Heinrich 49%, Domenici 37% 

A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey in New Mexico finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by 10 points, 52% to 42%, with 6% of voters undecided. Harris’ lead decreases to eight points when the candidate undecided voters lean toward is included. With third-party candidates on the ballot, Harris leads by 11, 51% to 40%, while 3% support Robert Kennedy Jr.

“Harris’ lead is similar to Joe Biden’s 10.8 point win over Trump in 2020,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, noted. “Independent voters in New Mexico break for Harris, 48% to 37%. Men break for Harris by a narrow two-point margin, 48% to 46%, while women break for Harris by 17 points, 55% to 38%.” 

The economy is the top issue for 29% of New Mexico voters, followed by crime (18%), immigration (13%), education (11%), healthcare (10%), housing affordability (6%), and threats to democracy (6%). 

“Voters who find the economy to be the top issue break for Trump, 54% to 38%, crime, 47% to 45%, and immigration 89% to 9%. Voters who find education, healthcare, housing affordability, threats to democracy, and abortion all break for Harris significantly, an average of 82% to 15%.”

When asked who they trust more to handle immigration in New Mexico, Donald Trump or Kamala Harris, 48% trust Harris more, and 46% trust Trump more; 6% trust neither candidate. 

Fifty-three percent of voters have a favorable view of Vice President Harris, while 45% have an unfavorable view of Harris. Forty-two percent have a favorable view of Trump, while 57% have an unfavorable view of him. 

In the U.S. Senate Election between incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Nella Domenici, 49% support Heinrich, 37% Domenici, 4% someone else, and 9% are undecided.

Democratic candidates lead the Republicans in all three U.S. House elections in New Mexico. In the 1st district, incumbent Democrat Melanie Ann Stansbury leads Republican Steve Jones 51% to 37%; 12% of voters are undecided. In the 2nd district, 50% support Democrat Gabe Vasquez, while 41% support Republican Yvette Herrell. Nine percent are undecided. 

In the 3rd district, 52% support Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez, while 39% support Republican Sharon Clahchishchilliage; 9% are undecided. 

A majority of New Mexico voters say they feel less safe in New Mexico than they did five years ago, while 15% feel more safe and 32% feel the same amount of safe. 

Methodology

The Emerson College Polling/The Hill New Mexico survey was conducted August 20-22, 2024. The sample of registered voters, n=965, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3.1 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party registration, and region based on 2024 voter modeling. Turnout modeling is based on U.S. Census parameters, exit polling and voter registration data. 

It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times. 

Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text, landlines via Interactive Voice Response (IVR) (both lists provided by Aristotle), and an online panel of voters provided by CINT. The survey was offered in English. 

All questions asked in this survey with exact wording, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found under Full Results. This survey was sponsored by Nexstar Media.

FULL RESULTS

SILVER CITY, N.M. (KRQE) – KRQE News 13 has learned more about a shooting near Western New Mexico University earlier this week that briefly put the school on a shelter-in-place. The Silver City Police Department said 44-year-old Tommy Valdez shot and wounded a woman during an argument Tuesday about two blocks north of the WNMU campus.

Silver City High School teacher accused of having sexual relationship with student

Authorities arrested Valdez in Las Cruces the next day. He’s charged with aggravated battery and shooting from a motor vehicle.

Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to KRQE NEWS 13 – Breaking News, Albuquerque News, New Mexico News, Weather, and Videos.

Raymundo Frasquillo Photo/Gila Herald: Senior Isaac Harris (86) turns to hand off the ball to junior Ky Coats (68) during a scrimmage with Fort Thomas on Aug. 16. The Duncan duo was named all-region honorable mention in 2023. Duncan opens the 2024 season in “the Land of Enchantment” against Lordsburg on Friday, Aug. 23.

By Raymundo Frasquillo

DUNCAN – The Dan Coats-coached Duncan Wildkats open their 2024 football season in the “Land of Enchantment” on Friday, Aug. 23. It is against the Dale Hooper-coached Lordsburg Mavericks.

Lordsburg is 8-1 with an average score per game of 21-12 (192-107) or a 9-point margin over Duncan for those nine games. The scores favored the Mavericks 38-14 in 2022 and 64-36 in 2023 for an average of 51-25 (102-50) or a 26-point margin in the two 8-man games.

The schools met for the season opener during the final seven seasons (1996-2002) before Duncan switched to the 8-man format in 2003.

Lordsburg Mavericks

The 2022 season was the Mavericks’ initial one in the 8-man format. Lordsburg finished 10-1 overall and 3-0 in the district, averaging a score of 52-17 (570-183) per game or a 35-point margin. Fort Sumner/House handed the Mavericks a 34-44 state championship game loss, the only one of the season for a state runners-up finish.

Last season, the Mavericks went 3-5 overall and 2-1 in District 2, averaging a score of 35-43 (276-340) per game or an 8-point deficit.

Lordsburg visits Cloudcroft (Aug. 30), hosts Navajo Pine (Sept. 6), visits Roswell Gateway Christian (Sept. 13), hosts Tatum (Sept. 20), visits Mescalero Apache (Oct. 4) and Melrose (Oct. 18), and hosts Las Cruces Mesilla Valley Christian (Oct. 25).

Hooper (30-28 overall, 13-5 district, 2-5 state) is in his eighth season as the Mavericks’ head coach, the third in the 8-man format.

Duncan Wildkats

Duncan went 5-3 overall, 4-2 for 3rd of seven in the 1A South Region, and averaged a 37-28 (298-226) score per game or a 9-point margin in 2022.

Last season, the first under Coats, the Wildkats finished 1-7 overall, 1-5 for 6th of seven in the region, and averaged an 18-41 (142-331) score per game or a 23-point deficit.

The Wildkats visit Fort Thomas (Aug. 30), host San Manuel (Sept. 6) and Saint David (Sept. 13), visit Sells Baboquivari (Sept. 27), host Kearny Ray (Oct. 4) and Elfrida Valley Union (Oct. 11), and visit Chandler Lincoln Prep (Oct. 18).

A total of 20 Wildkats are privileged to be wearing the Scarlet and Gray colors as football players, with an equal number of returning lettermen as newcomers.

The returning lettermen include senior Isaac Harris; juniors Ky Coats, Josh Free, Evalynn Roberts, Pablo Ruiz, and Isaiah Sumner; and sophomores Conner Free, Billy Johnson, Joe Nandino, and Lloyd Weinreich.

Coats and Harris were listed as 1A South Region Honorable Mention in 2023. Harris also earned all-region honors in 2022, as a first-team kick returner and second-team running back.

Newcomers include juniors Joseph Contreras and Lucas Soohy; sophomores Jarren Butler, Parker Griffin, Dayton Penry, and Aaron Zamora; and freshmen Mark Bejarano, Karren Lacey, Lariet Pate, and Gus Pope.

Duncan is competing in the seven-team 1A South Region with Baboquivari, Fort Thomas, Ray, Saint David, San Manuel, and Valley Union.

Joey Bejarano and Joseph Garcia are joining Dan Coats as assistant coaches. Coats (1-7 overall) follows 5-year (2018-22) Eric Bejarano (22-17), 9-year (2009-17) Eldon Merrell (36-43), 2-year (2007-08) Joseph Sesate (8-8), and 4-year Feliciano ‘Chano’ Talavera (19-14).

The Wildkats are 86-89 overall, 14-13 section, 43-35 region, 1-10 in state playoffs, 45-42 on Packer Field, and 16-5 for homecoming during 21 seasons (2003-23) of playing in the 8-man format.