Montana
National Republicans eye U.S. Senate seat in Montana as central to gaining majority
Republican presidential nominee and former President Donald Trump shakes hands with U.S. Sen. Steve Daines, R-Mont., at the National Republican Senatorial Committee building on June 13, 2024, in Washington, D.C. Trump was visiting Capitol Hill to meet with Senate Republicans and participate in additional meetings. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON — Montana U.S. Sen. Steve Daines, who is in charge of flipping the chamber from blue to red this November, said Tuesday he expects his home state will play a key role in ensuring a Republican majority come January.
Daines, who is chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said that of the four toss-up states that will determine control of the Senate, he believes Montana is the most likely to choose a new senator over the incumbent, Democrat Jon Tester.
“Of all of the states we’re currently battling, it’d be the most likely pick-up right now, if you graded on a curve,” Daines said.
Republicans expect to gain the West Virginia Senate seat currently controlled by independent Joe Manchin III, who is retiring. But, they’ll need one more pick up to hold at least 51 seats in the 100-member chamber and secure the majority.
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter categorizes Ohio, Michigan, Montana and Nevada’s races as toss-ups, while the other Senate races are rated as at least leaning toward Democrats or Republicans.
Electoral trends
Daines said that he expects the November elections will follow a trend from 2016 and 2020, in which the winner of the Senate race very closely tracks with which presidential candidate wins in their state.
“The only exception, of 69 races in 2016 and 2020, with Trump on the ballot, was Susan Collins — where Joe Biden won Maine, but Susan Collins won the Senate race,” Daines said, referring to former President Donald Trump, President Joe Biden and the current Republican senator from Maine. “History shows in a presidential year, these races will all start to track by the time we get to the end of October, and then on Election Day, importantly, we’ll be tracking pretty close with the presidential ballot.”
Daines, who was sitting for a panel interview with members of the Regional Reporters Association at the National Republican Senatorial Committee offices in Washington, D.C., said the party is applying the lessons learned from 2022 to this year’s campaigns.
Democrats targeted their messaging “effectively” two years ago, while Republicans had “candidates that were able to win primary elections, but were not as appealing in a general,” Daines said.
“And that’s why one of the key strategies here at the NRSC was to be intentional in primaries,” Daines said, adding he wanted fewer “wounds and battle scars” for the GOP candidates who won their primaries as they went into the general election campaign.
Daines said that he doesn’t expect reproductive rights and issues around democracy to be as central to how voters cast ballots this year as compared to 2022.
“In ‘22 the Democrats mentioned a lot on abortion and a lot on January 6 and the threat to democracy,” Daines said. “I think both of those issues are going to be less powerful in the ‘24 election.”
On abortion specifically, he said that GOP Senate candidates are “messaging well on this back in their respective states.”
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spokesperson Tommy Garcia said in a written statement that “Senate campaigns are candidate vs candidate battles, and Senate Democrats will win because we have the better candidates in every single battleground.”
“Steve Daines’ failure to vet his candidates has saddled Senate Republicans with deeply flawed recruits who are embroiled in a never ending series of scandals: they’ve been caught lying about their biographies, face vulnerabilities stemming from their finances and are running on a platform of deeply unpopular policies,” Garcia added.
Montana focus
Daines said he expects Montana voters will elect Republican candidate Tim Sheehy over Tester in November, citing data from former election years as well as how recent transplants to the state have registered to vote.
“We’ve had a net migration of center-right voters to Montana since Jon Tester was last on the ballot,” Daines said. “He won by 18,000 votes against Matt Rosendale back in 2018. We’ve had 100,000 new voters move to Montana since 2018. If you look at the voter rolls, by a 2-to-1 margin, they’re Republicans.”
Daines said he refers to these transplants as “COWs” since they are leaving California, Oregon and Washington states to live in Montana — the first letters of each state. He also says they aren’t looking to bring the blue-leaning politics of their former states to their new home.
“These are refugees, not missionaries,” Daines said. “They’re moving to Montana to join us, not to change us. And that’s how that’s shifting the political numbers in Montana; just mathematically, it becomes increasingly difficult for Jon Tester to win.”
Daines said that mid-July polling in the race mirrors what he experienced ahead of his last re-election.
“The polling data that we are seeing with Tim Sheehy matches exactly where I was polling with Steve Bullock by the same pollster four years ago,” Daines said, referring to the former Democratic governor who ran for Senate in 2020. “And we ended up winning by 10 points.”
When that’s combined with the millions of dollars that Democrats have spent on Tester’s re-election campaign, Daines said the odds are good for Republicans.
“(Senate Majority Leader Chuck) Schumer and Tester have poured $45 million of negative ads on Tim Sheehy since last November,” Daines said. “We’ve never seen anything like it in any Senate race in the history of the United States that early, that much money spent. And the fact that Tim Sheehy is tied up right now on public polls is quite remarkable.”
DSCC Chairman Gary Peters, a Michigan Democrat, told States Newsroom on Tuesday that he expects Tester will win reelection.
“He’s wrong. He’s not going to flip Montana. Jon Tester is a strong candidate. He’s authentic. He’s running against a seriously flawed candidate that the Republicans have put forward. Clearly they didn’t do any vetting before they recruited him to run in Montana,” Peters said. “And people in Montana, want someone who’s authentic, has lived in the state and understands the challenges of people in Montana. And that’s Jon Tester.”
Nevada battleground
Daines also has hopes that the GOP can pick up Nevada, where Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen is facing a challenge from Republican candidate Sam Brown.
During the 2022 Senate race, he noted that Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto defeated Republican candidate Adam Laxalt by about 8,000 votes.
“It was the tightest Senate race that cycle. That’s four votes per precinct,” Daines said. “That’s not lost, certainly on both sides of the ledger.”
Had Laxalt been running during a presidential election year, when rural voters tend to turn out in higher numbers than during midterm election years, Daines said Laxalt would have won a seat in the Senate.
“Looking at more recent polling numbers in Nevada, Rosen’s ballot number is very low. She’s in the low 40s. That’s a big warning sign for an incumbent,” Daines said. “It also shows there’s great upside for Sam Brown at the moment.”
Michigan race
In Michigan, which presents another chance for Republicans to gain and potentially grow a Senate majority, Daines said he isn’t worried about negative ads from the Republican primary impacting their prospects during the general election.
“You always worry about — whether you’re on the Democratic or Republican side — damaging primaries. And something that we have done at the NRSC in this particular election cycle, is to be intentional about getting behind candidates early in primaries,” Daines said. “And Michigan’s an example of that.”
The NRSC and Trump both endorsed GOP candidate Mike Rogers early, he said.
“And so far in this election cycle, there’s been $250 million less spent in Republican primaries versus last cycle,” Daines said. “Democrats have spent $60 million more in their primaries versus last cycle. And in part that’s due to a strategy that we had to get behind candidates early and try to minimize primary battles.”
Daines wasn’t too concerned about recent polling that shows Democrat Elissa Slotkin ahead of Rogers in a likely general election match up.
“It’s not a new phenomenon,” Daines said. “Generally, we run behind.”
Maryland, Minnesota, New Jersey hopes
Daines has hope for GOP candidates in other states that traditionally send Democrats to the Senate.
In Maryland, he expects former Gov. Larry Hogan has a chance to defeat Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks for the open seat.
When Republicans polled the chances for Hogan before he entered the race, they showed he had higher favorability than when he left office, Daines said.
And while Daines said he knows that Kamala Harris will likely win Maryland by “25 points or more,” he still expects Hogan will have a strong campaign.
“That’s not a new phenomenon for Larry Hogan. And so he will run in this maverick kind of lane,” Daines said, noting that Hogan has distanced himself from Trump.
Daines sought to put a little bit of distance between the NRSC and the Aug. 13 Republican Senate primary in Minnesota when asked about the candidates, though he said he stood by a previous comment that Royce White can’t win the GOP primary or the general election.
“We’ll wait and see how the primary shakes out in Minnesota. Again, it’s coming up here pretty soon, mid-August,” Daines said. “But yeah, I think Joe Fraser is going to be a more electable candidate, certainly in the general.”
Whichever GOP candidate wins the primary will face Democratic Sen. Amy Klobuchar in the general election, fighting for a seat that is rated as “solid Democratic” by The Cook Political Report.
New Jersey Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez’s recent conviction has also led Daines to not entirely count the state out, though the odds are long.
Curtis Bashaw, he said, is a “very strong candidate.”
“It’s a race we’re keeping an eye on,” Daines said. “Obviously, whenever you have an open seat, it’s an opportunity. And with Menendez’s problems that doesn’t help overall.”
Menendez isn’t seeking re-election and will resign from the U.S. Senate in August. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim, who was pictured cleaning up litter inside the U.S. Capitol following the Jan. 6 attack, was elected as the Democratic nominee.
The Cook Political Report rates the race as “Solid Democrat.”
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Montana
Montana Vista residents confront ‘Pecos West’ developers in tense meeting
EL PASO, Texas (KTSM) — Following widespread neighborhood concerns first reported by KTSM 9 News on Friday, residents of the Montana Vista area came face-to-face with developers of the proposed “Pecos West” transmission line project on Saturday morning, May 9 during a community meeting held at the Montana Vista Community Center.
The multi-million dollar project, spearheaded by power grid developer Grid United, aims to build a massive transmission line connecting the El Paso area to southeastern New Mexico.
While developers tout the project as a crucial link to prevent grid bottlenecks, families living in the path of the proposed line continue to voice mounting frustration and distrust over how the land acquisition is being handled.
On Friday, Grid United released a statement to KTSM insisting their one-on-one land negotiations were conducted out of respect for private property rights. But at Saturday’s community gathering, residents and advocates made it clear they aren’t buying it.
“People are afraid. I’m not afraid. I’m angry,” said Armando Rodriguez, president of the Union of Montana Vista Landowners, who previously said that developers had been quietly approaching his neighbors for months with varying buyout offers.
Only about a dozen residents and advocates attended the weekend meeting, but they loudly questioned why the company spent the past year approaching landowners individually rather than addressing the community as a whole.
During the exchange, project officials admitted they have already acquired about 50 percent of the properties in the impacted area. Grid United later clarified to KTSM that the exact number fluctuates frequently, just like the proposed route.
Community organizers argued that the company’s isolated approach leaves residents vulnerable and misinformed.
“When a company like this turns up and says, ‘We’re going to buy your property.’ We must ensure that community members understand that they have the right to say no, or that they have the right to negotiate a higher value,” said Veronica Carbajal, an organizer with the Sembrando Esperanza Coalition.
Carbajal highlighted that the lack of widespread notification and a standardized compensation formula is creating deep unease.
“They’ve already bought properties, but they have not established notification to every resident that will be impacted, nor have they set up a formula for compensation,” Carbajal said. “So what we can see online through the title transfers is that there is a very wide distinction between how much people are being paid. We don’t want the community to be divided. We also want people to understand that this is voluntary. They do not have to sell if they don’t want to.”
A major point of contention at Saturday’s meeting was the threat of eminent domain. Grid United explained that, as a private company, they do not possess eminent domain authority, insisting that if a landowner refuses to sell, the company will simply find an alternative route.
“At Pecos West we’re very landowner-first approach,” said Alexis Marquez, Pecos West community relations manager. “So if a landowner does not want (the transmission line) on the property, then we would find alternative routes.”
But Rodriguez remains highly skeptical that the developers would simply walk away from targeted plots.
“A corporation as big as you, a multi-million dollar corporation, I find it hard to believe that you would invest money into something this big and just walk away if the family said, ‘No, I don’t want to sell it,’” Rodriguez told officials during the meeting. “The question is: Are you really serious about what you’re saying here? Or is this just another dog and pony show?”
Project leaders conceded they need to adjust their efforts in engaging and informing the community, promising more meetings to come. However, residents emphasized that trust is currently broken and will only be rebuilt with concrete action.
El Paso County Commissioner Jackie Butler, who helped organize the meeting, said the County has no power to halt the proposed project, but she said she has been communicating with project officials and is trying to connect them with community advocacy organizations.
“I learned very quickly that the County does not have any authority or permitting process to stop these kinds of projects. And so that’s when I started connecting Pecos West to community members so that they could get directly involved,” Butler said. “My questions to Pecos West have been, Why do you have to come through our community? And even if you have to build through our region, you should go around it.”
Moving forward, the residents in attendance made it clear they do not intend to sell their property. They are demanding Grid United bring all impacted neighbors to the table as a collective before any more land is purchased.
If the project continues to move forward, construction is not expected to begin until the mid-2030s.
Montana
Montana Lottery Mega Millions, Big Sky Bonus results for May 8, 2026
The Montana Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big.
Here’s a look at May 8, 2026, results for each game:
Winning Mega Millions numbers from May 8 drawing
37-47-49-51-58, Mega Ball: 16
Check Mega Millions payouts and previous drawings here.
Winning Big Sky Bonus numbers from May 8 drawing
09-14-18-20, Bonus: 16
Check Big Sky Bonus payouts and previous drawings here.
Winning Millionaire for Life numbers from May 8 drawing
14-16-21-43-51, Bonus: 03
Check Millionaire for Life payouts and previous drawings here.
Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results
When are the Montana Lottery drawings held?
- Powerball: 8:59 p.m. MT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
- Mega Millions: 9 p.m. MT on Tuesday and Friday.
- Lucky For Life: 8:38 p.m. MT daily.
- Lotto America: 9 p.m. MT on Monday, Wednesday and Saturday.
- Big Sky Bonus: 7:30 p.m. MT daily.
- Powerball Double Play: 8:59 p.m. MT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
- Montana Cash: 8 p.m. MT on Wednesday and Saturday.
- Millionaire for Life: 9:15 p.m. MT daily.
Missed a draw? Peek at the past week’s winning numbers.
This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Great Falls Tribune editor. You can send feedback using this form.
Montana
“It’s Life Alert or rent”: Montana trailer park tenants are on rent strike
Mobile home residents in Bozeman, Montana, say they’re being forced to choose between paying rent and paying medical costs.Courtesy of Jered McCafferty
35-year-old Benjamin Moore has lived in Mountain Meadows Mobile Home Park, outside Bozeman, Montana, since he was 17. This month, for the first time, he’s withholding his rent.
On May 1, Moore received a rent bill for $947, up 11 percent from the month before, and the second hike in nine months—the product of the park’s sale to an undisclosed buyer.
Moore hung a sign on his trailer that says “RENT STRIKE.” He and his neighbors in Mountain Meadows and nearby King Arthur Park, organized with the citywide group Bozeman Tenants United, are collectively withholding over $50,000 a month from their landlord.
Historically, trailer parks have been a relatively affordable housing option—a third of trailer park residents in America live below the poverty line. But on average, their cost of living has risen 45 percent over the past decade. By unionizing, the Bozeman trailer park tenants believe they might be able to fight the most recent rent hike—especially given the state of their housing.
For years, tenants say, the maintenance hasn’t been attended to: tree limbs hang perilously over trailers, and water shutoffs are a regular occurrence. “I cannot recall a time in the past 20 years where we had three straight months of water and power working all day, every day,” Moore said.
Shauna Thompson, another resident, calls the water “atrocious…like a Milky Way, like you’re drinking skim milk. It’s very nasty and turned off all the time, without any notice.” And tenants allege that they’ve experienced retribution for maintenance requests, punitive eviction attempts, and unsafe conditions.
“It’s really hard on people here,” Moore said. Some residents are “already paying their entire Social Security check for rent. It’s a very poor neighborhood. We’ve got old folks. We’ve got young families. We’ve got working-class people who can’t afford anything else.”
For the past four decades, a group called Oakland Properties has owned both trailer parks. When they learned about the sale, tenants were scared that their parks would be bulldozed, or that their rent would be increased even further, forcing them to move.
The tenants attempted to buy the parks themselves, but were decisively outbid. The winning bidder demanded an NDA. The transaction should be finalized next month, park owner Gary Oakland said, but residents still don’t know who’s going to own the land they live on.
This month’s rent hike, Oakland acknowledged, was “part and parcel” of the sale. But for tenants, it’s a catastrophe. On top of the $947 lot rent—more than double the national average—many residents also pay off home loans on their trailers, as well as insurance and utilities costs.
Oakland calls claims of broken utilities “nonsense”: “If it was such a bad place to live, why would the homes be selling for such high dollars?” he said. The rent strike, Oakland points out, is “just a group of people not paying their rent.”
Some people are rationing their medication to make ends meet, Moore said. “There’s one person who canceled Life Alert. It’s either Life Alert or rent, and if you don’t pay rent, they evict you and throw you in the streets.”
Tenant organizers across the nation have found a foothold in recent years organizing against individual landlords, and Bozeman’s tenant union, situated in one of the fastest-growing communities in the state, is no exception. Tenant unions from Los Angeles to Kansas City to New York have organized to win rent freezes, maintenance, and security in their homes.
Mobile home parks—increasingly private-equity-owned and uniquely at-risk in the face of climate disasters—are organizing, too: a group of trailer park residents in Columbia, Missouri, unionized in February. In Montana, as Rebecca Burns recently wrote for In These Times, mobile homes were already once a site of tenant organizing: buoyed by the state’s miners unions, the first Bozeman-area mobile home tenants’ union won an agreement with their landlord in 1978.
Oakland says park residents “have been terrorized by the union,” and plans to evict the strikers. The strikers say they’ve retained a lawyer and will fight to stay in their homes.
“I wish none of this was happening,” Moore said. “Your utilities should work. Your place should be safe. You should be able to get in and out of it. These are the absolute basics, and they just haven’t kept them up. And if you call them on it, they threaten you.”
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