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St. John’s vs. New Mexico prediction: College basketball odds, picks

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St. John’s vs. New Mexico prediction: College basketball odds, picks


St. John’s is 3-0 on the year with three 20-plus point wins.

Of course, the Johnnies haven’t played anybody, overwhelming Fordham, Quinnipiac and Wagner.

New Mexico will be Rick Pitino and Co.’s toughest test yet.

The Lobos have already posted a KenPom top-25 win after beating UCLA last Friday in Las Vegas.

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Donovan Dent and Nelly Junior Joseph are a formidable inside-out duo. 

These are two similar squads, and I think the Lobos have a fighting chance of keeping it close for 40 minutes.

New Mexico vs. St. John’s odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
New Mexico +8.5 (-108) +290 Over 161.5 (-114)
St. John’s -8.5 (-112) -375 Under 161.5 (-106)
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

New Mexico vs. St. John’s prediction

(12 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1)

Both squads run up-tempo, transition-reliant offenses centered around their backcourts. The Lobos and Johnnies will put the ball in their guards’ hands and let them run the open court for 40 minutes. 

Both squads have talented frontcourt pieces but limited frontcourt depth. They are also limited in the shooting and spacing departments, often creating in the mid-range. 

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These are two above-average transition defenses, so while I expect plenty of transition attempts, both might find trouble scoring efficiently. 

But there are a few matchup wrinkles that favor the Lobos. 

In theory, Coach Pitino’s matchup zone defense should neutralize ball-screen actions. 

But in practice, the Johnnies’ ball-screen coverage has been more than sketchy. They ranked 332nd nationally in pick-and-roll PPP allowed last season (.88) and allowed opponents to run the set at a well-above-average rate.

That doesn’t bode well for this matchup, given the Lobos run almost exclusively ball-screen sets with Dent, Junior Joseph and Mustapha Amzil in the half-court. 

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Additionally, I’m impressed with New Mexico’s rim pressure in the early season. The Lobos are averaging 28 at-the-rim field-goal attempts per game (98th percentile). That will undoubtedly result in higher-efficiency shots than St. John’s mid-range-reliant attack.

The Johnnies ranked 325th nationally in Rim-and-3 rate last season, and their most significant offseason addition is former Seton Hall guard Kadary Richmond, a talented two-way player who spends too much time pedaling in the middle of the floor. 

St. John’s guard Kadary Richmond (1) looks to pass around Wagner guard Javier Ezquerra during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2024, in New York. AP

I’m also uncertain how the Red Storm’s offense will look without Joel Soriano.

Sunday will be their first true test without their former star center. 

He grabbed a million offensive rebounds last year, masking a shooting-deficient roster by creating consistent second-chance offense.

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This year’s roster doesn’t have an adequate replacement, especially if they keep playing the 6-foot-7 RJ Luis at the four. 

That gets to a more overarching point about roster continuity.

Teams with more returning production tend to outperform teams with less in the early season — fully formed teams perform better than the transfer-laden ones in November and December. 


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New Mexico ranks 66th nationally in minutes continuity (49%), while St. John’s ranks 263rd (22%).

The Johnnies are relying on four transfers for significant possession minutes. 

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New Mexico vs. St. John’s pick

The Lobos and Johnnies play very similar schemes, making me think the two will play a closely-contested game. 

But I’m willing to back New Mexico’s returning players and ball-screen offense against St. John’s transfers and sketchy ball-screen coverage defense. 

Best Bet: New Mexico +8.5 (-108, FanDuel)



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New Mexico

Federal fraud trial against former New Mexico lawmaker pushed back to August

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Federal fraud trial against former New Mexico lawmaker pushed back to August


ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (KRQE) – The federal fraud case against a former New Mexico state lawmaker is getting delayed again. Former Rep. Sheryl Williams Stapleton is accused of swindling millions from Albuquerque Public Schools, funneling the money through the district to a robotics company owned by a friend, Joseph Johnson. A judge had scheduled the trial for […]



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New Mexico

New Mexico confirms latest measles case at a local jail

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New Mexico confirms latest measles case at a local jail


The number of confirmed measles cases in New Mexico increased to six after the state’s Department of Health confirmed Wednesday a new case inside a local jail in Las Cruces.

A federal inmate being held in the Doña Ana County Detention Center is the latest person to have tested positive for measles. The New Mexico Department of Health said others may have been exposed to the highly contagious disease from this confirmed case if they visited the U.S. District Court building in Las Cruces on Feb. 24.

State heath officials are now urging anyone who was at the courthouse that day to check their vaccination status and report any measles symptoms from now until March 17 to a health care provider.

“The New Mexico Department of Health continues to urge people to get the measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccination,” Dr. Chad Smelser, New Mexico’s deputy state epidemiologist, said in a statement. “Vaccine is the best tool to protect you from measles.”

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Measles spreads through the air and people who contract the virus may experience symptoms such as runny nose, fever, cough, red eyes and a distinctive blotchy rash. These symptoms can develop between one and three weeks after exposure.

All of the six confirmed measles cases in New Mexico so far are federal detainees.

The first measles case was detected in the Hidalgo County Detention Center on Feb. 25, when a detainee, whose vaccination status was unknown, tested positive for the disease by the New Mexico Department of Health’s Scientific Laboratory.

Two days later, a second federal inmate in the same jail tested positive for the virus alongside two detainees in the Luna County Detention Center and another in the Doña Ana County Detention Center.

Both the Luna County and Doña Ana detention centers are local jails that also serve as holding facilities for federal immigration enforcement.

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New Mexico health officials said they are the state’s first confirmed cases of this year, following a statewide outbreak in 2025 that sickened 100 people from mid-February to mid-September.

With two measles cases reported on each of the three local jails, Smelser said that the New Mexico Department of Health has sent vaccination teams to all three facilities.

State health officials are also “coordinating with all the facilities to assure all quarantine, isolation, testing and vaccination protocols are followed to minimize risk of measles spread.”

According to the NBC News measles tracker, more than 1,000 cases have been counted nationwide just in the first two months of this year. That’s nearly half the amount of cases confirmed in the United States in all of last year.

As 2026 already stands as one of the three worst years for measles infections in the country since 2000, another measles outbreak was confirmed this week in Texas inside the nation’s largest immigration detention facility.

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On Wednesday, an Immigration and Customs Enforcement spokesperson told NBC News that a least 14 cases of measles were confirmed inside Camp East Montana, which is located on the Fort Bliss Army base in El Paso.

The people who tested positive for measles have been “cohorted and separated from the rest of the detained population to prevent further spread,” the ICE spokesperson said.



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New Mexico

New Mexico legislation focusing on K-3 math education aims to improve stubbornly low scores

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New Mexico legislation focusing on K-3 math education aims to improve stubbornly low scores


Aaron Jawson regularly spends time reteaching the basics to his sixth grade math students.

They often have a bit of a complex around math, said Jawson, who teaches at Ortiz Middle School. They often have a lot going on at home, or a lot of stress about societal problems.

And in many cases they have been behind for years.

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The problem

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Why K-3?

Teacher preparation







030226_GC_MathClass02rgb.jpg

Jesus Dominguez ponders the next step in an equation during Aaron Jawson’s sixth grade math class Monday at Ortiz Middle School.

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Family involvement

Other changes







030226_GC_MathClass02rgb.jpg

Jesus Dominguez ponders the next step in an equation during Aaron Jawson’s sixth grade math class Monday at Ortiz Middle School.


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What more could be done?

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