Virginia
The Virginia counties where Republicans will need to regain ground in the governor’s race: From the Politics Desk
Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, a newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail.
In today’s edition, Steve Kornacki breaks down the areas in Virginia that will be key for Republicans in next month’s gubernatorial election. Plus, Bridget Bowman speaks with Maine Gov. Janet Mills about her decision to jump into a major 2026 Senate race.
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— Adam Wollner
The Virginia counties where Republicans will need to regain ground in the governor’s race
Analysis by Steve Kornacki
When Republican Glenn Youngkin ran for governor of Virginia in 2021, Donald Trump was a former president who was keeping a relatively low profile. With minimal public attachment to Trump, Youngkin was able to turn back the clock in the state’s blue-trending suburban areas, reasserting much of the GOP’s pre-Trump strength and winning the election by 2 percentage points.
Four years later, Republicans are confronting a very different set of political conditions.
Trump, of course, is back in office, and like during his first term, he’s not that popular in Virginia. While he did make some notable gains just outside of Washington, D.C., he lost the state to Kamala Harris by 6 points last year and his approval rating sits at 41% in a recent statewide poll. And regardless of who the president is, Virginia has a history of siding against the White House party in its gubernatorial contests.
This helps explain why Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears has lagged behind Democrat Abigail Spanberger in the race to succeed Youngkin. The hope for Republicans now is that the fallout from the violent text messages from the Democratic nominee for attorney general, Jay Jones, reshapes the race in their favor.
Specifically, Earle-Sears will need traction with those anti-Trump voters who were willing to back Youngkin in 2021. This group of counties represents where Youngkin’s 2021 performance outpaced Trump’s 2024 performance by the widest margin.
Most of these counties sit on or near the I-95 corridor. Stafford, King George and Spotsylvania counties include the far reaches of the D.C. suburbs, where growth and new development mix with open space and rural communities. Chesterfield is a massive, suburban Richmond, and nearby Hanover and Goochland counties are experiencing significant new growth, too — as are York and James City counties in the eastern Tidewater area. Rockingham County in the Shenandoah Valley retains a strong rural and small-town character, but has seen growth spurred by transplants from northern Virginia.
These counties share a common link: They have high or growing concentrations of economically upscale white voters with college degrees, a demographic group that swung hard against Trump when he emerged in 2016. But before that, these voters had been far more amenable to Republican candidates. And in 2021, with an unpopular Democrat in President Joe Biden in the White House, many of them deemed Youngkin an acceptable option.
As you can see, Youngkin swept all nine counties, but Trump fared at least 11 net points worse in all of them, and lost three of them outright (Chesterfield, James City and Stafford). Even in a Republican bastion like Rockingham, Trump last year fell markedly short of Youngkin’s 2021 level.
For Republicans, Youngkin’s performance in 2021 represents a target that they’ll need to come awfully close to if Winsome-Sears is to have a chance.
More on this fall’s elections:
- New Jersey: The Garden State governor’s race will test whether Republicans can mobilize Trump’s base when he isn’t on the ballot, Bridget Bowman writes.
- New York City: New York Attorney General Letitia James delivered an impassioned speech last night in support of Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani in her first public appearance since her federal indictment, Zoë Richards reports. Mamdani also appeared publicly today with Gov. Kathy Hochul for the first time since she endorsed his candidacy last month, per Katherine Koretski and Maya Rosenberg.
- California: Former President Barack Obama appeared in an ad to urge California voters to back a November ballot initiative to redraw the state’s congressional district lines, Rebecca Shabad notes.
Maine Gov. Janet Mills jumps into the race against GOP Sen. Susan Collins
By Bridget Bowman
Maine Gov. Janet Mills announced today that she is running for the Senate, pitching herself as the Democratic Party’s best chance to beat Republican Sen. Susan Collins next fall — and saying she does not plan to serve more than one term if elected.
“I’ve won two statewide offices, and unlike other people in the primary right now, I’ve actually won public office, won elections,” Mills said in an interview with NBC News ahead of her launch.
“And I’ve stood up to Donald Trump, and I have delivered progress for Maine people when it comes to health care, clean energy, public health, education. And I’m willing to fight for that in the U.S. Senate,” she said.
Mills, a top recruit for Senate Democrats, said Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., encouraged her to run. But she will face a fight for her party’s nomination, with multiple candidates already in the race and making their own pitches for why they are best suited to defeat Collins, the only Republican senator from a state Kamala Harris won last year.
At least two of those Democratic candidates — oyster farmer and military veteran Graham Platner and former congressional aide Jordan Wood — have pledged to remain in the race. But brewery co-founder Dan Kleban announced that he was suspending his campaign and endorsing Mills, calling her “the right leader for this moment.”
Still, the contested primary also comes at a tense moment for the party, with some Democrats calling for a new generation of leaders. Mills, 77, acknowledged “age is a consideration.”
“Honestly, I would not plan to serve for more than one term,” she said. “But this time is vital, and this moment in our history is urgent and very troublesome. And I believe I’m the most qualified person for the seat, for the campaign, because I have run two statewide elections, and I have the energy and the wherewithal to do it.”
“It’s urgent that I take this on,” Mills added later. “I don’t think I could live with myself if I did not do this.”
Read more from Bridget →
🗞️ Today’s other top stories
- 🏅Kirk fallout: Trump posthumously awarded Charlie Kirk the Presidential Medal of Freedom. Read more →
- ⛔ Shutdown, Day 14: Both parties are bracing for a “long conflict” as the government shutdown hits the two-week mark, making it the fifth-longest in U.S. history. Read more →
- 🌍 Gaza ceasefire: Hamas returned the bodies of four hostages today, according to the Israel Defense Forces, as Trump warned the militant group that they must disarm. Read more →
- ➡️ Deportation agenda: An intensive immigration operation ordered by Trump has quickly transformed Broadview, Illinois, into the beating hot center of the anti-ICE resistance. Read more →
- ⚖️ SCOTUS watch: The Supreme Court rejected conservative conspiracy theorist Alex Jones’ last-ditch attempt to block an almost $1.5 billion defamation judgment he faces over false claims that the 2012 Sandy Hook school shooting was a hoax. Read more →
- 🎤 Pentagon press pushback: Five major broadcast news networks announced that they will not sign the Pentagon’s new press policy, joining several other media organizations that have objected to a set of rules that many journalists consider restrictive. Read more →
- Follow live politics updates →
That’s all From the Politics Desk for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Owen Auston-Babcock.
If you have feedback — likes or dislikes — email us at politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.com
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Virginia
Virginia lawmakers criticize anti-redistricting mailer with Jim Crow-era images – WTOP News
The flyers encourage people to vote against the redistricting effort and feature pictures of the Ku Klux Klan and from the Civil Rights Movement.
Virginia Attorney General Jay Jones condemned flyers with Jim Crow-era images discouraging voters from supporting redistricting in the state.
The mailers, which Jones told WTOP he first learned about last weekend, featured pictures of the Ku Klux Klan and from the Civil Rights Movement. One such mailer said, “Our ancestors fought to represent us. Now Richmond politicians are trying to take our districts away.”
The flyers encourage people to vote against the redistricting effort.
A group, Justice for Democracy, has been sending out mailers and texts with some clear dog whistles, using varying disclaimers in Virginia (“Democracy and Justice PAC” and “Justice for Democracy PAC”).
Its treasurer is listed as Christopher Woodfin and its address is the same … pic.twitter.com/JvetyKGnbw
— Matt Royer (@royermattw) March 7, 2026
Early voting is underway, as Democrats in the state push for changes to congressional districts that are expected to give them more of an advantage in Congress. They said it’s in response to President Donald Trump encouraging redistricting in Republican-led states such as Texas. Republicans, though, have been critical.
In an interview with WTOP, Jones, Virginia’s first Black attorney general, said the mailers are disturbing, shocking, offensive and deceptive.
“It’s very clear a MAGA-linked group that opposes the referendum is sending these mailers to Black voters, and they’re misusing very, very hurtful imagery from the Civil Rights Movement, even invoking Jim Crow, to weaponize one of the darkest chapters in our history, to scare people into voting no and help Republicans maintain a rigged map for 2026 so they can keep control of Congress,” Jones said.
In a statement, the NAACP Virginia State Conference said the flyers falsely compare redistricting to Jim Crow.
“While the NAACP is nonpartisan, we are deeply engaged in political advocacy to safeguard our communities,” said Rev. Cozy Bailey, president of NAACP Virginia.
The purpose of the mailers, Jones said, is to “suppress the vote. It’s to make sure that people don’t go make their voices heard during this election.”
The flyers said they’re paid for by a group called Democracy and Justice PAC. Former Virginia Del. A.C. Cordoza, a Republican, is listed as the chairman, according to Virginia Board of Elections documents.
“I couldn’t see why they say it’s insulting,” Cordoza told WTOP. “I’m a Black man. I don’t want my Black vote to be taken away.”
The proposed new map, Cordoza said, “ripped apart majority-minority districts in order to increase the number of white representatives from Northern Virginia.”
Cordoza said he didn’t know how many homes the mailers had been sent to or how much the PAC spent on them.
“I want people to do their research and see exactly what’s happening,” Cordoza said. “We, as Virginians, voted for a bipartisan redistricting commission for a reason.”
Jones, though, said he sits “across the dinner table from people who have had their right to vote denied because of the color of their skin. It’s 2026. I would hope that we’d be past tactics like this, but clearly we aren’t.”
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Virginia
Gov. Spanberger leads Virginia public safety readiness briefing
RICHMOND, Va. — Virginia Gov. Abigail Spanberger met with public safety leaders from across the commonwealth Monday as part of a “unified readiness” coordination effort.
The governor met with police and fire chiefs, sheriffs, emergency managers and private sector members — including Dominion Energy — to discuss Virginia’s commitment to public safety, intelligence sharing and interagency collaboration.
“As global tensions continue to evolve, I want to be very clear: there are no known threats specific to Virginia at this time,” Spanberger said. “Today’s briefing was about making sure that information can be shared quickly and we remain at the ready.”
The meeting relates to Spanberger’s Executive Order 12, which she says reaffirms Virginia’s commitment to public safety, community trust, and readiness.
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Virginia
Opinion | Virginia Giuffre’s brothers join protest outside Epstein’s former New Mexico ranch
The brothers of the late Jeffrey Epstein accuser Virginia Giuffre joined demonstrators outside Epstein’s former ranch in New Mexico on Sunday to demand more transparency.
The protest, pegged to International Women’s Day, was attended by what the Santa Fe New Mexican estimated to be hundreds of demonstrators, including activists and lawmakers, outside the estate formerly known as Zorro Ranch.
Sky Roberts said it was the first time he had visited the ranch, and demonstrators’ presence was important as a show of “force” that they’re not “going away,” as some people, including the president, try to direct attention away from the Epstein scandal. During his remarks, he rebuked the government for what he called a cover-up and demanded the Justice Department release documents that show who visited the ranch, among other things.
“All those names are in the files, and right now the government is covering those up,” he said, according to Reuters.
Epstein reportedly talked about using the ranch (now owned by Don Huffines, the GOP candidate for Texas state comptroller) for a eugenics-inspired plan to impregnate several women to “seed” the human race with his DNA (there’s no evidence he carried out such a plan). Giuffre’s posthumously released memoir includes allegations about meeting politicians and CEOs at Zorro Ranch, which was also recently linked to an unverified claim in the Epstein files alleging the deceased sex criminal had the bodies of two women buried near the property. After that allegation surfaced among the recently released Epstein files, New Mexico’s state legislature formed a truth commission to investigate Epstein’s activities at the ranch; the state DOJ has opened a probe of its own.
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