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What to watch in Florida, Wyoming, and Alaska primaries – Washington Examiner

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What to watch in Florida, Wyoming, and Alaska primaries – Washington Examiner


With just a handful of states left to hold their primaries in 2024, Alaska, Florida, and Wyoming are up next on Tuesday to see who will win the Democratic or Republican nominations for House and Senate seats.

In Alaska, eyes are on the sole House seat as vulnerable Rep. Mary Peltola (D-AK) seeks to defend her seat as the first House Democratic representative in five decades. In Wyoming and Florida, top GOP senators are hoping to defend their seats, while eyes will also be on Rep. Matt Gaetz‘s (R-FL) House race as he faces a challenger backed by former Speaker Kevin McCarthy.

All three states voted for former President Donald Trump in the 2016 and 2020 races, by significant margins in Alaska and Wyoming. However, ranked choice voting in Alaska helped congressional Democrats get a foot in the door of an otherwise solid red stronghold and is on track to do so again in November 2024.

FILE – Alaska U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola, a Democrat, speaks to reporters after giving an address to state lawmakers, Feb. 17, 2023, in Juneau, Alaska. (AP Photo/Becky Bohrerm File)

Peltola seeks reelection in Alaska

Alaska’s only race on Tuesday’s ballot will be the lone House seat represented by Peltola, who won a special election in August 2022 and a full term later that year in the November general election. The death of Rep. Don Young, the longest-serving House Republican in history, opened the floodgates to challengers from both parties.

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Peltola defeated 47 contenders in the special primary race, including former GOP Gov. and vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin and Republican Nick Begich. Begich is back for round three this year, battling against Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom for Republican votes.

Alaska is unique in that it uses a garbage primary and a ranked choice voting system for its general election. In the primary, the top four vote-getters advance to the general election. In November, voters will rank their preferences, and the candidate to receive 50% of the vote initially wins. If no one does, candidates are eliminated and the votes reallocated based on who a voter put as their second choice if their first choice is disqualified.

Peltola won the 2022 elections partially due to ranked choice voting and partially because of GOP infighting between Palin and Begich and their allies. This year, Begich and Dahlstrom have pledged to focus their attacks on Peltola and not each other — a contrast from 2022, when Peltola could rely on positive messaging and Republican mudslinging to skate by.

The incumbent congresswoman holds a significant fundraising advantage over Begich and Dahlstrom. Peltola’s campaign reported having $2.8 million cash on hand as of July 31, compared to Dahlstrom with $317,617 and Begich with $172,548. Peltola’s campaign has raised more than $7.5 million this cycle, compared to Begich’s $983,000 and Dahlstrom’s $912,000.

The Cook Political Report rates the race as “lean Democrat” due to the presence of two Republican candidates once again. Peltola won in a state that voted for Trump by 10 percentage points mostly because Republicans could not consolidate behind one candidate the way Democrats did. This allowed Peltola to run a centrist campaign and build up a coalition of independents, Democrats, and even some GOP voters.

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Begich has confirmed to the Washington Examiner he will withdraw from the race if he comes behind Dahlstrom in the primary. Dahlstrom has made no such pledge, meaning Republicans could face another repeat of 2022 if both candidates remain in the general race.

Most polls in Alaska close at 12 a.m. Eastern time, with the last polls closing at 1 a.m. Eastern time.

Left: Rep. Matt Gaetz, R-Fla., speaks on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, March 12, 2024. (AP Photo/Nathan Howard, File) Right: Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., talks to reporters at the Capitol in Washington, Tuesday, Oct. 3, 2023. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite, File) Gaetz is facing Aaron Dimmock, a McCarthy-backed challenger in the House primary in Florida on Aug. 20, 2024.

Gaetz McCarthy feud comes to head

Eyes will be on Matt Gaetz’s race in Florida as he fights a battle of personal and party identity in the state’s 1st Congressional District.

Gaetz will face Aaron Dimmock, who is backed by McCarthy. McCarthy was ousted after Gaetz and seven other House Republicans joined all Democrats in voting to remove the former congressman as speaker last fall.

The House subsequently devolved into chaos for three weeks, showing a clear division between establishment Republicans, who backed McCarthy, and hardline conservatives who were upset with McCarthy working with Democrats to pass a government spending deal.

That theme of GOP infighting has been present through much of the 2023-2024 Congress under Republican leadership, with some hardliners like Rep. Bob Good (R-VA) suffering defeat in his primary due to fracturing of support within the GOP Freedom Caucus.

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Gaetz himself backed Good, pitting himself against former President Donald Trump, who held a vendetta against Good for originally endorsing Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) as the GOP nominee for president. However, Trump is still supporting Gaetz and endorsed him in May.

The Florida congressman has raised $5 million this cycle in an effort to boost support among primary voters ahead of Tuesday. Polling shows Gaetz has a sizable lead in the race, but Dimmock, a moderate Republican and retired Navy pilot, is gaining thanks to the financial support from McCarthy and his allies.

“Usually I’ve had a resource advantage when I’ve run,” Gaetz told NPR on Friday. “I’m going to be outspent 3 or 4 to 1 in this contest because Kevin McCarthy has mobilized the millions of dollars he had in his political committees to run advertisements against me.”

While the race will determine where Florida Republicans fall on the conservative spectrum, the contest will also bring McCarthy and Gaetz’s personal feud to a head. The former speaker blames Gaetz for leading the charge to remove him from the top House leadership position, arguing it was payback for an Ethics Committee investigation into allegations that Gaetz was tied to sex trafficking and drugs. Gaetz has repeatedly denied the claims.

The two men also clashed at the Republican National Convention, forcing security to step between them after Gaetz taunted McCarthy during a live interview he was conducting with CNN.

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“What night are you speaking? Are you speaking tonight?” Gaetz asked mockingly.

“He’s got an ethics complaint about paying, sleeping with a 17-year-old,” McCarthy told CNN’s Kaitlan Collins without looking at Gaetz, then pivoted back to his answer in the interview.

McCarthy later told NBC News that Gaetz “probably shouldn’t be on the streets” but “unfortunately,” the Florida Republican is still in Congress.

Great Scott… elsewhere in Florida

Other Florida races to watch include Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL), who is likely to face former Democratic Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in November. Mucarsel-Powell was ousted in 2020 by Rep. Carlos Gimenez (R-FL) and is heavily favored to win her Democratic primary against three other competitors.

The general election race, which originally was thought to be an easy win for Republicans, is turning more competitive thanks to Mucarsel-Powell’s large fundraising intake.

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FEC reports on July 31 show Mucarsel-Powell has $4.4 million in her account compared to Scott’s $3.9 million. She raised $14.4 million from donors, with Scott putting in $13.7 million of his own money into the contest. Scott, who barely ousted former Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson in 2018, spent $63.6 million of his own money in that race.

Still, a poll from Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research USA released on Aug. 14 found Scott leading Mucarsel-Powell by 4 percentage points.

Scott’s race is significant as he has already announced that he plans to run for Senate Republican leader in the next Congress. He is one of three contenders to succeed Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), but he is the only contender on the 2024 ballot.

Most polls in Florida close at 7 p.m. Eastern time, with some closing at 8 p.m.

Left: Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo., center, offers remarks following the Senate Republicans policy luncheon at the Capitol Tuesday, July 30, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Rod Lamkey, Jr.) Right: Rep. Harriet Hageman, R-Wyo., arrives carrying a lariat as House Republicans hold a closed-door forum to hear from the contenders for speaker of the House, at the Capitol in Washington, Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2023. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

Wyoming Republicans face competitors but no serious bid

This year, only Republicans are facing contested primaries for the state’s Senate seat and sole House seat. The last time a Democrat won statewide office was in 2006, when former Gov. Dave Freudenthal was reelected.

According to the Associated Press, only 11% of the 220,000 registered voters are Democrats, with 81% identifying as Republican.

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Though Sen. John Barrasso (R-WY) and Rep. Harriet Hageman (R-WY) are facing primary challengers, neither are in serious danger to lose their seats.

Barrasso, who has represented Wyoming since 2007, is facing businessman Reid Rasner. Rasner has spent $1.2 million, with his fundraising including a $1.18 million campaign loan, compared to Barrasso spending $5 million, per the Associated Press.

Hageman is a freshman Republican who received national attention after she defeated former Republican Rep. Liz Cheney in the 2022 midterms. Cheney had isolated herself from the party after she broke ranks to criticize former President Donald Trump for the riots at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.

Cheney was one of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump following the insurrection. Of the 10, only Reps. Dan Newhouse (R-WA) and David Valadao (R-CA) are still serving in the House. The other eight either chose not to seek reelection or, like Cheney, were defeated in the primaries.

Hageman, a hardline conservative and House Freedom Caucus member, faces Steven Helling in the primary, who hasn’t reported any fundraising to the Federal Election Commission. Helling ran for the seat in 2022 but as a Democrat, switching his party affiliation in 2024 and running a campaign on nuclear energy legislation.

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“Even though I’m now a Republican, which fits my stance, I haven’t changed my positions,” Helling told Wyoming Public Media in June. “I was [also] pro-life when I was a Democrat.”

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

Democrats in both Wyoming congressional primaries are running unopposed: Scott Morrow for the Senate and Kyle Cameron for the House. Both Barrasso and Hageman’s seats are ranked “solid Republican” by the Cook Political Report.

Polls in Wyoming close at 9 p.m. Eastern time.



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Alaska

Trump administration opens vast majority of Alaska petroleum reserve to oil activity

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Trump administration opens vast majority of Alaska petroleum reserve to oil activity


The northeastern part of the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska is seen on June 26, 2014. (Photo by Bob Wick / U.S. Bureau of Land Management)

The Bureau of Land Management on Monday said it approved an updated management plan that opens about 82% of the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska to oil and gas leasing.

The agency this winter will also hold the first lease sale in the reserve since 2019, potentially opening the door for expanded oil and gas activity in an area that has seen new interest from oil companies in recent years.

The sale will be the first of five oil and gas lease sales called for in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act that passed this summer.

The approval of the plan follow the agency’s withdrawal of the 2024 activity plan for the reserve that was approved under the Biden administration and limited oil and gas drilling in more than half the reserve.

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The 23-million-acre reserve is the largest tract of public land in the U.S. It’s home to ConocoPhillips’ giant Willow discovery on its eastern flank.

ConocoPhillips and other companies are increasingly eyeing the reserve for new discoveries. ConocoPhillips has proposed plans for a large exploration season with winter, though an Alaska Native group and conservation groups have filed a lawsuit challenging the effort.

The planned lease sale could open the door for more oil and gas activity deeper into the reserve.

The Voice of the Arctic Iñupiat, consisting of elected leaders from Alaska’s North Slope, where the reserve is located, said it supports the reversal of the Biden-era plan. Infrastructure from oil and gas activity provides tax revenues for education, health care and modern services like running water and sewer, the group said.

The decision “is a step in the right direction and lays the foundation for future economic, community, and cultural opportunities across our region — particularly for the communities within the (petroleum reserve),” said Rex Rock Sr., president of the Arctic Slope Regional Corp. representing Alaska Natives from the region, in the statement from the group.

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The reserve was established more than a century ago as an energy warehouse for the U.S. Navy. It contains an estimated 8.7 billion barrels of recoverable oil.

But it’s also home to rich populations of waterfowl and caribou sought by Alaska Native subsistence hunters from the region, as well as threatened polar bears.

The Wilderness Society said the Biden-era plan established science-based management of oil and gas activity and protected “Special Areas” as required by law.

It was developed after years of public meetings and analysis, and its conservation provisions were critical to subsistence users and wildlife, the group said.

The Trump administration “is abandoning balanced management of America’s largest tract of public land and catering to big oil companies at the expense of future generations of Alaskans,” said Matt Jackson, Alaska senior manager for The Wilderness Society. The decision threatens clean air, safe water and wildlife in the region, he said.

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The decision returns management of the reserve to the 2020 plan approved during the first Trump administration. It’s part of a broad effort by the administration to increase U.S. oil and gas production.

To update the 2020 plan, the Bureau of Land Management invited consultation with tribes and Alaska Native corporations and held a 14-day public comment period on the draft assessment, the agency said.

“The plan approved today gives us a clear framework and needed certainty to harness the incredible potential of the reserve,” said Kevin Pendergast, state director for the Bureau of Land Management. “We look forward to continuing to work with Alaskans, industry and local partners as we move decisively into the next phase of leasing and development.”

Congress voted to overturn the 2024 plan for the reserve, supporting bills from Alaska’s Republican congressional delegation to prevent a similar plan from being implemented in the future.





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Opinion: Alaskans, don’t be duped by the citizens voter initiative

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Opinion: Alaskans, don’t be duped by the citizens voter initiative


Voters received stickers after they cast their general election ballot at the Alaska Division of Elections Region II office in Anchorage as absentee in-person and early voting began on Oct. 21, 2024. (Bill Roth / ADN)

A signature drive is underway for a ballot measure formally titled “An Act requiring that only United States citizens may be qualified to vote in Alaska elections,” often referred to by its sponsors as the United States Citizens Voter Act. Supporters say it would “clarify” that only U.S. citizens may vote in Alaska elections. That may sound harmless. But Alaskans should not sign this petition or vote for the measure if it reaches the ballot. The problem it claims to fix is imaginary, and its real intent has nothing to do with election integrity.

Alaska already requires voters to be U.S. citizens. Election officials enforce that rule. There is no bill in Juneau proposing to change it, no court case challenging it and no Alaska municipality contemplating noncitizen voting. Nothing in our election history or law suggests that the state’s citizenship requirement is under threat.

Which raises the real question: If there’s no problem to solve, what is this measure actually for?

The answer has everything to do with election politics. Across the Lower 48, “citizenship voting” drives have been used as turnout engines and list-building operations — reliable ways to galvanize conservative voters, recruit volunteers and gather contact data. These measures typically have no immediate policy impact, but the downstream political payoff is substantial.

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Alaska’s effort fits neatly into that pattern. The petition is being circulated by Alaskans for Citizen Voting, whose leading advocates include former legislators John Coghill, Mike Chenault and Josh Revak. The group’s own financial disclaimer identifies a national organization, Americans for Citizen Voting, as its top contributor. The effort isn’t purely local. It is part of a coordinated national campaign.

To understand where this may be headed, look at what Americans for Citizen Voting is doing in other states. In Michigan, the group is backing a constitutional amendment far more sweeping than the petition: It would require documentary proof of citizenship for all voters, eliminate affidavit-based registration, tighten ID requirements even for absentee ballots, and require voter-roll purges tied to citizenship verification. In short, “citizen-only voting” is the opening move — the benign-sounding front door to a much broader effort to make voting more difficult for many eligible Americans.

Across the country, these initiatives rarely stand alone. They serve to establish the narrative that elections are lax or vulnerable, even when they are not. That narrative then becomes the justification for downstream restrictions: stricter ID laws, new documentation burdens for naturalized citizens, more aggressive voter-roll purges and — especially relevant here — new hurdles for absentee and mail-in voters.

In the 2024 general election, the Alaska Division of Elections received more than 55,000 absentee and absentee-equivalent ballots — about 16% of all ballots cast statewide. Many of those ballots came from rural and roadless communities, where as much as 90% of the population lacks road access and depends heavily on mail and air service. Absentee voting is not a convenience in these places; it is how democracy reaches Alaskans who live far from polling stations.

When a national organization that has supported absentee-voting restrictions elsewhere becomes the top financial backer of the petition, Alaskans should ask what comes next.

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Supporters say the initiative is common sense. But laws don’t need “clarifying” when they are already explicit, already enforced and already uncontroversial. No one has produced evidence that noncitizen voting is a problem in an Alaska election. We simply don’t have a problem for this measure to solve.

What we do have are real challenges — education, public safety, energy policy, housing, fiscal stability. The petition addresses none of them. It is political theater, an Outside agenda wrapped in Alaska packaging.

If someone with a clipboard asks you to sign the Citizens Voter petition, say no. The problem is fictional, and the risks to our voting system are real. And if the measure makes the ballot, vote no.

Stan Jones is a former award-winning Alaska journalist and environmental advocate. He lives in Anchorage.

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Alaska

Record cold temperatures for Juneau with a change to Western Alaska

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Record cold temperatures for Juneau with a change to Western Alaska


ANCHORAGE, AK (Alaska’s News Source) – Overnight lows in Juneau have hit a two streak for breaking records!

Sunday tied the previous record lowest high temperature of 10 degrees set back in 1961, with clear skies and still abnormally cold temperatures to kick off Christmas week. Across the panhandle, clear and cold remains the trend but approaching Christmas Day, snow potential may return to close out the work week.

Download the free Alaska’s News Source Weather App.

In Western Alaska, Winter Storm Warnings are underway beginning as early as tonight for the Seward Peninsula. Between 5 to 10 inches of snow are forecasted across Norton Sound from Monday morning through midnight Monday as wind gusts build to 35 mph. In areas just slightly north, like Kotzebue, a Winter Storm Warning will remain in effect from Monday morning to Wednesday morning. Kotzebue and surrounding areas will brace for 6 to 12 inches of possible snow accumulation over the course of 3 mornings with gusts up to 40 miles per hour.

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Southcentral could potentially see record low high temperatures for Monday as highs in Anchorage are forecasted in the negatives. Across the region, clear skies will stick around through Christmas with subsiding winds Monday morning.

Send us your weather photos and videos here!

Interior Alaska is next up on the ‘changing forecast’ list as a Winter Storm Watch will be in effect Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning. With this storm watch, forecasted potential of 5 to 10 inches of snow will coat the North Star Borough. For those in Fairbanks, 1 to 3 inches of snow will likely fall Tuesday night into Wednesday, just in time for Christmas Eve! Until then, mostly sunny skies will dominate the Interior with things looking just a bit cloudier past the Brooks Range. The North Slope will stay mostly cloudy to start the work week with some morning snow likely for Wainwright.

The Aleutian Chain is another overcast region with mostly cloudy skies and light rain for this holiday week. Sustained winds will range from 15 to 20 miles per hour with gusts up to 35 mph in Cold Bay.

24/7 Alaska Weather: Get access to live radar, satellite, weather cameras, current conditions, and the latest weather forecast here. Also available through the Alaska’s News Source streaming app available on Apple TV, Roku, and Amazon Fire TV.

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