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Georgia vs. Tennessee score prediction by expert football model

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Georgia vs. Tennessee score prediction by expert football model


A critical SEC rivalry kicks off packed with College Football Playoff implications as two-loss, No. 11 Georgia welcomes No. 6 Tennessee with everything on the line. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert analytical football model that projects scores and picks winners.

Georgia faces a November must-win situation with two losses and coming off an ugly performance at Ole Miss, as the selection committee keeps a close eye on what happens between the hedges after dropping the Bulldogs out of the top dozen in this week’s bracket seeding.

Tennessee has more room to maneuver with one loss sitting atop the SEC standings, but still needs to impress the selectors with a good performance on the road against a ranked rival.

What do the analytical models suggest will happen when the Volunteers visit the Bulldogs in this SEC rivalry clash?

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For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Georgia and Tennessee compare in this Week 12 college football game.

The models are siding with the Bulldogs over the Vols in this matchup, but in a very close game.

SP+ predicts that Georgia will defeat Tennessee by a projected score of 27 to 23 and will win the game by an expected margin of 4.4 points to avoid a third loss.

The model gives the Bulldogs a 61 percent chance of outright victory against the Vols.

SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

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How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 292-263-8 against the spread with a 52.6 win percentage after going 30-19-1 (61%) last weekend.

Georgia is a 10.5 point favorite against Tennessee, according to the updated lines posted to FanDuel Sportsbook for the game.

FanDuel set the total at 47.5 points for the game (Over -114, Under -106).

And it lists the moneyline odds for Georgia at -385 and for Tennessee at +300 to win outright.

If you’re using this prediction to bet on the game, you should take …

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If you do, you’ll be in the majority of bettors who expect the Vols will give the Bulldogs a scare, according to the latest spread consensus picks for the game.

Tennessee is getting 66 percent of bets to win outright in the upset or to keep the final margin to 10 or fewer points in a loss.

The other 34 percent of wagers project Georgia will win the game and cover the big spread.

Tennessee ranks No. 10 nationally by averaging out 19.9 points better than its opponents this season when counting all the points in the wins and its one loss.

Georgia has been 8 points better than the competition on average in 2024.

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Those averages have drawn closer over the last three games.

Tennessee has been 12 points better than other teams in that span, while Georgia has played things close, coming out 3.7 points better than the competition over that time.

Things look about even when considering the venue, although the Vols have a slight edge.

Tennessee has averaged 15.3 points better than opponents when playing on the road this season, compared to Georgia coming out 14 points better than the competition when at home.

Most other analytical models also favor the Bulldogs over the Volunteers in this SEC clash.

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That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Georgia has emerged as the favorite at home, coming out ahead in 61.7 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the game.

That leaves Tennessee as the presumptive winner in the remaining 38.3 percent of sims.

But those figures represent a mere win-loss calculation. What do they suggest about a possible margin of victory in the game?

Expect a very close one.

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Georgia is projected to be 4.3 points better than Tennessee on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.

More … Georgia vs. Tennessee prediction: What the analytics say

Georgia is second among SEC teams with a 75.5 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.

That model projects Georgia will win 9.6 games this season.

Tennessee has a 74.3 percent chance to make the playoff, sitting third in the conference, and will win 10.3 games in ‘24, according to the index.

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When: Sat., Nov. 16
Time: 7:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: ABC network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Tennessee AMC theater worker, 85, receives $146K from strangers for retirement after viral video

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Tennessee AMC theater worker, 85, receives 6K from strangers for retirement after viral video


A viral Tennessee movie theater worker, 85, was surprised with $146K as strangers rallied together to help her “enjoy retirement.”

Mary Ellen Eron was seen hauling a heavy black garbage bag and pushing a cleaning cart during her shift at the theater in Maryville, Tenn., which has since been viewed more than 13 million times.

“Let’s secretly help retire this beautiful woman. No one deserves to work at this age,” movie customer Brooklyn Green, who filmed the video, captioned the post.

Green launched a fundraiser last weekend after watching Mary, who has been a movie theater staffer for 45 years, hard at work  – even though she’s a stranger.

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AMC customer Brooklyn Green was inspired to raise money for Mary, an elderly staffer, after watching her work. Brooklyn Green via Storyful

“I knew nothing about her. I didn’t even know her name when I went to the theater,” Green told WATE reported. “I just decided that she was working so hard, and I aspired to be like her one day.

“Her physical appearance didn’t look too comfortable, especially since the way she was working so hard.”

Green set a target of $200,000 – and she raised $146,317 before pausing donations. More than 7,500 people donated to the charitable cause.

On Wednesday, Green posted the moment that she presented Eron, who helps the homeless and her local church, with the total figures from the crowdfunding page.

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“Oh my goodness. That’s a lot of money,” Eron said as she realized the number on the piece of paper.

“That’s a lot of money and you deserve every bit of it,” Green said.

The two shared a warm embrace. Brooklyn Green via Storyful
Brooklyn Green and the cinema worker clutching the check. Brooklyn Green via Storyful

The clip also featured a message from Eron, who addressed the people who had contributed.

“Thank you so very much to all the wonderful people that have donated money to the GoFundMe,” she said.

“I’m overwhelmed and certainly blessed by the Lord and you wonderful people. Thank you once more.”

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The theater’s manager revealed it will be Eron’s decision when she retires.



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Tennessee Baseball Breakout Star Announces He Won’t Enter the Transfer Portal

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Tennessee Baseball Breakout Star Announces He Won’t Enter the Transfer Portal


The Tennessee Volunteers have had their fair share of bad news as of late when it comes to the college baseball transfer portal, but luckily, they have received some great news.

The great news that they have received is that they will be returning one of their breakout stars from this past college baseball season, as he has no intentions of entering the college baseball transfer portal.

Trent Grindlinger Will Return to Tennessee

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Tennessee’s Trent Grindlinger (30) begins to celebrate what he thought was a home run but was eventually called foul during a college baseball game between Tennessee and LSU at Lindsey Nelson Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee., on April 3, 2026. | Brianna Paciorka/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The player who is set to return to Tennessee is Trent Grindlinger, who was electric this season and is expected to be a future top 10 MLB draft pick. This is expected for the first draft that he is eligible for, which is the 2027 MLB Draft rather than this upcoming draft that will feature multiple Vols, including Tennessee ACE, Tegan Kuhns.

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Grindlinger finished last season with a batting average of .345, while hitting eight home runs and only striking out 28 times. This would be an electric season for the talented Volunteers’ batter, and he is set for a season that could and should be even better than that, which would be good enough to consider for some major college baseball end-of-the-season awards. He is just one of the few players who opted to stay and return rather than enter their name into the college baseball transfer portal, but if they were going to return anyone, he is the player they would want to return in the field.

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Had he entered the transfer portal, there wouldn’t be a single college in the nation that wouldn’t want to add him, as every college would want to add the elite prospect. Not only that, but he would become the nation’s No. 1 player on the portal more than likely.

Luckily for the Vols, though, they don’t have to worry about that.

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Franklin police ticket 13-year-old after e-bike crash, and a new Tennessee law brings more changes July 1

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Franklin police ticket 13-year-old after e-bike crash, and a new Tennessee law brings more changes July 1


WILLIAMSON COUNTY, Tenn. (WTVF) — Franklin police cited a 13-year-old following a crash involving a motorized bike, and a new Tennessee law taking effect July 1 will bring additional restrictions for young riders.

On April 21, Franklin officers responded to a fender bender at the Interstate 65 off-ramp at the Goose Creek Bypass involving a 13-year-old on a motorized bike and a vehicle. Both the teen and the adult driver were waiting for officers when they arrived. The woman behind the wheel was visibly shaken and told officers the bike came out of nowhere while she was attempting to turn right on red.

The bike turned out to be more powerful than a standard e-bicycle. Under the law, it is not considered a bicycle at all — it is classified as a motor scooter, which falls under different laws than Class 1, 2, and 3 e-bikes.

“Downside is kids are about to get a bunch of tickets. He can’t ride that e-bike because it’s not just an e-bike — too much voltage, it’s a motor scooter,” Officer Spry with the Franklin Traffic Unit said.

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“He can’t be on a sidewalk, he has to be in a bike lane, and it can’t be more than 28 miles an hour,” Spry said.

The driver of the car was cited for failure to exercise due care. The 13-year-old was cited for several violations, including not having a driver’s license, insurance, or registration. Franklin police say the citations issued to the teen are all appropriate under current law. Officers told the teen’s parent the citations would need to be answered in juvenile court. The family promised to trade the bike in for something safer.

Spry made clear this is not an isolated case.

“You’re not the only one that I’ve written this ticket to,” Spry said.

“This is probably one of the greatest opportunities for us to provide safety and save a life that we’ll ever see,” Franklin Alderman Greg Caesar said.

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Starting July 1, only those 16 years and older will be legally allowed to ride Class 3 e-bikes, which can reach speeds of 28 miles per hour. The new law changes the age of those allowed to operate Class 3 e-bikes and does not affect the motor scooter classification that applied in this case.

Franklin city leaders are debating changes to local e-bike laws. Alderman Greg Caesar described it as a nuanced problem but said educating parents should start now.

“It needs to be considered, as some of these e-bikes and riders can do real and significant damage,” Caesar said.

Do you have more information about this story? You can email me at Amanda.Roberts@NewsChannel5.com

This story was reported on-air by Amanda Roberts and has been converted to this platform with the assistance of AI. Our editorial team verifies all reporting on all platforms for fairness and accuracy.

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Students help relaunch donation drive for Monroe Carell Jr. Children’s Hospital at Vanderbilt

Young or old, we all love to play board and card games! Those games become even more important when you are indoors and don’t have the ability to get outside, like patients in a hospital. Austin Pollack shares the story of students in a Nashville family who have helped re-launch the Red Wagon project to collect games for patients at the Monroe Carell Jr. Children’s Hospital at Vanderbilt.

– Lelan Statom

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