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San Francisco Giants 2024 season preview: Projected lineup, rotation and whether there’s ever enough pitching

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San Francisco Giants 2024 season preview: Projected lineup, rotation and whether there’s ever enough pitching


The San Francisco Giants have slipped from 107 wins in 2021 to 81 in 2022 to 79 last season. In an attempt to arrest this pattern of decline, lead decision-maker Farhan Zaidi has positioned the Giants as one of the most active teams of the winter. To improve his club’s chances of getting back in the playoffs — likely via wild-card berth given that they share division with the Dodgers — Zaidi has signed the likes of Jung Hoo Lee, Matt Chapman, Jorge Soler, Jordan Hicks, and, just this week, Blake Snell, among others. As well, the Giants swung a trade for Robbie Ray and replaced Gabe Kapler in the dugout with new manager Bob Melvin. That’s a lot of churn and investment, and there’s mounting pressure for those moves to pay off and, yes, yield a postseason berth. 

Will that happen? A deeper dive into the current state of the 2024 Giants may shed some light. Let’s undertake that right now. 

Win total projection, odds

  • 2023 record: 79-83 (fourth in NL West)
  • 2024 SportsLine win total over/under: 82.5 
  • World Series odds (via SportsLine): +6000

Projected lineup

  1. Jung Hoo Lee, CF
  2. Thairo Estrada, 2B
  3. LaMonte Wade Jr., 1B
  4. Jorge Soler, DH
  5. Michael Conforto, LF
  6. Matt Chapman, 3B
  7. Mike Yastrzemski, RF
  8. Patrick Bailey, C
  9. Marco Luciano, SS

Last season, the Giants ranked 24th in MLB in runs scored and 26th in OPS. That obviously needs to improve, and the hope for the Giants is that Lee gives them a much-needed dose of OBP and contact at the top of the lineup — more on that in a moment. Meantime, Soler and Chapman should improve the Giants’ problems versus lefties and in terms of power. It’s entirely possible that veteran NRI Nick Ahmed emerges as the starting shortstop, at least to start the season. 

Projected rotation

  1. Logan Webb, RHP
  2. Blake Snell, LHP
  3. Kyle Harrison, LHP
  4. Jordan Hicks, RHP
  5. Keaton Winn, RHP

The San Fran rotation in 2023 placed 10th in MLB with an ERA of 4.12. That rotation also ranked an impressive fourth in the majors with a K/BB ratio of 3.84. Notable losses from last year include Anthony DeSclafani, Sean Manaea, Alex Wood, and Jakob Junis. 

Projected bullpen

  • Closer: RHP Camilo Doval
  • Setup: RHP Tyler Rogers, LHP Taylor Rogers, RHP Luke Jackson
  • Middle: RHP Ryan Walker, LHP Juan Sanchez
  • Long: RHP Daulton Jefferies

Last year’s pen was 14th in MLB with a relief ERA of 3.92 and fourth with a relief K/BB ratio of 3.03. Like all teams, there’s been a substantial level of bullpen turnover. There’s really no call for such details, though, just as there’s no call for further discussion of the Giants’ bullpen. It will probably be fine, much like you. 

Is there enough starting pitching?

Logan Webb is a certifiable ace at the front end, and the late signing of reigning Cy Young winner Blake Snell gives them a true co-ace. But what about the remainder of the Giants’ rotation for 2024? As noted, Manaea, Wood, Junis, and DeSclafani are gone, and they were all varying degrees of useful last season across a combined 44 starts. Hicks is new to the fold, and he’s got one of the biggest fastballs (sinker, actually) in the game today. However, Hicks is primarily a reliever, and the only time he tried his hand at starting the results over eight starts for the Cardinals in 2022 were hardly encouraging. It’s difficult to imagine Hicks this season will be able to handle a starter’s workload while also being effective. 

Elsewhere, Robbie Ray probably won’t be available until the second half of the season as he continues his recovery from Tommy John surgery. Right-hander Tristan Beck recently underwent vascular surgery after being diagnosed with an aneurysm in his upper arm. He’s still weeks from even throwing, and he doesn’t yet have a timetable for his return. Alex Cobb is still recovering from offseason hip surgery, and Keaton Winn is well behind schedule after suffering elbow discomfort early in spring training. It should be apparent that the Giants have serious depth concerns, mostly because of all those injuries.

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Will Lee give the Giants what they need at the top of the order?

The Giants’ priciest move of the offseason was the six-year, $113 million pact they forged with Korean outfielder Jung Hoo Lee. Lee, to state the obvious, is vital to the Giants’ hopes in 2024 and beyond. He’ll man the critical position of center, and the hope is that he’ll give San Fran on-base skills as the leadoff hitter. Lee has good bat-to-ball skills and plate discipline, but the question is how his power — or lack thereof — will translate in making the leap from KBO to MLB. His maximum exit velocity makes him a peer of Andrew Benintendi and Robbie Grossman, and if you exclude his 23-homer effort in 2022, Lee averaged just seven home runs per season in his other six years in the KBO. Generally speaking, hitters do not add power when jumping from the KBO to MLB. This isn’t to say that the Giants need Lee to be a leading home run threat at the No. 1 spot, but they do need him to drive the ball enough to be a viable hitter. The guess here is that Lee will pass muster, but it’s a bit of an unknown going into 2024. 

What would make for a successful season?

Before he inked an extension in late October through the 2026 season, Zaidi was presumed to be under some degree of pressure following a second-straight middling campaign and repeated failures to land a marquee free agent. So, no, Zaidi’s job very likely doesn’t hinge upon getting the Giants back to the postseason this year, but there does seem to be a level of impatience with regard to their on-field results. As such, the Giants need to be part of the 2024 playoff fray in order for this season to be a success. As noted above, there’s almost no chance that they’ll win the NL West, not with the juggernaut Dodgers around. The expanded 12-team playoff field means there’s now a third wild-card spot in each league, so that lowers the bar. Still, the Diamondbacks, Padres, Phillies, one or more NL Central teams, and possibly even the Mets figure to have realistic designs on a wild-card spot, which means it’s probably going to be a competitive jumble for those three spots. It’ll be a challenge for the Giants, but they need to make it happen. 





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San Francisco, CA

San Francisco Giants Ace Viewed as Yankees Trade Candidate

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San Francisco Giants Ace Viewed as Yankees Trade Candidate


The biggest offseason move from the San Francisco Giants this year hasn’t panned out just yet. Blake Snell, the National League Cy Young Award winner in the 2023 season, has pitched in three games so far, allowing 15 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings. His 11.57 ERA is as bad as it’s ever been for the left-hander.

Snell hit the IL with an adductor strain, which could’ve been playing a factor as he couldn’t get it going on the bump. At the very least, this should allow the 31-year-old to have a rehab start, which it was clear he needed, despite saying he didn’t believe he did.

The Giants, currently 13-15, are just 4.5 games out of the National League West. If they can play the way they were expected to coming into the season when Snell returns, this is a team that has a chance to make the postseason and even win the division if everything goes right.

In a scenario where that doesn’t happen, Snell could be a potential trade candidate.

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Adam Weinrib of YanksGoYard listed options for the New York Yankees after Jesus Luzardo went down with an injury, naming Snell as an option for the Yankees.

There was some interest from New York before he landed in San Francisco and if they believe he can help them at the deadline, it wouldn’t be a surprising outcome. The Yankees also have a top farm system, so trading with them could intrigue the Giants.

Snell would be back in the AL East, a division many consider the best in baseball outside of the NL West.

If Snell comes back and doesn’t look how he does, getting off that contract could be the wise thing to do from the front office’s perspective. Moving him would depend on many factors, but he needs to start being himself to warrant keeping him around if a postseason bid is out of reach by July.



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It has been 1 year since Banko Brown was fatally shot by a SF Walgreens security guard

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It has been 1 year since Banko Brown was fatally shot by a SF Walgreens security guard


SAN FRANCISCO (KGO) — His death sparked protests and vigils but no criminal charges.

Saturday marked one year since a security guard shot and killed Banko Brown at a Walgreens in San Francisco.

“Banko was the type of person to give you the shirt off his own back. That’s how much he thought about others. Even when he was struggling himself,” said Julia Arroyo, executive director of the Young Women’s Freedom Center, where Brown was coming into his own — fighting for transgender rights.

Family of Banko Brown sues Walgreens, security company and guard for wrongful death, attorney says

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“He tried on positions at the center. He organized a talk about trans housing, particularly about trans-masculine folks. He taught us a lot,” Arroyo said.

The anger is still felt over what played out in that Walgreens — a guard suspected the 24-year-old of shoplifting. In the scuffle, he shot Brown, later saying he felt his life was threatened.

“One year out, that anger is just coming from that. There really isn’t justice for Banko right now in this moment,” Arroyo said.

The San Francisco District Attorney’s office didn’t charge the guard with Brown’s killing, saying there was clear evidence it was self-defense.

Outburst disrupts memorial service for Banko Brown in San Francisco

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“A year after Banko Brown, sadly things have not changed. They’ve only gotten harder and harder,” said Gael Lala-Chávez, executive director of LYRIC, a center in San Francisco serving LGBTQ+ Youth.

They say the attacks on transgender rights across the nation are taking a toll.

“I’ve seen the steady increase in youths coming from other conservative areas in California. Even other conservative areas here in the Bay Area, fleeing, obviously — all over the country,” Lala-Chávez said.

San Francisco is still serving as a beacon of hope.

Banko Brown Death: Community reacts to SF DA’s decision not to file charges against Walgreens guard

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“In the last year alone, Tara, we’ve seen about — I would say — about 45% of our youth experiencing homelessness are coming from out of the state, out of the country,” Lala-Chávez said.

But the increasing demand for services are strapping nonprofits desperate for more resources.

“It’s really difficult times right now. We honestly don’t know what to do. The only thing I do know is our doors will remain open. They have to for young people similar to Banko Brown,” Lala-Chávez said.

If you’re on the ABC7 News app, click here to watch live

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Grading every pick in 49ers' 2024 NFL draft class

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Grading every pick in 49ers' 2024 NFL draft class


The 49ers wound up picking eight times in the 2024 NFL draft, and their selections helped solidify the idea that they’d pursue both immediate and long-term help for their roster.

Most of their picks fall in a similar bucket where they could certainly contribute right away, but it’s easier to see paths to playing time down the road. We issued grades for all of the picks, which we’ll get to momentarily, but it’s important to note these grades have more to do with the general philosophy of the pick and how a player at a given position fits with the roster. Of course, it comes with some projection. That’s part of the whole draft process. However, we’re neither propping up the players as successes nor condemning them as failures based on our grades.

Let’s dive in:

Wide receiver wasn’t the biggest need for the 49ers, but it was certainly something they needed to address in this year’s draft. Pearsall didn’t have the highest ceiling of the WRs left at the 31st pick, but there aren’t many holes to poke in his game. He’s a quality route runner and a good athlete who could be a really good WR2.

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Grade: B

This pick was a bit of a head-scratcher given how the 49ers haven’t really prioritized cornerback in the draft before this year. Green’s measurables aren’t outstanding, but the fact he shut down players like LSU WR Malik Nabers (No. 6 overall pick in the 2024 draft) and posted 14 pass breakups without elite size or athleticism is a testament to how good he is in coverage. It remains to be seen whether his aggressive style can come without too many flags. He’ll also have to prove he can hang with NFL athletes. His upside projects him as a very good starting CB in the NFL though and he’ll have an inside track to a starting job in Year 1.

Grade: B

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The 49ers needed to add offensive line help. They found a versatile player like Puni via trade up in the third round, and really got the type of player they would’ve gotten had they reached in Rounds 1 or 2. Instead they stayed patient and identified a good tackle prospect who will likely kick to guard in the pros. He started a full season at left guard and left tackle for the Jayhawks, and he should get opportunities to push for a starting job at both right guard and right tackle. At worst he’s a developmental depth piece with experience at multiple positions.

Grade: B+

This is a really fun pick for the 49ers in part because they won’t need Mustapha to start in Year 1. He’s a well-built strong safety who flies downhill to lay the lumber as a tackler. It’s not often ball carriers get away from him. There’ll be some feeling out as far as what roles he can fill in San Francisco’s secondary, but he projects as a long-term starter for them alongside Ji’Ayir Brown. In Year 1 he should be a dynamite special teams contributor.

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The grade here gets docked some because San Francisco sent two fifth-round picks to the Jets to jump up to No. 129 overall. There’s a question mark about the positional value as well given how much success the 49ers have had finding RBs later on Day 3 or in undrafted free agency. Guerendo can flat out play though. He brings electric speed and really good balance through contact. His college production was pretty limited though and he started only one game because of three separate injuries in three consecutive years when he was at Wisconsin. The ceiling for Guerendo is very high, but it’s uncertain exactly what his role will be in a crowded backfield which is a problem when the club traded up to snag him.

Grade: C+

Another wide receiver was an interesting move for the 49ers, and it indicates they’re not super confident in a lot of their receiver depth long-term. Jauan Jennings’ future is uncertain since he could head to unrestricted free agency next offseason, and neither Danny Gray nor Ronnie Bell are slam dunks to make the roster. Cowing can definitely play and his speed is evident when he pulls away from defenders. His 5-8, 168-pound frame may limit him to slot work in the NFL though. He worked a lot on underneath routes for both UTEP and Arizona which may help him in his quest for snaps. At least for now though he has a ton of players in front of him and the 4th-round pick may not have a ton of avenues for playing time if Jennings winds up staying long-term.

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This late-round choice feels a tick redundant with the Puni pick back in Round 3. Not that a team can ever have too many offensive linemen, but Kingston doesn’t really have a natural position after starting at four of five spots in college. That versatility is good, to be sure, but he’ll likely stick as an interior offensive lineman long-term. An offensive tackle would’ve been a better spot to take a flier on. Perhaps the 49ers’ coaching staff believes he has starting-caliber upside.

Grade: C-

This was a nice way to end a solid draft for the 49ers. Bethune could contribute on special teams right away as a reserve LB, or he could land on the practice squad as a developmental piece for a 49ers LB room that could undergo some changes in the next couple of seasons.

Grade: B

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