – it is simply on the horizon of catastrophe occasions.”
RUSSIAN FAILURES IN UKRAINE LEAVE ‘NO OPTION FOR A POSSIBLE VICTORY,’ ALLEGED FSB WHISTLEBLOWER SAYS
Vladimir Osechkin, founding father of the Gulagu.web human rights group, printed the report on his Fb web page final week. He claimed that the identical FSB agent wrote this doc and the March 5 report that claimed a Russian victory in Ukraine had turn out to be a close to impossibility.
Christo Grozev, who works for the Netherlands-based investigative journalism group Bellingcat, tweeted that he confirmed the March 5 letter to 2 FSB contacts, one present and one former worker. That they had little question that the writer was a colleague, he mentioned.
As Russian tanks rolled into Ukraine, 9 Chinese language plane entered Taiwan’s air protection zone, prompting a broadcast warning from the island nation.
BIDEN’S ‘BYSTANDER IN CHIEF’ APPROACH TO UKRAINE MAY EMBOLDEN CHINA IN ATTACKING TAIWAN; EXPERT WARNS
China might emerge as the first beneficiary of the Russia-Ukraine battle, Steve Grey, a New Jersey congressional candidate and former FBI particular agent who labored on China and North Korea, advised Fox Information Digital earlier this month. Grey warned that China has “been given a case examine of what the world’s response would appear like in the event that they have been to invade Taiwan.”
Russian President Vladimir Putin considers Ukraine part of historic Russia, and Xi considers Taiwan part of China. But, because the FSB agent recommended, this very similarity might present causes for China to rethink a possible invasion of Taiwan. The Ukrainian folks’s resolve in opposition to Russia has reportedly stalled the Kremlin’s timeline for the battle, and peace talks are ongoing.
In October, Biden mentioned the U.S. would defend Taiwan if China assaults. A Chinese language overseas ministry spokesperson responded by saying, “Nobody ought to underestimate the robust resolve, willpower and functionality of the Chinese language folks to safeguard nationwide sovereignty and territorial integrity. China has no room for compromise.”
World
Poland says Netanyahu won't be arrested if he attends Auschwitz event
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk says Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu will not be detained despite the International Criminal Court (ICC) arrest warrant.
The Polish government has guaranteed that Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not be arrested if he attends the 80th anniversary of the liberation of the Auschwitz-Birkenau death camp, despite the International Criminal Court (ICC) warrant against him.
Poland’s President Andrzej Duda, from the opposition Law and Justice party (PiS), this week wrote to the government requesting that Netanyahu not be arrested if he decides to attend the Auschwitz commemoration on 27 January, according to a presidential aide.
The office of Prime Minister Donald Tusk published a resolution on Thursday saying it would ensure the “safe participation of the leaders of Israel in the commemorations”.
“I confirm, whether it is the prime minister, the president or the minister — as it is currently declared — of education of Israel, whoever will come to Oswiecim for the celebrations in Auschwitz will be assured of safety and will not be detained,” Tusk said.
Tusk made clear that the resolution was “precise” and only applied to the Auschwitz commemorations.
“It is also very important for us that Poland is not among those countries that openly and demonstratively want to disregard the decisions of international tribunals,” he added.
The ICC issued arrest warrants in November for Netanyahu and his ex-defence minister, as well as a Hamas leader, Ibrahim Al-Masri, for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity during the 15-month war in Gaza.
Member countries of the ICC, such as Poland, are required to detain suspects facing a warrant if they set foot on their soil, but the court has no way to enforce that. Israel is not a member of the ICC and disputes its jurisdiction.
The court has more than 120 member states, although some countries, including France and Hungary, have already said that they would not arrest him. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán even said he would defy the warrant by inviting Netanyahu to Budapest.
It is unclear whether Netanyahu plans to attend the commemoration later this month, although he has been present at previous anniversary events at Auschwitz.
Poland’s Foreign Ministry, in response to an email query, said on Thursday that “it has not received any information so far indicating that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is going to attend the celebration of the 80th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz.”
The commemoration will be attended by international officials and elderly survivors. It is to take place in Oswiecim, a town that was under German occupation during World War II where the Nazi German forces operated the most notorious of their death camps.
More than 1.1 million people were murdered at Auschwitz. Historians say that most of them, about a million, were Jewish, but the victims also included Poles, Roma, Soviet prisoners of war, and others.
At least 3 million of Poland’s 3.2 million Jews were murdered by the Nazis, accounting for about half of the Jews killed in the Holocaust.
Additional sources • AP
World
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World
Details of Venezuelan opposition leader's possible arrest remain unclear amid Maduro inauguration resistance
Aides to Venezuela opposition leader Maria Corina Machado said she was detained Thursday, followed moments later by official denials, in a confusing episode that capped a day of protests seeking to block President Nicolás Maduro from clinging to power.
It’s not clear exactly what transpired after Machado bid farewell to hundreds of supporters, hopped on a motorcycle and raced with her security convoy through the empty streets of eastern Caracas to an undisclosed location.
At 3:21 p.m. local time, Machado’s press team said in a social media post that security forces “violently intercepted” her convoy. Her aides later confirmed to The Associated Press that the opposition hardliner had been detained, and international condemnation immediately poured from leaders in Latin America and beyond demanding her release.
But about an hour later, a 20-second video of Machado was posted online by a Maduro supporter in which the opposition leader said she was followed after leaving the rally and that she had dropped her purse. “I’m good, I’m safe,” Machado said in a raspy voice, adding “Venezuela will be free.”
THOUSANDS OF VENEZUELAN OPPOSITION SUPPORTERS TAKE TO THE STREETS AHEAD OF MADURO’S THIRD INAUGURATION
Her aides later said in a social media post that the proof-of-of-life video message had been coerced, and that after recording it she was freed. They said she would provide details of her “kidnapping” later.
Meanwhile, Maduro supporters denied that she was detained and gloated that government opponents were trying to spread fake news to generate an international crisis. “Nobody should be surprised,” Communications Minister Freddy Nanez said. “Especially since it’s coming from the fascists, who were the architects of the dirty trick.”
Earlier Thursday, Machado addressed hundreds of supporters who heeded her call to take to the streets a day before the ruling party-controlled National Assembly was scheduled to swear in Maduro to a third six-year term despite credible evidence that he lost the presidential election.
“They wanted us to fight each other, but Venezuela is united, we are not afraid,” Machado shouted from atop a truck in the capital minutes before she was reported detained.
Machado, 57, is a hardliner former lawmaker who stayed and fought against Maduro even after many of her allies in the opposition leadership fled, joining an exodus of some 7 million Venezuelans who’ve abandoned their homeland in recent years.
Loyalists who control the country’s judiciary banned her from running against Maduro last year. In a deft move, she backed an unknown outsider — retired diplomat Edmundo González — who crushed Maduro by a more than two-to-one margin, according to voting machine records collected by the opposition and validated by international observers.
González, invoking the title of president-elect recognized by the U.S. and other countries, was among those who demanded Machado’s release in the immediate aftermath of what was believed to be her shock arrest.
“To the security forces, I warn you: don’t play with fire,” he said in a social media post from the Dominican Republic, where he met with President Luis Abinader and a delegation of former presidents from across Latin America.
There was a relatively small turnout for Thursday’s protests as riot police were deployed in force. Venezuelans who’ve witnessed Maduro’s security forces round up scores of opponents and regular bystanders since the July election were reluctant to mobilize in the same numbers as they have in the past.
“Of course, there’s fewer people,” said empanada vendor Miguel Contrera as National Guard soldiers carrying riot shields buzzed by on motorcycles. “There’s fear.”
Those demonstrators that did show up blocked a main avenue in one opposition stronghold. Many were senior citizens and dressed in red, yellow and blue, answering Machado’s call to wear the colors of the Venezuelan flag. All repudiated Maduro and said they would recognize González as Venezuela’s legitimate president.
The deployment of security forces as well as pro-government armed groups known as “colectivos” to intimidate opponents betrays a deep insecurity on the part of Maduro, said Javier Corrales, a Latin America expert at Amherst College.
Since the elections, the government has arrested more than 2,000 people — including as many as 10 Americans and other foreigners — who it claims have been plotting to oust Maduro and sow chaos in the oil rich South American nation. This week alone, masked gunmen arrested a former presidential candidate, a prominent free speech activist and even González’s son-in-law as he was taking his young children to school.
“It’s an impressive show of force but it’s also a sign of weakness,” said Corrales, who co-authored this month an article, “How Maduro Stole Venezuela’s Vote,” in the Journal of Democracy.
“Maduro is safe in office,” said Corrales, “but he and his allies recognize they are moving forward with a big lie and have no other way to justify what they are doing except by relying on the military.”
Venezuela’s National Electoral Council, also stacked with government loyalists, declared Maduro the winner of the election. But unlike in previous contests, authorities did not provide any access to voting records or precinct-level results.
The opposition, however, collected tally sheets from 85% of electronic voting machines and posted them online. They showed that its candidate, González, had thrashed Maduro by a more than two-to-one margin. Experts from the United Nations and the Atlanta-based Carter Center, both invited by Maduro’s government to observe the election, have said the tally sheets published by the opposition are legitimate.
The U.S. and other governments have also recognized González as Venezuela’s president-elect. Even many of Maduro’s former leftist allies in Latin America plan to skip Friday’s swearing-in ceremony.
President Joe Biden, meeting González at the White House this week, praised the previously unknown retired diplomat for having “inspired millions.”
“The people of Venezuela deserve a peaceful transfer of power to the true winner of their presidential election,” Biden said following the meeting.
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