North Carolina
Donald Trump retakes slim lead in North Carolina polling average
![Donald Trump retakes slim lead in North Carolina polling average Donald Trump retakes slim lead in North Carolina polling average](https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2459313/donald-trump.jpg)
Donald Trump has retaken the lead in North Carolina, according to polling.
FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker showed Harris take the lead in the state for the first time last Thursday when she was 0.2 points ahead of Trump. On Friday, she was 0.4 points ahead, on 45.8 percent to the former president’s 45.4 percent.
However, Trump has now retaken the lead, per the poll aggregator, which shows him 0.3 points ahead, on 45.8 percent to Harris’s 45.5 percent.
Newsweek has contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment via email.
It comes after the most recent poll in the state, conducted by SoCal Strategies between August 26 and 27, showed that Trump has a 4-point lead over Harris among 612 likely voters, on 50 percent to Harris’s 46 percent. The poll had a 95 confidence level.
Trump’s lead over Harris among likely voters is powered by his influence among male (55 percent-41 percent) and white voters (57 percent-39 percent), according to the poll. He also leads Harris among independents, with 54 percent to her 37 percent.
Emily Elconin/Getty Images
Before Joe Biden ended his reelection campaign on July 21, Trump was leading the president in every poll in the state by between 2 points and 12 points.
However, the lead began to fade when Harris took Biden’s place atop the Democratic ticket. The vice president first saw a lead in North Carolina in a poll conducted between July 26 and August 2 by The Cook Political Report, which gave her a 2-point lead over Trump among likely voters when third-party candidates were included.
Since then, polls in North Carolina have shown Trump with only a lead of between 1 point to 4 points, while other polls have shown the two candidates neck and neck in the state, or Harris in the lead. RealClearPolitics’ polling average shows Trump with a 0.9-point lead in the state.
The tight margins mean that North Carolina is no longer the closest state in the presidential race, according to FiveThirtyEight.
It is also the second most likely state to be the tipping point state in November, with an 11 percent likelihood. A state’s tipping-point chance is the probability it will give the Electoral College winner their 270th electoral vote.
“The Trump campaign can’t afford to let North Carolina slip,” Cook Political Report Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter said on the organization’s website. “If Harris were to win just North Carolina and the Blue Wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, she could afford to lose every other competitive Sun Belt state—Nevada, Georgia, and Arizona—and still win the Electoral College vote.”
FiveThirtyEight’s forecast model shows that the Republicans are projected to secure a victory in the state, with a 0.4-point margin.
North Carolina has voted Republican in the last three presidential elections.
It is considered a swing state because of its close margins and its history of electing Democratic governors. Seven of the last eight gubernatorial races have gone blue in the state.
![](https://newspub.live/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/np-logo.png)
North Carolina
Man wins $439,000 lottery prize just after buying North Carolina home
![Man wins 9,000 lottery prize just after buying North Carolina home Man wins 9,000 lottery prize just after buying North Carolina home](https://www.gannett-cdn.com/authoring/authoring-images/2024/08/28/USAT/74976031007-benny-murphy.jpg?auto=webp&crop=599,337,x0,y56&format=pjpg&width=1200)
A day after buying a home, a North Carolina man is already seeing a drastic return on his investment.
Benny Murphy from Alamance County won $439,527 from a winning lottery ticket on Aug. 13 just a day after purchasing a house, according to the North Carolina Education Lottery.
“They made a joke about lower payments if I won the lottery,” Murphy told North Carolina lottery officials.
Murphy won the Cash 5 prize after picking up a $1 ticket from a Quickmart in Mebane, the lottery reported. After federal and state tax withholdings, he received $314,262 from his jackpot win.
He said he will use the money to finish paying off the house far sooner than he originally planned. He will also embark on a fishing trip and still have some spare money to go to savings, the lottery reported.
Mega Millions jackpot at $582 million
A lucky Mega Millions jackpot ticket holder can win up to $582 million if they have the winning numbers for Tuesday’s drawing. The estimated price increased after there was no winner of the Friday jackpot.
After taxes, the take-home payment will be around $286.9 million, according to lottery officials.
In 2024, there have been two winners of Mega Millions jackpots including a New Jersey player who won $1.13 billion in March and an Illinois player who won $552 million in June.
North Carolina
New North Carolina poll shows state could again vote red for president, blue for governor
![New North Carolina poll shows state could again vote red for president, blue for governor New North Carolina poll shows state could again vote red for president, blue for governor](https://cdn.abcotvs.com/dip/images/15165889_HarrisTrump.jpg?w=1600)
RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) — With North Carolina in the national spotlight for the 2024 Election, a new poll sponsored by Elon University is shedding light on how the races for president and governor are shaping up.
In both 2016 and 2020, North Carolina voters split their tickets — voting for Republican Donald Trump to be president and Democrat Roy Cooper to be governor. Polling suggests a similar outcome could happen in 2024, even without Cooper on the ticket.
The new poll from Elon University found both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump viewed favorably by just about half of voters.
That similar favorability means the presidential race in North Carolina — and subsequently the state’s key 16 electoral votes — is a tossup. This is corroborated by the amount of attention both campaigns have given North Carolina, with each visiting multiple times over the last several weeks.
Polling for the governor’s race is much different. The same responders in the poll favored Democrat Josh Stein to Republican Mark Robinson by a 14-point margin.
“This is not because Stein is exceptionally popular his numbers are about like that of Harris, but rather Stein’s 14-point lead in favorability is because Robinson is far less popular than Trump among both Republicans and independents. The Trump base in North Carolina among Republicans and the Trump-leaning Independents are not going to Robinson at the level that one may have expected early on in this campaign,” said Jason Husser, the director of the Elon University poll.
Trump and Robinson are closely aligned politically and have even campaigned together as recently as last week in Asheboro, but the poll director believes there could be a reason for the difference in popularity.
It was Trump’s first outdoor campaign event away from one of his properties since the rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, where a gunman tried to assassinate him.
“Donald Trump is a unique figure in American political history, we will be talking the idiosyncratic nature of Trump in politics for years in the future. Robinson while having some of the same positions as Trump is not Trump, and so we haven’t seen some of that support carry over with other Republicans,” Husser said.
Robinson’s campaign doesn’t believe that difference will hurt his chances, telling ABC11 in a statement:
“Polls have consistently underestimated Republican support in North Carolina for several cycles now and with a large portion of the electorate still undecided as we continue to ramp up our efforts on the ground and on the airwaves, Mark Robinson remains in a strong position to win in November.”
In an era of political division and polarization, ticket splitting is becoming more rare. In fact, 85 percent of North Carolinians polled said they would be voting the same party in both major races, but the poll found about 1 in 6 North Carolinians are open to voting for different parties for President and Governor.
And in a close race, that could be decisive as in was in 2016 and 2020. But who are these Trump-Cooper or potential Trump-Stein voters?
“The people who are splitting their ticket are often people who are not necessarily moderate, they’re not necessarily independents, but they’re not people who define themselves based on their attachment to a political party so closer to the middle than the far right or the far left,” Husser said.
The poll also found that the economy was important to 90 percent of North Carolinians in that poll. It also found North Carolinians are worried about the aftermath of the election, almost 75 percent of voters were concerned about the possibility of political violence after the election.
Copyright © 2024 WTVD-TV. All Rights Reserved.
North Carolina
North Carolina governor poll shows Josh Stein and Mark Robinson’s chances
![North Carolina governor poll shows Josh Stein and Mark Robinson’s chances North Carolina governor poll shows Josh Stein and Mark Robinson’s chances](https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2376859/north-carolina-gubernatorial-race-polls.png)
North Carolina’s Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson is trailing Democratic Attorney General Josh Stein in the state’s closely watched gubernational race, according to a new poll.
The ActiVote survey has Stein leading Robinson by eight points, 54 percent to 46 percent.
It was conducted among 400 likely voters between July 26 and August 26, and has an average expected error of 4.9 percent.
Several other polls conducted in August also have Stein leading Robinson by at least eight points, according to poll aggregator FiveThirty Eight.
A High Point University/Survey USA poll conducted among 1,053 registered voters between August 19 and 21 had Stein leading by 14 points, 48 percent to 34 percent.
OLIVIER DOULIERY/AFP via Getty Images; Allison Joyce/Getty Images
The Stein and Robinson campaigns have been contacted for comment via email.
North Carolina’s gubernatorial race is expected to be close. The battleground state has voted Republican in recent presidential elections, but Democrats have won seven out of the eight governor’s races since 1992.
Stein is seeking to keep the governor’s office under his party’s control after two terms under outgoing Governor Roy Cooper, who described Robinson as “the most extreme statewide candidate in the country right now.”
Cooper told Politico earlier this month that he withdrew from consideration to be Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate in part because he feared Robinson could try to seize power in his absence.
“If I were to be out of state at a campaign event, if I had been the vice-presidential nominee, he could claim he was acting governor,” Cooper said.
Robinson, who would be North Carolina’s first Black governor if elected, is a controversial figure with a history of attacks on women, Muslims, Jews and the LGBTQ+ community, and pushing conspiracy theories.
He has used words like “filth” and “maggots” when talking about the LGBTQ+ community and said in 2019 that mass shootings were “karma” for American’s support of abortion rights.
He also sparked criticism after saying that Black Americans are not owed reparations for slavery, saying: “If you want to tell the truth about it, it is YOU who owes!”
Former President Donald Trump, who endorsed Robinson in March, has called him “Martin Luther King on steroids.”
“In North Carolina, campaigns are decided by small margins in November,” Stein’s campaign manager Jeff Allen told Newsweek earlier this month.
“Over the next three months, we will continue to work to earn every vote in every corner of the state so that North Carolinians know the clear choice in this race: Josh Stein, who fights for a safer, stronger North Carolina, versus Mark Robinson, who fights job-killing culture wars.”
-
Technology6 days ago
Breakthrough robo-glove gives you superhuman grip
-
Connecticut4 days ago
Oxford church provides sanctuary during Sunday's damaging storm
-
News1 week ago
Video: Biden Delivers Keynote on First Night of D.N.C.
-
News1 week ago
Video: Protesters Clash With Police Near the Democratic National Convention
-
Politics1 week ago
Former teacher reveals which students suffered 'the most' under Walz's pandemic-era guidelines
-
News1 week ago
Video: D.N.C. Holds Enthusiastic Roll Call to Nominate Harris
-
News1 week ago
Ex-officer convicted in George Floyd's killing is moved to new prison
-
World1 week ago
Panama deports 29 Colombian migrants from Darien Gap under US deal