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Can Donald Trump break his California record? What polls show before rally

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Can Donald Trump break his California record? What polls show before rally


As former President Donald Trump prepares to hold a rally near Coachella, California, on October 12, recent polling data shows he could break his own record for futility in the Golden State.

At a news conference in September while visiting his National Golf Club in Ranchos Palos Verdes for a fundraiser, Trump called California “a mess” and blasted Vice President Kamala Harris and Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom over their handling of immigration, crime and local elections.

How to Watch Trump’s Coachella Rally

Trump is scheduled to speak Saturday at 5 p.m. PST, with doors opening at 12 p.m. at Calhoun Ranch near Coachella.

The event is open to the public, with online registration available through Trump’s campaign website.

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“Under Kamala Harris and her dangerous Democrat allies like Tim Walz, the notorious ‘California Dream’ has turned into a nightmare for everyday Americans,” states the campaign email announcing the event. “Californians are suffocating under rising prices for everything from groceries to housing, thanks to Kamalanomics.”

Newsweek contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns via email on Monday for comment.

Trump’s coming appearance at Calhoun Ranch marks his first public event in the Coachella Valley since a private fundraiser in 2020.

Trump’s Polling in California

According to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average for California, updated on October 7, 2024, Trump trails Vice President Kamala Harris by a substantial margin. The data shows Harris leading with 59.7 percent support compared to Trump’s 34.8 percent, giving the incumbent a 24.9 percentage point advantage.

The most recent survey included in FiveThirtyEight’s average, conducted by the University of Southern California and California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy from September 12-25, shows Harris leading Trump 58 percent to 36 percent among 1,685 likely voters.

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An ActiVote survey conducted from August 21 to September 21 among 400 likely voters found Harris leading Trump 64 percent to 36 percent. A Capitol Weekly poll from September 11-16, sampling 1,054 likely voters, showed Harris ahead 59 percent to 34 percent.

California’s political landscape has shifted dramatically over the past few decades. Once a reliable Republican stronghold in presidential elections from 1952 through 1988, except for Barry Goldwater’s loss in 1964, the state has become increasingly Democratic.

Trump’s performance in the 2016 election set a low bar for Republican candidates in California. He received 31.62 percent of the vote, the worst showing for a Republican presidential nominee in the state since 1856. Hillary Clinton won California with 61.73 percent of the vote, a margin of 30.11 percent and a vote difference of over 4.2 million.

Despite California being the most populous state, it only delivered Trump his third-largest vote count in 2016, behind Florida and Texas. Clinton’s victory marked the first time a Democrat had won Orange County since 1936, and only the fourth time in U.S. history that a Republican was elected president without carrying California.

In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden won California by approximately 30 points over Donald Trump, marking the fourth consecutive presidential election where the Democratic nominee secured over 60 percent of the vote in the state.

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With 54 electoral votes, California remains a crucial prize in presidential elections, despite losing one electoral vote after the 2020 Census. The state still commands more than 10 percent of the total 538 electoral votes.

Trump’s visit is already drawing attention from backers and opponents. In 2020, his fundraiser in Rancho Mirage attracted dozens of supporters to greet him at Palm Springs International Airport, while hundreds of foes held a counterprotest near the venue.

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump speaks during a news conference at Trump National Golf Club Los Angeles in Rancho Palos Verdes, California, on September 13. Trump returns to California for a rally…




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California man beheaded his 1-year-old son with a knife, authorities say

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California man beheaded his 1-year-old son with a knife, authorities say


SACRAMENTO, Calif. — A man has been arrested on suspicion of beheading his 1-year-old son, Northern California authorities said.

The Sacramento County Sheriff’s Office said in a statement Friday that deputies responding to an early morning family disturbance call found a woman outside a home who told deputies that her husband Andrey Demskiy, 28, assaulted her and her mother.

Deputies forced their way into the house in northern Sacramento County when they learned Demskiy was inside with the boy. As they took him into custody, they found a “severed child’s head” in the bedroom where Demskiy was detained.

Detectives said Demskiy used a knife to behead his son after his wife and mother-in-law left the house, according to the statement. He was in custody and ineligible for bail, and was scheduled to appear in court Tuesday.

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The sheriff’s department and the county public defenders office did not respond to emails seeking information on whether Demskiy had an attorney who could speak on his behalf.



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Protests Swept California Campuses Last Year. Schools Are Now Blocking Them | KQED

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Protests Swept California Campuses Last Year. Schools Are Now Blocking Them | KQED


At UC Santa Cruz, police arrested one student who was using a megaphone during a demonstration on Oct. 7, according to an eyewitness who spoke to LookOut Santa Cruz. Santa Cruz County Sheriff’s Office public arrest reports show one person was arrested on the Santa Cruz campus for obstruction of a public officer and battery without injury that day.

While no arrests were made, Pomona College has suspended 12 students for the remainder of the 2024–25 academic year following an Oct. 7 demonstration in which they entered, damaged and vandalized a restricted building, according to the student newspaper. The college also banned dozens of students from the four other campuses of the Claremont Colleges, a consortium that includes Pomona.

Private colleges have implemented their own policy changes. Pomona College now requires students and faculty to swipe their ID cards to enter academic buildings. Since last semester, students and visitors entering USC are also required to show a school or photo ID.

Some students are still facing charges from last year’s protests

Few charges have been filed after UCLA’s encampment made headlines in April when counterprotesters led an attack on encampment protesters while law enforcement did not intervene for several hours. The following day, 254 people were arrested on charges related to the protest encampment. In October, two additional people were also arrested for participating in the counter-protester violence.

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The Los Angeles County District Attorney’s office is pursuing three felony cases against individuals arrested at UCLA in relation to violence during last spring’s protests.

Meanwhile, the city attorney’s office is reviewing 93 misdemeanor cases from USC and 210 from UCLA, according to information it provided to CalMatters last month.

Lilyan Zwirzina, a junior at Cal Poly Humboldt, was among the students arrested in the early morning of April 30 following protesters occupying a campus building and ignoring orders to disperse from the university. Law enforcement took her to Humboldt County Correctional Facility, where she faced four misdemeanor charges, including resisting arrest. Zwirzina thought she’d have to cancel her study abroad semester, which conflicted with the court date she was given.

“I was pretty frustrated and kind of freaked out,” Zwirzina said. Authorities dropped the charges against her in July.

Pro-Palestinian protesters demand police officers go home during a protest outside of Siemens Hall at Cal Poly Humboldt in Arcata on April 22, 2024. (Mark McKenna/CalMatters)

The Humboldt County District Attorney’s Office didn’t pursue charges against 27 of the 39 people arrested, citing insufficient evidence. The 12 remaining cases were referred to the Cal Poly Humboldt Police Department for investigation. Those cases remain under investigation, according to the university.

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For 13 people, including students, arrested at Stanford University in June, the Santa Clara County District Attorney Jeff Rosen has not pressed charges as of Nov. 20, according to information his office provided CalMatters.

Elsewhere across the state, some district attorneys are pursuing misdemeanor and felony charges against student protesters. Orange County District Attorney Todd Spitzer is pursuing misdemeanor charges against 50 people, including two UCI professors, a teaching assistant, and 26 students, stemming from a protest at UC Irvine on Oct. 22, 2023. Charges include failure to disperse, resisting arrest and vandalism.

At Pomona College, 19 students were arrested on April 5 on charges of trespassing after some protesters entered and refused to leave an administrative building. Students arrested either had their cases dismissed or have accepted community service in lieu of further legal action. James Gutierrez, the attorney representing the arrested students, said he asked that the college drop charges against its students, citing their right to protest the use of paid tuition dollars.

“They are righteously demanding that their colleges, the ones they pay tuition to and housing fees and pour a lot of money into, that that university or college stop investing in companies that are directly supporting this genocide and indirectly supporting it,” he said.

Students fight back against campus protest policies

As administrators face the challenge of applying protest policies more uniformly and swiftly, the truer test of California public higher education institutions’ protest rules will be playing out in court.

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In one already resolved case, UC leadership agreed in August to comply with a court order requiring the campus to end programs or events that exclude Jewish students. A federal judge ruled some Jewish students in support of Israel who were blocked from entering the encampment had their religious liberties violated — though some Jewish students did participate in UCLA’s protest encampment.

Now, students have filed at least two lawsuits against their campuses and the UC system for violating their rights while ending student encampments last spring. In September, ACLU NorCal filed suits against the UC and UC Santa Cruz for not providing students due process when they immediately barred arrested students from returning to campus.

“Those students should have gotten a hearing, an opportunity to defend themselves or to explain themselves, and the school would have shown evidence of why they created a risk of disturbance on campus,” Chessie Thacher, senior staff attorney at ACLU of Northern California, said.

UC Santa Cruz spokesperson Scott Hernandez-Jason said the university “appreciates the court’s careful deliberation” and that the university “is committed to upholding the right to free expression while also protecting the safety of its campus community.”

In October, ACLU SoCal filed lawsuits on behalf of two students and two faculty members against the UC and UCLA, alleging the actions the university took to break down the encampment violated their free speech rights.

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UCLA spokesperson Ricardo Vazquez told CalMatters via email that the university would respond in court and that UCLA “fully supports community members expressing their First Amendment rights in ways that do not violate the law, our policies, jeopardize community safety, or disrupt the functioning of the university.”

“The encampment that arose on campus this spring became a focal point for violence, a disruption to campus, and was in violation of the law,” Vazquez said in the email statement. “These conditions necessitated its removal.”





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Southern California hiring in November runs 47% below average

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Southern California hiring in November runs 47% below average


A record 8.11 million at work in Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside and San Bernardino counties in November.

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