Former gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake (R) and Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) are neck and neck in a new poll of Arizona voter preferences in a hypothetical 2024 Senate matchup.
The survey by Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling, released Wednesday, showed registered voters in Arizona are split when asked to pick between Lake and Gallego in a hypothetical matchup for the U.S. Senate seat — with 45 percent supporting Gallego and 46 percent supporting Lake. Ten percent said they were not sure.
The gap between the two candidates remained tight when respondents were asked about a hypothetical three-way matchup including Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.), who currently holds the seat and has not said whether she plans to run for reelection.
If she does run, the poll suggests Gallego could get more of a boost than Lake. In a hypothetical matchup including all three candidates, Gallego takes a slight lead with 36 percent support, followed by Lake at 35 percent and Sinema at 17 percent. Twelve percent said they were not sure.
The point separating Lake and Gallego in each case is within the margin of error for the poll of +/- 4 percentage points.
Gallego’s support has taken a hit since the firm conducted a similar poll three months ago. The poll was sponsored by the Replace Sinema PAC.
In October 2023, Gallego garnered 48 percent support over Lake’s 43 percent in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, marking a five-point lead for Gallego compared to Lake’s one-point lead in the new poll. The previous survey also showed 9 percent said they were not sure whom they would select, compared with 10 percent in the most recent one.
The same month, Gallego was found to hold a more commanding lead over Lake in a hypothetical three-way matchup — with 41 percent support compared to Lake’s 36 percent. That five-point lead has narrowed to a one-point lead for Gallego in the recent survey.
Sinema, meanwhile, has seen her support tick up slightly in such a matchup, with 17 percent support in the recent survey, compared to 15 percent in October 2023.
The share of people who said they were not sure who they would vote for in a hypothetical three-way race also increased, with 12 percent unsure in the new poll, compared with 8 percent in October 2023.
The poll was conducted on Jan. 5-6, 2024, and surveyed 590 registered Arizona voters. It was conducted via Interactive Voice Response calls to landlines and texts to cell phones.
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On today’s Digital Pregame Show presented by Little Caesars, J.B Long, D’Marco Farr, and Maurice Jones-Drew preview the Los Angeles Rams’ Week 18 matchup against the Arizona Cardinals at SoFi Stadium. The trio discuss key players to watch, game predictions, and more. Tune in for kickoff at 1:25pm PT on FOX.
Arizona State is bringing in Kentucky transfer quarterback Cutter Boley after he played 10 full games as a redshirt freshman in 2025, FootballScoop’s John Brice first reported with SunDevilSource’s Chris Karpman confirming.
He gives the Sun Devils a signal-caller with three years of eligibility who had major flashes as a young starter in the SEC, including a career-high 330 yards and five touchdown passes on 74.3% passing against Tennessee on Oct. 25.
The 6-foot-5, 220-pound Boley had 2,160 yards (65.8%), 15 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions on the season with 85 rushing yards and two scores on the ground.
He was expected to take a two-day visit beginning on Saturday, but he committed before getting to the second day.
ASU head coach Kenny Dillingham extended an offer to Boley as a high school junior while he was the 24th quarterback in the 2024 class and the coach was serving as offensive coordinator at Oregon.
Dillingham took more of an active role in the offense during the Sun Bowl on Wednesday, and he said postgame recent changes in administration have allowed him to focus more on football. It would make sense the active role carries over to the development of Boley.
He gets to ASU after the departure of Sam Leavitt, who has fittingly been linked to Kentucky in what could be a 1-for-1 transfer swap of quarterbacks.
The youngest SEC quarterback to get substantial time this season, Boley played mostly as a game manager with quick passes behind or near the line of scrimmage.
His six big-time throws — tracked by PFF as passes with “excellent ball location and timing, generally thrown further down the field and/or into a tight window” — were tied for last among 15 qualified SEC passers.
His 18 turnover-worthy plays, another PFF-tracked stat, were tied for fourth out of 15.
Comparing the stats to ASU’s quarterbacks this season, Leavitt had 18 big-time throws and 12 turnover-worthy plays in seven games. Jeff Sims had eight big-time throws and nine turnover-worthy plays in eight contests.
Because he has three years of eligibility remaining, Boley could eventually have to compete with young ASU quarterbacks Cam Dyer and Jake Fette, who will be redshirt and true freshmen, respectively, in 2026.
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