World
Here are the 5 elections set to shape Europe in 2024
An estimated two billion people in 50 countries worldwide could head to the polls in 2024, more than in any other year in history.
In June, the world’s biggest cross-border election will take place when more than 400 million people are expected to vote in the European elections.
But with high-stakes votes planned in populous nations such as the US, India and Indonesia, autocratic states including Belarus, Iran and Russia, and strategic allies Taiwan and the United Kingdom, elections within and beyond Europe’s borders have the potential to deeply affect the continent.
Potential government changes could decisively tip the geopolitical balance, affecting Western support to Ukraine, the conflict in the Middle East, trading relationships and the interconnected global economy.
The elections will also test the resilience of global democracies amid fears of increased democratic backsliding and hard-line authoritarian rule.
Euronews breaks down the 2024 elections set to shape Europe.
1. United States presidential election – 5 November
The spectre of Republican frontrunner Donald Trump’s return to the White House makes 2024 a potentially explosive year in global politics, and the stakes are high for Europe.
But Trump’s bid for president could be over before it starts. Colorado’s Supreme Court has ruled he cannot run in the state because of his actions ahead of the January 2021 Capitol Hill attack.
His comfortable lead over Republican rivals, however, means he could still win without standing in Colorado – but the ruling sets a strong precedent for similar lawsuits that could prohibit him from competing in other states.
A Republican takeover – whether Trumpian or not – could disrupt the West’s tightly aligned policy on Ukraine, as some wings of the party call for restricting military and financial aid to Kyiv.
It could also spell a return to trade disputes. The previous Republican administration under Trump slapped sweeping tariffs on European allies in an attempt to protect American producers. Both sides have agreed to a temporary truce, but Trump has vowed to introduce a 10% tariff on all foreign imports if he’s elected.
An administration change could also impact the ongoing talks to allow the EU to export critical minerals used to manufacture electric batteries to the US without being slapped with tariffs under the Inflation Reduction Act.
2. European elections – 6-9 June
In June, eligible voters in the EU’s 27 member countries will choose who represents them in the European Parliament, the bloc’s only democratically-elected institution.
A giant in terms of voter numbers, the election has suffered from feeble turnout and disinterest among voters who feel the EU is too far removed from their daily lives.
Projections of a surge in support for euroskeptic and far-right parties – buoyed by recent electoral successes in the Netherlands, Italy, Finland, and Sweden – are sowing doubts over the EU’s future path.
The latest polls put the far-right Identity and Democracy group at a record high of 87 seats in the 720-member hemicyle, meaning it could compete with the Liberals to become the parliament’s third-biggest party. This could put the far-right in a kingmaker role between the two main conservative and socialist groups who, although ideologically opposed, cooperate to ensure the functioning of the EU institutions in a ‘grand coalition.’
An economic downturn in major EU economies, brewing discontent in rural areas, climate change and migration are all set to be defining issues for the campaign.
The election will also decide who leads the next European Commission, with current President Ursula von der Leyen expected to run again, and trigger a major re-shuffle of the top EU jobs.
3. Portuguese legislative election – 10 March
A snap election was called by Portugal’s president in November, after socialist Prime Minister António Costa was forced to step down — but has remained in post in a caretaker capacity — amid a sprawling corruption probe.
The Socialist Party (PS) will hope its new leader Pedro Nuno Santos can cling to government in the Iberian country, which has been a bastion for the European left wing in recent years.
The polls suggest a tight race, with Nuno Santos’ Socialist Party and its conservative opposition, the Social Democratic Party, currently tied in the polls at around 27% of the vote.
But the left-wing stronghold could be the latest European country to see a far-right surge. Chega, a hard-right challenger party aiming to upset the traditional two-party system, is hot on the two mainstream parties’ heels at 17%.
Chega has been criticised for ‘poisoning’ the national debate with racist, anti-LGBTQ+, anti-immigrant, and anti-Roma rhetoric.
4. Belgian federal election – 9 June
Belgium will hold a double election in early June, with the European and federal elections taking place on the same day. The country of 11.6 million is known for its fractured politics and complex power-sharing arrangements, with no less than seven parties in its current coalition government.
The polls paint a highly familiar picture, with far-right Flemish independentists Vlaams Belang leading in Flanders, the Socialist Party ahead in Wallonia, while the liberals are tipped to win in Brussels.
With the current seven-party coalition on track to garner enough support to govern again, Prime Minister Alexander de Croo will want to use Belgium’s six-month presidency of the Council of the EU, which kicks off in January, to score political points at home.
But De Croo’s own Flemish conservative liberal party polls at historic lows on its home turf of Flanders. His decisive stance on the Gaza conflict and a government crisis following the recent terrorist attack in Brussels has led to a deflation in his support.
5. Austrian legislative election – expected by autumn
Austria’s election could prove to be one of the most critical as Europe struggles to withhold a far-right surge.
The far-right Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) is currently polling at an impressive 30% of the vote. Its support has climbed steadily after its fall from grace following the 2019 Ibiza scandal, when then-Vice Chancellor and FPÖ leader Heinz-Christian Strache was filmed eliciting political favours from Russian business contacts.
The party’s anti-lockdown policies during the Covid-19 pandemic, its criticism of the economic repercussions of EU sanctions on Russia and its populist policies have seen it slowly regain the faith of right-wing voters. It has also capitalised on infighting between centrist parties to consolidate its support.
If momentum continues, it is possible that the next Austrian chancellor could come from FPÖ ranks.
Other elections to look out for
Finland will elect its new President in January – David MacDougall has this preview.
Parliamentary elections will be held in Lithuania on 12 May, and Croatia by 22 September.
Ukraine’s presidential election is due to take place in the spring, but the law prohibits ballots under martial law. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has previously said holding wartime elections would be “utterly irresponsible.”
Russians will elect their next president on 17 March. But with independent media stifled and critics imprisoned or in exile, the path is clear for President Vladimir Putin to secure his next term.
Other bogus elections are scheduled in Iran on 1 March, and Belarus on 25 February.
General elections will take place in Indonesia on 14 February and in India between April and May. The Indonesian vote is set to be the world’s largest-ever single-day election with more than 200 million eligible voters.
Taiwan will head to the polls in presidential elections on 13 January.
The United Kingdom will hold general elections before the end of 2024, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak confirmed earlier this week.
World
Memes, Jokes and Cats: South Koreans Use Parody for Political Protest
As South Koreans took to the streets this month demanding the ousting of their president, some found an unexpected outlet to express their fury: jokes and satire.
They hoisted banners and flags with whimsical messages about cats, sea otters and food. They waved signs joking that President Yoon Suk Yeol’s declaration of martial law had forced them to leave the comfort of their beds. Pictures of the flags spread widely on social media.
The idea was to use humor to build solidarity against Mr. Yoon, who has vowed to fight his impeachment over his ill-fated martial law decree on Dec. 3. Some waved flags for nonexistent groups like the so-called Dumpling Association, a parody of real groups like labor unions, churches or student clubs.
“I just wanted to show that we were here as part of the people even if we aren’t actually a part of a civic group,” said Kim Sae-rim, 28, who waved the flag of the dumpling group at a recent protest she went to with friends. Some groups referred to other local favorites like pizza and red bean pastries.
Kwon Oh-hyouck, a veteran protester, said that he had first seen such flags emerge during demonstrations in 2016 and 2017 that ultimately resulted in the removal of President Park Geun-hye. Mr. Kwon said that satire was part of the Korean spirit of protest.
“People satirize serious situations, even when those in power come out with guns and knives,” he said. “They are not intimidated.”
In the past month, protesters have come up with a wide range of unorthodox groupings. Some were self-proclaimed homebodies. Still others came together as people who suffered from motion sickness.
Lee Kihoon, a professor of modern Korean history at Yonsei University in Seoul, said that he believed the flags at this month’s protests were an expression of the diversity of people galvanized by the president’s attempt to impose military rule.
“They’re trying to say: ‘Even for those of us who have nothing to do with political groups, this situation is unacceptable,’” he said. “‘I’m not a member of a party or anything, but this is outrageous.’”
Some held signs ridiculing Mr. Yoon, saying that he had separated them from their pets at home and disrupted their routine of watching Korean dramas. One group called itself a union of people running behind schedule, referring to the idea that the need to protest over martial law had forced them to reschedule their appointments.
And of course, there were animals, both real and fake.
South Koreans have shown that protests for serious causes — like the ousting of a president — can still have an inviting, optimistic and carnival-like atmosphere.
“I don’t know if the protesters realize it, but even though they’re angry, they haven’t gotten solemn, heavy or moralistic,” Mr. Lee said. “The flags have had an effect of softening and relaxing the tension.”
On the day that lawmakers voted to impeach Mr. Yoon, protesters who were K-pop fans brought lightsticks to rallies and danced to pop songs blasting from speakers. “Even though this is a serious day,” said Lee Jung-min, a 31-year-old fan of the band Big Bang, “we might as well enjoy it and keep spirits up.”
World
Two US Navy pilots shot down over Red Sea in apparent 'friendly fire' incident: US military
Two U.S. Navy pilots were shot down Sunday over the Red Sea in what appeared to be “friendly fire”, the U.S. military said.
The pilots were found alive after they ejected from their aircraft, with one suffering minor injuries.
The incident demonstrates the pervasive dangers in the Red Sea corridor amid ongoing attacks on shipping by the Iranian-backed Houthis, even as U.S. and European military coalitions patrol the area.
The U.S. military had conducted airstrikes targeting Yemen’s Houthi rebels at the time, but U.S. Central Command did not elaborate on what their mission was.
US NAVY SHIPS REPEL ATTACK FROM HOUTHIS IN GULF OF ADEN
The military said the aircraft shot down was a two-seat F/A-18 Super Hornet fighter jet assigned to the “Red Rippers” of Strike Fighter Squadron 11 out of Naval Air Station Oceana, Virginia.
The F/A-18 shot down had just flown off the deck of the USS Harry S. Truman aircraft carrier, according to Central Command. On Dec. 15, Central Command said the Truman had entered the Mideast, but did not specify that the carrier and its battle group were in the Red Sea.
“The guided missile cruiser USS Gettysburg, which is part of the USS Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group, mistakenly fired on and hit the F/A-18,” Central Command said in a statement.
It is unclear how the Gettysburg had mistaked an F/A-18 for an enemy aircraft or missile, particularly since ships in a battle group are linked by radar and radio communication.
US MILITARY CONDUCTS SUCCESSFUL AIRSTRIKES ON HOUTHI REBEL FORCES IN YEMEN
Central Command said that warships and aircraft earlier shot down multiple Houthi drones and an anti-ship cruise missile launched by the rebels. Fire from the Houthis has previously forced sailors to make decisions in seconds.
The U.S., since the Truman arrived, has ramped up its airstrikes targeting the Houthis and their missile fire into the Red Sea and the surrounding area. But an American warship group in the region may lead to additional attacks from the rebels.
On Saturday night and into Sunday, U.S. warplanes conducted airstrikes that shook Yemen’s capital of Sanaa, which the Houthis have held for a decade. Central Command said the strikes targeted a “missile storage facility” and a “command-and-control facility.”
Houthi-controlled media reported strikes in both Sanaa and around the port city of Hodeida, but did not disclose details on any casualties or damage.
The Houthis later acknowledged the aircraft being shot down in the Red Sea.
Since the start of the Israel-Hamas war in October of last year, the Houthis have targeted about 100 merchant vessels with missiles and drones.
The rebels say that they target ships linked to Israel, the U.S. or the U.K. to force an end to Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza, which began after Hamas’ surprise attack against Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, although many of the ships the rebels have attacked have little or no connection to the ongoing war, including some headed for Iran.
The Houthis also have increasingly targeted Israel with drones and missiles, leading to retaliatory airstrikes from Israeli forces.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
World
AfD party calls for big rally after Germany's Christmas market attack
Leading right-wing figures in Europe have also weighed in, criticising the German authorities for failing to take stronger preventative action.
German far-right political party Alternative for Germany (AfD) is calling for a major rally following the attack at a Christmas market in Magdeburg which left several people dead and hundreds injured.
At a memorial site for the victims, AfD co-leader Tino Chrupalla called on Interior Minister Nancy Faeser to take stronger action to ensure the safety of the German public.
“I am now demanding answers from the interior minister: What is actually going on here in this country? What is actually happening in this country? We put up with it week after week, we put up with attacks, we put up with murders of our own people. This has to be cleared up now, and these phrases from politicians that things can’t go on like this, which I’ve heard again today, are actually upsetting,” Chrupalla told the press at the site.
Experts are now raising concerns that far-right groups could exploit the tragedy to fuel their anti-immigration rhetoric after police identified the assailant as a doctor from Saudi Arabia.
“Magdeburg is in eastern Germany where the support for the AfD is quite high. So, in elections usually, they have in the region more than one-third of the votes. So about 30% of the votes in the city, not as much as in the rural areas around,” says Matthias Quent, Professor of Sociology at Magdeburg-Stendal University of Applied Sciences.
“The region in general, eastern Germany, is a hotspot of far-right mobilisations. And we are facing election campaigns until the federal elections in February. And so this is not just a critical time because of Christmas and the trust that gets destroyed by such an attack but, also, regarding questions of disinformation and polarisation and the spread of hate that will and could happen over these kinds of attacks now,” he added.
Leading right-wing figures in Europe have also weighed in, criticising the German authorities for failing to take stronger preventative action.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán drew a direct link between immigration and Friday’s deadly attack in Germany, telling a news conference on Saturday, “These phenomena have only existed in Europe since the start of the migration crisis. So there is no doubt that there is a link between the changed world in Western Europe, the migration that flows there, especially illegal migration and terrorist acts.”
However, Quent explains that this particular case becomes more complex as further details emerge on the background of the attacker.
Investigators have found that the perpetrator had tried to build connections to far-right organisations in Germany and the UK, including Germany’s far-right AfD party as well as Tommy Robinson, the founder of the far-right English Defence League.
“So it’s a very complicated case we are facing here. And it’s not an Islamist attack. It’s quite sure, a kind of anti-Islam. More like far-right attacks than any other, if you want to search a kind of context on the political radar,” Quent says.
Identified by local media as 50-year-old Taleb A., a psychiatry and psychotherapy specialist, authorities said he had been living in Germany for two decades.
Taleb’s alleged X account is filled with tweets and retweets focusing on anti-Islam themes and criticism of the religion while sharing congratulatory notes to Muslims who left the faith.
He also described himself as a former Muslim.
He was critical of German authorities, saying they had failed to do enough to combat the “Islamism of Europe.”
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