Sunday’s game at CU Events Center has the No. 3 Colorado Buffaloes (15-2) matching up with the No. 6 USC Trojans (13-2) at 3:00 PM (on January 21). Our computer prediction projects a 72-68 victory for Colorado, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

In their last time out, the Buffaloes lost 76-68 to UCLA on Friday.

The Buffaloes are coming off of a 76-68 loss to UCLA in their last outing on Friday. The Trojans enter this matchup after a 78-58 loss to Utah on Friday. In the Buffaloes’ loss, Jaylyn Sherrod led the way with a team-high 17 points (adding two rebounds and two assists). JuJu Watkins’ team-high 26 points paced the Trojans in the loss.

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Colorado vs. USC Game Info

• When: Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
• Where: CU Events Center in Boulder, Colorado
• How to Watch on TV: Pac-12 Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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Colorado vs. USC Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Colorado 72, USC 68

Top 25 Predictions

Colorado Schedule Analysis

• The Buffaloes’ signature win of the season came in a 71-59 victory against the No. 8 Stanford Cardinal on January 14.
• The Buffaloes have four wins against Quadrant 1 teams, tied for the sixth-most in the nation.
• Colorado has tied for the fifth-most Quadrant 2 victories in the nation (five).

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Colorado 2023-24 Best Wins

• 71-59 at home over Stanford (No. 8/AP Poll) on January 14
• 76-65 at home over Utah (No. 20/AP Poll) on December 30
• 92-78 over LSU (No. 10/AP Poll) on November 6
• 86-75 at home over Oklahoma State (No. 49) on November 12
• 76-61 at home over Cal (No. 53) on January 12

USC Schedule Analysis

• When the Trojans defeated the UCLA Bruins (No. 5 in the AP’s Top 25) on January 14 by a score of 73-65, it was their best win of the year so far.
• When facing Quadrant 1 teams, the Trojans are 4-2 (.667%) — tied for the sixth-most wins.
• Against Quadrant 2 opponents, USC is 2-0 (1.000%) — tied for the 31st-most wins.
• Against Quadrant 3 teams (based on the RPI), the Buffaloes are 2-0 (1.000%) — tied for the 119th-most wins.

USC 2023-24 Best Wins

• 73-65 at home over UCLA (No. 5/AP Poll) on January 14
• 83-74 over Ohio State (No. 18/AP Poll) on November 6
• 56-54 at home over Oregon State (No. 19) on January 5
• 71-70 over Penn State (No. 34) on November 22
• 67-51 at home over FGCU (No. 57) on November 10

Colorado Leaders

• Sherrod: 14 PTS, 5.4 AST, 2.5 STL, 47.4 FG%, 17.5 3PT% (7-for-40)
• Aaronette Vonleh: 14.8 PTS, 1.2 BLK, 62.9 FG%
• Frida Formann: 13.6 PTS, 1.4 STL, 44.7 FG%, 43 3PT% (49-for-114)
• Quay Miller: 10.1 PTS, 7.4 REB, 39.7 FG%, 34.5 3PT% (20-for-58)
• Kindyll Wetta: 6.8 PTS, 2.1 STL, 53.1 FG%, 35 3PT% (7-for-20)

USC Leaders

• Watkins: 26.5 PTS, 7.4 REB, 2.5 STL, 1.8 BLK, 44.3 FG%, 36.3 3PT% (29-for-80)
• Rayah Marshall: 11.9 PTS, 10.1 REB, 2.3 BLK, 50 FG%
• McKenzie Forbes: 13.5 PTS, 40.6 FG%, 37.3 3PT% (28-for-75)
• Kayla Padilla: 7.8 PTS, 1.1 STL, 45.3 FG%, 42.4 3PT% (25-for-59)
• Taylor Bigby: 6.6 PTS, 42.5 FG%, 40 3PT% (22-for-55)

Colorado Performance Insights

• The Buffaloes are outscoring opponents by 16.1 points per game with a +274 scoring differential overall. They put up 80.6 points per game (20th in college basketball) and allow 64.5 per contest (189th in college basketball).
• Colorado is scoring 74.5 points per game this year in conference contests, which is 6.1 fewer points per game than its season average (80.6).
• The Buffaloes post 81.3 points per game at home, compared to 78.5 points per game in away games, a difference of 2.8 points per contest.
• Colorado surrenders 62.1 points per game when playing at home this year, compared to 67.3 in away games.
• On the offensive side of the ball, the Buffaloes have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 77.9 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 80.6 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.

USC Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +245 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 16.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.6 points per game (52nd in college basketball) while giving up 59.3 per outing (76th in college basketball).
• In Pac-12 action, USC has averaged 11.8 fewer points (63.8) than overall (75.6) in 2023-24.
• Over their previous 10 games, the Trojans are scoring 75.6 points per game, the same number of points as their season average.

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