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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Oklahoma Sooners Prediction: Who Wins, and Why?

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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Oklahoma Sooners Prediction: Who Wins, and Why?


The marquee game on the Week 4 college football schedule finds a pair of ranked conference rivals playing a new-look league game brought to us by realignment, as Tennessee visits Oklahoma in the Sooners’ SEC debut. Here’s what you need to know, along with our updated game prediction.

Let’s call this the Josh Heupel Bowl, as the former Oklahoma quarterback returns to Norman as Tennessee’s head coach in a matchup of SEC contenders looking to avoid their first loss of the season.

Big Orange has pulverized everything in its path through 3 games, outscoring its overmatched opponents 191 to 13, ranking 1st nationally with almost 64 points per game, placing 3rd in rushing and in scoring defense behind one of college football’s best front sevens.

Oklahoma won’t be quite that generous, but there is some concern for this team after it played closely against unranked opponents over the last two weeks.

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The Sooners eked out a 16-12 victory against Houston, scoring just 2 second-half points, and led by 5 against Tulane in the fourth quarter last week before scoring 10 unanswered.

Brent Venables and Oklahoma need to use this game to show they belong in the SEC, especially with a much tougher schedule ahead, and Tennessee wants to show it can match up against quality competition after playing against some cupcakes early on.

Tennessee vs. Oklahoma Predictio

Oklahoma vs. Tennessee Prediction / Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Playing better on third down is of the utmost importance for the Sooners to play this close and keep the Volunteers’ offense off the field for any sustained period of time.

But that has proved a challenge so far: OU ranks just 109th nationally in third down offensive production, converting only 13 of 42 attempts for a 31 percent average. 

Tennessee ranks 2nd nationally in third down defense, allowing only 6 conversions against 38 attempts, a stifling 15.8 percent success rate.

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But the Sooners have the skill threats to boost that average, led by quarterback Jackson Arnold, who has thrown for 484 yards and 7 touchdowns and leads the team with 159 rushing yards and 2 additional scores. 

Tennessee presents a formidable challenge in its defensive front, boasting a cadre of pass rushers who have the speed, size, and agility to consistently damage an Oklahoma offensive line that has struggled to incorporate its new rotation so far this season.

That front will also frustrate a Sooner ground game that is averaging a very average 4.34 yards per carry, but has a potential star in freshman back Taylor Tatum, who should see his carries increase this week as OU tries to stabilize its offense and eat some clock.

Nico Iamaleava has played up to expectations in his limited exposure as Tennessee’s starting quarterback, going 4-0 overall and throwing for 698 yards with 6 TDs this season.

Vols back Dylan Sampson has balanced the offense out, rushing for 357 yards and 9 touchdowns already, averaging almost 8 yards per carry through 3 games.

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Oklahoma’s defense has taken important steps forward in the last season-plus and comes into this game leading the nation with 10 takeaways, and linebacker Danny Stutsman’s 18 run stops are the most among any player in the country.

And the Sooners’ pass rush has looked efficient thus far, forcing opponents into a slew of mistakes when trying to throw the ball, and could bother the Vols’ good protection unit enough to force Iamaleava into some hurried throws and out of his rhythm.

Lines are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Tennessee: -6.5 (-118)
Oklahoma: +6.5 (-104)

Over 56.5 points: -115
Under 56.5 points: -105

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Nico Iamaleava has not played in a true road game for the Vols yet, and his inexperience could show early on as he works against not just OU’s pass rush, but the loud Sooner faithful under the lights.

But games like this in the SEC are won and lost at the line of scrimmage, and on paper Tennessee still clearly owns that advantage, pitting a strong front seven against a very suspect OU line.

Oklahoma has struggled to generate offensive consistency and put up points when it has the opportunity, and the Volunteers have the bodies to make that a problem again.

Both these defenses are playing good football at the moment, which could bring down the eventual total, but Tennessee’s combination of strangling the Sooners at the line, having the superior ground game, and more weapons to test the deeper field will be the difference.

College Football HQ picks …

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More … Tennessee vs. Oklahoma score prediction from expert model

When: Sat., Sept. 21
Time: 6:30 p.m. Central
TV: ABC network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

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Former Florida Gators HC Hires Tennessee Football Assistant for Much Bigger Role

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Former Florida Gators HC Hires Tennessee Football Assistant for Much Bigger Role


The Tennessee Volunteers have a lot going on in their world of college football, as they are battling many different things. They just finished the regular season around a month ago, and they are now awaiting their game against the Illinois Fighting Illini inside the state of Tennessee.

This is a game that has been viewed as one of the more interesting bowl games, as the Vols will be playing this game inside Nissan Stadium (the Tennessee Titans’ current stadium). This stadium is the same stadium the Vols played against the Virginia Cavaliers in two seasons ago, in Joe Milton and the Vols’ season debut following Hendon Hooker’s departure.

The Vols also had to replace their defensive coordinator (Tim Banks). This is when they made the announcement that they will be adding Jim Knowles to the defensive staff. He is the national championship-winning DC with the Ohio State Buckeyes last season, but spent this season with the Penn State Nittany Lions. The Vols will be using William Inge as their defensive coordinator.

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There have been multiple coaching changes that they have also had to battle, but the most recent challenge that they have faced is on Tuesday, and it is another coaching change challenge. One of the Vols’ best assistants is on his way to another school after being poached by a former Florida Gators head football coach who is also at a new job.

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The Vols are losing an assistant offensive line coach. That coach is Phil Serchia, who has spent time with the Vols and has also spent some time in the NFL being with the Chargers. He is taking on a much bigger role, as the announcement was made by Matt Zenitz.

Phil Serchia Accepts a New Job

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James Madison quarterback Alonza Barnett III drops back to pass against Oregon during the first quarter at Autzen Stadium in Eugene Dec. 20, 2025. | Chris Pietsch/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

“James Madison is hiring Tennessee assistant offensive line coach Phil Serchia as tight ends coach, a source tells @CBSSports. Before Tennessee, spent two seasons working in the NFL as an offensive assistant with the Chargers,” Zenitz reported through his personal X account.

James Madison is now under the authority of new head football coach Billy Napier, who started this season as the head football coach for the Florida Gators, but will be the Dukes’ new head coach. Napier is a rival of the Vols, but game respects game, as he is having to make some moves for a staff, and adding Serchia is a huge addition for the former Gators coach.


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Tennessee Fraternal Order of Police says Metro officer acted lawfully when stopping THP trooper

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Tennessee Fraternal Order of Police says Metro officer acted lawfully when stopping THP trooper


NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — A routine traffic stop in Nashville became a test of authority after a Metro police officer attempted to pull over a vehicle driven by a Tennessee Highway Patrol trooper.

Newly released body camera video shows the Metro officer initiating the stop after clocking a black SUV traveling 85 miles per hour in a 55 miles per hour zone. Police records indicate the officer followed the vehicle for several miles before it came to a stop.

When the driver exited the SUV, he identified himself as a state trooper. The exchange that followed quickly escalated with both officers asserting authority and disrupting the circumstances of the stop.

The Metro police officer demanded identification and told the trooper he was not free to leave. The trooper responded that he was “the police” and suggested they were preparing to move on.

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The trooper later said he had blue lights activated, indicating they were responding to other business.

The Tennessee Fraternal Order of Police said that flashing blue lights alone do not override a lawful traffic stop.

“He was doing his job,” Tennessee Fraternal Order of Police President Scottie Delashmit said. “The officer was trying to ensure there was no threat to the public.”

The incident drew heightened attention after it was confirmed that Tennessee House Speaker Cameron Sexton was a passenger in the vehicle at the time of the stop.

In a statement to News 2, Sexton criticized the Metro police officer’s conduct, describing it as overzealous and unsafe. He said he does not believe the state trooper violated traffic laws.

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“Any vehicle traveling above a posted speed limit should have emergency lights and sirens operating under Tennessee state law,” DeLashmit said. “Otherwise, you are to adhere to the same traffic laws anyone else does.”

Delashmit said incidents like this highlight the need for clear communication and de-escalation, particularly when multiple law enforcement agencies are involved.

⏩ Read today’s top stories on wkrn.com

“This is an unfortunate situation that could have been avoided if there had been clearer communication and immediate compliance,” he said.

Following the incident, the Metro Nashville Police Department opened an internal investigation after concerns were raised by the House Speaker’s chief of staff. The review examined whether the Metro police officer violated department policy.

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According to MNPD records, the traffic stop was lawful, and the officer acted within policy. Allegations of misconduct were either exonerated or found to be unfounded.



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Construction-related closures suspended for nearly 3 million holiday travelers in TN

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Construction-related closures suspended for nearly 3 million holiday travelers in TN


NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) – The Tennessee Department of Transportation has announced the suspension of construction-related closures during the holiday travel period.

TDOT says road construction won’t delay travelers for the Christmas and New Year’s holidays.

All lane closure activity on interstates and state highways will be halted as higher traffic volumes are expected statewide.

Survey: Increased costs impacting holiday travel

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“No temporary lane closures will be allowed for construction on Tennessee roadways beginning at 11:59 p.m. Tuesday, December 23, 2025, through 11:59 p.m. on Friday, January 2, 2026,” TDOT said.

The state estimates that 2.8 million Tennesseans will be traveling throughout the holidays.

“Safety is our top priority, and with so many people expected to travel Tennessee roadways during the holidays, we want to keep traffic moving and get everyone to their destinations,” said TDOT Commissioner Will Reid, P.E. ““As always, please wear your seatbelt, reduce your speed, avoid distractions, and move over for emergency vehicles as our HELP Truck drivers will be on patrol.”



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