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The Virginia counties where Republicans will need to regain ground in the governor’s race: From the Politics Desk

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The Virginia counties where Republicans will need to regain ground in the governor’s race: From the Politics Desk


Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, a newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail.

In today’s edition, Steve Kornacki breaks down the areas in Virginia that will be key for Republicans in next month’s gubernatorial election. Plus, Bridget Bowman speaks with Maine Gov. Janet Mills about her decision to jump into a major 2026 Senate race.

Sign up to receive this newsletter in your inbox every weekday here.

— Adam Wollner

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The Virginia counties where Republicans will need to regain ground in the governor’s race

Analysis by Steve Kornacki

When Republican Glenn Youngkin ran for governor of Virginia in 2021, Donald Trump was a former president who was keeping a relatively low profile. With minimal public attachment to Trump, Youngkin was able to turn back the clock in the state’s blue-trending suburban areas, reasserting much of the GOP’s pre-Trump strength and winning the election by 2 percentage points.

Four years later, Republicans are confronting a very different set of political conditions.

Trump, of course, is back in office, and like during his first term, he’s not that popular in Virginia. While he did make some notable gains just outside of Washington, D.C., he lost the state to Kamala Harris by 6 points last year and his approval rating sits at 41% in a recent statewide poll. And regardless of who the president is, Virginia has a history of siding against the White House party in its gubernatorial contests.

This helps explain why Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears has lagged behind Democrat Abigail Spanberger in the race to succeed Youngkin. The hope for Republicans now is that the fallout from the violent text messages from the Democratic nominee for attorney general, Jay Jones, reshapes the race in their favor.

Specifically, Earle-Sears will need traction with those anti-Trump voters who were willing to back Youngkin in 2021. This group of counties represents where Youngkin’s 2021 performance outpaced Trump’s 2024 performance by the widest margin.

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Most of these counties sit on or near the I-95 corridor. Stafford, King George and Spotsylvania counties include the far reaches of the D.C. suburbs, where growth and new development mix with open space and rural communities. Chesterfield is a massive, suburban Richmond, and nearby Hanover and Goochland counties are experiencing significant new growth, too — as are York and James City counties in the eastern Tidewater area. Rockingham County in the Shenandoah Valley retains a strong rural and small-town character, but has seen growth spurred by transplants from northern Virginia.

These counties share a common link: They have high or growing concentrations of economically upscale white voters with college degrees, a demographic group that swung hard against Trump when he emerged in 2016. But before that, these voters had been far more amenable to Republican candidates. And in 2021, with an unpopular Democrat in President Joe Biden in the White House, many of them deemed Youngkin an acceptable option.

As you can see, Youngkin swept all nine counties, but Trump fared at least 11 net points worse in all of them, and lost three of them outright (Chesterfield, James City and Stafford). Even in a Republican bastion like Rockingham, Trump last year fell markedly short of Youngkin’s 2021 level.

For Republicans, Youngkin’s performance in 2021 represents a target that they’ll need to come awfully close to if Winsome-Sears is to have a chance.

More on this fall’s elections:

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  • New Jersey: The Garden State governor’s race will test whether Republicans can mobilize Trump’s base when he isn’t on the ballot, Bridget Bowman writes.
  • New York City: New York Attorney General Letitia James delivered an impassioned speech last night in support of Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani in her first public appearance since her federal indictment, Zoë Richards reports. Mamdani also appeared publicly today with Gov. Kathy Hochul for the first time since she endorsed his candidacy last month, per Katherine Koretski and Maya Rosenberg.
  • California: Former President Barack Obama appeared in an ad to urge California voters to back a November ballot initiative to redraw the state’s congressional district lines, Rebecca Shabad notes.

Maine Gov. Janet Mills jumps into the race against GOP Sen. Susan Collins

By Bridget Bowman

Maine Gov. Janet Mills announced today that she is running for the Senate, pitching herself as the Democratic Party’s best chance to beat Republican Sen. Susan Collins next fall — and saying she does not plan to serve more than one term if elected.

“I’ve won two statewide offices, and unlike other people in the primary right now, I’ve actually won public office, won elections,” Mills said in an interview with NBC News ahead of her launch.

“And I’ve stood up to Donald Trump, and I have delivered progress for Maine people when it comes to health care, clean energy, public health, education. And I’m willing to fight for that in the U.S. Senate,” she said.

Mills, a top recruit for Senate Democrats, said Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., encouraged her to run. But she will face a fight for her party’s nomination, with multiple candidates already in the race and making their own pitches for why they are best suited to defeat Collins, the only Republican senator from a state Kamala Harris won last year.

At least two of those Democratic candidates — oyster farmer and military veteran Graham Platner and former congressional aide Jordan Wood — have pledged to remain in the race. But brewery co-founder Dan Kleban announced that he was suspending his campaign and endorsing Mills, calling her “the right leader for this moment.”

Still, the contested primary also comes at a tense moment for the party, with some Democrats calling for a new generation of leaders. Mills, 77, acknowledged “age is a consideration.”

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“Honestly, I would not plan to serve for more than one term,” she said. “But this time is vital, and this moment in our history is urgent and very troublesome. And I believe I’m the most qualified person for the seat, for the campaign, because I have run two statewide elections, and I have the energy and the wherewithal to do it.”

“It’s urgent that I take this on,” Mills added later. “I don’t think I could live with myself if I did not do this.”

Read more from Bridget →


🗞️ Today’s other top stories

  • 🏅Kirk fallout: Trump posthumously awarded Charlie Kirk the Presidential Medal of Freedom. Read more →
  • ⛔ Shutdown, Day 14: Both parties are bracing for a “long conflict” as the government shutdown hits the two-week mark, making it the fifth-longest in U.S. history. Read more →
  • 🌍 Gaza ceasefire: Hamas returned the bodies of four hostages today, according to the Israel Defense Forces, as Trump warned the militant group that they must disarm. Read more →
  • ➡️ Deportation agenda: An intensive immigration operation ordered by Trump has quickly transformed Broadview, Illinois, into the beating hot center of the anti-ICE resistance. Read more →
  • ⚖️ SCOTUS watch: The Supreme Court rejected conservative conspiracy theorist Alex Jones’ last-ditch attempt to block an almost $1.5 billion defamation judgment he faces over false claims that the 2012 Sandy Hook school shooting was a hoax. Read more →
  • 🎤 Pentagon press pushback: Five major broadcast news networks announced that they will not sign the Pentagon’s new press policy, joining several other media organizations that have objected to a set of rules that many journalists consider restrictive. Read more →
  • Follow live politics updates →

That’s all From the Politics Desk for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Owen Auston-Babcock.

If you have feedback — likes or dislikes — email us at politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.com

And if you’re a fan, please share with everyone and anyone. They can sign up here.

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Virginia Cannabis: Will Retail Finally Start In 2027?

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Virginia Cannabis: Will Retail Finally Start In 2027?


For the last five years, Virginia cannabis has existed in a strange policy gap.

Adults could legally possess it. They could grow it at home. They could gift it. They could consume it. But if they wanted to walk into a licensed adult-use dispensary and buy a tested, labeled product from a regulated business, Virginia still had no legal retail market.

That contradiction has defined the Commonwealth’s cannabis story since 2021, when Virginia became the first state in the South to legalize adult-use possession. The original promise was bigger than decriminalization. It was supposed to be the beginning of a regulated commercial market—one that would move consumers away from the illicit market, create room for small businesses and farmers, and finally give the state an enforceable framework for products already being sold and consumed.

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Instead, Virginia legalized the front end of adult use without opening the front door of the industry.

Since then, the state has been caught in political limbo. Retail implementation stalled after the 2021 elections. Republican control of the House slowed the process. Former Gov. Glenn Youngkin later vetoed adult-use retail bills. Operators, investors and would-be applicants watched session after session with the same question: when would Virginia finally stop treating cannabis like something adults could legally have, but not legally buy?

The answer appeared close in 2026. With Gov. Abigail Spanberger in office and Democrats controlling the General Assembly, cannabis advocates expected the retail framework to finally move. Lawmakers sent the governor a bill that would have launched adult-use sales in 2027. Spanberger returned it with amendments, including a later sales date, a lower possession limit than lawmakers proposed, a higher future tax rate and tougher enforcement provisions. The legislature rejected those changes.

Then came the veto.

For many in the industry, Spanberger’s May veto landed as political whiplash. After years of delay, the state had once again stopped short of launching a legal adult-use marketplace. Worse, the veto came from a governor many advocates and operators expected to be more receptive than her predecessor.

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For Brett Puffenbarger, CEO of Old Dominion Cannabis, the moment carried personal weight. Puffenbarger has spent nearly a decade in the cannabis industry and saw Virginia’s 2021 legalization as a chance to bring that experience back home.

“I have been in cannabis for almost a decade, and when Virginia first legalized adult use, it looked like an opportunity to build on that career in my home state,” Puffenbarger said via email. “I had been in Florida for years, but I was born and raised in Virginia. We moved back five years ago because we believed the Commonwealth would eventually open a regulated market. Now Old Dominion Cannabis is preparing to compete for cultivation and manufacturing licenses.”

That kind of long-range planning is common in cannabis. It is also risky. Markets can take years to open. Rules can change overnight. A state can legalize possession and still leave businesses waiting for a real path to licensure.

Virginia became a case study in that uncertainty.

The veto seemed to push the market another year down the road. But within weeks, the same framework came back in a different vehicle: the state budget. Spanberger, Sen. Lashrecse Aird and Del. Paul Krizek announced a compromise that would create a regulated adult-use retail market through budget language, with sales beginning July 1, 2027.

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That turnabout changed the mood almost immediately.

“When the veto came down, we thought, ‘Here we go again—another year gone,’” said Jody Roun, COO of Old Dominion Cannabis, via email. “To see the conversation turn around this quickly through the budget process was surprising and exciting. For operators who have been planning around a moving target, it finally feels like there is a path.”

The compromise is not the same bill lawmakers originally passed. It reflects concessions to the governor, especially on timing, taxes, possession limits and enforcement. But it also preserves several priorities from legislators and advocates, including a larger retail cap, statewide access and a framework designed to give small businesses, farmers and microbusinesses a chance to participate.

Here are 10 key pieces of the framework Virginia is now poised to put into law:

1. Adult-use retail sales would begin July 1, 2027. The Virginia Cannabis Control Authority would begin accepting license applications on February 1, 2027, giving regulators time to write rules, establish testing standards and build the oversight structure before stores open.

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2. Adults 21 and older would have a legal retail channel. Virginia already legalized adult possession and limited home cultivation, but this framework would finally allow consumers to purchase regulated cannabis from licensed retailers.

3. The adult possession limit would increase from one ounce to two ounces. That is less than the 2.5-ounce limit lawmakers originally sought, but higher than the current possession limit.

4. The state would allow up to 350 retail cannabis establishment licenses. Regulators would not be required to issue them all at once, but the cap is designed to create enough access to compete with the illicit market.

5. Localities would not be able to opt out of the market. That matters because local bans in other states have often left consumers with limited legal access and preserved demand for unregulated sellers.

6. Delivery services are expected to be allowed as part of the regulated market. Combined with the retail cap and no local opt-outs, delivery could become an important tool for statewide access, especially in rural areas.

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7. The tax structure would start relatively low. Adult-use cannabis would carry a 6% state excise tax at launch, increasing to 8% beginning July 1, 2029. Local governments could add another 1% to 3.5%, in addition to existing retail sales taxes.

8. The Cannabis Control Authority would gain expanded oversight over intoxicating hemp products. The compromise is designed to close Virginia’s 25:1 hemp loophole and move intoxicating hemp regulation away from the Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services and under the cannabis regulator.

9. The framework includes stronger child-safety and advertising rules. It would require child-resistant packaging, ban cartoon advertising and prohibit products shaped like animals, fruits, vehicles or humans.

10. The state would add stronger compliance and enforcement tools. Retailers could face escalating penalties for failing to check IDs, including possible license revocation for repeated underage sales. Stores would also have to be at least 1,000 feet from schools, hospitals, playgrounds and drug treatment facilities, while the CCA could maintain a public licensee registry, create a tip line and audit ownership and financial relationships.

“The cannabis license application cycle goes through peaks and valleys,” said Justin Singer, a partner at Feuerstein Kulick LLP and chair of the firm’s Regulatory Compliance and Licensing practice via phone interview. “We have been in an extended valley for sought-after licenses for some time, and as a result we have seen a tremendous amount of interest in this upcoming application process.”

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Put together, the framework signals that Virginia is trying to do more than open stores. It is trying to correct the imbalance created in 2021: legal adults, legal possession, legal home cultivation—but no legal commercial channel for most consumers.

The challenge now is execution.

Cannabis regulators across the country have learned that legal markets do not automatically beat illicit ones. Taxes that are too high, licensing that is too slow, limited access, lack of capital and burdensome rules can all keep consumers in the unregulated market. Virginia’s relatively modest starting excise tax may help. So could the 350-store cap, if the state issues licenses in a way that creates real geographic coverage.

But questions remain. How quickly will cultivation and manufacturing licenses be processed? How much room will there be for independent operators? Will microbusinesses and impact applicants have meaningful access to banking and capital? Will existing medical operators have a first-mover advantage? And can the state build a market that is regulated enough to protect consumers without being so expensive and slow that it recreates the same illicit-market incentives legalization was supposed to solve?

For companies like Old Dominion Cannabis, the answer will determine whether Virginia becomes a real opportunity or simply another tightly controlled market dominated by the best-capitalized players.

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Still, after five years of waiting, the significance of this moment is hard to ignore. Virginia is no longer debating whether adults should be allowed to possess cannabis. That question was answered in 2021. The question now is whether the Commonwealth can build a functioning legal industry around that decision.

The budget compromise does not end the work. It starts it.

For operators, the next several months will be about applications, compliance, capital and partnerships. For regulators, it will be about writing rules that can survive contact with the market. For consumers, it could mean finally having a legal way to purchase tested cannabis products in the first Southern state to legalize adult use.

Virginia took the symbolic step five years ago. Now it may finally be taking the commercial one.



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Virginia man uses art to heal after years in prison, mental health battle

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Virginia man uses art to heal after years in prison, mental health battle


RICHMOND, Va. — Jerrod Buford first picked up a paintbrush as a kid, never imagining that same creative outlet would carry him through his darkest days in prison.

Buford, who grew up in Williamsburg, was convicted and arrested as a young man and spent almost a decade behind bars. During that time, he struggled deeply.

“Turning to drugs and alcohol to kind of shadow over emotions,” Buford said. “Looking for acceptance, approval. Not just from my parents, but from friends, from, you name it. I mean, I tried to commit suicide, I don’t even know how many times,” Buford said.

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Jerrod Buford

It was inside prison walls that art became more than a hobby.

“Throughout my prison time, I learned, the freedom that I desired, I’ve always had it. I got, I found it, in a box,” Buford said.

More than three years after his release, Buford continues to advocate for art as a tool for healing. He describes his work as a gift he feels called to share.

“I received a blessing from God that just allowed me to display what he’s given me,” Buford said.

For Buford, creating art is also a way of processing his past.

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“That’s what art has done for me. It’s given me the ability to look at parts of my life, all parts of my life, and find the good and the negative, learn from the negative,” Buford said.

He shares his story and artwork with a wide audience through social media, including live sessions on TikTok, and holds art classes with new communities.

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The Story Cafe

Buford said his mission is to help others find their own path toward healing — whatever form that takes.

“What I strive to do is guide this person to just create, man. Don’t care what people think about your creation, you just need to get it out,” Buford said. “Whether it’s with art, addressing your mental health, getting your life right — just do it.”

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VA Spirits Board & VA Distillery Co. Commemorate America’s 250th with Exclusive Trio Pack

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VA Spirits Board & VA Distillery Co. Commemorate America’s 250th with Exclusive Trio Pack


Good Morning Washington interviews Amanda Beckwith of Virginia Distillery Company- one of the contributing distilleries to the Virginia Spirits Board’s 250th Celebration Trio Pack, a special, exclusive release created to commemorate America’s upcoming 250th anniversary. This limited-edition package features a curated collection of a rum, a gin, and a whiskey, all crafted from scratch by distillers in Virginia to celebrate the rich history and current state of distilling within the Commonwealth.

Beckwith elaborates on VA Distillery Company’s role in the project, noting her focus on Virginia-grown grain to make the bottle of unique whiskey that is included in the Trio Pack. It is also worth noting that the Trio Packs themselves were bottled and produced right here at Virginia Distilling Company!

American single malts are the newest official category of American whiskey, distilled from one grain and from a single distillery. Virginia Distillery Co specializes in this new category of whiskey and crafted their contribution to the Trio Pack with this very specialty. Given the limited remaining availability of the Trio Pack, its historical value and collectible nature, the message it loud and clear encouraging viewers to grab a pack before they are all gone!

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21+ Please drink responsibly, this content is sponsored by Virginia Distillery Company.



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