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Georgia vs. Tennessee score prediction by expert football model

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Georgia vs. Tennessee score prediction by expert football model


A critical SEC rivalry kicks off packed with College Football Playoff implications as two-loss, No. 11 Georgia welcomes No. 6 Tennessee with everything on the line. Let’s check in with the latest prediction for the game from an expert analytical football model that projects scores and picks winners.

Georgia faces a November must-win situation with two losses and coming off an ugly performance at Ole Miss, as the selection committee keeps a close eye on what happens between the hedges after dropping the Bulldogs out of the top dozen in this week’s bracket seeding.

Tennessee has more room to maneuver with one loss sitting atop the SEC standings, but still needs to impress the selectors with a good performance on the road against a ranked rival.

What do the analytical models suggest will happen when the Volunteers visit the Bulldogs in this SEC rivalry clash?

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For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Georgia and Tennessee compare in this Week 12 college football game.

The models are siding with the Bulldogs over the Vols in this matchup, but in a very close game.

SP+ predicts that Georgia will defeat Tennessee by a projected score of 27 to 23 and will win the game by an expected margin of 4.4 points to avoid a third loss.

The model gives the Bulldogs a 61 percent chance of outright victory against the Vols.

SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

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How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ model is 292-263-8 against the spread with a 52.6 win percentage after going 30-19-1 (61%) last weekend.

Georgia is a 10.5 point favorite against Tennessee, according to the updated lines posted to FanDuel Sportsbook for the game.

FanDuel set the total at 47.5 points for the game (Over -114, Under -106).

And it lists the moneyline odds for Georgia at -385 and for Tennessee at +300 to win outright.

If you’re using this prediction to bet on the game, you should take …

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If you do, you’ll be in the majority of bettors who expect the Vols will give the Bulldogs a scare, according to the latest spread consensus picks for the game.

Tennessee is getting 66 percent of bets to win outright in the upset or to keep the final margin to 10 or fewer points in a loss.

The other 34 percent of wagers project Georgia will win the game and cover the big spread.

Tennessee ranks No. 10 nationally by averaging out 19.9 points better than its opponents this season when counting all the points in the wins and its one loss.

Georgia has been 8 points better than the competition on average in 2024.

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Those averages have drawn closer over the last three games.

Tennessee has been 12 points better than other teams in that span, while Georgia has played things close, coming out 3.7 points better than the competition over that time.

Things look about even when considering the venue, although the Vols have a slight edge.

Tennessee has averaged 15.3 points better than opponents when playing on the road this season, compared to Georgia coming out 14 points better than the competition when at home.

Most other analytical models also favor the Bulldogs over the Volunteers in this SEC clash.

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That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners.

Georgia has emerged as the favorite at home, coming out ahead in 61.7 percent of the computer’s most recent simulations of the game.

That leaves Tennessee as the presumptive winner in the remaining 38.3 percent of sims.

But those figures represent a mere win-loss calculation. What do they suggest about a possible margin of victory in the game?

Expect a very close one.

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Georgia is projected to be 4.3 points better than Tennessee on the same field in both teams’ current composition, according to the model’s latest forecast.

More … Georgia vs. Tennessee prediction: What the analytics say

Georgia is second among SEC teams with a 75.5 percent chance to qualify for the College Football Playoff, according to the FPI’s metrics.

That model projects Georgia will win 9.6 games this season.

Tennessee has a 74.3 percent chance to make the playoff, sitting third in the conference, and will win 10.3 games in ‘24, according to the index.

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When: Sat., Nov. 16
Time: 7:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: ABC network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks



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‘Oppressive’ heat is on the way. How long will heat dome last in Tennessee

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‘Oppressive’ heat is on the way. How long will heat dome last in Tennessee


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  • A significant heat wave is expected to bring dangerous temperatures to much of the central and eastern U.S.
  • The heat dome will cause temperatures in the 90s to low 100s, with heat indices reaching up to 115 degrees.
  • This period of extreme heat is forecasted to last through the Independence Day weekend, until around July 6.

A “significant” heat wave is on the way.

According to the latest forecast from the Weather Prediction Center, dangerous heat is expected across much of the country, including Tennessee, beginning June 28, and lasting into next week.

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The National Weather Service is anticipating temperatures in the 90s to low 100s.

“These hot temperatures combined with high humidity will lead to heat indices of 100-110 degrees and locally as high as 115,” wrote the weather service in a June 25 statement. “Low temperatures only dropping into the 70s will provide little overnight relief.”

Here’s what to know.

What is a heat dome?

Heat domes, also called ridges of high pressure or death ridges, are large bulges of sinking warm air that can stretch up to 1,000 miles in summer, driving temperatures 30  degrees above normal and creating hazardous, drying conditions that often lead to deadly, multi‑day heat waves, Weather.com said.

According to climatecheck.com, the term describes the “oppressive” high-pressure atmospheric systems that cause warm air to be pushed to the Earth’s surface and trapped there for long periods of time.

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“The dome traps high-pressure air in one place, like the lid on a pot,” the website said. “These large zones of hot air result in a combination of blistering temperatures, devastating wildfires, and drought conditions.”

How long will the heat dome last?

The period of extreme heat is expected to stretch through Independence Day weekend, lasting until July 6.

High to moderate extreme heat risk is expected across much of the central and eastern U.S. from July 3–4, with a broader slight risk extending through July 6. Heat indices of 100–110 degrees and warm nights in the 70s and 80s may limit relief over the holiday weekend, the weather service reported.

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How hot will it get?

NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center said hot weather will be the story this coming weekend from the Plains to the Ohio Valley, with widespread above-average temperatures expected thanks to a strong upper-level ridge of high pressure (aka heat dome) developing.

Highs in the 90s are expected as far north as the Great Lakes and Minnesota, and 100s for much of Texas, USA TODAY reported.

Heat indices approaching 110 degrees are possible from the mid-South to the central Gulf Coast where the combination of heat and high dew points will be greatest.

Overnight lows will also be quite warm, with some record high minimums possible.

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For much of next week, the core of the heat dome is likely to be centered on the Ohio Valley, the middle portion of the Mississippi Valley and the Tennessee Valley, according to AccuWeather. At times, the heat will expand outward and reach parts of the Plains, the Great Lakes, the East and the Gulf Coast.

How will the heat dome impact Tennessee?

According to the National Weather Service Nashville office, “oppressive” heat and humidity will bring triple digit heat indices from Sunday onward.

“Look for our rain chances to abate from Sunday onward, just as the first bonafide heat wave of the season settles in for the long haul,” wrote the weather service in its morning discussion June 26.

“While rain chances next week will be nearly non-existent, temperatures across the bulk of the mid state west of the Cumberland Plateau will top out in the mid to upper 90s every day at least through Friday.”

This will result in heat indices reaching the 100s across most areas, with heat advisory criteria likely to be met on multiple days, added the service.

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All of Tennessee is expected to receive major heat, while portions of Middle Tennessee and all of West Tennessee will face extreme heat.

According to the weather service, major heat can affect anyone without proper cooling and hydration, as well as strain health systems and industries, while extreme heat involves rare and or prolonged high temperatures with little to no overnight relief, impacting anyone without adequate cooling or hydration.

How to stay safe during periods of high, dangerous heat

Extreme heat can lead to heat-related illnesses and even death.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, heat-related illness occurs when the body is unable to properly cool itself. Older adults, young children and people with chronic medical conditions are at especially high risk.

The CDC reports that more than 700 people die from extreme heat each year in the United States.

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The CDC recommends the following during periods of extreme heat:

  • Stay in an air-conditioned indoor location as much as you can.
  • Drink plenty of fluids even if you don’t feel thirsty.
  • Schedule outdoor activities carefully and pace yourself. Wear loose, lightweight, light-colored clothing and sunscreen.
  • Take cool showers or baths to cool down.
  • Check on a friend or neighbor and have someone do the same for you.
  • Never leave children or pets in cars.
  • Check the local news for health and safety updates.

Contributing: USA TODAY

Diana Leyva covers trending news and service journalism for The Tennessean. Contact her at Dleyva@gannett.com.



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TN Lottery Cash 3 Morning, Cash 3 Midday winning numbers for June 25, 2026

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The Tennessee Lottery offers several draw games for those aiming to win big.

Here’s a look at June 25, 2026, results for each game:

Winning Cash 3 numbers from June 25 drawing

Morning: 9-1-6, Wild: 3

Midday: 5-6-7, Wild: 5

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Evening: 8-0-9, Wild: 2

Check Cash 3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Cash 4 numbers from June 25 drawing

Morning: 1-0-7-7, Wild: 5

Midday: 0-1-3-6, Wild: 0

Evening: 4-0-9-0, Wild: 2

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Check Cash 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Daily Tennessee Jackpot numbers from June 25 drawing

03-04-09-12-28

Check Daily Tennessee Jackpot payouts and previous drawings here.

Winning Millionaire for Life numbers from June 25 drawing

03-13-14-34-45, Bonus: 01

Check Millionaire for Life payouts and previous drawings here.

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Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

Are you a winner? Here’s how to claim your lottery prize

All Tennessee Lottery retailers will redeem prizes up to $599.

For prizes over $599, winners can submit winning tickets through the mail or in person at Tennessee Lottery offices. By mail, send a winner claim form, winning lottery ticket, a copy of a government-issued ID and proof of social security number to P.O. Box 290636, Nashville, TN 37229. Prize claims less than $600 do not require a claim form. Please include contact information on prizes claimed by mail in the event we need to contact you.

To submit in person, sign the back of your ticket, fill out a winner claim form and deliver the form, along with the ticket and government-issued ID and proof of social security number to any of these locations:

Nashville Headquarters & Claim Center: 26 Century Blvd., Nashville, TN 37214, 615-254-4946 in the (615) and (629) area, 901-466-4946 in the (901) area, 865-512-4946 in the (865) area, 423-939-7529 in the (423) area or 1-877-786-7529 (all other areas in Tennessee). Outside Tennessee, dial 615-254-4946. Hours: 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. Monday through Friday. This office can cash prizes of any amount.

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Knoxville District Office: Cedar Springs Shopping Center, 9298 Kingston Pike, Knoxville, TN 37922, (865) 251-1900. Hours: 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. Monday through Friday. This office can cash prizes up to $199,999.

Chattanooga District Office: 2020 Gunbarrel Rd., Suite 106, Chattanooga, TN 37421, (423) 308-3610. Hours: 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. Monday through Friday. This office can cash prizes up to $199,999.

Memphis District Office: Chiles Plaza, 7424 U.S. Highway 64, Suite 104, Memphis, TN 38133, (901) 322-8520. Hours: 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. Monday through Friday. This office can cash prizes up to $199,999.

Check previous winning numbers and payouts at https://tnlottery.com/.

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When are the Tennessee Lottery drawings held?

  • Powerball: 9:59 p.m. CT Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Mega Millions: 10:00 p.m. CT Tuesday and Friday.
  • Cash 3, 4: Daily at 9:28 a.m. (Morning) and 12:28 p.m. CT (Midday), except for Sunday. Evening game daily, seven days a week, at 6:28 p.m. CT.
  • Daily Tennessee Jackpot: 9:00 p.m. CT daily.
  • Tennessee Cash: 10:34 p.m. CT Monday, Wednesday, and Friday.
  • Powerball Double Play: 10:30 p.m. CT Monday, Wednesday and Saturday.
  • Millionaire for Life: 10:15 p.m. CT daily.

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Tennessean editor. You can send feedback using this form.



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Middle Tennessee man facing 64-count indictment involving child sex crimes, police say

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Middle Tennessee man facing 64-count indictment involving child sex crimes, police say


GREENBRIER, Tenn. (WSMV) – A Middle Tennessee man is facing a 64-count indictment involving child sex crime charges, according to the Greenbrier Police Department.

GPD reports that James Mackenzie Gay was indicted by a Robertson County grand jury following an investigation by the department’s Criminal Investigations Division.

Investigators arrested Gay on Wednesday and he’s now being held at the Robertson County Jail.

Gay has been indicted on the following charges, according to GPD:

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  • 20 counts of aggravated sexual battery involving a child under 13
  • 36 counts of sexual exploitation of a minor, possession
  • 5 counts of especially aggravated sexual exploitation of a minor, production
  • 1 count of solicitation of a minor for rape of a child
  • 1 count of sexual exploitation of a minor by electronic means
  • 1 count of criminal attempted sexual exploitation of a minor by electronic means

GPD expressed its gratitude to the 19th Judicial District Attorney’s Office and the Robertson County Child Advocacy Center for their assistance in this case.

No other information has been released at this time.

Copyright 2026 WSMV. All rights reserved.



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