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College football bowl projections: Oregon-Michigan Rose Bowl in CFP semis

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College football bowl projections: Oregon-Michigan Rose Bowl in CFP semis


Sign up for the Until Saturday newsletter | Jayna Bardahl and The Athletic’s college football staff deliver expert analysis on the biggest CFB stories five days per week. Get it sent to your inbox.


Could a one-loss Oregon jump an undefeated Florida State in the College Football Playoff pairings? That’s what we’re projecting in our latest bowl predictions.

With FSU quarterback Jordan Travis losing his season to a gruesome injury Saturday, the Ducks have a shot at leapfrogging the Seminoles come Selection Sunday. As for the other two spots, there’s no change with Georgia No. 1 and Michigan No. 2.

One interesting anecdote involves the Orange Bowl. It will select the highest-ranked non-champion from the Big Ten and SEC. Right now, that’s the Michigan-Ohio State loser. What’s unfortunate is it prevents a potential Ohio State-Alabama game. Also, the highest-ranked Group of 5 champion will play in either the Peach or Fiesta bowl.

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One mid-tier game to watch: Wisconsin versus Auburn in the Music City Bowl.

One note: If the Big Ten competes in the Orange Bowl, then it forfeits its ReliaQuest Bowl spot to the ACC/Notre Dame.

With the lack of 6-6 qualifiers, it means both James Madison and Jacksonville State earn a bowl bid despite their transitional year from the FCS ranks. There is one projected 5-7 team to make it based on the highest APR score: Mississippi State.

Friendly reminder: Most bowls do not have to choose in order of conference standings. When you see Rutgers listed as “Big Ten No. 5,” it does not mean that we think the Scarlet Knights are the Big Ten’s fifth-place team, but rather that the Pinstripe Bowl uses its No. 5 pick to select them.

Another note: If ESPN is listed after a team, that means ESPN Events has the selection for that bowl game. ESPN Events owns and operates 18 bowls and picks from a pool of mostly Group of 5 teams.

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The fine print:

*Replacement for a conference without enough eligible teams
**Projected 5-7 team

New Year’s Six

Bowl Date Teams Location Time

Cotton

Dec. 29

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Texas (Big 12) vs. Penn State (at-large)

Arlington, Texas

8 p.m.

Peach

Dec. 30

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Missouri (at-large) vs. SMU (at-large)

Atlanta

Noon

Orange

Dec. 30

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Louisville (ACC) vs. Ohio State (SEC/B1G/ND)

Miami

4 p.m.

Fiesta

Jan. 1

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Washington (at-large) vs. Alabama (at-large)

Glendale, Ariz.

1 p.m.

Rose

Jan. 1

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No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 Oregon

Pasadena, Calif.

5 p.m.

Sugar

Jan. 1

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No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Florida State

New Orleans

8:45 p.m.

Remaining Bowls

Bowl Date Team Team

Independence

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Dec. 16

Iowa State (Big 12 No. 7)

Texas State* (Pac-12 7)

LA Bowl

Dec. 16

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UCLA (Pac-12 6)

UNLV (MWC 1)

New Mexico

Dec. 16

Wyoming (MWC)

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New Mexico State (ESPN)

Cure

Dec. 16

USF (ESPN)

Coastal Carolina (ESPN)

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New Orleans

Dec. 16

Louisiana (Sun Belt)

Jacksonville St. (C-USA)

Myrtle Beach

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Dec. 16

James Madison (ESPN)

Ohio (ESPN)

Famous Toastery

Dec. 18

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Applachian State (ESPN)

Western Kentucky (ESPN)

Frisco

Dec. 19

Arkansas State (ESPN)

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Colorado State (ESPN)

Boca Raton

Dec. 21

Troy (ESPN)

Toledo (ESPN)

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Gasparilla

Dec. 22

UCF (ESPN)

Georgia Tech (ACC/SEC)

Hawaii

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Dec. 23

Boise State (MWC)

Rice (AAC)

Vegas

Dec. 23

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Utah (Pac-12 3)

Maryland (Big Ten 3)

68 Ventures

Dec. 23

South Alabama (Sun Belt)

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NIU (MAC)

Idaho Potato

Dec. 23

Utah State (MWC)

Georgia Southern (ESPN)

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Armed Forces

Dec. 23

Texas Tech (Big 12 No. 8)

Air Force (ESPN)

Birmingham

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Dec. 23

Tulane (ESPN)

Liberty* (SEC 9)

Camellia

Dec. 23

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Bowling Green (ESPN)

Old Dominion (ESPN)

Guaranteed Rate

Dec. 26

Northwestern (Big Ten 6)

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Kansas (Big 12 6)

First Responder

Dec. 26

San Jose State (ESPN)

Georgia State (ESPN)

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Quick Lane

Dec. 26

Illinois (Big Ten 7)

Eastern Michigan (MAC)

Texas

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Dec. 27

Oklahoma State (Big 12 4)

Texas A&M (SEC 3-8)

Holiday

Dec. 27

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Clemson (ACC 3-5)

Oregon State (Pac-12 4)

Duke’s Mayo

Dec. 27

Kentucky (SEC 3-8)

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Duke (ACC 6-8)

Military

Dec. 27

UTSA (AAC)

Virginia Tech (ACC 9)

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Alamo

Dec. 28

Oklahoma (Big 12 2)

Arizona (Pac-12 2)

Pop Tarts

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Dec. 28

Kansas State (Big 12 3)

NC State (ACC 3-5)

Pinstripe

Dec. 28

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Rutgers (Big Ten 5)

Boston College (ACC 6-8)

Fenway

Dec. 28

Syracuse (ACC 10)

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Mississippi State** (AAC)

Liberty

Dec. 29

West Virginia (Big 12 5)

Memphis* (SEC 3-8)

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Sun

Dec. 29

Miami (ACC 6-8)

USC (Pac-12 5)

Gator

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Dec. 29

North Carolina (ACC 3-5)

Tennessee (SEC 3-8)

Arizona

Dec. 30

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Fresno State (MWC)

Miami of Ohio (MAC)

Music City

Dec. 30

Wisconsin (Big Ten 4)

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Auburn (SEC 3-8)

Citrus

Jan. 1

Iowa (Big Ten No. 2)

Ole Miss (SEC No. 2)

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ReliaQuest

Jan. 1

Notre Dame (ACC No. 2)

LSU (SEC 3-8)

(Photo: Ric Tapia / Getty Images)

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Oregon

Strong winds knock out power to thousands on Oregon coast

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Strong winds knock out power to thousands on Oregon coast


CANNON BEACH, Ore. (KPTV) – Strong winds overnight caused power outages throughout northwest Oregon and southwest Washington.

On Tuesday, the National Weather Service issued a High Wind Warning along the Oregon coastline and a Wind Advisory in the I-5 corridor. The winds began to calm by 4 a.m. Wednesday.

SHARE YOUR STORM PHOTOS HERE

As of 6:35 a.m., Pacific Power was reporting about 16,632 customers without power from Cannon Beach to Astoria. About 235 customers were without power in the Lincoln City area.

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Pacific Power confirmed the outages were due to storm damage. Crews are working to make repairs and restore service.

The Jewell School District, the Neah-Kah-Nie School District and the Warrenton-Hammond School District will all be starting on a two-hour delay due to power outages on the coast.

SEE ALSO:

This cold, rainy weather in the Portland metro is a reminder that the winter storm season is nearly here.

Portland General Electric was reporting about 1,860 customers without power throughout their service area Wednesday morning.

Due to power outages, the Colton School District in Clackamas County is starting three hours late Wednesday.

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Welches School (K-8) and Firwood Elementary in the Oregon Trail School District will be closed due to no power.

Vancouver police responded to a downed tree on Northwest Lincoln Avenue between Northwest 59th Street and Northwest 62nd Street. Crews quickly cleaned up the debris and reopened the roadway.

Clark PUD was reporting about 667 customers were without power just before 7 a.m.

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View the latest weather forecast from the FOX 12 Weather team here.





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Oregon

Oregon women’s basketball crushes Air Force

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Oregon women’s basketball crushes Air Force


It was a one-sided affair Tuesday night as the Oregon Ducks routed Air Force 98-36 in a nonconference women’s basketball matchup in Eugene.

Phillipina Kyei scored 14 points in 18 minutes, and Nani Falatea and Sarah Rambus added 11 points each for the Ducks (8-3) as 4,551 watched at Matthew Knight Arena.

Oregon got contributions from up and down the roster, with 10 players scoring at least eight points and no one needing to play more than Deja Kelly’s 22 minutes. Kelly finished with eight points, eight rebounds and four assists. Elisa Mevius added eight points and eight assists.

The Ducks, who entered having lost three of their past four games, handed the Falcons (9-2) their second loss of the season and first since Air Force fell 57-51 to Army in overtime on Nov. 15.

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Oregon raced to a 22-9 lead by the end of the first quarter and then matched that score in the second quarter for a 44-18 halftime lead. The Ducks continued to pull away in the second half, steadily increasing their lead the rest of the way. A 21-0 run in the fourth quarter extended Oregon’s lead to 65 before the Falcons trimmed it to a 62-point final margin.

The Ducks shot 58.9% from the field and held Air Force to 23.2% shooting. Oregon scored 68 points in the paint, 56 points on layups and 32 points off of turnovers. The Ducks also had a 23-0 advantage in fast-break points and racked up 31 assists compared with seven for the Falcons.

— Joel Odom



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Meteorologists warn heavy rain, snow, wind could impact Oregon Christmas week

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Meteorologists warn heavy rain, snow, wind could impact Oregon Christmas week


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A long-range forecast says heavy rain, high-elevation snow and strong winds could impact Oregon and the Pacific Northwest during the busy Christmas travel period.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issued a “hazards risk” for the Dec. 24 to 28 period that includes potential impacts for anyone traveling.

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“Travel conditions may be negatively impacted by unsettled weather,” NOAA said in a statement.

The concern is fueled by forecasts for a low pressure system that could develop into an atmospheric river or “bomb cyclone.”

Prepare for rainy, windy Christmas travel in Oregon

National Weather Service meteorologist Noah Alviz said the key message is to be prepared and watch the forecast before hitting the road around Christmas.

“Right now there is moderate confidence,” or about 40-60% chance of a major impact, Alviz said. “The key point to take home is that if you’re on the Oregon Coast or Coast Range, to prepare for possible flooding, and if you’re traveling over the Cascades, to prepare for winter weather.”

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Bomb cyclone or atmospheric river could create flooding in Pacific Northwest

Days to watch for heavy precipitation in the Northwest — and possible mountain snow — include Dec. 24 and Dec. 25-28, NOAA said.

In Oregon, long-range forecasts are trending toward the weather being warmer than normal, which could indicate a greater threat for flooding than snow, Alviz said.

“We’re into a wet pattern, with rivers gradually rising, so if we end up with another low-pressure system, bomb cyclone or atmospheric river, that could lead to some flooding,” he said. “But people will just have to stay turned on that and make sure to keep an eye out.”

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NOAA echoed that sentiment.

“Please stay tuned to shorter-term forecasts, as specific impacts remain unclear for any given location at this extended forecast range,” the alert said.

Zach Urness has been an outdoors reporter in Oregon for 16 years and is host of the Explore Oregon Podcast. To support his work, subscribe to the Statesman Journal. He can be reached at zurness@StatesmanJournal.com or (503) 399-6801. Find him on Twitter at @ZachsORoutdoors.



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