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EDITORIAL: Could this be the first step toward a fiscal solution for Alaska?

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EDITORIAL: Could this be the first step toward a fiscal solution for Alaska?


In simply over every week, the Alaska Legislature will gavel into session. Offered the State Home can do a greater job organizing a majority caucus than the U.S. Home (don’t wager on it), legislators will get right down to enterprise — which, for a lot of the session, will middle across the state funds. It’s a course of that’s been derailed previously decade by paralysis over the Everlasting Fund dividend, as lawmakers and even Gov. Mike Dunleavy have come to understand that our oil income gravy practice is not ample to offer a full slate of state providers and likewise pay a PFD by way of the 1982 formulation. Thus, the PFD quantity turns into an annual battle that stymies progress on nearly every part else, to the detriment of our financial savings accounts and our state’s future. And regardless of the nice intentions of many lawmakers, plans to deal with the structural funds downside have gone over like a lead balloon.

The outcome? Years like 2022, when the state made rosy projections based mostly on overinflated oil costs and legislators handed the second-largest funds in state historical past (the most important, earlier than adjusting for inflation), just for costs to retreat and as soon as once more depart us with a deficit.

If we wish to escape this PFD-fueled paralysis, we first want a mechanism to make sure legislators gained’t overspend in growth years, nor let the dividend cannibalize important providers when oil costs go bust. What we want as a primary step towards a funds that works for Alaska’s future is a spending cap.

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The first advantage of a spending cap is that it gives wanted certainty to the numerous Alaskans who don’t belief that legislators would properly spend the cash generated by a everlasting alteration of the PFD formulation. Their skepticism is well-founded. We want solely look again to 2022 to see what occurs beneath our present, guardrail-free system when oil costs give legislators the choice to each absolutely fund authorities and pump the PFD as much as unsustainable ranges in a bid to safe their very own reelection: They do it. A spending cap that enables for an inexpensive funds — however not the wild binges Alaskans have seen so far — would clean out that course of, letting us save funds in growth years that might carry us by means of more durable instances. It will additionally permit us to develop the Everlasting Fund to a degree the place it might sustainably take over for oil tax income in perpetuity as Alaska’s main supply of funds for providers. It’s not onerous to undertaking that after only some years beneath a spending cap, the PFD might shortly rise again to present ranges.

One other sensible good thing about a spending cap is that it’s going to make us confront an disagreeable actuality of our state’s funds: Each greenback spent on PFDs is one that may’t be spent on important providers comparable to public security, schooling and transportation — and vice versa. As a result of lawmakers have been all too keen to decouple the quantity we spend on providers and PFDs from the income we usher in annually, many Alaskans have been seduced by the false promise that we are able to have our cake and eat it, too. We’ve been instructed that we are able to have jumbo PFDs and all of the providers we’ve come to count on with no compromises, and that notion has corrupted our politics to the purpose that many Alaskans refuse to simply accept that it’s, actually, fiction. The fact is that the oil worth fairy is fickle and may’t be the premise for rational fiscal coverage.

Some particulars would should be labored out in regards to the mechanism of the cap, in fact. The previous 12 months has taught us the need of accounting for inflation — and the baseline quantity of the cap and the method by which it’s adjusted every successive 12 months — would should be hammered out in legislative committees. That’s the form of actuarial math that the Legislative Finance Division and the state Division of Income would little doubt be glad to assist lawmakers with — they usually could have already got among the numbers available, provided that Dunleavy floated a spending cap modification himself final 12 months.

In the end, a spending cap should be enshrined within the Alaska Structure to maintain lawmakers from disregarding it. However given the problem of passing a constitutional modification in a single 12 months, in addition to the (normally useful) tendency of Alaskans to be skeptical of huge modifications to our state’s founding doc, it makes extra sense to work out the cap this 12 months as a statute, which would offer a framework that might extra simply be tweaked if mandatory. It will additionally present a trial interval, so to talk, throughout which Alaskans might assess the deserves of the cap earlier than deciding to commit it to the Alaska Structure a 12 months or two down the street. As soon as the cap is purposeful and absolutely baked, Alaskans will surely undertake it into the Structure.

Attempting to craft a complete fiscal plan that features the PFD, reverse sweep and different esoteric components has confirmed unattainable, and rightly so. Earlier than any of these components are tackled, step one have to be an actual and rational spending cap. Doing so would present the folks of Alaska that the Legislature is keen to tighten its belt alongside them, hold them from frequently bloating the funds when oil costs quickly rise, and it will pave the best way for a extra full-featured long-term plan to be developed in future years.

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Legislators gained’t repair the funds mess this 12 months except they’re a much more productive group than those that have crammed the Capitol Constructing for the previous decade. However they will make an enormous step ahead on it by passing an inexpensive spending cap that can present stability whereas additionally underscoring the trade-offs that include drawing up budgets in the actual world.





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Alaska governor, ally of Trump, will keep flags at full-staff for Inauguration Day • Alaska Beacon

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Alaska governor, ally of Trump, will keep flags at full-staff for Inauguration Day • Alaska Beacon


Alaska will join several other Republican-led states by keeping flags at full-staff on Inauguration Day despite the national period of mourning following President Jimmy Carter’s death last month.

Gov. Mike Dunleavy announced his decision, which breaks prior precedent, in a statement on Thursday. It applies only to flags on state property. Flags on federal property are expected to remain at half-staff.

Flags on state property will be returned to half-staff after Inauguration Day for the remainder of the mourning period.

The governors of Indiana, Idaho, Iowa, Texas, Florida, Tennessee, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Nebraska, Montana and Alabama, among others, have announced similar moves. 

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U.S. Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, a Republican from Louisiana, said on Tuesday that flags at the U.S. Capitol would remain at full-staff on Inauguration Day. 

Their actions follow a statement from President-elect Donald Trump, who said in a Jan. 3 social media post that Democrats would be “giddy” to have flags lowered during his inauguration, adding, “Nobody wants to see this, and no American can be happy about it. Let’s see how it plays out.”

Dunleavy is seen as a friend of the incoming president and has met with him multiple times over the past year. Dunleavy and 21 other Republican governors visited Trump last week in Florida at an event that Trump described as “a love fest.”

Since 1954, flags have been lowered to half-staff during a federally prescribed 30-day mourning period following presidential deaths. In 1973, the second inauguration of President Richard Nixon took place during the mourning period that followed the death of President Harry Truman. 

Then-Gov. Bill Egan made no exceptions for Alaska, contemporary news accounts show, and no exception was made for Nixon’s inauguration in Washington, D.C., either. 

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A spokesperson for Dunleavy’s office said the new precedent is designed to be a balance between honoring the ongoing mourning period for former President Jimmy Carter and recognizing the importance of the peaceful transition of power during the presidential inauguration. 

“Temporarily raising the flags to full-staff for the inauguration underscores the significance of this democratic tradition, while returning them to half-staff afterward ensures continued respect for President Carter’s legacy,” the spokesperson said.

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Federal disaster declaration approved for Northwest Alaska flooding

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Federal disaster declaration approved for Northwest Alaska flooding


ANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) – President Joe Biden announced the approval of federal disaster assistance on Thursday for recovery efforts in areas that sustained damage from flooding and storms in October 2024.

Those areas include the Bering Strait Regional Educational Attendance Area (REAA) and the Northwest Arctic Borough area where many structures were damaged by a severe storm from Oct. 20-23, 2024.

Jerry Jones and his two children were rescued Wednesday after being stranded overnight on the roof of their flooded cabin about 15 miles north of Kotzebue during a large storm impacting Western Alaska.(Courtesy of Jerry Jones)
Kotzebue Flooding
Kotzebue Flooding(Michelle Kubalack)

In a press release, FEMA announced that federal funding is available on a cost-sharing basis for emergency work to the state of Alaska, tribal and eligible local governments, and certain private nonprofit organizations.

The announcement comes just a few days after Biden released the major disaster declaration approval for the August Kwigillingok flooding.

See a spelling or grammar error? Report it to web@ktuu.com

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Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska and Siberia

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Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska and Siberia


Map of areas that experienced ecosystem climate stress in the Arctic-boreal region between 1997-2020 as detected by multiple variables including satellite data and long-term temperature records. Watts et al., 2025, Geophysical Research Letters. Credit: Christina Shintani / Woodwell Climate Research Center

Ecological warning lights have blinked on across the Arctic over the last 40 years, according to new research, and many of the fastest-changing areas are clustered in Siberia, the Canadian Northwest Territories, and Alaska.

An analysis of the rapidly warming Arctic-boreal region, published in Geophysical Research Letters, provides a zoomed-in picture of ecosystems experiencing some of the fastest and most extreme climate changes on Earth.

Many of the most climate-stressed areas feature permafrost, or ground that stays frozen year-round, and has experienced both severe warming and drying in recent decades.

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To identify these “hotspots,” a team of researchers from Woodwell Climate Research Center, the University of Oslo, the University of Montana, the Environmental Systems Research Institute (Esri), and the University of Lleida used more than 30 years of geospatial data and long-term temperature records to assess indicators of ecosystem vulnerability in three categories: temperature, moisture, and vegetation.

Building on assessments like the NOAA Arctic Report Card, the research team went beyond evaluating isolated metrics of change and looked at multiple variables at once to create a more complete, integrated picture of climate and ecosystem changes in the region.

“Climate warming has put a great deal of stress on ecosystems in the high latitudes, but the stress looks very different from place to place and we wanted to quantify those differences,” said Dr. Jennifer Watts, Arctic program director at Woodwell Climate and lead author of the study.

“Detecting hotspots at the local and regional level helps us not only to build a more precise picture of how Arctic warming is affecting ecosystems, but to identify places where we really need to focus future monitoring efforts and management resources.”

The team used spatial statistics to detect “neighborhoods,” or regions of particularly high levels of change during the past decade.

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“This study is exactly why we have developed these kinds of spatial statistic tools in our technology. We are so proud to be working closely with Woodwell Climate on identifying and publishing these kinds of vulnerability hotspots that require effective and immediate climate adaptation action and long-term policy,” said Dr. Dawn Wright, chief scientist at Esri. “This is essentially what we mean by the ‘Science of Where.’”

The findings paint a complex and concerning picture.

The most substantial land warming between 1997–2020 occurred in the far eastern Siberian tundra and throughout central Siberia. Approximately 99% of the Eurasian tundra region experienced significant warming, compared to 72% of Eurasian boreal forests.

While some hotspots in Siberia and the Northwest Territories of Canada grew drier, the researchers detected increased surface water and flooding in parts of North America, including Alaska’s Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta and central Canada. These increases in water on the landscape over time are likely a sign of thawing permafrost.

  • Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska, Siberia
    Warming severity “hotspots” in Arctic-boreal region between 1997-2020 were detected by analyzing multiple variables including satellite imagery and long-term temperature records. Watts et al., 2025, Geophysical Research Letters. Credit: Christina Shintani / Woodwell Climate Research Center
  • Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska, Siberia
    Map of areas of severe to extremely severe drying in the Arctic-boreal region. Drying severity was determined by analyzing multiple variables from the satellite record. Watts et al., 2025, Geophysical Research Letters. Credit: Christina Shintani / Woodwell Climate Research Center
  • Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska, Siberia
    Map of areas that experienced vegetation climate stress in the Arctic-boreal region between 1997-2020 as detected by multiple variables from the satellite record. Watts et al., 2025, Geophysical Research Letters. Credit: Christina Shintani / Woodwell Climate Research Center

Among the 20 most vulnerable places the researchers identified, all contained permafrost.

“The Arctic and boreal regions are made up of diverse ecosystems, and this study reveals some of the complex ways they are responding to climate warming,” said Dr. Sue Natali, lead of the Permafrost Pathways project at Woodwell Climate and co-author of the study.

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“However, permafrost was a common denominator—the most climate-stressed regions all contained permafrost, which is vulnerable to thaw as temperatures rise. That’s a really concerning signal.”

For land managers and other decisionmakers, local and regional hotspot mapping like this can serve as a more useful monitoring tool than region-wide averages. Take, for instance, the example of COVID-19 tracking data: maps of county-by-county wastewater data tend to be more helpful tools to guide decision making than national averages, since rates of disease prevalence and transmission can vary widely among communities at a given moment in time.

So, too, with climate trends: local data and trend detection can support management and adaptation approaches that account for unique and shifting conditions on the ground.

The significant changes the team detected in the Siberian boreal forest region should serve as a wakeup call, said Watts.

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“These forested regions, which have been helping take up and store carbon dioxide, are now showing major climate stresses and increasing risk of fire. We need to work as a global community to protect these important and vulnerable boreal ecosystems, while also reining in fossil fuel emissions.”

More information:
Regional Hotspots of Change in Northern High Latitudes Informed by Observations From Space, Geophysical Research Letters (2025). DOI: 10.1029/2023GL108081

Provided by
Woodwell Climate Research Center

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Citation:
Arctic hotspots study reveals areas of climate stress in Northern Alaska and Siberia (2025, January 16)
retrieved 16 January 2025
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