Connect with us

Arizona

Young Arizona voters delivered wins for Dems in 2022

Published

on

Young Arizona voters delivered wins for Dems in 2022


An indication outdoors Burton Barr Public Library in Phoenix on Nov. 8, 2022. Photograph by Jerod MacDonald-Evoy | Arizona Mirror

Younger voters are an more and more highly effective phase of the Arizona voters and helped propel Democratic candidates to key victories through the midterms, however specialists and voting advocates say the bloc nonetheless has a whole lot of room to develop. 

Persons are additionally studying…

Advertisement

Voters 65 years and older make up 28% of all registered voters within the state, whereas solely 10% are between 18 and 24 years previous and one other 16% are between 25 and 34, in line with estimates from Sam Almy, an information analyst for Democratic consulting agency Uplift Campaigns. 

Whereas these two youthful generations — roughly the Millennial and Gen Z voters — are solely barely lower than the overall Child Boomer voters, there’s little comparability when it comes to precise participation in elections. Boomers turnout at a lot larger charges and made up greater than two in each 5 voters this election, in comparison with about one in each eight voters coming from the youthful generations.

And since Millennial and Gen Z voters maintain extra liberal views, they’re an essential rising voting bloc for Democrats.

Advertisement

“The Democratic Celebration is at all times searching for the youth vote,” he mentioned. “The youthful voters are likely to vote extra liberal, the one drawback is that they don’t at all times end up within the numbers which might be wanted.”

GET THE MORNING HEADLINES DELIVERED TO YOUR INBOX

Almy’s evaluation of at the moment obtainable early voting outcomes from the midterm election discovered that solely about 13% of early ballots have been solid by youthful voters, whereas these 65 and older made up as a lot as 42% of early returns. (Greater than 80% of Arizona voters solid an early poll this yr.) Almy expects these percentages to develop as soon as Election Day knowledge turns into obtainable, however doesn’t see the share of younger voters surpassing the older portion of the voters. 

Nonetheless, Almy mentioned, in a swing state more and more outlined by shut races, each vote counts. The gubernatorial race was determined by fewer than 20,000 votes out of almost 2.6 million ballots solid. The race for lawyer normal was even narrower, with simply 510 votes separating the 2 candidates when counting was accomplished. 

Advertisement

“Many of the voters are going to be aged 65 and older,” Almy mentioned. “In 2018, over half of the voters have been over 55. However the factor is, if you get to the place Arizona is in politics, and all these statewide elections are coming proper all the way down to the wire, a small share of voters can swing that.” 

For Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, that potential to sway close-fought elections is exactly why younger voters shouldn’t be dismissed. Tzintzún Ramirez is the manager director of the Arizona department of NextGen America, a progressive youth advocacy group and political motion committee that contacted younger voters throughout the state by way of texts, cellphone calls and in-person conferences forward of the midterm elections. 

This yr was a transparent instance of what a mobilized youth voting bloc can do, she mentioned. Exit polls estimate that 76% of younger voters in Arizona who did present up overwhelmingly voted for U.S. Sen. Mark Kelly’s reelection bid, and 71% of them solid their ballots for Katie Hobbs within the race for governor. Voting in larger share factors for Democrats allowed the group to cancel out the affect of the Child Boomer vote, Tzintzún Ramirez mentioned, and helped them cripple the broadly predicted however unsuccessful pink wave. 

Up to now three election cycles, younger voters have turned out in document numbers in Arizona, and Tzintzún Ramirez expects that pattern will probably be cemented as soon as all the information from this yr’s midterms is gathered. On the nationwide stage, the midterms noticed the second-highest turnout amongst younger voters since 2018. 

“We’re simply seeing within the final three elections — 2018, 2020, and 2022 — younger folks turning out in document numbers,” Tzintzún mentioned. “As soon as we’ve three elections like this, it’s clear it’s not a fluke, it’s not a coincidence. That is now a sample of younger folks changing into a political power to be reckoned with.” 

Advertisement

In 2018, younger voters in Arizona solid 11.5% of ballots, a soar from the earlier midterm election in 2014 when solely 6.3% did. Presidential elections noticed even higher yields from younger Arizonans: In 2016, 33% of younger voters confirmed up and in 2020 that quantity shot as much as 51%. 

Whereas ultimate turnout outcomes for this yr’s midterms can’t but be absolutely calculated, the outcomes of the U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races are a promising signal that the group’s affect hasn’t diminished, mentioned Kristi Johnston, a spokeswoman for NextGen America. 

“2020 was the primary yr in 30 years the place Arizona flipped blue for the primary time and that was because of younger voters and younger voters of colour,” she mentioned. “This yr has been a robust testomony to the truth that these voters aren’t going away.”

Whereas she agrees that the numbers sign an more and more consequential future for the voting bloc, Tzintzún Ramirez cautioned towards taking its assist as a right. The margins for victory in a battleground state like Arizona are too slender to chop again on voter mobilization efforts, even when younger voters are likely to vote extra reliably Democrat than the remainder of the voters. 

“Democrats and progressives can be naive to suppose that they’ve the youth vote on lockdown in the event that they’re not going to spend the money and time absolutely investing in it,” she mentioned.

Advertisement

The submit Younger Arizona voters delivered wins for Dems in 2022 appeared first on Arizona Mirror.



Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Arizona

Heat-related deaths in Phoenix, Arizona, have nearly doubled this year

Published

on

Heat-related deaths in Phoenix, Arizona, have nearly doubled this year


Heat-related deaths in hottest major US city have almost doubled compared with the same period last year, after Phoenix experienced its hottest ever June on record.

The number of possible heat deaths reported by the Maricopa county medical examiner was 175 as of 29 June – a staggering 84% increase over the same period last year.

That current total comprises 162 suspected deaths under investigation and 13 confirmed heat deaths.

The death toll from extreme heat has been rising every year in Maricopa county, where Phoenix, the Arizona state capital and America’s fifth largest city, is located.

Advertisement

Deaths are concentrated in Phoenix despite city and statewide efforts to tackle the rise in heat mortality and morbidity.

Last year, Phoenix suffered a month of consecutive days over 110F (43C) and a record 645 heat deaths in the county – a 700% rise over the past decade. But the unprecedented July heatwave followed a cooler-than-normal June, which could partly explain the surge in early season heat-related deaths recorded so far this year.

The average temperature – a measure which takes into account the daily highs and lows – made June 2024 the hottest ever recorded in the city. This was driven in large part by multiple record warm lows or night-time temperatures towards the end of the month, when moisture from a tropical system sat over the region, trapping the daytime heat and limiting cooling.

The night-time low on 27 June was 95F – which broke the record for the warmest overnight June low, which was 93F and set in 1990. The hotter nights are particularly alarming for public health experts because heat is cumulative, and the body cannot start to properly recover until the temperature drops below 80F.

Dangerously hot temperatures are forecast for Maricopa county and the entire south-west United States, with a heat dome – a strong area of high pressure and warm air – expected to linger until the middle of next week, according to the National Weather Service (NWS) in a post on X.

Advertisement

With no rain forecast, temperatures could top 115F in Phoenix over the next few days, with records likely to be broken in parts of California and Las Vegas, according to Gabriel Lojero, a meteorologist at the NWS Phoenix.

“The heat is going to be very severe across the majority of the south-west with an excessive heat warning in place for most of the region. The heatwave will be especially severe over the July 4 weekend when more people are doing outdoor activities,” said Lojero.

Heat deaths are rising across the US – and globally – with official counts likely to be a significant underestimate as many medical examiners have yet to develop processes that match Maricopa county’s.

So far this year, heat has also killed at least two people in Idaho and at least five in Kansas City, according to reports from local health officials.

skip past newsletter promotion
Advertisement

Investigating suspected heat deaths takes time.

Of the 13 confirmed heat deaths in Maricopa county so far this year, 46% of the people were Black, Latino or Indigenous American; 69% were men and 31% were women. At least two deaths took place indoors. In one case, the deceased’s air conditioning was turned off, in the other case it was not functioning, according to preliminary investigations.

Paramedics have responded to 424 heat-related emergency calls so far this year, according to the Phoenix fire department.

Advertisement

It’s not clear what impact the city’s decision to evict a large homeless encampment from downtown – where many services are located – will have on heat deaths, as 45% of last year’s fatalities involved unsheltered people. So far this year, 31% of the confirmed deaths involved unhoused people. It’s unclear whether some unhoused people have left due to Phoenix’s increasingly draconian crackdown on homelessness.

In May, advocates condemned Phoenix for effectively criminalizing homelessness after the Democrat-run city council voted unanimously to ban people from sleeping, cooking or camping at city buildings, parks and parking lots, and also within 500ft of schools, daycare centers, shelters and parks.

The tent ban can now be enforced after the US supreme court last week ruled that it was not unconstitutional for cities to arrest and fine people for sleeping in public spaces, even when no shelter space exists. Phoenix “will continue to offer shelter and services when possible, and will ask for compliance before resorting to an arrest”, according to the city attorney Julie Kriegh.

The region is accustomed to a hot desert climate, but daytime and night temperatures are rising due to global heating. The deadly consequences have been exacerbated by decades of unchecked urban development that created a sprawling heat island, which the city is trying to tackle with a variety of programs.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Arizona

Game 88: Arizona 8 @ San Diego 10

Published

on

Game 88: Arizona 8 @ San Diego 10


Record: 43-45, Pace: 79-83, 4th in NL West, 5th Place in NL Wild Card

Both Arizona and San Diego came into this game riding highs. For Arizona, they’d essentially swept the Dodgers (minus a bad pitch or two from Seawald – his first problematic showing all season!). San Diego meanwhile was riding the high of taking 2 out of 3 from the reigning World Champion Texas Rangers!


Carroll led the game off with a double. He scored when JOC HOMERED TO DEAD CENTER (AZ 2-0)! Gurriel also doubled but nothing else fun happened. Cecconi matched the offense’s vibe and shut down the Padres in the first! Sadly the offense couldn’t replicate in the second, going down in order. Cecconi was less sharp in the second, allowing a run on some small ball: Machado doubled and advanced to home on the next two outs (AZ 2-1). Vasquez again retired the side in the third. Thankfully Cecconi matched him.

Gabi and Suarez made some noise in the fourth, but Alek ended the fun with a groundout to third (but it wasn’t second, so progress?)… It came back to haunt the team though as Cecconi struggled the second time through the order. Jackson Merrill tripled two runs home (SD 3-2) and then scored himself when David Peralta doubled (SD 4-2). Cecconi struck Kim out, but Higashioka singled Peralta home (SD 5-2). After an infield single to Arraez, Cecconi ended the inning. Despite a Perdomo single, Carroll grounded into a double play and Marte ended the inning with his own groundout. Cecconi got the first two outs of the fifth on his own double play, but Suarez erred on a grounder, which ended Slade’s night in favor of Jacques. Thankfully he quickly ended the inning. The sixth was not fun for Arizona. HIGASHIOKA HOMERED IN THE BOTTOM HALF WITH A RUNNER ON (SD 7-2)! The bleeding stopped there.

The top of the seventh was another nothing showing for the Arizona bats. Castellanos kept San Diego from scoring. Newman hit for Pederson in the eighth, but San Diego countered with a pitching change and Newman struck out. Castellanos stayed on the mound for Arizona and handled the eighth without issue. The offense looked alive in the ninth as Gurriel and Moreno singled before McCarthy (hitting for Suarez) walked. ALEK THOMAS HIT A GRAND SLAM OFF NEW PITCHER SUAREZ (SD 7-6)! Perdomo then had a nice grounder that Arraez made a nice play on. But Carroll earned himself a hustle double so that Ketel Grichuk could bat. HE HIT A TWO RUN HOME RUN (AZ 8-7)! Newman kept the hit parade going, which also ended Suarez’s (SD Closer) night. Walker struck out to end the fun.

Advertisement

The defense for the bottom of the ninth was as intriguing as the choice to remove Marte with Herrera catching, Moreno to Third, Newman at second, McCarthy in right and Seawald on the mound. It did not go well. Seawald immediately gave up a GAME-TYING HOME RUN TO PROFAR (TIE 8-8). He proceeded to walk the next batter which set MACHADO UP TO WALK THE GAME OFF (SD 10-8)!

ARIZONA 8, SAN DIEGO 10 LOSS

Conclusion

As with many Cecconi starts, this game started well enough. He looked great the first time through the order. Then it rolled over. From there, it was all down hill on the pitching side. The bullpen wasn’t horrid. The offense had a first inning. Then they went home until the ninth where they loaded the based and forced San Diego to use their closer in a 7-2 ballgame. They had a PHENOMENAL showing, taking the lead back.

Grichuk got to be the big hero tonight, however it comes with some trepidation about Marte who looked both fine and a little worried in the dugout after being pinch hit for.

FanGraphs

Advertisement

Up Next

Matt Waldron welcomes Brandon Pfaadt to Petco Park for the second game of the series. First pitch is at 6:40pm Arizona Time.



Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Arizona

After arresting husband, police locate body of missing Flagstaff woman

Published

on

After arresting husband, police locate body of missing Flagstaff woman


play

The body of 45-year-old Kelly Paduchowski was found by police on Friday after the woman went missing on Sunday, the Flagstaff Police Department said.

Advertisement

Police located Paduchowski’s body at about 10 a.m. but declined to specify where her body was found or who discovered it, citing an active investigation.

Police said the recovery efforts for the victim’s body were still active.

It comes after Flagstaff officers on Tuesday arrested the victim’s husband, Daniel Paduchowski, after authorities talked with family and witnesses and after processing evidence, police said.

Police announced the same day that the disappearance and subsequent investigation was considered a homicide case.

Advertisement

Kelly Paduchowski’s cellphone data placed the device in the Schultz Creek Trail area about 10:20 a.m. Sunday, police said while Daniel Paduchowski was observed in the same area about 11:30 a.m.

At approximately 12:13 p.m., the device was back at the couple’s Coconino Estates home, police said. Kelly Paduchowski’s white Mazda CX-5 and Daniel Paduchowski were seen about 1:30 p.m. at Campbell Mesa Trail Head, police said.

The Flagstaff Police Department announced a news conference on Friday at 4 p.m. with Chief Sean Connolly and officials with the Coconino County Attorney’s Office.

“Updates and additional information will be provided with questions being limited due to the ongoing investigation,” said Flagstaff police Sgt. Jerry Rintala.

Advertisement

Rintala said the victim’s family had been notified and asked for their privacy during the investigation.

Republic reporter Jose R. Gonzalez contributed to this article.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending