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OPINION: We’re in trouble if we don’t fix Alaska’s outmigration problem

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OPINION: We’re in trouble if we don’t fix Alaska’s outmigration problem


For the tenth 12 months in a row, extra Alaskans moved out in 2022 than new residents moved in.

That’s a draining truth, with no actual plan to plug the leak.

To substantiate the Alaska Division of Labor’s statistics about inhabitants and protracted outmigration, drive no additional than U-Haul. America’s do-it-yourself mover reported this month on its annual numbers for site visitors into states and one-way leases leaving every state. The site visitors rely for Alaska shouldn’t be good.

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The state fell 25 spots within the nationwide rating of progress states, from sixteenth place in 2021 to forty first place final 12 months, as measured by the share of U-Haul leases coming into the state versus the variety of one-way strikes out of state. Individuals arriving in Alaska in one-way U-Hauls in 2022 decreased 2% over 2021, whereas departures elevated 3% year-over-year.

“Whereas U-Haul migration tendencies don’t correlate on to inhabitants or financial progress, the U-Haul Progress Index is an efficient gauge of how nicely states and cities are attracting and sustaining residents,” the corporate mentioned in its press launch. And if anybody is able to gauge inhabitants motion, it could be U-Haul, with 23,000 rental places in all 50 states and 10 Canadian provinces.

Not surprisingly, the states that led the nation final 12 months in one-way strikes inbound have been sunny and economically wholesome Texas, Florida and the 2 Carolinas. The highest states for one-way strikes outbound have been California, Illinois, Michigan, Massachusetts and New York.

You may attempt to argue that the states hottest for one-way strikes out are high-tax jurisdictions, which might be true. However then how do you clarify that Alaska is close to the underside too? We have now no state revenue tax, no state gross sales tax, no state property tax (besides on oil and gasoline producers), the bottom motor gas tax within the nation, plus we gave out greater than $2 billion to residents final 12 months only for residing right here.

Can’t be taxes which might be driving Alaskans to drive out of state. A variety of sensible individuals who observe financial and inhabitants tendencies checklist the components as insufficient state assist for Ok-12 faculties and the college system, lack of obtainable housing, a scarcity of kid care, and higher financial alternatives elsewhere.

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“When you’re attracting staff, that age group that you just wish to entice, 20 to 54, regularly has kids in tow. They usually care about faculties,” economics professor Ralph Townsend informed the Anchorage Chamber of Commerce final spring.

Townsend, former head of the College of Alaska Anchorage Institute of Social and Financial Analysis, has lengthy talked about how the state would possibly reverse its inhabitants out-migration, recommending investments in schooling and little one care.

Dropping extra residents than a state positive aspects is an indicator of hassle forward.

“Individuals do are inclined to vote with their toes and transfer to a spot that sees extra financial alternative, has extra job progress and extra alternative on the whole,” Nolan Klouda, director of the College of Alaska Middle for Financial Improvement, mentioned in a latest interview with the Alaska Beacon information web site. “It’s a reasonably essential indicator of financial well being.”

Essential however unheeded. After 10 years of shedding extra residents than we acquire, all that lots of Alaska’s elected leaders appear enthusiastic about doing is pushing for a bigger Everlasting Fund dividend and speaking about “financial diversification” as if it have been magical political marketing campaign slogan that cures all illnesses. But they balk at serving to faculties, housing or little one care.

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If we don’t change course, Alaska might slide additional to the underside of U-Haul rankings — an economically pricey one-way transfer.

Larry Persily is a longtime Alaska journalist, with breaks for federal, state and municipal service in oil and gasoline, taxes and monetary coverage work, together with a latest stint as a coverage adviser for Rep. Mary Peltola.

The views expressed listed below are the author’s and usually are not essentially endorsed by the Anchorage Every day Information, which welcomes a broad vary of viewpoints. To submit a chunk for consideration, e-mail commentary(at)adn.com. Ship submissions shorter than 200 phrases to letters@adn.com or click on right here to submit by way of any internet browser. Learn our full pointers for letters and commentaries right here.





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Alaska

Alaska governor, ally of Trump, will keep flags at full-staff for Inauguration Day • Alaska Beacon

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Alaska governor, ally of Trump, will keep flags at full-staff for Inauguration Day • Alaska Beacon


Alaska will join several other Republican-led states by keeping flags at full-staff on Inauguration Day despite the national period of mourning following President Jimmy Carter’s death last month.

Gov. Mike Dunleavy announced his decision, which breaks prior precedent, in a statement on Thursday. It applies only to flags on state property. Flags on federal property are expected to remain at half-staff.

Flags on state property will be returned to half-staff after Inauguration Day for the remainder of the mourning period.

The governors of Indiana, Idaho, Iowa, Texas, Florida, Tennessee, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Nebraska, Montana and Alabama, among others, have announced similar moves. 

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U.S. Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, a Republican from Louisiana, said on Tuesday that flags at the U.S. Capitol would remain at full-staff on Inauguration Day. 

Their actions follow a statement from President-elect Donald Trump, who said in a Jan. 3 social media post that Democrats would be “giddy” to have flags lowered during his inauguration, adding, “Nobody wants to see this, and no American can be happy about it. Let’s see how it plays out.”

Dunleavy is seen as a friend of the incoming president and has met with him multiple times over the past year. Dunleavy and 21 other Republican governors visited Trump last week in Florida at an event that Trump described as “a love fest.”

Since 1954, flags have been lowered to half-staff during a federally prescribed 30-day mourning period following presidential deaths. In 1973, the second inauguration of President Richard Nixon took place during the mourning period that followed the death of President Harry Truman. 

Then-Gov. Bill Egan made no exceptions for Alaska, contemporary news accounts show, and no exception was made for Nixon’s inauguration in Washington, D.C., either. 

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A spokesperson for Dunleavy’s office said the new precedent is designed to be a balance between honoring the ongoing mourning period for former President Jimmy Carter and recognizing the importance of the peaceful transition of power during the presidential inauguration. 

“Temporarily raising the flags to full-staff for the inauguration underscores the significance of this democratic tradition, while returning them to half-staff afterward ensures continued respect for President Carter’s legacy,” the spokesperson said.

GET THE MORNING HEADLINES.

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Federal disaster declaration approved for Northwest Alaska flooding

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Federal disaster declaration approved for Northwest Alaska flooding


ANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) – President Joe Biden announced the approval of federal disaster assistance on Thursday for recovery efforts in areas that sustained damage from flooding and storms in October 2024.

Those areas include the Bering Strait Regional Educational Attendance Area (REAA) and the Northwest Arctic Borough area where many structures were damaged by a severe storm from Oct. 20-23, 2024.

Jerry Jones and his two children were rescued Wednesday after being stranded overnight on the roof of their flooded cabin about 15 miles north of Kotzebue during a large storm impacting Western Alaska.(Courtesy of Jerry Jones)
Kotzebue Flooding
Kotzebue Flooding(Michelle Kubalack)

In a press release, FEMA announced that federal funding is available on a cost-sharing basis for emergency work to the state of Alaska, tribal and eligible local governments, and certain private nonprofit organizations.

The announcement comes just a few days after Biden released the major disaster declaration approval for the August Kwigillingok flooding.

See a spelling or grammar error? Report it to web@ktuu.com

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Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska and Siberia

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Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska and Siberia


Map of areas that experienced ecosystem climate stress in the Arctic-boreal region between 1997-2020 as detected by multiple variables including satellite data and long-term temperature records. Watts et al., 2025, Geophysical Research Letters. Credit: Christina Shintani / Woodwell Climate Research Center

Ecological warning lights have blinked on across the Arctic over the last 40 years, according to new research, and many of the fastest-changing areas are clustered in Siberia, the Canadian Northwest Territories, and Alaska.

An analysis of the rapidly warming Arctic-boreal region, published in Geophysical Research Letters, provides a zoomed-in picture of ecosystems experiencing some of the fastest and most extreme climate changes on Earth.

Many of the most climate-stressed areas feature permafrost, or ground that stays frozen year-round, and has experienced both severe warming and drying in recent decades.

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To identify these “hotspots,” a team of researchers from Woodwell Climate Research Center, the University of Oslo, the University of Montana, the Environmental Systems Research Institute (Esri), and the University of Lleida used more than 30 years of geospatial data and long-term temperature records to assess indicators of ecosystem vulnerability in three categories: temperature, moisture, and vegetation.

Building on assessments like the NOAA Arctic Report Card, the research team went beyond evaluating isolated metrics of change and looked at multiple variables at once to create a more complete, integrated picture of climate and ecosystem changes in the region.

“Climate warming has put a great deal of stress on ecosystems in the high latitudes, but the stress looks very different from place to place and we wanted to quantify those differences,” said Dr. Jennifer Watts, Arctic program director at Woodwell Climate and lead author of the study.

“Detecting hotspots at the local and regional level helps us not only to build a more precise picture of how Arctic warming is affecting ecosystems, but to identify places where we really need to focus future monitoring efforts and management resources.”

The team used spatial statistics to detect “neighborhoods,” or regions of particularly high levels of change during the past decade.

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“This study is exactly why we have developed these kinds of spatial statistic tools in our technology. We are so proud to be working closely with Woodwell Climate on identifying and publishing these kinds of vulnerability hotspots that require effective and immediate climate adaptation action and long-term policy,” said Dr. Dawn Wright, chief scientist at Esri. “This is essentially what we mean by the ‘Science of Where.’”

The findings paint a complex and concerning picture.

The most substantial land warming between 1997–2020 occurred in the far eastern Siberian tundra and throughout central Siberia. Approximately 99% of the Eurasian tundra region experienced significant warming, compared to 72% of Eurasian boreal forests.

While some hotspots in Siberia and the Northwest Territories of Canada grew drier, the researchers detected increased surface water and flooding in parts of North America, including Alaska’s Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta and central Canada. These increases in water on the landscape over time are likely a sign of thawing permafrost.

  • Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska, Siberia
    Warming severity “hotspots” in Arctic-boreal region between 1997-2020 were detected by analyzing multiple variables including satellite imagery and long-term temperature records. Watts et al., 2025, Geophysical Research Letters. Credit: Christina Shintani / Woodwell Climate Research Center
  • Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska, Siberia
    Map of areas of severe to extremely severe drying in the Arctic-boreal region. Drying severity was determined by analyzing multiple variables from the satellite record. Watts et al., 2025, Geophysical Research Letters. Credit: Christina Shintani / Woodwell Climate Research Center
  • Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska, Siberia
    Map of areas that experienced vegetation climate stress in the Arctic-boreal region between 1997-2020 as detected by multiple variables from the satellite record. Watts et al., 2025, Geophysical Research Letters. Credit: Christina Shintani / Woodwell Climate Research Center

Among the 20 most vulnerable places the researchers identified, all contained permafrost.

“The Arctic and boreal regions are made up of diverse ecosystems, and this study reveals some of the complex ways they are responding to climate warming,” said Dr. Sue Natali, lead of the Permafrost Pathways project at Woodwell Climate and co-author of the study.

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“However, permafrost was a common denominator—the most climate-stressed regions all contained permafrost, which is vulnerable to thaw as temperatures rise. That’s a really concerning signal.”

For land managers and other decisionmakers, local and regional hotspot mapping like this can serve as a more useful monitoring tool than region-wide averages. Take, for instance, the example of COVID-19 tracking data: maps of county-by-county wastewater data tend to be more helpful tools to guide decision making than national averages, since rates of disease prevalence and transmission can vary widely among communities at a given moment in time.

So, too, with climate trends: local data and trend detection can support management and adaptation approaches that account for unique and shifting conditions on the ground.

The significant changes the team detected in the Siberian boreal forest region should serve as a wakeup call, said Watts.

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“These forested regions, which have been helping take up and store carbon dioxide, are now showing major climate stresses and increasing risk of fire. We need to work as a global community to protect these important and vulnerable boreal ecosystems, while also reining in fossil fuel emissions.”

More information:
Regional Hotspots of Change in Northern High Latitudes Informed by Observations From Space, Geophysical Research Letters (2025). DOI: 10.1029/2023GL108081

Provided by
Woodwell Climate Research Center

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Citation:
Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska and Siberia (2025, January 16)
retrieved 16 January 2025
from https://phys.org/news/2025-01-arctic-hotspots-reveals-areas-climate.html

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