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Can Donald Trump break his California record? What polls show before rally

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Can Donald Trump break his California record? What polls show before rally


As former President Donald Trump prepares to hold a rally near Coachella, California, on October 12, recent polling data shows he could break his own record for futility in the Golden State.

At a news conference in September while visiting his National Golf Club in Ranchos Palos Verdes for a fundraiser, Trump called California “a mess” and blasted Vice President Kamala Harris and Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom over their handling of immigration, crime and local elections.

How to Watch Trump’s Coachella Rally

Trump is scheduled to speak Saturday at 5 p.m. PST, with doors opening at 12 p.m. at Calhoun Ranch near Coachella.

The event is open to the public, with online registration available through Trump’s campaign website.

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“Under Kamala Harris and her dangerous Democrat allies like Tim Walz, the notorious ‘California Dream’ has turned into a nightmare for everyday Americans,” states the campaign email announcing the event. “Californians are suffocating under rising prices for everything from groceries to housing, thanks to Kamalanomics.”

Newsweek contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns via email on Monday for comment.

Trump’s coming appearance at Calhoun Ranch marks his first public event in the Coachella Valley since a private fundraiser in 2020.

Trump’s Polling in California

According to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average for California, updated on October 7, 2024, Trump trails Vice President Kamala Harris by a substantial margin. The data shows Harris leading with 59.7 percent support compared to Trump’s 34.8 percent, giving the incumbent a 24.9 percentage point advantage.

The most recent survey included in FiveThirtyEight’s average, conducted by the University of Southern California and California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy from September 12-25, shows Harris leading Trump 58 percent to 36 percent among 1,685 likely voters.

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An ActiVote survey conducted from August 21 to September 21 among 400 likely voters found Harris leading Trump 64 percent to 36 percent. A Capitol Weekly poll from September 11-16, sampling 1,054 likely voters, showed Harris ahead 59 percent to 34 percent.

California’s political landscape has shifted dramatically over the past few decades. Once a reliable Republican stronghold in presidential elections from 1952 through 1988, except for Barry Goldwater’s loss in 1964, the state has become increasingly Democratic.

Trump’s performance in the 2016 election set a low bar for Republican candidates in California. He received 31.62 percent of the vote, the worst showing for a Republican presidential nominee in the state since 1856. Hillary Clinton won California with 61.73 percent of the vote, a margin of 30.11 percent and a vote difference of over 4.2 million.

Despite California being the most populous state, it only delivered Trump his third-largest vote count in 2016, behind Florida and Texas. Clinton’s victory marked the first time a Democrat had won Orange County since 1936, and only the fourth time in U.S. history that a Republican was elected president without carrying California.

In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden won California by approximately 30 points over Donald Trump, marking the fourth consecutive presidential election where the Democratic nominee secured over 60 percent of the vote in the state.

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With 54 electoral votes, California remains a crucial prize in presidential elections, despite losing one electoral vote after the 2020 Census. The state still commands more than 10 percent of the total 538 electoral votes.

Trump’s visit is already drawing attention from backers and opponents. In 2020, his fundraiser in Rancho Mirage attracted dozens of supporters to greet him at Palm Springs International Airport, while hundreds of foes held a counterprotest near the venue.

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump speaks during a news conference at Trump National Golf Club Los Angeles in Rancho Palos Verdes, California, on September 13. Trump returns to California for a rally…




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California just handed oil companies billions in free pollution permits

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California just handed oil companies billions in free pollution permits


By Alejandro Lazo, CalMatters

This story was originally published by CalMatters. Sign up for their newsletters.

California air regulators on Friday approved a contentious overhaul of the state’s carbon market, creating a program that could steer billions of dollars in free pollution permits to oil refineries and other major polluters over the objections of environmental groups, key lawmakers and three of the board’s own members.

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Ten members of the California Air Resources Board voted to adopt the changes to its cap-and-invest program after two days of lengthy hearings, including a full day dedicated to hundreds of public comments.

The overhaul followed intensive lobbying by the oil industry as well as pressure from Gov. Gavin Newsom’s administration to help keep refineries operating in the state amid rising gas prices.

The approval sets up a potential budget fight in Sacramento. The Legislative Analyst’s Office projects that quarterly auction revenue for state climate programs will drop from roughly $4 billion a year to about $2 billion under the new overhaul.

Such a shortfall would effectively zero out programs lawmakers spent last year fighting to fund: affordable housing, public transit, drinking water in low-income communities and pollution monitoring in California’s most polluted neighborhoods.

The governor’s office praised the measure as a compromise that balanced economic uncertainty with the state’s climate goals. Refinery closures and the Iran-Israel war have driven average California gas prices above $6 a gallon. 

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Newsom, in a statement, used the moment to draw a contrast with President Donald Trump.

“While Trump sows ongoing chaos and uncertainty, California is staying focused by protecting our economy, safeguarding public health, and doubling down on the clean energy future all Californians deserve,” he said. 

Environmentalists warned the changes to the program amount to a giveaway to the fossil fuel industry that weakens California’s only program setting a firm cap on greenhouse gas emissions.

Katelyn Roedner Sutter, California senior director for the Environmental Defense Fund, called the decision “deeply misguided” for prioritizing polluters over communities.

“Newsom’s air regulators are handing billions to oil executives at the expense of our climate, health, and affordability for working families in a rushed process that has shortchanged meaningful public participation,” said Bahram Fazeli, policy director at Communities for a Better Environment. 

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How the program works — and what changes

California’s 13-year-old carbon market forces major polluters to buy permits while the state lowers the overall cap each year. Friday’s vote will reduce those permits – and creates a new subsidy program carved out of the market.

The program, which may still see changes, could make available a new pool of free pollution permits available to industry valued at as much as $4 billion. Companies that pledge to invest in clean energy and efficiency may qualify for the permits in exchange for investments in clean energy. 

The pool will be capped at 118.3 million permits — the same number the air board has said must come off the market for California to hit its 2030 climate target. Environmentalists say the proposal risks wiping out those reductions. 

Half are reserved for the fossil fuel sector. A recent Berkeley analysis, by the chair of an independent committee that oversees the carbon market, found refineries could end up with more free permits than they need to cover their emissions.

The air board has defended the design. Officials say the credits will go only to companies undertaking decarbonization projects, will be limited and temporary and can be clawed back if companies misuse them. The plan, they say, is meant to keep California refineries operating at a time of mounting closures and global market pressure. According to air regulators, the amended program will spur clean-energy investment as Trump cuts federal support.

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This article was originally published on CalMatters and was republished under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives license.



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Man charged with murder, kidnapping their 5-year-old child before fleeing to Mexico

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Man charged with murder, kidnapping their 5-year-old child before fleeing to Mexico


A 40-year-old Los Angeles man was charged with murder after allegedly killing his girlfriend and kidnapping their young child before fleeing to Mexico, according to authorities.

Ruben Fregosojuarez has been charged one count of murder and one misdemeanor count of child abuse under circumstance or conditions other than great bodily injury or death, according to a Los Angeles County District Attorney’s Office news release. Authorities first identified him as Ruben Fregoso but Los Angeles County prosecutors listed him as Ruben Fregosojuarez.

On Monday around 12:39 p.m., the Los Angeles Police Department conducted a welfare check in the 2600 block of South Alsace Avenue in West Adams, police said in a news release.

Officers found a woman dead inside the home “as a result of violence” and the woman’s daughter missing, police said. On Monday night, the California Highway Patrol issued an Amber Alert for the child, Daleza.

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Photos obtained by NBC4 appear to show Fregosojuarez in a parking garage in San Ysidro with the girl on Sunday. The California Highway Patrol has listed her age as 4 years old but Los Angeles police say the girl is 5. She is also described as the suspect’s daughter.

The alert said that the girl was last seen with Fregosojuarez, who allegedly abducted her in a 2019 Land Rover Discovery, on Sunday at about 4 a.m.

The CHP posted in an update that the vehicle was found but that the child and man were still missing. The girl is described as 3 feet tall, 45 pounds, and having black hair and brown eyes.



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23andMe Sued by California Over Massive 2023 Data Breach

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23andMe Sued by California Over Massive 2023 Data Breach


California’s attorney general is suing the consumer genetics testing company formerly known as 23andMe, alleging the company failed to protect customers’ sensitive personal information in a massive 2023 data breach that exposed the ancestry and genetic data of nearly 7 million people.

Attorney General Rob Bonta filed the lawsuit on Thursday in San Francisco Superior Court against Chrome Holding Co., formerly known as 23andMe, accusing the company of failing to properly investigate or respond to numerous warnings that its systems had been compromised. The company’s mail-in self-testing kits became synonymous with DNA testing before it filed for bankruptcy in 2025.

In 2023, cybercriminals breached 23andMe’s systems by using a “credential-stuffing attack,” which involves bombarding online accounts with huge sets of user names and passwords stolen in previous unrelated attacks. Over a period of months, the intruders were able to make off with the personal data of more than 6.9 million people.

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“23andMe’s security measures were so lax that the threat actor was able to operate undetected within 23andMe’s systems for over five months, and remarkably, 23andMe only began investigating after the threat actor offered the stolen user data for sale on the dark web and reached out to 23andMe to demand a ransom,” Bonta’s office said in the complaint. 

The San Francisco-based company, which allowed people to submit genetic materials and get a snapshot of their ancestry, revealed in October 2023 that hackers had accessed customer information in the prolonged data breach that targeted customers with Chinese or Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry. The stolen data of more than 1 million Asian-Pacific Islander and Ashkenazi Jewish users was later posted for sale on the dark web. 

“The sale of this data on the dark web took place amidst a period of mounting anti-Asian American and Pacific Islander and antisemitic hate and violence,” Bonta said in a press release. “This is disturbing and incredibly dangerous.”

 A January 2024 lawsuit accused the company of not doing enough to protect its customers and not notifying certain customers that their data had been targeted specifically. It later settled the lawsuit for $30 million.

23andMe representatives didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

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At its peak, 23andMe became the best-known name in the emerging area of DNA self-testing, with users paying upwards of $99 for kits that gave them insights into their genetic makeup, potential relatives and ancestry. But the company’s momentum slowed down in recent years after its $3.5 billion public offering in 2021.

Last July, TTAM Research Institute, a nonprofit led by Anne Wojcicki, 23andMe’s cofounder and former CEO, acquired 23andMe’s assets for $305 million.    





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