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Lake, Gallego neck and neck in hypothetical Arizona Senate matchup: Poll

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Lake, Gallego neck and neck in hypothetical Arizona Senate matchup: Poll


Former gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake (R) and Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) are neck and neck in a new poll of Arizona voter preferences in a hypothetical 2024 Senate matchup.

The survey by Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling, released Wednesday, showed registered voters in Arizona are split when asked to pick between Lake and Gallego in a hypothetical matchup for the U.S. Senate seat — with 45 percent supporting Gallego and 46 percent supporting Lake. Ten percent said they were not sure.

The gap between the two candidates remained tight when respondents were asked about a hypothetical three-way matchup including Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.), who currently holds the seat and has not said whether she plans to run for reelection.

If she does run, the poll suggests Gallego could get more of a boost than Lake. In a hypothetical matchup including all three candidates, Gallego takes a slight lead with 36 percent support, followed by Lake at 35 percent and Sinema at 17 percent. Twelve percent said they were not sure.

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The point separating Lake and Gallego in each case is within the margin of error for the poll of +/- 4 percentage points.

Gallego’s support has taken a hit since the firm conducted a similar poll three months ago. The poll was sponsored by the Replace Sinema PAC.

In October 2023, Gallego garnered 48 percent support over Lake’s 43 percent in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, marking a five-point lead for Gallego compared to Lake’s one-point lead in the new poll. The previous survey also showed 9 percent said they were not sure whom they would select, compared with 10 percent in the most recent one.

The same month, Gallego was found to hold a more commanding lead over Lake in a hypothetical three-way matchup — with 41 percent support compared to Lake’s 36 percent. That five-point lead has narrowed to a one-point lead for Gallego in the recent survey.

Sinema, meanwhile, has seen her support tick up slightly in such a matchup, with 17 percent support in the recent survey, compared to 15 percent in October 2023.

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The share of people who said they were not sure who they would vote for in a hypothetical three-way race also increased, with 12 percent unsure in the new poll, compared with 8 percent in October 2023.

The poll was conducted on Jan. 5-6, 2024, and surveyed 590 registered Arizona voters. It was conducted via Interactive Voice Response calls to landlines and texts to cell phones.

Copyright 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.



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Arizona

ALA West Foothills, Pusch Ridge in 3A final; Pima, Scottsdale Christian in 2A

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ALA West Foothills, Pusch Ridge in 3A final; Pima, Scottsdale Christian in 2A


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With 18 of their 22 suspended players back for the 2A semifinals, the 12th-seeded Scottsdale Christian Eagles pulled the biggest upset of the small-school state football playoffs Saturday.

They avenged their season-opening loss to No. 1-seed Gilbert San Tan Charter with a 34-21 victory at Mesa Westwood High School.

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Scottsdale Christian (9-4) will face No. 3 Pima (12-1), which stunned No. 2 Tonopah Valley 40-34 in the earlier semifinal on Saturday.

SCA and Pima will play next Saturday at Glendale Mountain Ridge High School at 2 p.m. It is a rematch of last year’s state championship game that Scottsdale Christian won 41-22. The teams met in Week 7 this year with Pima winning 20-17.

Scottsdale Christian had 22 players suspended for leaving the sideline in the final minute of its first-round upset of No. 5 Eloy Santa Cruz, after a fight broke out.

The Eagles were able to escape Phoenix Veritas Prep 26-24 with a depleted roster, before getting most of their players back for San Tan Charter, a powerful team led by Arizona State-bound Uriah Neloms, a wide receiver who played quarterback in his final high school season.

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SCA quarterback Sean Helgeson passed for three touchdowns, including a 70-yarder to Lawson Lavallee that broke a 14-14 tie late in the third quarter. Midway through the final quarter, Caleb Randall, a top small-schools linebacker who added running back duties this season, scored on a 2-yard run to give the Eagles a 27-14 lead.

On STC’s ensuing possession, sophomore Caleb Murphy intercepted a pass and returned it 40 yards for a score, sealing the win.

“This time we just concentrated on us,” SCA coach Mike Sheahan said. “We have had so much adversity the last couple of weeks and, honestly, all season, that we had to slow down and just do our thing.

“All attention was inward and the opponent just happened to be 12-0 and the No. 1 seed. These boys played for each other and the SCA community with heart.”

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In the August loss to San Tan Charter (12-1), SCA was without its best player, Randall. He’s been a difference maker since returning from an injury that caused him to miss the first three games.

3A final set

The 3A football championship game is set between No. 2 ALA West Foothills of Waddell and No. 4 Tucson Pusch Ridge at 6 p.m., Saturday at Mountain Ridge. This is the American Leadership Academy school’s first trip to the championship in only its third year.

ALA West Foothills has been The Arizona Republic’s No. 1-ranked 3A team since preseason. Coach Chad Mitton’s team got past No. 3 Thatcher 34-22 in Saturday’s semifinal at Mesa High. But the Guardians will be without their best player, two-way star J.J. Brutus, who suffered a broken leg in the final quarter. Brutus, a running back/edge rusher, had two first-half rushing TDs. He also had a fumble recovery.

The Guardians (13-0) led by as much as 27-9, before Thatcher (10-3) scored two touchdowns to become the first team to score more than three touchdowns against ALA West Foothills this season.

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Pusch Ridge (12-1) avenged its only loss this season to Benjamin Franklin Queen Creek with a 24-13 win.

Since losing to Benjamin Franklin 31-7 on Sept. 6, Pusch Ridge has reeled off 11 wins, giving up no more than two touchdowns in any of those games.

Pusch Ridge led 14-0, before Talan Speir scored on a 16-yard run with five minutes left in the third quarter to cut it to 14-7. In the final minute of the quarter, Pusch Ridge increased its lead to 21-7 on Blake Reed’s 4-yard scoring run.

After Benjamin Franklin (11-2) scored with a minute to play, Pusch Ridge recovered the on-side kick and ate up the remaining time.

Richard Obert has been covering high school sports since the 1980s for The Arizona Republic. He also covers Grand Canyon University athletics and the Arizona Rattlers. To suggest human-interest story ideas and other news, reach Obert at richard.obert@arizonarepublic.com or 602-316-8827. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter: @azc_obert

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Upsets clear path for Arizona State to be in top 10 of College Football Playoff Rankings

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Upsets clear path for Arizona State to be in top 10 of College Football Playoff Rankings


An already crazy college football season got a whole lot crazier on Saturday.

And Arizona State was right in the middle of it.

The Sun Devils held off BYU 28-23 in a game that ended twice, creating a four-way tie for first place in the Big 12.

After it appeared Arizona State had run out the clock with a fourth down throw that sailed 50-plus yards down the sideline and landed in the stands, Sun Devils fans stormed the field and brought down the goalposts.

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But the game wasn’t over. Officials determined that Sam Leavitt’s throw landed in the stands with one second on the clock. So they cleared the field, put the goalposts back up, and gave BYU one final play from midfield.

On the final play, BYU quarterback Jake Retzlaff threw a Hail Mary pass that was caught short of the goal line, officially ending the game.

Then the fans stormed the field again.

“We won the football game,” Arizona State coach Kenny Dillingham said. “We beat another ranked team at Mountain America Stadium. So this is all about the guys. These guys battled, these guys fought and found a way to win. Whatever happened at the end, it happened.

“You know what? We got to rush the field twice, how about that?”

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Losses Clear CFP Path For Arizona State

Arizona State coach Kenny Dillingham runs with Arizona State defensive back Javan Robinson (12) as he returns an interception

Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham runs with Arizona State defensive back Javan Robinson (12) as he returns an interception against BYU during the second half at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe on Nov. 23, 2024. / Patrick Breen/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The upsets on Saturday started early and continued all day.

Seven Top 25 teams lost, including No. 5 Indiana, No. 7 Alabama and No. 9 Ole Miss, No. 15 Texas A&M and No. 16 Colorado.

Arizona State’s win over No. 14 BYU, coupled with Colorado’s 37-21 loss to Kansas, means the Sun Devils will be the highest-ranked Big 12 team in the next College Football Playoff Rankings.

So how high will the Sun Devils climb?

You can make a case that they should be in the top 10.

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Indiana (10-1) has played a historically soft schedule and showed it has no business being in the top 10 with a blowout loss to Ohio State — the only ranked opponent they will play all season.

Alabama (8-3) was soundly beaten by an average Oklahoma team and now has three losses. Ole Miss (8-3) also has three losses, including a bad one to Kentucky.

All three teams should drop out of the top 10 — and Arizona State should move in.

Predicting the Next CFP Rankings

Arizona State easily had the best win of any Top 25 team on Saturday. And they have repeatedly showed they are one of the best college football teams in the country, with NFL talent all over the roster. What they have accomplished is not a fluke.

They’re better than Indiana and Boise State. The Broncos barely beat a Wyoming team that the Sun Devils blasted 48-7 earlier this season.

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Here’s how the Top 13 of the next CFP Rankings should look:

1. Oregon (11-0)

2. Ohio State (9-1)

3. Texas (9-1)

4. Notre Dame (9-1)

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5. Penn State (9-1)

6. Miami (9-1)

7. Georgia (8-2)

8. Tennessee (8-2)

9. SMU (9-1)

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10. Arizona State (9-2)

11. Alabama (8-3)

12. Indiana (10-1)

13. Boise State (9-1)

Ultimately, it doesn’t matter where Arizona State is ranked because they just need to win two more games to get in — next week at Arizona, then the Big 12 championship game.

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But the national respect for the Sun Devils — and the Big 12 — is long overdue.

More Arizona State & Big 12 Analysis



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Arizona falls to TCU 49-28, Wildcats out of bowl contention in Brent Brennan’s 1st season

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Arizona falls to TCU 49-28, Wildcats out of bowl contention in Brent Brennan’s 1st season


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FORT WORTH, Texas — When Arizona trekked to Texas last year, the Wildcats celebrated a come-from-behind victory in the Alamo Bowl to cap a historic season.

The only celebratory moment in Arizona’s 49-28 loss to TCU at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday was UA star wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan setting the program’s all-time receiving yards record. 

Arizona’s setback officially puts the Wildcats out of bowl contention. Arizona (4-7) won’t participate in the postseason for the sixth time in seven seasons. Brent Brennan is the third straight Arizona head coach to miss out on a bowl game in his first season at the helm. 

Arizona quarterback Noah Fifita’s pass attempt to McMillan running an out route was intercepted on the first play from scrimmage on Saturday. TCU running back Trent Battle scored a 4-yard rushing touchdown to give the Horned Frogs a 7-0 lead; he scored again on TCU’s opening drive of the second half. 

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TCU quarterback Josh Hoover, the Big 12’s leading passer, was pressured by UA defensive end Lance Keneley and threw an interception on the Horned Frogs’ second drive. Arizona free safety Jack Luttrell intercepted the pass for his third pick of the season, which tied sophomore Genesis Smith for a team-high this season. 

Despite the first-quarter interception, the Wildcats failed to reach TCU territory on the first three drives and fell behind 14-0.

Arizona clawed its way back to a one-possession deficit after Fifita connected with tight end Sam Olson, who ran a seam route, for a 51-yard gain to the red zone. UA redshirt sophomore wide receiver Chris Hunter completed the drive with a 17-yard touchdown catch, stretching out his body and tapping his toes to stay in bounds. Since becoming a starter last month, Hunter has emerged as the Wildcats second-best pass-catcher behind McMillan. 

Arizona’s dime defense used a similar tactic it used last week against Houston,  showing blitz with multiple defensive backs in the box and two defensive linemen in a two-point stance. The Wildcats either pressured Hoover or dropped back in coverage against TCU’s high-powered passing attack. Arizona forced back-to-back three-and-out possessions, but failed to convert TCU’s empty possessions into touchdowns. Arizona kicker Tyler Loop made a 53-yard and 43-yard field goal and trimmed the deficit 14-13.

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With a chance for more momentum just before halftime, TCU converted on three third-down plays, including a third-and-18 and third-and-25. The Horned Frogs also had an intentional grounding that knocked them out of field goal range, but Hoover’s 24-yard pass to wide receiver JP Richardson set up TCU receiver-converted-running back Savion Williams for a 20-yard touchdown run to take a 21-13 lead. 

Williams’ touchdown was the first of a five-touchdown streak for TCU. Arizona’s only offensive touchdown of the second half was Hunter’s goal-line catch in the back of the end zone. Hunter had eight catches for 45 yards. Third-year defensive end Sterling Lane II returned a fumble 68 yards with a minute left. 

McMillan’s 8-yard catch with just under 10 minutes left in the game officially put him as Arizona’s all-time leading receiver with 3,335 yards. McMillan passed current UA wide receivers coach Bobby Wade for the record.  

Arizona will now face red-hot in-state rival Arizona State for the Territorial Cup. The Wildcats have won the last two Territorial Cups. 

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Extra points:

  • Saturday was TCU’s first win over Arizona in Fort Worth. The Wildcats beat the Horned Frogs Fort Worth in 1999.
  • Arizona had 38 net rushing yards on Saturday. TCU, ranked near the bottom of the Big 12 in rushing defense, gave up an average of 190.1 rushing yards in the three games preceding Saturday. 
  • Second-year defensive lineman Julian Savaiinaea, the younger brother of Arizona star offensive tackle Jonah Savaiinaea, recorded his first-career sack at the UA on Saturday. Jonah Savaiinaea limped off the field in the fourth quarter.
  • Arizona cornerback Emmanuel Karnley was ejected in the fourth quarter for spitting at a TCU player. Karnley will be suspended for the first half of the Territorial Cup game.  
  • Arizona senior nose tackle Chubba Ma’ae, who has been out most of the season with a leg injury, participated in pregame warmups but sat out. Ma’ae can play in the Territorial Cup game on Saturday and medically redshirt to preserve another year of eligibility. 
  • Arizona safety Gunner Maldonado, who is out with a season-ending leg injury, was one of the captains for the pregame coin toss. Maldonado was the Alamo Bowl Defensive MVP last season. 



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