World
After Strikes and COVID, Global Production Will See Cautious Uptick in 2024
After six months of strike-related stoppages, global production is set to resume in a massive way, as producers, execs and day-to-day facilitators anticipate an early 2024 surge in production that could very well last throughout the calendar year. Only (and tellingly) — despite such evident and abundant relief — all of those facilitators are also quite measured in their optimism.
“I keep telling [my members] not to expect that same post-COVID insanity,” says International Location Managers Guild president John Rakich. “I don’t think we’re going to see that insane [post-lockdown stretch] of two years straight of just back to back work. That might be the case for a few months [as we deal with the bottleneck of productions ready to shoot] but ultimately this business is cyclical, and I want our members to plan accordingly.”
Given that cyclical nature, and given a foreseen contraction in full-season streaming commissions, Rakich anticipates an eventual return to a more seasonal production cycle buoyed by more features than in previous years, and once again influenced by labor uncertainty — especially once the IATSE deal opens for negotiation next spring.
Indeed, with two strikes now resolved, the prospect of a third has already galvanized major institutional players. “A lot of the year-long projects are already looking elsewhere,” Rakich explains. “Right now, many studio productions are already casting their eyes to [non-IATSE affected industries] in Canada, the U.K. or Europe for 2024, looking to move their productions away just in case. They can’t do another year of not working.”
Fueled in large part by local hedge-fund investment, media production hubs continue to flourish across Canada (“That’s always a good sign, because hedge funds don’t go into places without a long-term game,” says Rakich), while production industries across the pond continue to consolidate recent gains. Per a November 2023 report published by the European Audiovisual Observatory, the U.K. and Spain have emerged as dominant hot spots, with each welcoming 39 streaming fiction titles in 2022.
Tacking on features, folding in the country’s newly bolstered Spain AVS Hub program and holding up the Iberian land’s scenic landscapes against a geopolitical climate that grows all the more challenging, Spain in particular stands to benefit from the nascent production swell.
Alongside a globally competitive tax break, which offers up to €20 million ($21.4 million) per feature and $10.7 million per TV episode, Spain has also launched an international location showcase, promoting its beaches and mountaintops and arid plains and Old World architecture across the global stage. What’s more local authorities believe the promise of chameleon-like locations married with stability (and high quality of life) will make for a compelling argument to draw productions.
“I think our main focus now is our capacity to be almost everywhere in the world, all in one country,” says outgoing Spain Film Commission general manager Teresa Azcona.
Netflix’s “The Crown” has been a repeat visitor, using Spanish locations to stand in for Australia, Italy and Greece, and tasking Barcelona to play Paris for this upcoming season’s fateful trip to France by Princess Diana, while J.A. Bayona’s “Society of the Snow” re-created the Andean mountaintops in the director’s native Spain.
But given the recent heartbreaking (and risk advisor shaking) developments in the Middle East, the Spanish desert will next stand to benefit. Last year, the dunes outside of Alicante and Zaragoza played Afghanistan for “Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant,” while next year such similar landscapes will play last-minute host to another U.S.-backed unnamed series that initially sought to shoot in Morocco before subsequently opting for Europe.
“Modern geopolitics are now [guiding] certain productions,” says John Rakich. “And that has made Spain very popular.”
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Putin signs revised doctrine lowering threshold for nuclear response if Russia is attacked
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a revised nuclear doctrine on Tuesday stating that any attack on Russia supported by a country with nuclear power could be grounds for a nuclear response.
Putin signed the new policy on the 1,000th day of the war with Ukraine and the day after President Biden authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied longer-range missiles to strike inside Russia.
The doctrine also states that Russia could respond to aggression against its ally Belarus with nuclear weapons, The Associated Press reported.
Though the doctrine doesn’t specify that Russia will definitely respond to such attacks with nuclear weapons, it does mention the “uncertainty of scale, time and place of possible use of nuclear deterrent” as key principles of deterrence.
BIDEN AUTHORIZES UKRAINE TO USE US LONG-RANGE MISSILES TO STRIKE INSIDE RUSSIA
When asked if the updated doctrine comes in response to Biden’s decision to ease restrictions on how Ukraine can strike Russia, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told the AP that the doctrine was published “in a timely manner.”
Peskov also said Putin told the government to update it earlier this year so that it’s “in line with the current situation” – the Russian president led a meeting in September to discuss these proposed revisions to the doctrine.
TRUMP ALLIES WARN BIDEN RISKING ‘WORLD WAR III’ BY AUTHORIZING LONG-RANGE MISSILES FOR UKRAINE
Revealed in September, the doctrine now officially states that an attack on Russia by a nonnuclear power with the “participation or support of a nuclear power” will be seen as a “joint attack on the Russian Federation.”
It also contains a broader range of conditions that would trigger the use of nuclear weapons, noting that they could be used in response to an air attack involving ballistic and cruise missiles, aircraft, drones and other flying vehicles.
The previous document threatened the use of Russia’s arsenal if “reliable information is received about the launch of ballistic missiles targeting the territory of Russia or its allies.”
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
World
Damage to underwater cables was 'sabotage', German minister says
Two underwater fibre-optic communications cables running between Finland and Germany were discovered cut on Monday, an incident both countries said was under investigation.
German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius has said that damage done to two underwater data transmission cables running between Germany and Finland was deliberate.
“No one believes that these cables were accidentally cut,” Pistorius said in remarks made on the sidelines of a meeting of EU defence ministers in Brussels.
“We also have to assume, without knowing it yet, that it is sabotage,” he declared, adding that neither Germany nor Finland yet knows who was responsible for damage.
Germany and Finland announced on Monday that they had discovered a severed fibre-optic undersea data cable between the two countries, and that an investigation into the incident is underway.
In a joint statement, they said they did not know who was responsible for the damage, but that the incident came at a time when “our European security is not only under threat from Russia‘s war of aggression against Ukraine, but also from hybrid warfare by malicious actors”.
Pistorius also pointed to so-called “hybrid actors” as being potentially responsible for the damage.
“We have to state, without knowing specifically who it came from, that it is a ‘hybrid’ action” Pistorius said — implying that Russia, often considered responsible for acts of “hybrid warfare”, could be at least in part to blame for the incident.
Both Germany and Finland said that it was important that “critical infrastructure” such as data cables can be safeguarded.
“The fact that such an incident immediately raises suspicions of intentional damage speaks volumes about the volatility of our times,” the two countries said in their joint statement.
Finnish state-controlled data services provider Cinia said the damage to the data cable, which runs almost 1,2000 kilometres from the Finnish capital Helsinki to the German port of Rostock, was detected on Monday.
The incident is not the first to involve damage to underwater infrastructure in the Baltic Sea. On Sunday morning, a 218-kilometre internet link running between Lithuania and Swedish island of Gotland also lost service, according to a Swedish telecommunications company.
In 2022, Nord Stream gas pipelines under the Baltic Sea exploded, leading to several conspiracy theories around who could be responsible for the attack. Unconfirmed rumours have variously said that the US, Ukraine and Russia could have all played a role.
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